NBA · resolved market
Wizards vs. Nuggets
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x861322f3ea9c1de34ba63ddcae8ff86b6ed26a0a75e786bb630eae098c1e5fe9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Nuggetsof Wizards, Nuggets
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,797,741
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,869,257
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,797,741 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 710 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xcd9b…414dbacked Wizards | 19c | 313,833$59,981 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59,981.48 | 518 | 44.4%230 W · 288 L | +11.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf51…4a30backed Wizards | 17c | 70,588$12,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,000 | 767 | 46.4%356 W · 411 L | -16.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8e6…d504backed Wizards | 20c | 68,883$13,777 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,776.68 | 210 | 57.1%120 W · 90 L | +20.3wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5d58…9a15backed Wizards | 27c | 51,485$13,653 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,652.95 | 93 | 36.6%34 W · 59 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee20…5b37backed Wizards | 5c | 48,208$2,408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,408 | 503 | 47.9%241 W · 262 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0aa3…64e9backed Nuggets | 80c | 43,138$34,510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,627.6 | 63 | 58.7%37 W · 26 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Nuggets | 60c | 40,092$23,910 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,182.06 | 1,003 | 34.7%348 W · 655 L | -44.7wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Nuggets | 56c | 34,970$19,626 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,343.73 | 830 | 39.4%327 W · 503 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6eb4…96b0backed Wizards | 43c | 31,437$13,631 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,631.46 | 32 | 62.5%20 W · 12 L | +5.2wins | +0.16per pick | 46cpaid | +40.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7517…0353backed Nuggets | 78c | 27,450$21,463 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,986.52 | 278 | 65.8%183 W · 95 L | +25.4wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xead0…f3babacked Wizards | 20c | 25,000$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 1,124 | 48.6%546 W · 578 L | +13.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99e4…e4c4backed Nuggets | 80c | 25,000$20,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,000 | 146 | 63.7%93 W · 53 L | +11.6wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Wizards | 42c | 24,655$10,405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,404.92 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x27cb…169ebacked Wizards | 16c | 23,515$3,762 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,762.37 | 274 | 24.5%67 W · 207 L | -10.0wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfbf3…b218backed Nuggets | 57c | 23,500$13,395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,105 | 292 | 45.5%133 W · 159 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f10…76b3backed Nuggets | 57c | 23,253$13,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,053.11 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | -1.8wins | -0.10per pick | 66cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd098…8c03backed Nuggets | 80c | 22,535$18,028 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,507.05 | 20 | 70%14 W · 6 L | +3.3wins | +0.16per pick | 54cpaid | +30.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1496…a429backed Nuggets | 79c | 21,312$16,942 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,370.55 | 109 | 49.5%54 W · 55 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b3…9573backed Nuggets | 73c | 20,994$15,283 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,710.3 | 736 | 49.9%367 W · 369 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe653…c4a7backed Wizards | 57c | 20,717$11,804 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,804.44 | 224 | 57.1%128 W · 96 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c03…0cc1backed Wizards | 1c | 20,000$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1,602 | 11.8%189 W · 1,413 L | -4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f05…8937backed Wizards | 16c | 19,093$3,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,079.8 | 470 | 28.1%132 W · 338 L | +27.2wins | +0.06per pick | 22cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc1e1…f855backed Wizards | 16c | 17,000$2,720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,719.99 | 287 | 42.9%123 W · 164 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56fc…733ebacked Wizards | 32c | 16,981$5,485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,485 | 98 | 57.1%56 W · 42 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40e2…b0a7backed Nuggets | 66c | 15,633$10,265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,368.14 | 28 | 64.3%18 W · 10 L | +3.3wins | +0.12per pick | 53cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5b31…11a8backed Wizards | 17c | 15,210$2,586 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,585.69 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf11…8399backed Wizards | 20c | 15,000$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 375 | 39.5%148 W · 227 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Nuggets | 70c | 14,819$10,341 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,477.5 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x68dd…f0b2backed Wizards | 21c | 14,271$2,997 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,996.98 | 513 | 50.1%257 W · 256 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Nuggets | 74c | 13,565$10,079 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,486.41 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x91fd…1cdebacked Wizards | 20c | 12,500$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 773 | 48.5%375 W · 398 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x309f…9282backed Wizards | 62c | 11,339$7,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,000 | 98 | 52%51 W · 47 L | -3.8wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Nuggets | 63c | 10,710$6,749 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,961.49 | 1,341 | 29.9%401 W · 940 L | -53.8wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x661d…4dc6backed Nuggets | 51c | 10,282$5,244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,037.74 | 894 | 44.4%397 W · 497 L | +8.