Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs MOUZ - Game 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x105eef6560a9753e60e5a0ed2bf7f230953bd7da729d105a345a2e458910f419
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- MOUZof Team Liquid, MOUZ
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $28,006
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $33,788
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $28,006 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 51 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa0f9…cf34backed MOUZ | 80c | 7,282$5,791 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,491.02 | 186 | 61.8%115 W · 71 L | -6.9wins | -0.04per pick | 66cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9671…3a70backed Team Liquid | 1c | 5,555$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.77 | 16 | 0%0 W · 16 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97f2…d84fbacked Team Liquid | 26c | 2,476$654 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$654 | 77 | 46.8%36 W · 41 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4422…96f4backed Team Liquid | 21c | 1,800$373 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$372.89 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6fd3…3d7abacked Team Liquid | 41c | 1,600$658 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$657.83 | 290 | 47.9%139 W · 151 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Team Liquid | 19c | 1,369$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266.48 | 2,012 | 44.2%889 W · 1,123 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdcfe…44b5backed Team Liquid | 28c | 1,034$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294.22 | 328 | 54.9%180 W · 148 L | +11.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1457…8896backed Team Liquid | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…dc80backed MOUZ | 72c | 789.58$568 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.08 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2d0…6078backed MOUZ | 56c | 500$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8cfc…4f30backed MOUZ | 50c | 498.51$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.25 | 377 | 45.4%171 W · 206 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7026…3f1bbacked Team Liquid | 44c | 468.35$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.45 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xccf5…42f2backed Team Liquid | 50c | 421.42$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.57 | 573 | 55.5%318 W · 255 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8df0…96a6backed Team Liquid | 22c | 404.67$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.25 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fb…95fbbacked MOUZ | 55c | 325.88$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.16 | 88 | 54.5%48 W · 40 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74ef…1ac6backed MOUZ | 58c | 310$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.45 | 476 | 60.7%289 W · 187 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6484…5dc7backed Team Liquid | 38c | 263.16$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc954…642fbacked Team Liquid | 46c | 258.53$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.92 | 161 | 55.3%89 W · 72 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02d7…0c39backed Team Liquid | 33c | 250.26$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.08 | 205 | 30.7%63 W · 142 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4946…e041backed MOUZ | 60c | 241.67$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.67 | 551 | 61.7%340 W · 211 L | +4.5wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ab…f5c1backed MOUZ | 60c | 166.67$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.67 | 131 | 57.3%75 W · 56 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x81a4…da1fbacked MOUZ | 54c | 166.67$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.67 | 58 | 37.9%22 W · 36 L | -5.8wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x40ef…10ebbacked Team Liquid | 19c | 137.37$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x824d…1271backed Team Liquid | 31c | 134.03$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.01 | 240 | 26.7%64 W · 176 L | -30.5wins | -0.13per pick | 39cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x1c1d…58fcbacked Team Liquid | 43c | 131.09$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.99 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x81e4…532fbacked MOUZ | 65c | 116.74$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.86 | 37 | 40.5%15 W · 22 L | -2.8wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x88b5…7b0bbacked Team Liquid | 21c | 110.87$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.72 | 46 | 26.1%12 W · 34 L | -6.8wins | -0.15per pick | 41cpaid | -57.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x687c…8c91backed MOUZ | 63c | 107.14$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 142 | 54.2%77 W · 65 L | +7.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x65e0…e51dbacked Team Liquid | 39c | 103.65$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 194 | 43.3%84 W · 110 L | -9.2wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x43c8…0551backed Team Liquid | 44c | 100$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.5 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 31cpaid | +62%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2160…bcb3backed Team Liquid | 43c | 93.6$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 436 | 47.5%207 W · 229 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0cf2…6373backed MOUZ | 53c | 93.51$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.51 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb3a…0338backed MOUZ | 70c | 80.72$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.19 | 69 | 63.8%44 W · 25 L | +7.4wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x15a7…9725backed Team Liquid | 23c | 76.32$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67c3…0e36backed MOUZ | 69c | 72.07$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.07 | 129 | 65.1%84 W · 45 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb3a…35bbbacked MOUZ | 58c | 65.52$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.52 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.13per pick | 44cpaid | +58.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b32…3b0abacked MOUZ | 77c | 65.06$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.06 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4da1…e6dfbacked Team Liquid | 44c | 58.48$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.73 | 67 | 35.8%24 W · 43 L | -5.6wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe7d6…b6e8backed Team Liquid | 23c | 55.06$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.66 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7063…206abacked Team Liquid | 25c | 50$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +2.7wins | +0.21per pick | 56cpaid | +37.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4ce6…030ebacked MOUZ | 51c | 47.99$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.52 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | -2.0wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3e2d…fb60backed Team Liquid | 38c | 42.03$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.85 | 504 | 44%222 W · 282 L | -7.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58ac…7e1fbacked Team Liquid | 44c | 40.91$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 98 | 36.7%36 W · 62 L | -8.0wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0719…c6b9backed Team Liquid | 35c | 40.7$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.42 | 30 | 23.3%7 W · 23 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 19cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc2b0…e756backed Team Liquid | 37c | 40$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.75 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -1.9wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -44.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x425f…0f7abacked Team Liquid | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 181 | 54.7%99 W · 82 L | -5.0wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfdec…a7a3backed MOUZ | 54c | 38.89$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.89 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc49b…70c0backed MOUZ | 55c | 30$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.5 | 630 | 32.5%205 W · 425 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b4c…77bdbacked Team Liquid | 50c | 26$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ae…0864backed MOUZ | 80c | 25.36$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.14 | 266 | 61.7%164 W · 102 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xccd3…6b6dbacked MOUZ | 68c | 19.54$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.25 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Team Liquid vs MOUZ - Game 2 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: Team Liquid vs MOUZ (BO3) - ESL One Birmingham: Western Europe Closed Qualifier PlayoffsMOUZ won
- Dota 2: Team Liquid vs MOUZ - Game 1 WinnerTeam Liquid won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.