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Lol · resolved market

LoL: JD Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
JD Gamingof JD Gaming, Bilibili Gaming
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,142,760
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,338,129

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,142,760 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 786 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Lol
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x671f…328cbacked JD Gaming35c292,160$103,089 inWon+$189,0716040%24 W · 36 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-12.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5877…d894backed JD Gaming32c68,606$21,708 inWon+$46,898.074763.8%30 W · 17 L+9.0wins+0.19per pick45cpaid+50.2%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0x8165…f688backed Bilibili Gaming66c56,038$37,249 inLost-$37,248.9914753.7%79 W · 68 L+0.4wins0.00per pick54cpaid+3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfc25…1f7fbacked Bilibili Gaming63c50,000$31,500 inLost-$31,5005350.9%27 W · 26 L-2.5wins-0.05per pick56cpaid-12.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7ac7…e0efbacked Bilibili Gaming65c41,100$26,649 inLost-$26,649.21353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+16.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4337…8882backed Bilibili Gaming64c32,775$20,816 inLost-$20,815.941,09834.8%382 W · 716 L-17.1wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-10.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa2e4…bf9dbacked Bilibili Gaming51c31,972$16,366 inLost-$16,366.467552.4%354 W · 321 L+10.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+6.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd568…a35abacked Bilibili Gaming48c31,059$15,008 inLost-$15,0081330.8%4 W · 9 L-2.3wins-0.17per pick48cpaid-39.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb3dd…a7e0backed JD Gaming33c30,540$10,000 inWon+$20,539.7613453.7%72 W · 62 L+0.2wins0.00per pick54cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x098c…1c67backed Bilibili Gaming68c26,172$17,825 inLost-$17,825.131,03547.2%489 W · 546 L+26.2wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+5.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xbde3…4a49backed Bilibili Gaming45c25,007$11,140 inLost-$11,139.7123447.9%112 W · 122 L+6.1wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+2.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xfbca…3b1ebacked Bilibili Gaming69c24,886$17,172 inLost-$17,171.5910535.2%37 W · 68 L-6.2wins-0.06per pick41cpaid-20.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5d5c…4302backed Bilibili Gaming68c23,092$15,736 inLost-$15,736.3317949.2%88 W · 91 L-5.1wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9adf…55e8backed Bilibili Gaming68c22,674$15,368 inLost-$15,368.1342940.1%172 W · 257 L-32.7wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-19.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x31b5…6128backed Bilibili Gaming54c21,551$11,662 inLost-$11,661.5823657.2%135 W · 101 L-15.6wins-0.07per pick64cpaid-14.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xfbf3…b218backed JD Gaming31c19,750$6,122 inWon+$13,627.4927735.7%99 W · 178 L-12.5wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-4.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x22d0…6293backed JD Gaming34c18,050$6,137 inWon+$11,91311150.5%56 W · 55 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2cdb…4d30backed Bilibili Gaming68c17,944$12,139 inLost-$12,138.534562.2%28 W · 17 L+6.1wins+0.13per pick49cpaid+35.6%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked JD Gaming49c15,800$7,725 inWon+$8,075.012,40642.6%1,026 W · 1,380 L+21.5wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6683…de6bbacked Bilibili Gaming68c13,147$8,940 inLost-$8,940.1311658.6%68 W · 48 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick61cpaid-3.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x92d8…0924backed Bilibili Gaming67c12,910$8,649 inLost-$8,648.7223439.7%93 W · 141 L-6.2wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-5.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3b5c…126ebacked Bilibili Gaming68c12,736$8,660 inLost-$8,660.266141%25 W · 36 L-4.4wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-13.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1307…d640backed Bilibili Gaming66c12,509$8,199 inLost-$8,199.167345.2%33 W · 40 L-7.4wins-0.10per pick55cpaid-22.6%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xed2c…9597backed Bilibili Gaming67c12,000$8,000 inLost-$7,999.9941644.2%184 W · 232 L-9.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-11.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb1e3…358ebacked Bilibili Gaming68c10,900$7,372 inLost-$7,371.977647.4%36 W · 40 L-9.1wins-0.12per pick59cpaid-28.6%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x8292…f774backed Bilibili Gaming65c10,000$6,500 inLost-$6,50016238.9%63 W · 99 L-5.9wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-12.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xcccc…dbddbacked Bilibili Gaming66c9,300$6,138 inLost-$6,13819146.1%88 W · 103 L0.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid+1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xec98…afcdbacked JD Gaming56c8,998$5,025 inWon+$3,973.41,60742.4%681 W · 926 L-17.9wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-14.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1461…30a1backed JD Gaming30c8,735$2,612 inWon+$6,122.6820438.2%78 W · 126 L-6.1wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-10.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7645…3117backed Bilibili Gaming66c7,820$5,161 inLost-$5,161.282452.7%434 W · 390 L+41.2wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+15.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb76f…8536backed JD Gaming32c7,810$2,499 inWon+$5,310.773138.7%12 W · 19 L-1.3wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb177…1914backed Bilibili Gaming63c7,062$4,453 inLost-$4,4533336.4%12 W · 21 L-4.8wins-0.15per pick51cpaid-27.