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Wizards | 18c | 10,175$1,781 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,781.08 | 1,782 | 28%499 W · 1,283 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a79…a442backed Nuggets | 73c | 10,075$7,405 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,670 | 70 | 62.9%44 W · 26 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 66cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefc9…b337backed Nuggets | 80c | 10,000$8,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,000 | 40 | 37.5%15 W · 25 L | -4.5wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x832d…d420backed Wizards | 31c | 9,500$2,910 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,909.98 | 65 | 40%26 W · 39 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56be…57eebacked Nuggets | 61c | 8,877$5,413 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,463.74 | 211 | 43.1%91 W · 120 L | -6.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Nuggets | 71c | 8,181$5,784 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,397.91 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64b5…7543backed Wizards | 17c | 7,500$1,275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,274.98 | 352 | 35.8%126 W · 226 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ae8…c2a8backed Wizards | 31c | 7,424$2,301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,300.65 | 240 | 53.8%129 W · 111 L | +12.5wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed Nuggets | 58c | 7,400$4,292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,107.98 | 1,556 | 52.8%822 W · 734 L | +40.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x377c…91aebacked Wizards | 15c | 7,221$1,119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,118.75 | 475 | 35.8%170 W · 305 L | +41.1wins | +0.09per pick | 27cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4fb7…082dbacked Nuggets | 68c | 7,031$4,796 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,234.42 | 132 | 50%66 W · 66 L | +5.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Nuggets | 67c | 7,000$4,694 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,306.21 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3eeb…c387backed Nuggets | 80c | 6,888$5,510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,377.54 | 204 | 54.9%112 W · 92 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83c7…4078backed Wizards | 29c | 6,797$1,942 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,941.69 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -20%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23c8…f293backed Nuggets | 67c | 6,790$4,536 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,253.7 | 286 | 43%123 W · 163 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x09ad…819ebacked Nuggets | 54c | 6,081$3,279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,801.39 | 142 | 54.9%78 W · 64 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3457…0161backed Wizards | 16c | 6,078$965 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$965.12 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | -4.1wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -43.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Nuggets | 80c | 6,034$4,827 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,207.01 | 2,512 | 49.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x713d…53a9backed Wizards | 45c | 6,000$2,676 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,675.89 | 181 | 51.4%93 W · 88 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd161…4cc1backed Wizards | 14c | 5,805$798 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$798.38 | 784 | 45.8%359 W · 425 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12d9…01bbbacked Wizards | 18c | 5,556$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 466 | 32.6%152 W · 314 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4309…7456backed Wizards | 16c | 5,110$801 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$801.46 | 613 | 36.1%221 W · 392 L | -6.4wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe09…7acebacked Nuggets | 48c | 5,096$2,458 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,637.72 | 122 | 57.4%70 W · 52 L | +6.4wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3657…6cd3backed Nuggets | 79c | 5,020$3,966 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,054.2 | 92 | 56.5%52 W · 40 L | +5.4wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x817b…3c25backed Wizards | 13c | 5,000$650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$650 | 1,048 | 41.1%431 W · 617 L | +23.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Nuggets | 62c | 4,994$3,074 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,920.13 | 1,409 | 40.2%567 W · 842 L | -40.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Wizards | 32c | 4,961$1,596 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,595.55 | 1,190 | 32%381 W · 809 L | -58.1wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe3d4…2bacbacked Nuggets | 70c | 4,766$3,344 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,422.86 | 478 | 56.5%270 W · 208 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7616…69eebacked Nuggets | 72c | 4,699$3,368 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,330.78 | 112 | 51.8%58 W · 54 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdddc…ced2backed Wizards | 49c | 4,606$2,240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,240.4 | 125 | 41.6%52 W · 73 L | +6.3wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ada…2f28backed Wizards | 1c | 4,449$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.49 | 645 | 17.1%110 W · 535 L | -11.9wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Nuggets | 66c | 4,313$2,845 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,467.78 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked Wizards | 17c | 4,000$680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$680 | 795 | 49.7%395 W · 400 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x64e9…eb4cbacked Wizards | 20c | 3,905$781 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$780.98 | 352 | 51.1%180 W · 172 L | +8.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a09…db1cbacked Nuggets | 80c | 3,800$3,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$760 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | -3.6wins | -0.11per pick | 64cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Nuggets | 54c | 3,727$2,024 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,702.9 | 2,630 | 36.7%966 W · 1,664 L | -119.