TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xe7d6…b6e8

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
35
Categories scored
7
Categories below 50
3

Best Category: NFL, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category NFL at 53 out of 100; worst Lol at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Lol Inactivelast resolved Jan 25, 2026, EST1957.9%11 W · 8 L-1.1wins-0.06per pick64cpaid-2.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Lol — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: T1 vs BNK FEARX - Game 1 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$390Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+33.3%+$130
LoL: JD Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$2,192Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST-100%-$2,192.05
LoL: KT Rolster vs T1 (BO3) - LCK Cup Group Stagebacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$139Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST+29.9%+$41.52
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Top Esports (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Invictus Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$409Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST+53.8%+$220.03
LoL: DRX vs DN Freecs (BO3) - LCK Cup Group Stagebacked DRX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$566Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$566.3
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Top Esports - Game 1 Winnerbacked Invictus Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$300
LoL: LNG Esports vs LGD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Nirvanabacked LGD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$100
LoL: Dplus KIA vs Nongshim Red Force - Game 1 Winnerbacked Dplus KIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST+26.6%+$26.58
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3)backed Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$205Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST+31.6%+$64.8
LoL: Nongshim Esports Academy vs HANJIN BRION Challengers (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Kickoff Group Stagebacked Nongshim Esports Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST+33.3%+$25
LoL: T1 Academy vs DN SOOPers Challengers - Game 2 Winnerbacked DN SOOPers Challengers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST+334.8%+$334.78
LoL: Top Esports vs Weibo Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked Weibo Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST+37%+$22.19
LoL: Top Esports vs Weibo Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST+44.9%+$15.53
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs JD Gaming (BO3)backed Anyone's Legend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$1,351Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$1,351.25
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 2 Winnerbacked Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$157Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$157.1
LoL: JD Gaming vs Invictus Gaming (BO3)backed JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$50
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Anyone's Legend (BO3)backed Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+96.1%+$48.04
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Anyone's Legend - Game 2 Winnerbacked Anyone's Legend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$15.5
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Anyone's Legend - Game 1 Winnerbacked Anyone's Legend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+35.3%+$17.66
All 19 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jan 23, 2026, EST1050%5 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick55cpaid+14.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Bulls vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$137Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST-100%-$137.21
Spurs vs. Rocketsbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$388Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$387.59
Pacers vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$380Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST+31.6%+$120
Hornets vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$135Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$135
Thunder vs. Heatbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$57.2
Wizards vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+138.1%+$23.35
Suns vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$57
Celtics vs. Hawksbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+63.9%+$31.97
Timberwolves vs. Rocketsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+112.8%+$53
Clippers vs. Raptorsbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$69Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+298.7%+$205.86
All 10 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Jan 19, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.37per pick64cpaid+57.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
NFL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Rams vs. Bearsbacked Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST+53.8%+$14
Texans vs. Patriotsbacked Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+61.3%+$15.2
All 2 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Jan 17, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-01-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+47.1%+$23.53
All 1 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jan 17, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: paiN vs Heroic (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifierbacked Heroic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+40.8%+$14.5
All 1 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Jan 21, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Wild vs. Canadiensbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$111Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST+31%+$34.35
All 1 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Jan 20, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs MOUZ - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$12.66
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.