NBA · resolved market

Celtics vs. Hawks

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xadca52c2d196f1cd7255e45e80aace8a49debdc04a3d2fd102e03d2542d5e7b0

Rebuilt 9 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Celticsof Celtics, Hawks
Resolved: Jan 17, 2026, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $869,003
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $954,632

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $869,003 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 729 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in NBA
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xb8e6…d504backed Celtics	60c	116,666$70,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$46,666.4	210	57.1%120 W · 90 L	+20.3wins	+0.10per pick	47cpaid	+19.4%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0xc3c3…eec8backed Hawks	20c	90,000$18,300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18,300	382	48.7%186 W · 196 L	+13.9wins	+0.04per pick	45cpaid	+0.2%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x84db…aeebbacked Hawks	40c	68,206$27,282 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27,282.5	1,374	50.1%689 W · 685 L	+34.9wins	+0.03per pick	48cpaid	+7.3%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc660…bd28backed Hawks	40c	54,859$21,944 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21,943.71	593	47%279 W · 314 L	-7.3wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-4.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcd9b…414dbacked Celtics	60c	25,000$15,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10,000	518	44.4%230 W · 288 L	+11.0wins	+0.02per pick	42cpaid	+8.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x832d…d420backed Celtics	63c	21,000$13,160 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7,840	65	40%26 W · 39 L	-1.5wins	-0.02per pick	42cpaid	-17.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xab5c…3fbdbacked Hawks	2c	18,778$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300.44	7	28.6%2 W · 5 L	-0.4wins	-0.06per pick	35cpaid	-47.3%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Hawks	40c	17,686$7,074 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$7,074.39	1,908	54.5%1,040 W · 868 L	+53.7wins	+0.03per pick	52cpaid	+5.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xead0…f3babacked Celtics	60c	17,500$10,498 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7,001.83	1,124	48.6%546 W · 578 L	+13.9wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	+3.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x91fd…1cdebacked Celtics	59c	16,926$10,003 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6,922.25	773	48.5%375 W · 398 L	+7.7wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x817b…3c25backed Hawks	41c	15,000$6,150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$6,150	1,048	41.1%431 W · 617 L	+23.6wins	+0.02per pick	39cpaid	+1.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe9cb…d096backed Hawks	28c	14,148$4,011 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,010.54	1,003	34.7%348 W · 655 L	-44.7wins	-0.04per pick	39cpaid	-35.1%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3eee…e8b6backed Hawks	40c	13,191$5,324 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,323.7	346	54%187 W · 159 L	+13.4wins	+0.04per pick	50cpaid	+7.8%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbce9…03e9backed Hawks	0c	12,657$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.16	882	0%0 W · 882 L	-6.7wins	-0.01per pick	1cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1461…30a1backed Celtics	59c	12,112$7,146 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,965.81	255	46.7%119 W · 136 L	-7.2wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Hawks	40c	11,294$4,544 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,544.07	2,045	48.4%990 W · 1,055 L	-30.3wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-3.4%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x880a…e678backed Celtics	60c	11,000$6,600 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,400	29	55.2%16 W · 13 L	+1.0wins	+0.03per pick	52cpaid	+15.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc8b4…f05dbacked Celtics	59c	10,136$5,980 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,155.66	668	53.4%357 W · 311 L	+22.5wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+7.3%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5798…ab44backed Celtics	60c	10,000$6,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,000	157	40.8%64 W · 93 L	-2.1wins	-0.01per pick	42cpaid	-4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xefc9…b337backed Hawks	40c	10,000$4,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,000	40	37.5%15 W · 25 L	-4.5wins	-0.11per pick	49cpaid	-21.2%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x73ee…f5c6backed Celtics	60c	9,474$5,685 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,789.71	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	+0.7wins	+0.22per pick	45cpaid	+4.1%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Hawks	40c	9,344$3,738 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,737.69	4,325	47%2,031 W · 2,294 L	-69.5wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Hawks	40c	9,197$3,655 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,654.66	9,722	49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L	-2.8wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x64b5…7543backed Hawks	40c	9,000$3,600 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,599.94	352	35.8%126 W · 226 L	+5.1wins	+0.01per pick	34cpaid	+10.