Premier League · resolved market
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-01-17?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1594c86745fc89fca71c9d081351d788fcc591527352a2606a54009e745169eb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,122,237
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,275,742
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,122,237 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 738 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd5b4…9785backed Yes | 53c | 188,419$99,631 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88,787.9 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb27…c56ebacked No | 47c | 135,233$63,560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63,559.67 | 153 | 44.4%68 W · 85 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 67c | 81,518$54,698 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26,820.02 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3993…cdedbacked Yes | 68c | 60,753$41,312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,441.08 | 150 | 49.3%74 W · 76 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4408…1b6abacked No | 47c | 43,444$20,419 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,418.71 | 77 | 50.6%39 W · 38 L | +5.9wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc2c8…5471backed No | 47c | 40,000$18,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,800 | 144 | 50.7%73 W · 71 L | +9.3wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9158…fa7bbacked Yes | 52c | 40,000$20,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,199.99 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 48c | 31,300$14,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,900.42 | 2,661 | 45.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L | -11.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ae8…c2a8backed No | 48c | 24,606$11,811 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,810.88 | 57 | 52.6%30 W · 27 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked No | 48c | 20,145$9,669 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,669.37 | 308 | 51.3%158 W · 150 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed No | 48c | 19,100$9,168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,168 | 75 | 42.7%32 W · 43 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44c5…8d45backed Yes | 54c | 18,087$9,790 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,297.33 | 81 | 53.1%43 W · 38 L | +7.8wins | +0.10per pick | 43cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed No | 48c | 10,128$4,851 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,850.62 | 192 | 53.1%102 W · 90 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd568…a35abacked Yes | 50c | 10,068$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,067.56 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa6c…4b49backed Yes | 53c | 9,434$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,433.96 | 74 | 43.2%32 W · 42 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa196…5b78backed Yes | 52c | 8,908$4,654 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,254.43 | 241 | 46.9%113 W · 128 L | +21.1wins | +0.09per pick | 38cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked No | 48c | 8,000$3,840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,840 | 506 | 44.3%224 W · 282 L | -14.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x80cf…427dbacked Yes | 57c | 7,000$3,990 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,010 | 170 | 42.9%73 W · 97 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90e0…ff4cbacked No | 1c | 6,449$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.24 | 130 | 5.4%7 W · 123 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe348…a303backed Yes | 69c | 6,400$4,430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,970 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -2.5wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0a…09a6backed Yes | 53c | 6,097$3,232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,865.7 | 51 | 51%26 W · 25 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5543…e1f5backed Yes | 53c | 6,000$3,180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,820 | 77 | 54.5%42 W · 35 L | +6.9wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked No | 48c | 6,000$2,880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,879.99 | 370 | 54.9%203 W · 167 L | +15.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77c1…711bbacked Yes | 54c | 5,556$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,555.76 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.36per pick | 65cpaid | +59.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed No | 36c | 5,368$1,945 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,944.83 | 1,004 | 46.3%465 W · 539 L | +25.8wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Yes | 70c | 5,351$3,746 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,605.3 | 697 | 72.6%506 W · 191 L | +83.8wins | +0.12per pick | 61cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x699f…d5c6backed Yes | 54c | 5,288$2,870 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,418.26 | 202 | 46.5%94 W · 108 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Yes | 52c | 5,000$2,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,400 | 184 | 33.7%62 W · 122 L | +9.0wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfcca…c460backed Yes | 55c | 4,946$2,732 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,213.56 | 142 | 54.2%77 W · 65 L | +12.1wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x583f…2dabbacked No | 4c | 4,861$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.28 | 52 | 32.7%17 W · 35 L | +5.8wins | +0.11per pick | 22cpaid | +210.3%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfcbc…71c1backed No | 48c | 4,779$2,294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,294 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe671…a682backed Yes | 51c | 4,500$2,295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,205 | 258 | 36%93 W · 165 L | -7.0wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1748…a816backed Yes | 53c | 4,374$2,318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,055.58 | 19 | 73.7%14 W · 5 L | +4.4wins | +0.23per pick | 51cpaid | +46.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x16e9…ab7cbacked Yes | 53c | 4,274$2,265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,008.78 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6551…e043backed No | 48c | 4,250$2,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,040 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1fe4…d0f1backed Yes | 57c | 4,200$2,394 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,806 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x683a…274ebacked No | 32c | 4,161$1,332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,331.52 | 55 | 27.3%15 W · 40 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x64d6…943dbacked Yes | 53c | 4,028$2,135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,893.16 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4818…bf0bbacked Yes | 51c | 4,000$2,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,959.93 | 122 | 41.8%51 W · 71 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc9f…905bbacked No | 40c | 3,687$1,484 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,484.5 | 256 | 48%123 W · 133 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed No | 43c | 3,402$1,457 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,457.01 | 414 | 37.9%157 W · 257 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10ff…5088backed No | 3c | 3,330$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.03 | 271 | 41.7%113 W · 158 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x088e…bc56backed Yes | 54c | 3,210$1,736 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,473.76 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -5.3wins | -0.28per pick | 54cpaid | -60.2%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x5cb6…76e0backed Yes | 52c | 3,131$1,621 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,510.46 | 22 | 18.2%4 W · 18 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 21cpaid | -41%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9870…b9d3backed No | 48c | 3,125$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 63 | 54%34 W · 29 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x585c…f0a7backed Yes | 52c | 3,000$1,560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,440 | 159 | 44.7%71 W · 88 L | +9.7wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x21a2…5f83backed Yes | 51c | 2,783$1,420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,363.91 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -51%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 33c | 2,773$911 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$911.28 | 773 | 36.4%281 W · 492 L | -10.3wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb077…8fe8backed No | 50c | 2,749$1,368 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,367.87 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Yes | 60c | 2,742$1,633 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,109.15 | 1,163 | 57.4%667 W · 496 L | +40.