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Wizards | 37c | 3,688$1,367 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,367.18 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd3a…67cabacked Wizards | 35c | 3,651$1,268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,268 | 508 | 38.2%194 W · 314 L | +22.3wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xface…2115backed Wizards | 17c | 3,300$561 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$560.97 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -1.5wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -12%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x38fa…87b5backed Wizards | 58c | 3,266$1,907 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,907.21 | 336 | 32.4%109 W · 227 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38c2…d3a7backed Nuggets | 64c | 3,136$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,135.68 | 224 | 58.9%132 W · 92 L | +10.0wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x50bd…962abacked Nuggets | 67c | 3,130$2,102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,027.73 | 58 | 41.4%24 W · 34 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb85…8464backed Nuggets | 69c | 3,043$2,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$943.48 | 400 | 41.5%166 W · 234 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38fe…e150backed Nuggets | 58c | 3,000$1,752 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,247.95 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed2c…9597backed Nuggets | 69c | 3,000$2,070 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$930 | 379 | 44.3%168 W · 211 L | -10.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbbda…6e2cbacked Nuggets | 80c | 2,875$2,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$575 | 128 | 55.5%71 W · 57 L | +11.1wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +31.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2a59…9a2fbacked Nuggets | 79c | 2,803$2,214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$588.53 | 168 | 63.1%106 W · 62 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d36…68fdbacked Nuggets | 53c | 2,650$1,404 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,246.31 | 127 | 40.9%52 W · 75 L | -15.3wins | -0.12per pick | 53cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd6…8577backed Nuggets | 51c | 2,561$1,296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,264.97 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +3.0wins | +0.13per pick | 43cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd3d3…bb8ebacked Nuggets | 80c | 2,499$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$499.89 | 626 | 52.2%327 W · 299 L | -6.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8511…4a6bbacked Nuggets | 80c | 2,423$1,938 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$484.6 | 303 | 51.8%157 W · 146 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab85…81e6backed Nuggets | 80c | 2,363$1,886 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$477.51 | 148 | 55.4%82 W · 66 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe3ff…805cbacked Wizards | 17c | 2,353$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 428 | 27.3%117 W · 311 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed Wizards | 20c | 2,349$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$479.84 | 258 | 40.7%105 W · 153 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb726…4d2bbacked Nuggets | 39c | 2,310$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,410.12 | 69 | 43.5%30 W · 39 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf312…eee8backed Wizards | 44c | 2,250$990 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$990 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66c9…2e68backed Wizards | 56c | 2,249$1,262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,261.71 | 67 | 58.2%39 W · 28 L | -4.6wins | -0.07per pick | 65cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5ebf…e50fbacked Wizards | 48c | 2,243$1,071 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,070.85 | 651 | 44.5%290 W · 361 L | +36.3wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Nuggets | 68c | 2,226$1,515 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$711.16 | 2,468 | 50.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L | +38.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…f81dbacked Nuggets | 51c | 2,167$1,099 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,068.46 | 334 | 28.1%94 W · 240 L | -20.3wins | -0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -44.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x490e…73adbacked Nuggets | 58c | 2,084$1,209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$875.24 | 94 | 24.5%23 W · 71 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -39%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Wizards | 1c | 2,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1,277 | 2.3%29 W · 1,248 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -84%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5351…9b3cbacked Nuggets | 80c | 2,000$1,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400 | 203 | 55.2%112 W · 91 L | +7.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57ba…d369backed Wizards | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 50 | 72%36 W · 14 L | +8.1wins | +0.16per pick | 56cpaid | +30.8%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc1…ec92backed Wizards | 20c | 2,000$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 753 | 47.5%358 W · 395 L | +10.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x716d…4206backed Nuggets | 51c | 1,961$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$961.27 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -4.4wins | -0.24per pick | 52cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Wizards vs. Nuggetsthis page
- Spread: Nuggets (-10.5)Wizards won
- Spread: Nuggets (-11.5)Wizards won
- Spread: Nuggets (-12.5)Wizards won
- Spread: Nuggets (-13.5)Wizards won
- Spread: Nuggets (-7.5)Wizards won
- Spread: Nuggets (-8.5)Wizards won
- Wizards vs. Nuggets: 1H MoneylineWizards won
- Wizards vs. Nuggets: O/U 226.5Over won
- Wizards vs. Nuggets: O/U 227.5Over won
- Wizards vs. Nuggets: O/U 228.5Over won
- Wizards vs. Nuggets: O/U 229.5Over won
- Wizards vs. Nuggets: O/U 230.5Over won
- Wizards vs. Nuggets: O/U 231.5Over won
- Wizards vs. Nuggets: O/U 232.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.