NBA · resolved market
Spread: Celtics (-3.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbfd23417b85635a6c3fabc5a232de462bb7376f17382f4795fae725946d6a0c5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Celticsof Celtics, Hawks
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $93,722
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $94,834
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $93,722 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 123 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xefc9…b337backed Celtics | 50c | 10,000$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,000 | 40 | 37.5%15 W · 25 L | -4.5wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x011c…31dfbacked Hawks | 50c | 8,000$4,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,000 | 334 | 47.9%160 W · 174 L | -6.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdc…2454backed Hawks | 51c | 6,678$3,406 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,405.78 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +3.4wins | +0.15per pick | 51cpaid | +31.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf4cb…4d21backed Celtics | 49c | 4,889$2,396 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,493.38 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +3.4wins | +0.15per pick | 50cpaid | +30.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff2…3f63backed Celtics | 49c | 4,447$2,179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,267.97 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc617…a854backed Hawks | 50c | 4,329$2,165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,164.72 | 426 | 48.1%205 W · 221 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a6e…c126backed Celtics | 49c | 3,568$1,748 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,819.68 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3404…9a3ebacked Celtics | 49c | 3,356$1,644 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,711.56 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a00…9e8bbacked Hawks | 51c | 3,183$1,623 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,623.33 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.27per pick | 52cpaid | -51%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Celtics | 56c | 3,056$1,709 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,346.45 | 2,091 | 47.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L | -56.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4abb…859dbacked Hawks | 51c | 3,037$1,549 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,548.87 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x82ce…5de3backed Celtics | 49c | 3,024$1,482 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,542.24 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc38…67d0backed Hawks | 51c | 3,006$1,533 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,533.06 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Celtics | 52c | 3,000$1,560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,440 | 461 | 45.6%210 W · 251 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41b7…f6babacked Celtics | 51c | 3,000$1,530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,470 | 801 | 46.4%372 W · 429 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x92d1…8a29backed Hawks | 50c | 3,000$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 63 | 44.4%28 W · 35 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17fe…7bf3backed Celtics | 49c | 2,975$1,458 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,517.25 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +40.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x930e…4f36backed Hawks | 51c | 2,882$1,470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,469.82 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd8f7…3099backed Hawks | 51c | 2,836$1,446 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,446.36 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4368…130abacked Celtics | 49c | 2,584$1,266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,317.84 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +42.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d52…1df7backed Hawks | 51c | 2,584$1,318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,317.84 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff39…d4e0backed Hawks | 51c | 2,567$1,309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,309.17 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbad1…d17abacked Celtics | 49c | 2,563$1,256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,307.13 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x516a…fbabbacked Celtics | 49c | 2,554$1,251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,302.54 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6fcf…5497backed Celtics | 49c | 2,547$1,248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,298.97 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadcb…d686backed Celtics | 49c | 2,537$1,243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,293.87 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.28per pick | 48cpaid | +56.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea30…20b2backed Hawks | 51c | 2,537$1,294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,293.87 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.27per pick | 52cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd23b…af3bbacked Hawks | 51c | 2,534$1,292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,292.34 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd44f…18dfbacked Celtics | 49c | 2,526$1,238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,288.26 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +40.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Hawks | 49c | 2,387$1,167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,166.57 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8cf…4939backed Hawks | 51c | 2,335$1,191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,190.85 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e8…7525backed Hawks | 51c | 2,305$1,176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,175.55 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9778…3ca7backed Hawks | 51c | 2,289$1,167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,167.43 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 51cpaid | +49.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Celtics | 49c | 2,235$1,101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,133.22 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x936f…d171backed Hawks | 51c | 2,183$1,104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,104 | 117 | 53%62 W · 55 L | +6.4wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6e43…b92cbacked Hawks | 51c | 2,075$1,058 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,058.25 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf70d…ef69backed Celtics | 50c | 2,044$1,022 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,021.8 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb97…a686backed Hawks | 50c | 2,044$1,022 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,021.8 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -2.8wins | -0.18per pick | 49cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Hawks | 51c | 2,036$1,039 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,038.76 | 1,910 | 54.3%1,038 W · 872 L | +25.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa788…9d0ebacked Hawks | 50c | 1,974$987 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$987 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54dd…e5c0backed Hawks | 50c | 1,964$982 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$982 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.31per pick | 49cpaid | +65.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb56…cbabbacked Celtics | 50c | 1,963$982 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$981.5 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb687…54ebbacked Celtics | 50c | 1,941$971 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$970.5 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.31per pick | 51cpaid | -60%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6e08…616fbacked Celtics | 50c | 1,864$932 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$932 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.31per pick | 51cpaid | -60%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7590…eefebacked Celtics | 50c | 1,853$927 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$926.5 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.30per pick | 50cpaid | -60%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaef7…46c1backed Hawks | 50c | 1,849$925 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$924.5 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.32per pick | 48cpaid | +67.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x975d…c824backed Celtics | 49c | 1,848$906 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$942.48 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x15ef…0becbacked Hawks | 50c | 1,834$917 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$917 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf2c7…2e93backed Hawks | 52c | 1,538$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 211 | 52.6%111 W · 100 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Celtics | 51c | 1,476$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$726.43 | 653 | 39.5%258 W · 395 L | -24.6wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a91…1769backed Hawks | 50c | 1,285$643 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$642.5 | 321 | 50.8%163 W · 158 L | +5.