TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Will Brentford FC win on 2026-01-17?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$295,875
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$312,856

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $295,875 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 233 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed No79c47,767$37,608 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,159.636,11745.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L-28.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xc6fd…f43ebacked Yes25c44,338$10,924 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,924.441947.4%9 W · 10 L-0.9wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x48fe…b2b6backed Yes24c17,500$4,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,2009845.9%45 W · 53 L+3.2wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc5fa…5b59backed Yes20c15,276$3,052 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,052.372250%11 W · 11 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf591…39c8backed Yes19c10,466$1,999 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,999.014139%16 W · 25 L+4.4wins+0.11per pick28cpaid+74.6%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No78c9,600$7,446 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,153.754,74441.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L+28.2wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-14.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No77c9,160$7,085 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,074.781,22049.8%607 W · 613 L+4.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Yes23c8,234$1,888 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,887.921,21241.7%505 W · 707 L-1.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x088e…bc56backed No79c7,682$6,068 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,613.111926.3%5 W · 14 L-5.3wins-0.28per pick54cpaid-60.2%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed No77c6,692$5,128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,564.012,66145.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L-11.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-9.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes21c6,289$1,343 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,343.211,14642.8%490 W · 656 L-8.5wins-0.01per pick44cpaid+0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Yes22c6,078$1,330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,330.121,26433.7%426 W · 838 L+13.1wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x447e…9710backed No76c6,000$4,560 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,44011346%52 W · 61 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-7.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9b81…9204backed Yes23c5,950$1,368 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,368.41333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.11per pick45cpaid-37.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5eb0…5012backed Yes19c5,000$940 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94019729.4%58 W · 139 L-9.6wins-0.05per pick34cpaid-23%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x52d8…99aebacked No78c5,000$3,900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,1009859.2%58 W · 40 L+0.2wins0.00per pick59cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No78c5,000$3,902 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,098.072,55047.8%1,218 W · 1,332 L+45.2wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa196…5b78backed No76c4,710$3,593 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,117.6124146.9%113 W · 128 L+21.1wins+0.09per pick38cpaid+22.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Yes24c4,620$1,095 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,095.3268026.3%179 W · 501 L+5.6wins+0.01per pick25cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7c38…de5abacked No80c4,500$3,580 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9209358.1%54 W · 39 L+3.3wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+8.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed No76c4,251$3,232 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,018.341,00446.3%465 W · 539 L+25.8wins+0.03per pick44cpaid-2.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x16cb…2704backed No77c4,236$3,257 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$978.6490751.3%465 W · 442 L-1.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf209…97e1backed Yes24c4,167$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0007028.6%20 W · 50 L-2.9wins-0.04per pick33cpaid-9.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd05f…8777backed No77c4,000$3,080 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$919.9615748.4%76 W · 81 L+13.8wins+0.09per pick40cpaid+24%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x4818…bf0bbacked No76c3,880$2,949 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$931.1712241.8%51 W · 71 L-0.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid+6.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed No76c3,574$2,716 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$857.6819253.1%102 W · 90 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2d01…27cbbacked Yes19c3,000$570 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5708343.4%36 W · 47 L+5.6wins+0.07per pick37cpaid+21.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5543…e1f5backed No77c3,000$2,310 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6907754.5%42 W · 35 L+6.9wins+0.09per pick46cpaid+18.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x82aa…fe2fbacked Yes18c2,987$544 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$544.441520%3 W · 12 L-1.7wins-0.12per pick32cpaid-42.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7443…000dbacked Yes23c2,905$680 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$679.84425%1 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.11per pick36cpaid+78.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9610…f02cbacked No80c2,700$2,160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$540862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.0wins+0.12per pick50cpaid+73%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1a65…15b1backed No76c2,212$1,681 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$530.972774.1%20 W · 7 L+4.7wins+0.17per pick57cpaid+38.6%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x3eee…e8b6backed Yes22c2,203$485 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$484.6614456.3%81 W · 63 L+13.5wins+0.09per pick47cpaid+25.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xb470…ba61backed Yes10c2,085$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.74366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.33per pick34cpaid+47.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb39a…2963backed No76c2,000$1,520 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$480560%3 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+14.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed No76c1,939$1,474 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$465.3572249.9%360 W · 362 L+5.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4ef1…d333backed Yes1c1,535$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1970%0 W · 7 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaeb5…58e2backed Yes24c1,500$360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36044939.6%178 W · 271 L+1.0wins0.00per pick39cpaid-6.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x62c6…55acbacked Yes24c1,406$337 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$337.392231.8%7 W · 15 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick30cpaid+12.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd502…4d4cbacked No77c1,336$1,032 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$303.858670.9%61 W · 25 L+7.8wins+0.09per pick62cpaid+19.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x6f40…bd86backed No78c1,319$1,035 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$284.595149%25 W · 26 L-3.0wins-0.06per pick55cpaid-14.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0dd6…5f62backed No77c1,250$963 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$287.510960.6%66 W · 43 L-5.6wins-0.05per pick66cpaid-11.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8f13…daaebacked Yes11c1,224$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$137.917327.2%47 W · 126 L-4.4wins-0.03per pick30cpaid-7.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed No75c1,200$896 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30477336.4%281 W · 492 L-10.3wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3538…d81dbacked No77c1,101$848 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$253.241100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+29.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd3d3…bb8ebacked Yes21c1,054$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22013944.6%62 W · 77 L-9.0wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4818…fde0backed Yes24c1,000$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2403240.6%13 W · 19 L-3.1wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-22%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7f29…f03dbacked Yes20c1,000$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2008851.1%45 W · 43 L+3.0wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+10.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdc9f…905bbacked Yes19c999.98$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19025648%123 W · 133 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc1fd…948ebacked Yes11c996.14$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.58933.3%3 W · 6 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick31cpaid-30.