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Lol · resolved market

LoL: T1 Academy vs DN SOOPers Challengers - Game 2 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
DN SOOPers Challengersof T1 Academy, DN SOOPers Challengers
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$97,815
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$109,806

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $97,815 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 116 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Lol
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xbff8…7073backed T1 Academy0c10,121$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.172240.9%9 W · 13 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-35.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1b5a…7070backed T1 Academy57c5,250$3,002 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,002.114562.1%90 W · 55 L-6.3wins-0.04per pick66cpaid-9.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xef26…05babacked DN SOOPers Challengers39c4,179$1,639 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,540.521,27137.6%478 W · 793 L+33.7wins+0.03per pick35cpaid-1.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x97f2…d84fbacked T1 Academy58c3,642$2,098 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,098.1113345.1%60 W · 73 L-4.5wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-13.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1461…30a1backed DN SOOPers Challengers34c3,623$1,248 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,375.1520438.2%78 W · 126 L-6.1wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-10.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9671…3a70backed T1 Academy1c3,333$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.332844.6%13 W · 271 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick3cpaid-16.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcae6…4f85backed T1 Academy67c3,207$2,141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,141.3267276.9%517 W · 155 L+87.3wins+0.13per pick64cpaid+30.2%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked T1 Academy63c3,126$1,975 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,975.392,40642.6%1,026 W · 1,380 L+21.5wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0fbc…62a3backed DN SOOPers Challengers50c2,596$1,302 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,294.4763161.2%386 W · 245 L+10.4wins+0.02per pick60cpaid-1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdccc…0e18backed T1 Academy54c2,014$1,086 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,085.75650%3 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaee7…1e5bbacked T1 Academy54c1,800$965 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96529536.9%109 W · 186 L-10.7wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-12.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7771…009fbacked DN SOOPers Challengers33c1,680$554 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,125.761,01048.1%486 W · 524 L+7.1wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x00df…0d23backed DN SOOPers Challengers44c1,575$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$875.499852%51 W · 47 L+3.6wins+0.04per pick48cpaid-2.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8c0b…7aa5backed DN SOOPers Challengers58c1,566$910 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$656.061,63840.2%659 W · 979 L+49.1wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-1.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x82bf…de71backed DN SOOPers Challengers59c1,447$855 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$592.1575342.5%320 W · 433 L-14.0wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-11.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x462d…ce9bbacked DN SOOPers Challengers53c1,325$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$624.558453.6%45 W · 39 L+3.1wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x762d…45a6backed DN SOOPers Challengers37c1,250$464 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$785.6618741.2%77 W · 110 L-7.4wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-13.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb813…f0efbacked DN SOOPers Challengers59c1,157$688 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$468.954332.6%14 W · 29 L-5.4wins-0.12per pick45cpaid-8.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xb7b3…9573backed DN SOOPers Challengers22c1,000$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7801,82039.2%714 W · 1,106 L-28.9wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-11.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa3d1…6f1abacked T1 Academy2c1,000$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20156.7%1 W · 14 L+0.7wins+0.05per pick2cpaid+233.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x32d5…59cebacked T1 Academy1c1,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10130%0 W · 13 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8069…42dfbacked T1 Academy1c1,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101711.8%2 W · 15 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick8cpaid-45.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked T1 Academy54c969.52$523 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$522.7485046%391 W · 459 L-11.0wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-13.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfbc2…514cbacked T1 Academy66c963.03$631 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63123441.5%97 W · 137 L+6.9wins+0.03per pick39cpaid+7.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8df0…96a6backed T1 Academy74c908.79$669 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$669.2810761.7%66 W · 41 L+8.9wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+11%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x3abf…b143backed T1 Academy67c722.8$483 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$482.8644843.8%196 W · 252 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-2.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc0d7…7790backed T1 Academy44c675.92$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3006656.1%37 W · 29 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7026…3f1bbacked T1 Academy57c642.32$368 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$368.25450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-12.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4108…9e22backed T1 Academy49c612.24$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30016034.4%55 W · 105 L-4.1wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-5.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfd14…2267backed DN SOOPers Challengers46c601$275 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$326.192,37032%758 W · 1,612 L+42.2wins+0.02per pick30cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed T1 Academy14c597.2$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.885032%16 W · 34 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-5.