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xf164…8fa4backed Bilibili Gaming63c7,013$4,418 inLost-$4,418.445954.2%32 W · 27 L+2.0wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+61.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x988d…9899backed Bilibili Gaming68c6,592$4,482 inLost-$4,482.448842.4%207 W · 281 L-5.2wins-0.01per pick43cpaid+2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4f5b…d411backed JD Gaming57c6,522$3,718 inWon+$2,804.453366.7%22 W · 11 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick66cpaid+1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5eab…d552backed JD Gaming63c5,294$3,329 inWon+$1,964.7538624.4%94 W · 292 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick24cpaid+23.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x97f2…d84fbacked JD Gaming51c5,204$2,672 inWon+$2,532.4913345.1%60 W · 73 L-4.5wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-13.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfaf1…795fbacked Bilibili Gaming66c5,040$3,314 inLost-$3,314.47646.1%35 W · 41 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-3.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6ade…f5b0backed Bilibili Gaming46c5,000$2,300 inLost-$2,299.996241.9%26 W · 36 L-3.6wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-16.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x67b6…00bcbacked JD Gaming33c4,800$1,584 inWon+$3,21650040.8%204 W · 296 L+18.7wins+0.04per pick37cpaid+13.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf163…ca34backed JD Gaming47c4,769$2,234 inWon+$2,535.231,50148.4%727 W · 774 L+47.7wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+0.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb187…bbe1backed Bilibili Gaming47c4,713$2,215 inLost-$2,215.113253.1%17 W · 15 L+1.7wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x661d…4dc6backed Bilibili Gaming39c4,699$1,811 inLost-$1,811.021,02639.6%406 W · 620 L-20.9wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-19.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd320…097ebacked Bilibili Gaming66c4,670$3,080 inLost-$3,079.5815545.8%71 W · 84 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+9.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd3fa…a26cbacked Bilibili Gaming67c4,631$3,091 inLost-$3,091.37852.6%41 W · 37 L+2.9wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+10.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd27c…c081backed Bilibili Gaming66c4,500$2,970 inLost-$2,97019570.8%138 W · 57 L+10.2wins+0.05per pick66cpaid+9.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x583f…2dabbacked JD Gaming57c4,392$2,502 inWon+$1,890.129333.3%31 W · 62 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick32cpaid-6.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3f97…4059backed Bilibili Gaming68c4,381$2,986 inLost-$2,985.791,16249.2%572 W · 590 L-16.6wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+0.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4466…9ad1backed Bilibili Gaming67c4,069$2,726 inLost-$2,726.231020%2 W · 8 L-1.5wins-0.15per pick35cpaid-53.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0659…d74dbacked JD Gaming55c3,946$2,167 inWon+$1,779.0678849.9%393 W · 395 L+12.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Bilibili Gaming38c3,842$1,441 inLost-$1,441.362,34639.3%923 W · 1,423 L-86.3wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-20.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd49a…9aa4backed Bilibili Gaming63c3,835$2,416 inLost-$2,416.05250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick57cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked JD Gaming39c3,739$1,448 inWon+$2,291.259952.8%316 W · 283 L-3.0wins0.00per pick53cpaid-12.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xfdc0…4b85backed JD Gaming48c3,686$1,758 inWon+$1,928.561,25838.6%485 W · 773 L-61.8wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-20.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4440…959abacked JD Gaming33c3,685$1,198 inWon+$2,486.779142.9%39 W · 52 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick44cpaid+0.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd408…e85cbacked Bilibili Gaming70c3,650$2,555 inLost-$2,554.9938861.9%240 W · 148 L-1.0wins0.00per pick62cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked JD Gaming42c3,606$1,500 inWon+$2,106.241,15842.6%493 W · 665 L-23.9wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-20.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf971…0a57backed JD Gaming30c3,458$1,032 inWon+$2,425.7618139.2%71 W · 110 L+5.9wins+0.03per pick36cpaid+5.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x54b0…df70backed Bilibili Gaming67c3,394$2,274 inLost-$2,273.654946.9%23 W · 26 L-1.8wins-0.04per pick51cpaid+3.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x883d…3627backed JD Gaming26c3,376$890 inWon+$2,485.691127.3%3 W · 8 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick28cpaid-39.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe7d6…b6e8backed Bilibili Gaming67c3,272$2,192 inLost-$2,192.051957.9%11 W · 8 L-1.1wins-0.06per pick64cpaid-2.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x40ed…4ae2backed Bilibili Gaming73c3,261$2,387 inLost-$2,387.2922.2%2 W · 7 L-3.8wins-0.42per pick65cpaid-65.1%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xb077…8fe8backed JD Gaming46c3,244$1,499 inWon+$1,744.5427346.9%128 W · 145 L-14.2wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-12.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4919…0c56backed Bilibili Gaming68c3,159$2,136 inLost-$2,135.98650%3 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+38%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8b62…daccbacked Bilibili Gaming69c3,087$2,131 inLost-$2,130.76757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x53d7…ca8bbacked Bilibili Gaming58c3,086$1,800 inLost-$1,80011844.9%53 W · 65 L-6.1wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-8.