CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: paiN vs Heroic (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifier
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbd387b1a8a380b4d2934b97e880fe59260cf04fa6ba4740ab0e8e460c9b97bc5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Heroicof paiN, Heroic
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $328,975
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $352,134
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $328,975 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 315 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2fe8…3549backed Heroic | 47c | 44,965$21,303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23,661.57 | 139 | 54.7%76 W · 63 L | -4.8wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x56fc…733ebacked paiN | 58c | 30,000$17,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,399.98 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Heroic | 55c | 23,374$12,846 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,528.83 | 3,096 | 48.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L | +135.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa5ea…d96abacked paiN | 54c | 9,802$5,293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,292.88 | 424 | 40.3%171 W · 253 L | -12.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5836…4d03backed Heroic | 45c | 9,500$4,240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,260 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +11%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6902…b4cabacked paiN | 54c | 9,259$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 257 | 51.8%133 W · 124 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3993…cdedbacked paiN | 55c | 8,823$4,853 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,852.88 | 836 | 52.5%439 W · 397 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40e2…b0a7backed Heroic | 54c | 8,658$4,666 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,991.45 | 17 | 82.4%14 W · 3 L | +4.3wins | +0.25per pick | 57cpaid | +38.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x21ec…5348backed paiN | 54c | 7,921$4,273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,273.33 | 724 | 53.7%389 W · 335 L | +11.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3dd…a7e0backed paiN | 56c | 7,557$4,232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,232.13 | 92 | 47.8%44 W · 48 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf73d…80e7backed Heroic | 74c | 6,870$5,056 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,813.78 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 70cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6fb6…242abacked Heroic | 43c | 6,775$2,889 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,885.63 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x988d…9899backed Heroic | 42c | 6,561$2,756 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,805.27 | 263 | 44.5%117 W · 146 L | -13.5wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed paiN | 26c | 6,138$1,596 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,595.84 | 882 | 42.3%373 W · 509 L | -13.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7645…3117backed Heroic | 46c | 5,200$2,370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,829.99 | 716 | 45.9%329 W · 387 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x88d1…18dabacked paiN | 31c | 5,034$1,560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,560 | 223 | 54.7%122 W · 101 L | -9.5wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x52ec…a6f3backed paiN | 57c | 5,000$2,850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,849.99 | 469 | 49.7%233 W · 236 L | -14.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked paiN | 34c | 4,646$1,563 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,562.56 | 1,040 | 44%458 W · 582 L | -22.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe2a6…9837backed paiN | 36c | 4,548$1,624 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,623.77 | 46 | 43.5%20 W · 26 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x081e…f76ebacked paiN | 46c | 4,472$2,078 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,078.04 | 817 | 51.7%422 W · 395 L | -6.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed2c…9597backed Heroic | 42c | 4,232$1,777 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,454.54 | 121 | 50.4%61 W · 60 L | +5.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb9e6…2f0fbacked Heroic | 72c | 4,164$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,164.43 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 75cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed paiN | 33c | 4,076$1,364 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,363.84 | 4,228 | 49.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L | +59.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ab…f282backed Heroic | 44c | 4,002$1,766 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,235.6 | 1,081 | 50.9%550 W · 531 L | +37.9wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf6d…cf10backed paiN | 41c | 3,961$1,632 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,632.04 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3926…7e9ebacked paiN | 57c | 3,945$2,252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,252.49 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | -3.7wins | -0.13per pick | 45cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7a78…add7backed paiN | 37c | 3,830$1,423 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,422.71 | 1,969 | 46.7%919 W · 1,050 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca47…3ef4backed paiN | 57c | 3,809$2,188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,188.08 | 59 | 57.6%34 W · 25 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked paiN | 40c | 3,670$1,475 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,475.14 | 2,326 | 55.7%1,296 W · 1,030 L | +44.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked paiN | 16c | 3,411$539 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$538.57 | 3,257 | 50.3%1,638 W · 1,619 L | +98.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed Heroic | 70c | 3,107$2,176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$931 | 645 | 52.9%341 W · 304 L | +27.2wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8056…b64dbacked paiN | 45c | 3,082$1,399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,399 | 1,623 | 44.9%728 W · 895 L | +4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda5f…2e9bbacked Heroic | 40c | 2,966$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,765.8 | 274 | 52.9%145 W · 129 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200c…58eabacked Heroic | 42c | 2,810$1,180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,629.52 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x12d9…01bbbacked Heroic | 60c | 2,800$1,688 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,112 | 612 | 28.9%177 W · 435 L | -9.2wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa10…3fc9backed paiN | 18c | 2,674$476 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$476.17 | 27 | 11.1%3 W · 24 L | -4.0wins | -0.15per pick | 26cpaid | -73.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0aa7…1ad7backed paiN | 49c | 2,631$1,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,300 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.14per pick | 34cpaid | -50.