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x92d8…9762backed No | 26c | 2,580$671 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$670.87 | 62 | 40.3%25 W · 37 L | +3.9wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | +88.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3eee…e8b6backed No | 44c | 2,554$1,134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,134.16 | 144 | 56.3%81 W · 63 L | +13.5wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x97e0…8194backed No | 43c | 2,500$1,075 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,075 | 204 | 48.5%99 W · 105 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Yes | 52c | 2,500$1,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,200 | 722 | 49.9%360 W · 362 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5773…ac11backed Yes | 52c | 2,400$1,248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,152 | 399 | 48.4%193 W · 206 L | +9.1wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x626f…cdfabacked Yes | 55c | 2,303$1,265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,037.41 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked No | 48c | 2,301$1,104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,104.48 | 212 | 53.8%114 W · 98 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb98e…8823backed Yes | 53c | 2,264$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,064.15 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb85…8464backed No | 40c | 2,135$850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$850 | 240 | 47.5%114 W · 126 L | +8.0wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 44c | 2,118$941 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$940.65 | 1,220 | 49.8%607 W · 613 L | +4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x063b…7328backed Yes | 51c | 2,100$1,071 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,028.99 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 49c | 2,004$982 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$981.96 | 2,212 | 49.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x56c2…17bfbacked Yes | 53c | 2,000$1,060 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$940 | 59 | 42.4%25 W · 34 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad89…f6e1backed No | 40c | 2,000$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 59 | 57.6%34 W · 25 L | +8.6wins | +0.15per pick | 43cpaid | +45%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xefbd…8086backed No | 48c | 2,000$960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$960 | 175 | 44%77 W · 98 L | -6.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd05f…8777backed Yes | 52c | 2,000$1,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$959.99 | 157 | 48.4%76 W · 81 L | +13.8wins | +0.09per pick | 40cpaid | +24%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e2…4e99backed Yes | 51c | 1,961$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$960.78 | 92 | 50%46 W · 46 L | +4.9wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb44d…723fbacked Yes | 52c | 1,914$995 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$918.77 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 28cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x68eb…c09ebacked No | 47c | 1,905$895 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$895.35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef05…aa90backed Yes | 52c | 1,899$987 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$911.3 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…4bccbacked Yes | 53c | 1,887$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$886.79 | 172 | 34.3%59 W · 113 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb227…7553backed Yes | 53c | 1,876$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$876.18 | 66 | 54.5%36 W · 30 L | +3.5wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7c38…de5abacked No | 41c | 1,859$768 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$767.84 | 93 | 58.1%54 W · 39 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d59…9c7fbacked No | 47c | 1,821$856 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$855.87 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7990…c870backed Yes | 51c | 1,812$920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$892.2 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4440…f8fdbacked No | 48c | 1,771$850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$850 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +3.5wins | +0.13per pick | 48cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed No | 44c | 1,759$776 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$776.49 | 1,283 | 48%616 W · 667 L | -5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e33…afb3backed Yes | 53c | 1,754$930 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$824.36 | 123 | 45.5%56 W · 67 L | -10.3wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x412f…30fabacked No | 48c | 1,719$825 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$825.12 | 75 | 44%33 W · 42 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x736f…d0c5backed Yes | 70c | 1,706$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$506.1 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 65cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked No | 43c | 1,595$686 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$686.22 | 1,146 | 42.8%490 W · 656 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad4e…12f1backed Yes | 52c | 1,548$805 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$742.9 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.10per pick | 63cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ac…e7d7backed Yes | 52c | 1,546$804 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$742.28 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | -3.2wins | -0.09per pick | 58cpaid | -18%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked No | 6c | 1,495$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.25 | 413 | 44.8%185 W · 228 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 47c | 1,488$693 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$693.3 | 2,550 | 47.8%1,218 W · 1,332 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3510…2492backed No | 44c | 1,480$651 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$651.2 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +3.2wins | +0.20per pick | 36cpaid | +68.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x941e…a442backed No | 48c | 1,459$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700.36 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -3.8wins | -0.42per pick | 54cpaid | -85.4%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x37ec…f4e2backed Yes | 70c | 1,436$1,005 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$430.9 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31ac…392cbacked No | 51c | 1,413$715 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$715 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -2.8wins | -0.35per pick | 48cpaid | -79.5%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb714…eb1bbacked No | 42c | 1,410$592 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$592.28 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Yes | 52c | 1,400$726 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$673.92 | 391 | 56%219 W · 172 L | +12.8wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Yes | 55c | 1,376$754 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$621.91 | 277 | 50.9%141 W · 136 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6378…8404backed Yes | 70c | 1,324$926 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$397.73 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +73.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…daaebacked No | 42c | 1,290$544 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$543.65 | 173 | 27.2%47 W · 126 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1923…fe63backed No | 47c | 1,277$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600.19 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Yes | 54c | 1,274$692 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$581.57 | 689 | 42.2%291 W · 398 L | +13.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcad0…d752backed No | 31c | 1,236$388 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$388.1 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -2.2wins | -0.20per pick | 29cpaid | -52.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8790…010bbacked Yes | 71c | 1,234$880 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$353.98 | 75 | 48%36 W · 39 L | +3.7wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x544e…2d9fbacked Yes | 68c | 1,200$816 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$384 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Yes | 52c | 1,196$624 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$572.05 | 1,224 | 40%490 W · 734 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-01-17?this page
- Will Brentford FC win on 2026-01-17?No won
- Will Chelsea FC vs. Brentford FC end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.