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1bde…ca3abacked Celtics | 49c | 1,276$625 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$650.59 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +3.1wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6e82…752cbacked Celtics | 49c | 1,243$609 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$633.9 | 1,204 | 55.3%666 W · 538 L | +52.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…bfc2backed Hawks | 50c | 1,200$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 2,435 | 49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L | +30.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd93b…cd48backed Hawks | 50c | 1,173$585 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$584.72 | 179 | 53.1%95 W · 84 L | +7.9wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf971…0a57backed Celtics | 50c | 821.11$411 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$410.56 | 184 | 38.6%71 W · 113 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Celtics | 50c | 754$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$373.57 | 1,163 | 52.8%614 W · 549 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4440…f8fdbacked Hawks | 50c | 700$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 99 | 52.5%52 W · 47 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Hawks | 50c | 638.56$316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$316.44 | 2,796 | 50.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L | +27.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Hawks | 15c | 597.69$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.37 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d0f…f3e6backed Hawks | 51c | 588.24$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 66 | 59.1%39 W · 27 L | +7.2wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xee9f…b134backed Celtics | 49c | 513.23$251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$261.75 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -3.8wins | -0.19per pick | 49cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xce40…a405backed Celtics | 50c | 450$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225 | 39 | 61.5%24 W · 15 L | +3.7wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd098…8c03backed Hawks | 50c | 412$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206 | 20 | 70%14 W · 6 L | +3.3wins | +0.16per pick | 54cpaid | +30.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0969…b289backed Hawks | 6c | 409.55$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.36 | 222 | 47.3%105 W · 117 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe81…d081backed Celtics | 50c | 400$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 33 | 33.3%11 W · 22 L | -3.1wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Hawks | 49c | 381.43$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.9 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa61f…7993backed Hawks | 49c | 309.98$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.89 | 617 | 47.8%295 W · 322 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x682f…3265backed Celtics | 50c | 250$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125 | 1,389 | 54.9%762 W · 627 L | +16.7wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1db3…ada1backed Hawks | 49c | 241.99$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.09 | 689 | 40.2%277 W · 412 L | -54.9wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2bcc…4324backed Hawks | 49c | 200$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 528 | 44.7%236 W · 292 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4c9…617dbacked Hawks | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 113 | 51.3%58 W · 55 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b46…121dbacked Celtics | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.08 | 315 | 51.7%163 W · 152 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf10b…2041backed Hawks | 52c | 154.63$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 195 | 48.7%95 W · 100 L | -6.9wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Hawks | 49c | 117.65$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.65 | 1,139 | 48.3%550 W · 589 L | +3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6683…c3d6backed Celtics | 51c | 117.65$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.65 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.5wins | +0.28per pick | 50cpaid | +67.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1b9b…bc4abacked Celtics | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 378 | 50.3%190 W · 188 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc391…6cc8backed Celtics | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7802…d5b4backed Celtics | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 107 | 58.9%63 W · 44 L | +7.6wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Hawks | 51c | 99.99$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.96 | 786 | 52.4%412 W · 374 L | +14.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85c2…9730backed Hawks | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 685 | 42.6%292 W · 393 L | -6.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x92cf…8b35backed Celtics | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.04 | 1,110 | 52%577 W · 533 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47a6…69e0backed Hawks | 50c | 94$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 387 | 50.4%195 W · 192 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0c7…5861backed Celtics | 52c | 77.23$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.23 | 516 | 51.2%264 W · 252 L | -6.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Celtics | 52c | 66.15$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.75 | 2,602 | 50.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L | -20.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x497a…650fbacked Celtics | 49c | 61.08$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.15 | 64 | 43.8%28 W · 36 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60c2…8052backed Hawks | 52c | 60$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.2 | 153 | 47.1%72 W · 81 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc57a…fe9fbacked Celtics | 51c | 58.39$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.39 | 132 | 50%66 W · 66 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3854…586abacked Celtics | 74c | 56.55$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.97 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9318…22b8backed Celtics | 51c | 52.08$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.52 | 195 | 43.1%84 W · 111 L | -12.2wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ba…c5d8backed Hawks | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 712 | 45.8%326 W · 386 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9713…8219backed Hawks | 51c | 50$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.5 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -3.1wins | -0.16per pick | 51cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4dcd…43aabacked Celtics | 51c | 50$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.5 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | -4.1wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3eee…e8b6backed Celtics | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 346 | 54%187 W · 159 L | +13.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe881…1e75backed Hawks | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 37 | 51.4%19 W · 18 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac98…7281backed Celtics | 52c | 48.08$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.08 | 421 | 43.7%184 W · 237 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf6e…4948backed Hawks | 50c | 44$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.11per pick | 48cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa08a…ad51backed Celtics | 52c | 40.67$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.52 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8cbb…acb2backed Hawks | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.91 | 890 | 50.4%449 W · 441 L | +4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e46…957abacked Hawks | 51c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.4 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -3.6wins | -0.18per pick | 48cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Celtics (-3.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Celtics (-1.5)Celtics won
- Celtics vs. HawksCeltics won
- Celtics vs. Hawks: O/U 226.5Over won
- Celtics vs. Hawks: O/U 228.5Over won
- Celtics vs. Hawks: O/U 229.5Over won
- Celtics vs. Hawks: O/U 230.5Over won
- Celtics vs. Hawks: O/U 231.5Over won
- Spread: Celtics (-4.5)Celtics won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.