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Celtics	60c	8,858$5,313 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,544.4	2,091	47.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L	-56.6wins	-0.03per pick	51cpaid	-4.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x40e2…b0a7backed Celtics	74c	8,424$6,222 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,201.61	28	64.3%18 W · 10 L	+3.3wins	+0.12per pick	53cpaid	+18.2%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xbdac…f7e2backed Celtics	60c	8,334$5,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,333.55	191	36.1%69 W · 122 L	-15.3wins	-0.08per pick	44cpaid	-22.9%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x12fd…90c0backed Hawks	40c	8,221$3,289 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,288.54	284	39.8%113 W · 171 L	+0.4wins	0.00per pick	40cpaid	+4.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7517…0353backed Celtics	66c	8,176$5,368 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,808.02	278	65.8%183 W · 95 L	+25.4wins	+0.09per pick	57cpaid	+10.2%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x2c28…7ba5backed Celtics	59c	7,101$4,190 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,911.37	131	48.9%64 W · 67 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	+15.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0f8b…77d4backed Hawks	40c	7,100$2,840 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,839.94	112	44.6%50 W · 62 L	-4.1wins	-0.04per pick	48cpaid	-6.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcacf…35ffbacked Hawks	0c	7,000$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14	721	1%7 W · 714 L	-2.6wins	0.00per pick	1cpaid	-32.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Hawks	3c	6,926$182 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$182.03	1,341	29.9%401 W · 940 L	-53.8wins	-0.04per pick	34cpaid	-35.7%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6e82…752cbacked Hawks	41c	6,777$2,777 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,777.01	1,204	55.3%666 W · 538 L	+52.0wins	+0.04per pick	51cpaid	+12.1%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7777…1d3dbacked Hawks	40c	6,500$2,600 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,599.94	11	63.6%7 W · 4 L	+1.6wins	+0.15per pick	49cpaid	+62%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7760…21f0backed Celtics	60c	6,258$3,755 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,503.2	461	45.6%210 W · 251 L	-6.7wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-3.4%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xbd09…a188backed Celtics	60c	6,000$3,600 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,400	320	39.4%126 W · 194 L	-1.3wins	0.00per pick	40cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0a77…9d74backed Hawks	40c	5,000$2,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,000	1,139	48.3%550 W · 589 L	+3.5wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8b9a…5f69backed Hawks	0c	5,000$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	521	3.8%20 W · 501 L	+0.6wins	0.00per pick	4cpaid	-36.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x17e5…f205backed Hawks	1c	5,000$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32	420	0.7%3 W · 417 L	-4.1wins	-0.01per pick	2cpaid	-52%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xba41…5f4fbacked Hawks	40c	5,000$2,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,999.97	314	45.2%142 W · 172 L	-3.6wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-0.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3c15…35aebacked Hawks	40c	5,000$2,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,999.97	102	36.3%37 W · 65 L	-8.6wins	-0.08per pick	45cpaid	-25%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Hawks	41c	4,850$1,989 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,988.5	1,782	28%499 W · 1,283 L	+11.5wins	+0.01per pick	27cpaid	-1.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc1e1…f855backed Celtics	59c	4,650$2,767 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,883.5	287	42.9%123 W · 164 L	-6.0wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-6.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5bda…0b2ebacked Hawks	40c	4,200$1,680 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,680	16	37.5%6 W · 10 L	-0.7wins	-0.04per pick	42cpaid	+63.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Celtics	76c	4,197$3,202 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$994.45	5,053	50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L	+110.9wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+2.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Hawks	39c	3,908$1,538 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,537.9	3,591	50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L	+21.6wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7412…85d0backed Celtics	60c	3,898$2,339 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,559.12	265	44.9%119 W · 146 L	-8.7wins	-0.03per pick	48cpaid	-4.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8d26…1c15backed Celtics	60c	3,831$2,298 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,532.2	224	59.4%133 W · 91 L	-0.6wins	0.00per pick	60cpaid	-0.