TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Will Chelsea FC vs. Brentford FC end in a draw?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$83,894
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$79,774

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $83,894 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 132 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4133…5e70backed No75c23,930$17,888 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,042.272,66145.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L-11.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-9.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe348…a303backed Yes29c5,162$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,5002138.1%8 W · 13 L-2.5wins-0.12per pick50cpaid-20.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes25c3,987$997 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$996.732,55047.8%1,218 W · 1,332 L+45.2wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfed7…e405backed Yes25c3,237$809 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$809.311645.7%53 W · 63 L-8.1wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-11.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x95a9…4352backed No76c3,166$2,406 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$759.843881.6%31 W · 7 L+5.1wins+0.13per pick68cpaid+24.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Yes25c2,967$742 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$741.751,21241.7%505 W · 707 L-1.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2707…0afabacked Yes26c2,500$650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6509134.1%31 W · 60 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick34cpaid-5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7cc1…fdc6backed Yes25c2,500$625 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6252552%13 W · 12 L+1.1wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked No74c2,426$1,795 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$630.7579650.8%404 W · 392 L+28.1wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+9.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x26dc…95c4backed Yes25c2,170$538 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5381931.6%6 W · 13 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-12.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Yes18c2,169$380 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$379.734,74441.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L+28.2wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-14.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes25c1,859$462 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$462.311,14642.8%490 W · 656 L-8.5wins-0.01per pick44cpaid+0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8f13…daaebacked Yes21c1,750$374 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$374.0217327.2%47 W · 126 L-4.4wins-0.03per pick30cpaid-7.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcddb…0d22backed No76c1,684$1,280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$404.285164.7%33 W · 18 L+2.2wins+0.04per pick60cpaid-1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x397e…3d84backed No79c1,296$1,019 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$276.6882763%521 W · 306 L+113.2wins+0.14per pick49cpaid+41.9%equal weight65+0.13 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed No75c1,292$965 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32739156%219 W · 172 L+12.8wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+10.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No75c1,290$967 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$323.376,11745.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L-28.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Yes24c1,084$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$260.161,22049.8%607 W · 613 L+4.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5a0e…4dc6backed No77c1,047$806 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$240.826167.2%41 W · 20 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick65cpaid+6.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x291b…2667backed No75c1,000$750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2501478.6%11 W · 3 L+2.7wins+0.19per pick60cpaid+32.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x8fe7…4f20backed Yes24c1,000$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24041437.9%157 W · 257 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x82aa…fe2fbacked Yes23c999.99$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2301520%3 W · 12 L-1.7wins-0.12per pick32cpaid-42.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9671…3a70backed Yes3c999.98$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2550%0 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf2ef…fd79backed Yes26c926.62$241 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$240.922330.4%7 W · 16 L-1.3wins-0.06per pick36cpaid-31.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5773…ac11backed Yes25c800$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20039948.4%193 W · 206 L+9.1wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1e8e…c986backed Yes25c800$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2007844.9%35 W · 43 L-2.5wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-5.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xefbd…8086backed Yes21c799.96$168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$167.9917544%77 W · 98 L-6.0wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-7.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3eee…e8b6backed Yes25c778$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$194.514456.3%81 W · 63 L+13.5wins+0.09per pick47cpaid+25.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x16cb…2704backed No75c746.29$557 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$189.2390751.3%465 W · 442 L-1.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbc4b…7b6fbacked No76c722.96$549 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$173.511643.8%7 W · 9 L-1.0wins-0.06per pick50cpaid+7.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf536…e40cbacked Yes25c600$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15017234.9%60 W · 112 L+9.2wins+0.05per pick30cpaid+19.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x587b…2622backed No79c600$474 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12636462.9%229 W · 135 L+32.1wins+0.09per pick54cpaid+33.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x9a6e…35b4backed No76c600$456 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14418551.9%96 W · 89 L+4.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+11%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6f40…bd86backed No75c500$375 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1255149%25 W · 26 L-3.0wins-0.06per pick55cpaid-14.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x12fe…38cfbacked Yes25c500$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12644036.8%162 W · 278 L+5.4wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4422…96f4backed Yes23c500$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1151457.1%8 W · 6 L+1.0wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+8.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0909…78dcbacked Yes25c407.83$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002748.1%13 W · 14 L-2.6wins-0.10per pick58cpaid-33.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5b35…12b3backed Yes22c400$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$888055%44 W · 36 L+2.5wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+20.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0775…eca8backed Yes25c400$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10017428.2%49 W · 125 L-11.3wins-0.06per pick35cpaid-19.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x10ff…5088backed Yes7c356.81$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.6627141.7%113 W · 158 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-11.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf509…67b9backed No75c300$225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$755759.6%34 W · 23 L-3.4wins-0.06per pick66cpaid-15.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4f6b…075fbacked No75c300$225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7517748%85 W · 92 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4ef1…d333backed Yes5c265.98$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1470%0 W · 7 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x61a1…6657backed No76c232.01$176 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.682763%17 W · 10 L-0.1wins0.00per pick63cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe216…7448backed Yes22c227.27$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502544%11 W · 14 L+2.8wins+0.11per pick33cpaid+33.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x26e2…1a63backed Yes23c219.48$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.481040%4 W · 6 L+1.2wins+0.12per pick28cpaid+79.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x814c…7ffabacked No75c218.32$164 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.8432453.1%172 W · 152 L+13.2wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+15.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe20a…e469backed No76c209.68$159 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.3925551.8%132 W · 123 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick53cpaid+1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x87f7…94e7backed Yes24c206.6$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$504438.6%17 W · 27 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick37cpaid+23.