Lol · resolved market
LoL: T1 vs BNK FEARX - Game 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0d99395bb912ef669053a90245afb5cb20d3b7c1a82697994b315573581144ba
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- T1of T1, BNK FEARX
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $337,608
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $404,396
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $337,608 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 285 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8c0b…7aa5backed BNK FEARX | 28c | 13,411$3,735 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,735.41 | 1,642 | 40.2%660 W · 982 L | +48.4wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1341…0853backed BNK FEARX | 32c | 10,484$3,379 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,379.41 | 1,827 | 45.6%834 W · 993 L | +26.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef26…05babacked BNK FEARX | 33c | 9,515$3,115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,115.01 | 1,272 | 37.6%478 W · 794 L | +33.2wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52ec…a6f3backed BNK FEARX | 39c | 9,322$3,660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,659.8 | 825 | 43.3%357 W · 468 L | +29.8wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ce…7a7dbacked T1 | 66c | 8,537$5,608 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,929.55 | 965 | 41.7%402 W · 563 L | -32.0wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -23%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcae6…4f85backed T1 | 60c | 7,934$4,775 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,158.72 | 674 | 77%519 W · 155 L | +87.9wins | +0.13per pick | 64cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xde0c…a715backed T1 | 71c | 7,866$5,602 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,263.43 | 252 | 69.8%176 W · 76 L | +13.7wins | +0.05per pick | 64cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b3…9573backed BNK FEARX | 56c | 7,371$4,106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,105.63 | 1,832 | 39.2%718 W · 1,114 L | -30.6wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeecd…4fefbacked T1 | 69c | 5,676$3,944 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,731.92 | 366 | 60.1%220 W · 146 L | +9.4wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1d4…38d6backed BNK FEARX | 1c | 5,555$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.77 | 207 | 2.9%6 W · 201 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 4cpaid | -75.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked T1 | 65c | 5,279$3,418 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,860.76 | 850 | 46%391 W · 459 L | -11.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca0f…dcb0backed BNK FEARX | 2c | 5,000$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 46 | 10.9%5 W · 41 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -43.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6842…20d0backed BNK FEARX | 29c | 4,079$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 1,030 | 47%484 W · 546 L | +20.4wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde6e…0169backed BNK FEARX | 22c | 4,000$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$899.99 | 404 | 35.1%142 W · 262 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf70f…3c97backed T1 | 51c | 3,791$1,939 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,852.04 | 170 | 57.1%97 W · 73 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked BNK FEARX | 26c | 3,387$880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$879.91 | 2,406 | 42.6%1,026 W · 1,380 L | +21.5wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2997…6c34backed T1 | 79c | 3,333$2,621 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$711.9 | 106 | 53.8%57 W · 49 L | -7.3wins | -0.07per pick | 61cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x85d5…45eebacked T1 | 57c | 3,260$1,844 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,415.5 | 596 | 58.2%347 W · 249 L | -29.5wins | -0.05per pick | 63cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x32eb…0c1bbacked BNK FEARX | 31c | 3,248$1,007 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,007.48 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -2.8wins | -0.20per pick | 49cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xba0c…f837backed T1 | 57c | 3,207$1,840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,366.51 | 218 | 57.8%126 W · 92 L | +18.6wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +16%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf163…ca34backed T1 | 51c | 3,203$1,642 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,560.98 | 1,509 | 48.5%732 W · 777 L | +48.7wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed BNK FEARX | 34c | 3,107$1,053 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,052.97 | 3,584 | 40.1%1,437 W · 2,147 L | +31.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2e4…bf9dbacked BNK FEARX | 45c | 3,082$1,382 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,381.97 | 675 | 52.4%354 W · 321 L | +10.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04bd…39a0backed BNK FEARX | 47c | 2,677$1,264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,264.11 | 1,229 | 45.1%554 W · 675 L | +48.5wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x762d…45a6backed BNK FEARX | 40c | 2,643$1,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,050.24 | 187 | 41.2%77 W · 110 L | -7.4wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked T1 | 55c | 2,574$1,410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,163.76 | 1,618 | 42.3%685 W · 933 L | -18.9wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x437c…f458backed BNK FEARX | 35c | 2,551$885 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$885.49 | 262 | 46.6%122 W · 140 L | -5.