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf5d0…d9e8backed DN SOOPers Challengers38c552.85$210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$342.6985746.3%397 W · 460 L+17.4wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1f4f…46c2backed T1 Academy53c518.6$275 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$274.8740347.4%191 W · 212 L-5.0wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8307…ad90backed T1 Academy3c500$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16429.5%4 W · 38 L+1.9wins+0.05per pick5cpaid+64.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x56fc…affbbacked T1 Academy23c499.98$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11544751%228 W · 219 L+6.7wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe7d6…b6e8backed DN SOOPers Challengers23c434.78$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$334.781957.9%11 W · 8 L-1.1wins-0.06per pick64cpaid-2.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7b75…3fd1backed T1 Academy36c422.23$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150.4394134.5%325 W · 616 L+33.6wins+0.04per pick31cpaid-1.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x49fa…f904backed T1 Academy55c421.82$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$230.121127.3%3 W · 8 L-1.4wins-0.13per pick40cpaid-21.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb52d…d750backed T1 Academy50c403.83$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2002934.5%10 W · 19 L-1.6wins-0.06per pick40cpaid-15.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb580…9b95backed DN SOOPers Challengers11c400$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35813444.8%60 W · 74 L+12.8wins+0.10per pick35cpaid+29.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x682d…4cd6backed T1 Academy51c400$202 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20245618.9%86 W · 370 L-4.8wins-0.01per pick20cpaid-45.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2f4b…69debacked DN SOOPers Challengers76c378.28$286 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.281,05046.1%484 W · 566 L-43.5wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-8.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd9a5…c602backed DN SOOPers Challengers22c367.02$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$286.2729927.8%83 W · 216 L-0.2wins0.00per pick28cpaid-23%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc0f2…9019backed T1 Academy56c302.61$168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$168.08540%2 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.14per pick54cpaid-33.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb38c…b2c9backed T1 Academy76c289.99$222 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$221.5143148%207 W · 224 L+13.7wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+10.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa58f…fd67backed DN SOOPers Challengers35c285.37$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18526346.8%123 W · 140 L+9.7wins+0.04per pick43cpaid-9.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x75a4…3ff7backed DN SOOPers Challengers77c268.14$206 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.678269.5%57 W · 25 L+3.1wins+0.04per pick66cpaid+11.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x098c…1c67backed DN SOOPers Challengers49c261.45$128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.481,03547.2%489 W · 546 L+26.2wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+5.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb2ed…2a85backed T1 Academy61c199.99$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121.9986758.1%504 W · 363 L+16.8wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xec24…9544backed T1 Academy56c196.3$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.624440.9%18 W · 26 L-1.8wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-11.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa271…a781backed DN SOOPers Challengers62c192.23$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.237447.3%35 W · 39 L-8.7wins-0.12per pick59cpaid-5%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xe70c…c938backed T1 Academy75c170.88$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127.4747951.4%246 W · 233 L-4.9wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-7.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd198…8797backed DN SOOPers Challengers53c170.36$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.5918362.3%114 W · 69 L+12.4wins+0.07per pick56cpaid+3.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3f97…4059backed T1 Academy49c167.79$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.221,16249.2%572 W · 590 L-16.6wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+0.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xde5a…4db5backed T1 Academy52c154.29$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8024939%97 W · 152 L-10.3wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-6.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked DN SOOPers Challengers34c149$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.811,15842.6%493 W · 665 L-23.9wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-20.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6260…fed5backed DN SOOPers Challengers58c147.84$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.2516660.8%101 W · 65 L+10.4wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+0.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0ddd…5366backed DN SOOPers Challengers50c145.11$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.312060%72 W · 48 L-0.2wins0.00per pick60cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x14e4…3e2bbacked DN SOOPers Challengers66c130$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.75461.1%33 W · 21 L-3.2wins-0.06per pick67cpaid-8.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xdb3a…0338backed DN SOOPers Challengers54c128.37$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.324542.2%19 W · 26 L-2.9wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-7.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe70d…dd35backed T1 Academy80c126.13$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.912661.1%77 W · 49 L-5.1wins-0.04per pick65cpaid-5.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x04bd…39a0backed DN SOOPers Challengers40c125.18$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.351,22945.1%554 W · 675 L+48.5wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+5.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x469f…3d4fbacked T1 Academy80c125$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10019640.3%79 W · 117 L+0.8wins0.00per pick40cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d31…07b0backed DN SOOPers Challengers35c122.96$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.9619454.6%106 W · 88 L+0.9wins0.00per pick54cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdd4e…1483backed T1 Academy79c115.11$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.9430155.5%167 W · 134 L+10.4wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+7.