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x699f…d5c6backed Yes25c201$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.2520246.5%94 W · 108 L-3.2wins-0.02per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7cba…c616backed No75c200$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$509359.1%55 W · 38 L-4.2wins-0.04per pick64cpaid-12.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x27c4…a149backed No75c200$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$501100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6c0b…43cbbacked Yes24c200$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4822229.3%65 W · 157 L+4.0wins+0.02per pick27cpaid+6.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x06d5…0417backed Yes21c190.48$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4016142.9%69 W · 92 L-4.5wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-1.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x03ed…c077backed No76c176.97$134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.4712965.1%84 W · 45 L+4.4wins+0.03per pick62cpaid+8.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc494…543cbacked Yes23c173.91$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401533.3%5 W · 10 L-1.5wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-37.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x09d3…3128backed Yes26c171.89$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.183531.4%11 W · 24 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick35cpaid+22.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x38d0…899bbacked Yes25c160$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40825%2 W · 6 L-2.1wins-0.27per pick52cpaid-63.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x3940…9e72backed Yes26c153.85$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4015534.8%54 W · 101 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-2.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xb1a9…d58bbacked Yes26c153.85$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$404736.2%17 W · 30 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick35cpaid+8.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfa01…f0a7backed Yes25c150$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.523353.6%125 W · 108 L-8.0wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-7.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb0df…8f41backed No70c145$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.57176.1%54 W · 17 L+5.0wins+0.07per pick69cpaid+12.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x864a…7cacbacked Yes25c132.16$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.043040%12 W · 18 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-9.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x0ec9…388abacked No76c122.75$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.461100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4977…8fd6backed Yes25c120$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$307042.9%30 W · 40 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick42cpaid+6.7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x3a56…387cbacked No77c115.49$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.1829041.7%121 W · 169 L-9.4wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-23.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x332d…7b0ebacked Yes20c100$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$208143.2%35 W · 46 L-2.3wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-2.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7157…7ba4backed Yes26c100$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$267248.6%35 W · 37 L+6.0wins+0.08per pick40cpaid+35.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc0bf…5d96backed Yes24c100$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.91942.1%8 W · 11 L-1.0wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-11.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5b62…98e2backed Yes22c100$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-30.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x11bd…caa7backed Yes25c100$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-34.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1fe4…3f12backed Yes28c100$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-21.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2386…1a2dbacked Yes27c100$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$271421.4%3 W · 11 L-2.7wins-0.20per pick41cpaid+7.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x9c13…99b7backed Yes26c100$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$266328.6%18 W · 45 L-2.5wins-0.04per pick33cpaid-14.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2eae…a25fbacked Yes25c100$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2536036.1%130 W · 230 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick35cpaid-2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd2d7…ba47backed No76c100$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2413447%63 W · 71 L-3.4wins-0.03per pick50cpaid+0.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xeaf6…8e9abacked Yes27c100$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.6611227.7%31 W · 81 L+3.7wins+0.03per pick24cpaid+17.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x317e…a004backed Yes20c100$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204632.6%15 W · 31 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd257…d215backed Yes21c96.57$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2045224.8%112 W · 340 L+10.8wins+0.02per pick22cpaid+8.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked No75c94$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.081,20450.7%610 W · 594 L+1.5wins0.00per pick51cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc8fa…d338backed Yes25c92$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23425%1 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.16per pick41cpaid-56.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x21c2…6749backed No80c91$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.225052%130 W · 120 L+8.8wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9c97…874abacked Yes24c91$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.8410733.6%36 W · 71 L+0.1wins0.00per pick34cpaid+7.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdd3a…9993backed Yes25c90.67$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.6712954.3%70 W · 59 L-8.2wins-0.06per pick61cpaid-13%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5be0…c51ebacked Yes24c84.83$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201020%2 W · 8 L-1.2wins-0.12per pick32cpaid-36%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbce1…5555backed Yes24c83.33$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204134.1%14 W · 27 L-2.2wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-4.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x344b…f7fcbacked Yes23c82$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.1524146.1%111 W · 130 L-7.7wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-16.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8bac…f4d3backed Yes25c80$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201428.6%4 W · 10 L-0.7wins-0.05per pick34cpaid+9.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x33af…288abacked Yes25c80$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2020336.9%75 W · 128 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc44a…a65abacked Yes26c77.69$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20520%1 W · 4 L-1.4wins-0.28per pick48cpaid-72.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5d97…7d3bbacked Yes26c76.92$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204533.3%15 W · 30 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick31cpaid+30.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x021a…b2d7backed Yes26c76.92$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204731.9%15 W · 32 L-0.2wins0.00per pick32cpaid+9.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6b0d…c09abacked Yes26c76.92$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.4wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-38.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x32e0…c1d5backed Yes26c76.27$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.83650%3 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-20.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9544…790dbacked Yes25c72$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1811449.1%56 W · 58 L+5.6wins+0.05per pick44cpaid+17.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e3babacked Yes21c71.43$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152025%5 W · 15 L-1.2wins-0.06per pick31cpaid-25.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Yes21c70$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.543241.9%181 W · 251 L-5.6wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-16.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe4bd…06d4backed Yes28c67.86$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193740.5%15 W · 22 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick41cpaid+0.3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x7676…ada4backed Yes25c60$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$156659.1%39 W · 27 L+8.1wins+0.12per pick47cpaid+33.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xf99d…f867backed Yes24c60$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.46643.9%29 W · 37 L-2.3wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-10.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.