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86b1…c094backed BNK FEARX | 7c | 2,440$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.8 | 1,076 | 28.4%306 W · 770 L | +21.4wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc65…96c8backed T1 | 42c | 2,317$973 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,343.67 | 219 | 39.3%86 W · 133 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0072…3d75backed T1 | 71c | 2,000$1,429 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$570.9 | 49 | 55.1%27 W · 22 L | +4.3wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe486…0c26backed BNK FEARX | 2c | 2,000$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 219 | 3.2%7 W · 212 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 4cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0588…8f18backed BNK FEARX | 26c | 1,954$504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$504 | 250 | 38%95 W · 155 L | +20.2wins | +0.08per pick | 30cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xea7a…446bbacked BNK FEARX | 52c | 1,656$857 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$857.25 | 47 | 29.8%14 W · 33 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa5ea…d96abacked BNK FEARX | 33c | 1,617$534 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$533.5 | 559 | 55.8%312 W · 247 L | +50.8wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked BNK FEARX | 31c | 1,564$485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$484.82 | 1,237 | 48.1%595 W · 642 L | +25.1wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked BNK FEARX | 35c | 1,523$534 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$534.42 | 1,158 | 42.6%493 W · 665 L | -23.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3f…44f1backed T1 | 65c | 1,500$975 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$525 | 202 | 49%99 W · 103 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7645…3117backed BNK FEARX | 33c | 1,500$495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$495 | 826 | 52.8%436 W · 390 L | +42.1wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x00df…0d23backed BNK FEARX | 21c | 1,481$314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$314.31 | 98 | 52%51 W · 47 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37b2…8681backed T1 | 75c | 1,250$942 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$308 | 996 | 50.2%500 W · 496 L | +7.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee9d…85f1backed T1 | 70c | 1,250$870 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$379.5 | 130 | 56.9%74 W · 56 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc3e…776bbacked BNK FEARX | 6c | 1,200$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.57 | 186 | 20.4%38 W · 148 L | -9.2wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x500f…94bfbacked T1 | 63c | 1,200$756 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$444 | 189 | 61.4%116 W · 73 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec9a…ad34backed T1 | 42c | 1,179$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$679.47 | 121 | 37.2%45 W · 76 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5976…b3d4backed T1 | 63c | 1,168$738 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$430.59 | 98 | 52%51 W · 47 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked BNK FEARX | 30c | 1,150$345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$345 | 2,845 | 41.4%1,178 W · 1,667 L | -14.0wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x97f2…d84fbacked T1 | 61c | 1,068$652 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$415.4 | 133 | 45.1%60 W · 73 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe916…4563backed T1 | 64c | 1,065$686 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$378.67 | 123 | 38.2%47 W · 76 L | -7.7wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0e78…29d0backed T1 | 67c | 1,003$675 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$327.46 | 242 | 48.3%117 W · 125 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa1…c691backed BNK FEARX | 40c | 1,000$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400.26 | 198 | 39.9%79 W · 119 L | -8.8wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xce16…d66fbacked BNK FEARX | 22c | 967.08$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.63 | 256 | 39.5%101 W · 155 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4425…12efbacked BNK FEARX | 7c | 965.47$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.51 | 165 | 40.6%67 W · 98 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbc2…514cbacked BNK FEARX | 38c | 855.26$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$325 | 234 | 41.5%97 W · 137 L | +6.9wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0de1…c735backed T1 | 69c | 844.06$582 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$261.66 | 47 | 48.9%23 W · 24 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a4b…03d6backed T1 | 38c | 798.5$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$498.5 | 37 | 29.7%11 W · 26 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b1…19bbbacked T1 | 64c | 781.25$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.25 | 187 | 55.1%103 W · 84 L | -8.8wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc36b…a540backed T1 | 59c | 764.2$452 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.1 | 316 | 44.3%140 W · 176 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6be4…1f20backed BNK FEARX | 39c | 714.6$279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$278.69 | 532 | 47.7%254 W · 278 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x551b…e339backed T1 | 67c | 700$469 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -39.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x76b4…ca9bbacked BNK FEARX | 49c | 700$346 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$346 | 445 | 50.1%223 W · 222 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x708d…ea78backed T1 | 66c | 682.92$453 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.05 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed BNK FEARX | 39c | 646.99$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252.45 | 697 | 56.5%394 W · 303 L | +26.1wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc89a…6391backed T1 | 80c | 641.61$512 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.22 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed BNK FEARX | 25c | 640.56$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.75 | 2,385 | 32.1%765 W · 1,620 L | +44.7wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x73bb…1825backed T1 | 63c | 630.53$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.53 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +152.