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed T1 Academy27c111$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.2489810.7%96 W · 802 L+2.6wins0.00per pick10cpaid-36.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed T1 Academy50c110.47$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.233,58440.1%1,437 W · 2,147 L+31.1wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd43f…0bb0backed DN SOOPers Challengers56c110.03$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.411,13130.1%340 W · 791 L-26.9wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-10.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1dbf…6631backed T1 Academy52c106.15$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.845018%9 W · 41 L-8.6wins-0.17per pick35cpaid-62.6%equal weight37-0.11 edge/pick
0xfd96…e623backed T1 Academy52c103$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.5639851.8%206 W · 192 L+0.3wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x86b1…c094backed T1 Academy23c100$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$231,06328.4%302 W · 761 L+21.0wins+0.02per pick26cpaid-1.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7236…c20dbacked DN SOOPers Challengers20c100$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8029335.2%103 W · 190 L-5.3wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x40ef…10ebbacked DN SOOPers Challengers50c100$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$502065%13 W · 7 L+4.0wins+0.20per pick45cpaid+55.6%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xf2ae…0864backed T1 Academy65c100$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6574462.2%463 W · 281 L+6.8wins+0.01per pick61cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0563…8b03backed T1 Academy52c99.98$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.9968443.6%298 W · 386 L+16.7wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa9b1…242fbacked DN SOOPers Challengers21c98.89$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.0130255.6%168 W · 134 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5f55…6848backed T1 Academy54c93.12$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$506053.3%32 W · 28 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1208…0160backed T1 Academy37c90$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.721233%70 W · 142 L+5.6wins+0.03per pick30cpaid-5.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9318…a645backed DN SOOPers Challengers23c86.96$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.9620759.4%123 W · 84 L+0.1wins0.00per pick59cpaid+4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0cd9…2a08backed DN SOOPers Challengers35c85$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.1439239%153 W · 239 L+6.8wins+0.02per pick37cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x307d…9163backed T1 Academy74c77$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.321,18952%618 W · 571 L-13.8wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb3dd…d424backed DN SOOPers Challengers26c76.4$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.495225%13 W · 39 L-6.9wins-0.13per pick38cpaid-41.9%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xce16…d66fbacked T1 Academy35c75.06$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.5525639.5%101 W · 155 L+5.2wins+0.02per pick37cpaid-4.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x83d0…c927backed T1 Academy54c74.07$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4012054.2%65 W · 55 L-0.2wins0.00per pick54cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf09c…8535backed T1 Academy55c58.18$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$324946.9%23 W · 26 L-3.9wins-0.08per pick55cpaid-15.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x37f8…b5e5backed DN SOOPers Challengers36c57.57$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.5854944.4%244 W · 305 L+10.5wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-9.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5b29…6d5abacked T1 Academy44c56.25$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.7510%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb8aa…0ae3backed T1 Academy80c52.33$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.8744470%311 W · 133 L+6.6wins+0.01per pick69cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc29d…3352backed T1 Academy52c50$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2615354.2%83 W · 70 L-7.2wins-0.05per pick59cpaid-10.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb8b8…61dcbacked T1 Academy50c50$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2552151.8%270 W · 251 L-10.5wins-0.02per pick54cpaid+0.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2f1f…aa39backed DN SOOPers Challengers52c49.38$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.746153.6%247 W · 214 L-24.4wins-0.05per pick59cpaid-9.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb876…ae6ebacked DN SOOPers Challengers51c49.02$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.022548%12 W · 13 L-1.6wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-6.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x05d3…c06abacked T1 Academy54c48.87$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.3595551.7%494 W · 461 L-12.1wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7063…206abacked DN SOOPers Challengers47c42.77$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.771872.2%13 W · 5 L+2.6wins+0.14per pick58cpaid+27.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd0b0…ad2cbacked T1 Academy78c42.64$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.263743.2%16 W · 21 L-3.5wins-0.09per pick53cpaid-18.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x630b…34ffbacked T1 Academy56c41.05$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.9911056.4%62 W · 48 L+4.3wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xef4b…f8babacked T1 Academy45c40.55$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.171040%4 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick40cpaid+4.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfdc3…861abacked DN SOOPers Challengers45c40$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.17656.6%43 W · 33 L+0.2wins0.00per pick56cpaid-11.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8a4e…b38cbacked DN SOOPers Challengers40c40$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.25644.6%25 W · 31 L+2.2wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+11%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x43c8…0551backed DN SOOPers Challengers47c38$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.141241.7%5 W · 7 L+1.9wins+0.16per pick26cpaid+44.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.