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb3d6…8ad8backed Hawks	41c	3,710$1,510 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,510.47	4	50%2 W · 2 L	+0.1wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	-16.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf7d0…1606backed Hawks	41c	3,669$1,504 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,504.49	4	50%2 W · 2 L	+0.1wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+5.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x699f…d5c6backed Celtics	60c	3,522$2,113 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,408.91	369	50.1%185 W · 184 L	-4.2wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-6.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xabf5…cfebbacked Hawks	41c	3,500$1,435 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,434.99	480	54.2%260 W · 220 L	+14.0wins	+0.03per pick	51cpaid	+5.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Celtics	74c	3,405$2,526 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$878.81	3,995	48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L	+101.9wins	+0.03per pick	46cpaid	-1.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc8ec…e8f1backed Hawks	39c	3,171$1,236 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,236.5	248	31.9%79 W · 169 L	+7.3wins	+0.03per pick	29cpaid	+5.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb7c2…9ab4backed Hawks	9c	3,150$289 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$288.79	10	30%3 W · 7 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	30cpaid	-19.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xed2c…9597backed Hawks	40c	3,000$1,200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,200	379	44.3%168 W · 211 L	-10.9wins	-0.03per pick	47cpaid	-8.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9e2f…ec47backed Hawks	40c	3,000$1,200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,199.97	747	48.5%362 W · 385 L	+8.6wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	+2.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x86c8…c867backed Hawks	30c	2,690$816 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$816.17	46	39.1%18 W · 28 L	+1.2wins	+0.03per pick	37cpaid	+37%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Hawks	39c	2,652$1,034 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,034.2	1,316	50.5%664 W · 652 L	+42.4wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	-0.7%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2664…c288backed Celtics	59c	2,600$1,534 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,066	2	100%2 W · 0 L	+0.7wins	+0.36per pick	65cpaid	+56.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7791…af80backed Hawks	40c	2,543$1,017 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,017.32	74	41.9%31 W · 43 L	-3.0wins	-0.04per pick	46cpaid	-8.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb9fc…da76backed Celtics	60c	2,500$1,500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,000	851	47.5%404 W · 447 L	-7.6wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-3.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x03d9…e693backed Hawks	1c	2,500$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.7	169	0%0 W · 169 L	-2.9wins	-0.02per pick	2cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5989…8b1bbacked Celtics	59c	2,500$1,475 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,025	2	100%2 W · 0 L	+0.9wins	+0.43per pick	57cpaid	+75.7%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xcb43…3c74backed Hawks	43c	2,500$1,075 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,074.99	477	48.8%233 W · 244 L	+1.8wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-1.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe4fc…8af7backed Hawks	40c	2,500$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$999.98	866	41.5%359 W · 507 L	-2.2wins	0.00per pick	42cpaid	-1.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xfdec…a3a7backed Celtics	61c	2,459$1,500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$959.34	40	65%26 W · 14 L	+0.7wins	+0.02per pick	63cpaid	+4.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x12d9…01bbbacked Hawks	41c	2,439$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,000.09	466	32.6%152 W · 314 L	+8.3wins	+0.02per pick	31cpaid	+9.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbf51…4a30backed Hawks	41c	2,439$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,000	767	46.4%356 W · 411 L	-16.7wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-3.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3c7e…a65fbacked Hawks	41c	2,400$972 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$972	807	37.7%304 W · 503 L	-33.9wins	-0.04per pick	42cpaid	-16.1%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x92d1…8a29backed Hawks	30c	2,348$700 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$700	63	44.4%28 W · 35 L	+0.5wins	+0.01per pick	44cpaid	-0.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x62fb…4d60backed Hawks	38c	2,313$876 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$875.78	355	47.3%168 W · 187 L	+6.1wins	+0.02per pick	46cpaid	+4.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc265…634dbacked Celtics	59c	2,300$1,357 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$943	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.4wins	-0.13per pick	47cpaid	-43.5%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x37e2…4b92backed Hawks	40c	2,292$917 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$916.88	140	42.9%60 W · 80 L	+1.1wins	+0.01per pick	42cpaid	+5.