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3414…067abacked JD Gaming30c3,071$921 inWon+$2,149.7477131.8%245 W · 526 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick31cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcfdd…3321backed Bilibili Gaming67c3,064$2,038 inLost-$2,038.222045%9 W · 11 L-2.1wins-0.10per pick55cpaid-30.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5124…91bbbacked Bilibili Gaming70c3,000$2,100 inLost-$2,10013040.8%53 W · 77 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-7.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x25a9…7076backed JD Gaming34c3,000$1,014 inWon+$1,986.4116844.6%75 W · 93 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-9.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xddc3…68a0backed Bilibili Gaming67c2,978$1,996 inLost-$1,995.51450%2 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.18per pick68cpaid-25.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x39fd…5a3fbacked Bilibili Gaming67c2,940$1,978 inLost-$1,977.6726360.1%158 W · 105 L+1.1wins0.00per pick60cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb9ab…f282backed Bilibili Gaming66c2,880$1,891 inLost-$1,891.011,03052.3%539 W · 491 L+27.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+6.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x881b…9893backed JD Gaming31c2,795$854 inWon+$1,940.5911037.3%41 W · 69 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1eca…576bbacked Bilibili Gaming18c2,794$491 inLost-$490.987847.4%37 W · 41 L+3.7wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+18.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3de6…405cbacked Bilibili Gaming67c2,791$1,870 inLost-$1,87011245.5%51 W · 61 L-6.3wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-9.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6842…20d0backed JD Gaming36c2,781$1,000 inWon+$1,780.711,02046.9%478 W · 542 L+19.6wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x469f…3d4fbacked JD Gaming41c2,766$1,134 inWon+$1,631.8419640.3%79 W · 117 L+0.8wins0.00per pick40cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfc04…f726backed Bilibili Gaming70c2,600$1,820 inLost-$1,819.9875738.6%292 W · 465 L+7.9wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe041…a51dbacked Bilibili Gaming69c2,591$1,781 inLost-$1,780.756753.7%36 W · 31 L-4.3wins-0.06per pick60cpaid-2.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb876…a86bbacked Bilibili Gaming68c2,555$1,737 inLost-$1,737.086939.1%27 W · 42 L-5.8wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-29%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1281…8d51backed Bilibili Gaming63c2,500$1,580 inLost-$1,5806735.8%24 W · 43 L-4.5wins-0.07per pick43cpaid-27.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7a0f…1305backed Bilibili Gaming55c2,421$1,327 inLost-$1,327.091,47361.4%904 W · 569 L-20.7wins-0.01per pick63cpaid-2.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x04bd…39a0backed JD Gaming54c2,368$1,278 inWon+$1,090.221,22945.1%554 W · 675 L+48.5wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+5.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x75ee…7473backed Bilibili Gaming68c2,367$1,609 inLost-$1,609.39580%4 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.12per pick68cpaid+20.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x82a0…14b3backed Bilibili Gaming67c2,355$1,571 inLost-$1,571.489250%46 W · 46 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf1d4…38d6backed JD Gaming15c2,347$355 inWon+$1,992.462072.9%6 W · 201 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick4cpaid-75.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdac9…56e7backed Bilibili Gaming66c2,342$1,546 inLost-$1,5462161.9%13 W · 8 L+3.2wins+0.15per pick47cpaid+53.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xeb29…ea29backed JD Gaming49c2,339$1,152 inWon+$1,186.3212433.9%42 W · 82 L-3.7wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-21.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0341…a679backed Bilibili Gaming65c2,292$1,486 inLost-$1,486.519042.1%80 W · 110 L-6.7wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-11.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Bilibili Gaming61c2,281$1,396 inLost-$1,395.927636.2%100 W · 176 L-6.3wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-19.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x081e…f76ebacked Bilibili Gaming44c2,273$1,000 inLost-$1,00051952.6%273 W · 246 L-5.0wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb51d…e87abacked JD Gaming44c2,260$987 inWon+$1,273.021100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+129%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc330…1667backed JD Gaming56c2,223$1,250 inWon+$973.421643.8%7 W · 9 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfd96…e623backed Bilibili Gaming59c2,221$1,317 inLost-$1,317.3339851.8%206 W · 192 L+0.3wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb2e4…bc51backed Bilibili Gaming47c2,125$1,000 inLost-$1,0008648.8%42 W · 44 L-0.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid-4.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5836…4d03backed Bilibili Gaming67c2,124$1,423 inLost-$1,422.843638.9%14 W · 22 L-5.1wins-0.14per pick53cpaid-25.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xda35…ff0ebacked Bilibili Gaming48c2,065$991 inLost-$991.193850%19 W · 19 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick52cpaid+5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfd3f…44f1backed Bilibili Gaming67c2,041$1,367 inLost-$1,367.220249%99 W · 103 L-4.0wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-9.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa5a9…45ffbacked Bilibili Gaming67c2,034$1,363 inLost-$1,36318244.5%81 W · 101 L-0.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid-7.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.