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd991…c161backed BNK FEARX | 48c | 619.97$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 321 | 55.5%178 W · 143 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc926…8058backed T1 | 65c | 615.03$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.03 | 255 | 60.8%155 W · 100 L | +9.4wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d0…d9e8backed BNK FEARX | 38c | 600$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228 | 857 | 46.3%397 W · 460 L | +17.4wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1bcb…b05abacked BNK FEARX | 43c | 600$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258 | 237 | 51.5%122 W · 115 L | +11.7wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda32…04a1backed T1 | 72c | 600$432 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168 | 421 | 48.2%203 W · 218 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +36.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd81d…b365backed T1 | 66c | 599.99$396 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204 | 268 | 65.7%176 W · 92 L | +13.8wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf266…a1c6backed BNK FEARX | 22c | 599.99$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131 | 59 | 37.3%22 W · 37 L | +3.5wins | +0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2849…0cd8backed T1 | 75c | 584.78$437 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.06 | 52 | 63.5%33 W · 19 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1412…b6debacked T1 | 80c | 565.72$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.72 | 141 | 53.9%76 W · 65 L | -7.2wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed BNK FEARX | 31c | 563.36$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.23 | 1,258 | 38.6%485 W · 773 L | -61.8wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x098c…1c67backed T1 | 67c | 562.96$378 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.84 | 1,035 | 47.2%489 W · 546 L | +26.2wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x327b…28cabacked BNK FEARX | 36c | 555.7$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x750e…1facbacked T1 | 77c | 547.68$423 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.76 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 71cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe7d6…b6e8backed T1 | 75c | 520$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 64cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c3b…e573backed T1 | 65c | 500$325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.2 | 46 | 47.8%22 W · 24 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f4f…46c2backed T1 | 66c | 500$332 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168 | 403 | 47.4%191 W · 212 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1281…8d51backed BNK FEARX | 32c | 499.99$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 67 | 35.8%24 W · 43 L | -4.5wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3672…82d3backed T1 | 69c | 488.22$337 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.35 | 37 | 29.7%11 W · 26 L | -4.2wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed BNK FEARX | 27c | 473.83$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.01 | 1,310 | 37.3%489 W · 821 L | -86.3wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0f9b…bc2fbacked T1 | 69c | 467.81$322 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.08 | 526 | 62%326 W · 200 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddd3…dba6backed BNK FEARX | 26c | 467.6$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.58 | 118 | 33.9%40 W · 78 L | -10.9wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7cba…3ec4backed BNK FEARX | 34c | 441.18$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 1,545 | 43.7%675 W · 870 L | -18.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7a0…05c4backed BNK FEARX | 34c | 440.8$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149 | 350 | 35.1%123 W · 227 L | +7.2wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf86…7d31backed T1 | 75c | 437.12$328 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.28 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.33per pick | 68cpaid | +50%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0341…a679backed T1 | 65c | 435.38$283 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.38 | 190 | 42.1%80 W · 110 L | -6.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbbe…9fb7backed T1 | 78c | 429.05$333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.47 | 188 | 55.9%105 W · 83 L | -8.5wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba50…ad0bbacked BNK FEARX | 37c | 406.96$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.58 | 1,198 | 47.9%574 W · 624 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51e4…8672backed T1 | 59c | 400$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165 | 55 | 38.2%21 W · 34 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1229…3691backed T1 | 79c | 399.99$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85 | 136 | 44.9%61 W · 75 L | +7.4wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcdca…66ebbacked T1 | 68c | 388.24$264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.24 | 960 | 57.4%551 W · 409 L | +22.3wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe85d…95d8backed T1 | 53c | 377.55$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.55 | 57 | 57.9%33 W · 24 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b99…8bddbacked T1 | 68c | 352.74$241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.97 | 205 | 50.2%103 W · 102 L | +15.4wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c6…1b5ebacked T1 | 62c | 350$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +2.6wins | +0.11per pick | 45cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7eda…4bb7backed BNK FEARX | 60c | 333.33$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 488 | 52%254 W · 234 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xabd6…ca90backed T1 | 73c | 333$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.91 | 207 | 64.3%133 W · 74 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 67cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- LoL: T1 vs BNK FEARX - Game 1 Winnerthis page
- Game Handicap: T1 (-1.5) vs BNK FEARX (+1.5)BNK FEARX won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
- LoL: T1 vs BNK FEARX (BO3) - LCK Cup Group StageT1 won
- LoL: T1 vs BNK FEARX - Game 2 WinnerBNK FEARX won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.