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf60a…5747backed Hawks	3c	2,244$69 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$69	34	29.4%10 W · 24 L	+1.0wins	+0.03per pick	26cpaid	+14.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x977a…f2cabacked Hawks	1c	2,000$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	1,277	2.3%29 W · 1,248 L	-11.7wins	-0.01per pick	3cpaid	-84%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4137…586cbacked Celtics	60c	2,000$1,200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$800	470	43.8%206 W · 264 L	-22.2wins	-0.05per pick	49cpaid	-12.5%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xac0a…f89ebacked Hawks	41c	2,000$820 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$820	382	51%195 W · 187 L	+8.1wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+1.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x42f7…5b3ebacked Celtics	60c	2,000$1,200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$800	90	38.9%35 W · 55 L	-5.2wins	-0.06per pick	45cpaid	-8.9%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5582…6af1backed Celtics	60c	2,000$1,200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$800	14	64.3%9 W · 5 L	+1.5wins	+0.10per pick	54cpaid	+53.7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x29d8…9291backed Hawks	41c	2,000$820 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$820	14	35.7%5 W · 9 L	-0.7wins	-0.05per pick	41cpaid	-3.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4534…f867backed Hawks	2c	1,999$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.99	136	25.7%35 W · 101 L	+0.5wins	0.00per pick	25cpaid	-2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed Celtics	60c	1,992$1,195 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$796.8	1,163	52.8%614 W · 549 L	+22.4wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Hawks	12c	1,985$238 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$238.22	3,342	43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L	+81.2wins	+0.02per pick	41cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x13e2…8834backed Hawks	6c	1,975$120 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$120	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.2wins	-0.07per pick	40cpaid	-42.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfdf3…8c56backed Hawks	41c	1,920$787 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$787.23	100	40%40 W · 60 L	+1.4wins	+0.01per pick	39cpaid	+17.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Hawks	23c	1,814$419 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$418.83	1,190	32%381 W · 809 L	-58.1wins	-0.05per pick	37cpaid	-34.4%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x698b…4426backed Hawks	41c	1,800$738 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$738	220	55%121 W · 99 L	+12.2wins	+0.06per pick	49cpaid	+10.6%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9333…3fa5backed Celtics	60c	1,735$1,041 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$693.97	18	55.6%10 W · 8 L	+1.3wins	+0.07per pick	48cpaid	+9.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x893c…1c47backed Celtics	60c	1,700$1,020 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$680	14	57.1%8 W · 6 L	+1.0wins	+0.07per pick	50cpaid	+17.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf6d0…9391backed Celtics	60c	1,689$1,013 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$675.6	272	47.1%128 W · 144 L	-4.5wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-7.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x792b…146abacked Celtics	60c	1,667$1,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$666.67	233	43.3%101 W · 132 L	+4.1wins	+0.02per pick	42cpaid	+10.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc2e6…cc3abacked Celtics	75c	1,645$1,234 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$411.22	23	65.2%15 W · 8 L	+1.9wins	+0.08per pick	57cpaid	+31.4%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked Hawks	2c	1,638$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32.76	815	29.4%240 W · 575 L	-37.0wins	-0.05per pick	34cpaid	-43%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4f85…bd8cbacked Celtics	59c	1,500$885 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$615	129	57.4%74 W · 55 L	+9.4wins	+0.07per pick	50cpaid	+10%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x52ec…a6f3backed Celtics	60c	1,500$900 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$600	430	51.4%221 W · 209 L	+2.5wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	-2.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3383…c5c0backed Hawks	40c	1,500$600 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$600	78	37.2%29 W · 49 L	-6.7wins	-0.09per pick	46cpaid	-12%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe524…d34fbacked Hawks	40c	1,474$590 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$589.73	109	30.3%33 W · 76 L	-2.0wins	-0.02per pick	32cpaid	-5.2%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xed94…fd08backed Celtics	59c	1,445$853 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$592.45	15	86.7%13 W · 2 L	+3.6wins	+0.24per pick	63cpaid	+32.1%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Celtics vs. Hawks

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event