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked No77c959$738 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$220.5721253.8%114 W · 98 L+4.3wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaa7f…3223backed Yes21c954.55$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2006956.5%39 W · 30 L+3.0wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+9.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5773…ac11backed No77c940.35$724 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$216.2839948.4%193 W · 206 L+9.1wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd544…4d5ebacked Yes12c925$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1112920.7%6 W · 23 L-1.9wins-0.06per pick27cpaid-23.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf9a2…a79abacked Yes23c900$207 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20710426.9%28 W · 76 L-3.7wins-0.04per pick31cpaid-24.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xaa10…3fc9backed Yes17c879.32$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150.051040%4 W · 6 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-8.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7d07…0351backed Yes10c850$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$851127.3%3 W · 8 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick25cpaid-28.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7e66…53dfbacked Yes24c833.33$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2007241.7%30 W · 42 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd410…3a1bbacked No79c799.94$635 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$164.9931053.2%165 W · 145 L+5.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x182d…73e9backed Yes24c700$168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16822534.2%77 W · 148 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-7.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x30f8…b824backed No78c698.72$545 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$153.72933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.5wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-42.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x03f0…63e0backed Yes24c680.83$163 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$163.48047.5%38 W · 42 L+3.1wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+6.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3909…335fbacked No79c635.25$502 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.41492.9%13 W · 1 L+6.5wins+0.46per pick47cpaid+113.7%equal weight68+0.17 edge/pick
0x1bd5…a3ccbacked Yes24c627.17$151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150.527534.7%26 W · 49 L+4.8wins+0.06per pick28cpaid+26%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd257…d215backed Yes20c600$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12045224.8%112 W · 340 L+10.8wins+0.02per pick22cpaid+8.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6c0b…43cbbacked Yes23c563.96$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129.7122229.3%65 W · 157 L+4.0wins+0.02per pick27cpaid+6.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x46b3…8e69backed Yes24c522.92$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125.5812.5%1 W · 7 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick18cpaid-24.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x35f3…6580backed Yes24c520.83$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1251435.7%5 W · 9 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-13.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0909…78dcbacked Yes20c500$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002748.1%13 W · 14 L-2.6wins-0.10per pick58cpaid-33.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3b89…baa4backed Yes10c500$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502429.2%7 W · 17 L+1.2wins+0.05per pick24cpaid+99.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x44ca…907cbacked Yes20c500$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004942.9%21 W · 28 L-3.0wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-4.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0bae…55b5backed Yes20c500$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1008742.5%37 W · 50 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-8.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb113…8bc6backed No76c444$337 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.5621548.8%105 W · 110 L-5.8wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-9.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x699f…d5c6backed No78c431.83$336 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.9720246.5%94 W · 108 L-3.2wins-0.02per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x75f3…0e78backed Yes24c416.67$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1008834.1%30 W · 58 L-6.6wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-11.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4f7c…e75cbacked Yes24c416.67$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002955.2%16 W · 13 L+1.0wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+28.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd2f3…03fabacked Yes24c413.54$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.45450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-29.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed No77c400.26$307 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.6439156%219 W · 172 L+12.8wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+10.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9fc0…17cabacked Yes20c400$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80714.3%1 W · 6 L-1.2wins-0.17per pick31cpaid-28.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x444a…4badbacked Yes25c397.88$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.8610%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xadf1…547ebacked Yes24c395.83$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$952250%11 W · 11 L+1.7wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+31.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0540…98ebbacked Yes21c387.14$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.821861.1%11 W · 7 L+2.2wins+0.12per pick49cpaid+58%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9f0f…a571backed Yes24c375$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$906240.3%25 W · 37 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick39cpaid+30.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcd87…30a6backed Yes24c370.83$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$891735.3%6 W · 11 L-1.6wins-0.09per pick45cpaid-25.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfe8e…27ffbacked Yes24c356.38$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.534637%17 W · 29 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-9.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb888…ccfdbacked Yes12c343.85$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.268043.8%35 W · 45 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7cff…6471backed Yes23c328$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.165633.9%19 W · 37 L-6.4wins-0.11per pick45cpaid-24.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x3d6e…e9e3backed Yes22c300$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$668046.3%37 W · 43 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+9.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2fa6…a6d4backed Yes8c300$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2430%0 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc291…0220backed Yes12c300$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3510341.7%43 W · 60 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+5.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xadf2…8f6bbacked Yes7c300$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2150%0 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3fe8…1fd3backed Yes11c299.99$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3232822.3%73 W · 255 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick24cpaid-17%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8bf3…6077backed Yes19c299.98$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5717337.6%65 W · 108 L-0.3wins0.00per pick38cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Yes6c292.14$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.661,27250.4%641 W · 631 L-53.9wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-12.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xbf1d…95debacked Yes24c291.67$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$701040%4 W · 6 L-1.9wins-0.19per pick59cpaid-33.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x26e2…1a63backed Yes10c290$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$291040%4 W · 6 L+1.2wins+0.12per pick28cpaid+79.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1947…94bcbacked No78c277$216 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.0129458.2%171 W · 123 L+6.5wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x522f…1415backed No76c265$201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.62867.9%19 W · 9 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick70cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5b1a…8480backed Yes10c264$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.825939%23 W · 36 L-4.4wins-0.08per pick47cpaid-19.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x61a3…b1e5backed Yes23c260.87$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$603135.5%11 W · 20 L+1.7wins+0.05per pick30cpaid-12.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.