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1ab6…078ebacked Heroic | 42c | 2,619$1,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,519.05 | 239 | 52.3%125 W · 114 L | +14.6wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3f67…fe3cbacked paiN | 58c | 2,500$1,450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,450 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7951…bb41backed Heroic | 43c | 2,378$1,027 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,350.7 | 970 | 40.7%395 W · 575 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddd3…dba6backed Heroic | 43c | 2,352$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,352.1 | 112 | 52.7%59 W · 53 L | +5.5wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed paiN | 33c | 2,050$674 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$673.84 | 232 | 45.3%105 W · 127 L | +9.1wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc192…086cbacked paiN | 54c | 1,990$1,075 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,074.6 | 275 | 30.9%85 W · 190 L | -18.6wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Heroic | 53c | 1,856$983 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$873.04 | 1,611 | 45.4%731 W · 880 L | +30.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe89…204cbacked paiN | 55c | 1,830$1,011 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,010.89 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.15per pick | 51cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcfbb…55b0backed paiN | 56c | 1,786$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 71 | 56.3%40 W · 31 L | -3.9wins | -0.06per pick | 62cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3bf2…7706backed paiN | 30c | 1,753$526 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$525.97 | 36 | 30.6%11 W · 25 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0c3dbacked Heroic | 42c | 1,740$731 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,009.2 | 113 | 53.1%60 W · 53 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66b1…340fbacked Heroic | 41c | 1,723$705 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,018.18 | 1,157 | 48.2%558 W · 599 L | +3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4572…83ffbacked paiN | 58c | 1,712$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 323 | 48.9%158 W · 165 L | -11.5wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb4d…de5abacked paiN | 38c | 1,711$653 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$653.3 | 244 | 40.6%99 W · 145 L | -12.4wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2687…1363backed Heroic | 79c | 1,663$1,306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$356.46 | 388 | 68.3%265 W · 123 L | +25.7wins | +0.07per pick | 62cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe4da…1772backed paiN | 59c | 1,624$958 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$958.16 | 537 | 46.2%248 W · 289 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd96…e623backed paiN | 57c | 1,622$918 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$918.32 | 210 | 55.7%117 W · 93 L | +12.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x34cd…9675backed paiN | 31c | 1,611$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 131 | 44.3%58 W · 73 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d84…3c31backed paiN | 37c | 1,569$584 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$584.25 | 50 | 62%31 W · 19 L | +4.4wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x394c…0c58backed paiN | 59c | 1,503$887 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$886.75 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.3wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4304…1c4ebacked paiN | 59c | 1,502$889 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$888.6 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked paiN | 28c | 1,500$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420 | 239 | 32.2%77 W · 162 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ce…7a7dbacked paiN | 41c | 1,416$580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$579.55 | 1,256 | 46.7%587 W · 669 L | +17.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -16%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3704…0e84backed Heroic | 42c | 1,400$588 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$812 | 209 | 44%92 W · 117 L | -11.9wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe283…7190backed Heroic | 48c | 1,383$661 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$721.54 | 965 | 45.7%441 W · 524 L | +10.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa35b…60e9backed paiN | 29c | 1,348$387 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$386.51 | 550 | 43.1%237 W · 313 L | -7.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x861f…a189backed paiN | 52c | 1,344$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$699.69 | 921 | 52.6%484 W · 437 L | +16.3wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4cb9…3783backed paiN | 51c | 1,319$672 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$671.64 | 259 | 41.3%107 W · 152 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d39…6053backed Heroic | 52c | 1,312$677 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$635.59 | 887 | 46.7%414 W · 473 L | +8.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6089…00e2backed Heroic | 53c | 1,253$664 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$588.85 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef26…05babacked Heroic | 53c | 1,250$663 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$587.5 | 598 | 39.6%237 W · 361 L | -15.9wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0659…d74dbacked Heroic | 42c | 1,136$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$655.58 | 980 | 52.4%514 W · 466 L | +26.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9792…9212backed paiN | 23c | 1,131$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.48 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -2.6wins | -0.16per pick | 35cpaid | -55.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2930…4cf8backed paiN | 55c | 1,130$622 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$621.51 | 157 | 43.3%68 W · 89 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9f0…a444backed paiN | 1c | 1,036$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.33 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +1.6wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Heroic | 41c | 1,011$419 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$591.62 | 1,714 | 46.7%801 W · 913 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbec5…8f77backed paiN | 30c | 1,000$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 130 | 30.8%40 W · 90 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4602…3315backed paiN | 53c | 1,000$530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$530 | 139 | 54.7%76 W · 63 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f4f…46c2backed Heroic | 47c | 985.24$459 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$525.8 | 398 | 51.3%204 W · 194 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6395…d69dbacked paiN | 49c | 984.08$481 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480.79 | 112 | 41.1%46 W · 66 L | -5.0wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x06db…1e5cbacked paiN | 46c | 981.47$453 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$453.03 | 81 | 46.9%38 W · 43 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9333…3fa5backed paiN | 50c | 936.17$468 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$468.09 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -5.3wins | -0.38per pick | 59cpaid | -62.4%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xccca…4c02backed paiN | 20c | 917$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.43 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.22per pick | 42cpaid | -68.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9569…27fdbacked paiN | 55c | 905.41$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 45 | 51.1%23 W · 22 L | -2.7wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -13%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Heroic | 68c | 900.83$613 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288.19 | 698 | 63%440 W · 258 L | +65.3wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8c9c…bcfcbacked Heroic | 60c | 878.36$530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$348.36 | 152 | 55.3%84 W · 68 L | +8.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8df0…96a6backed Heroic | 54c | 860.93$469 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$391.84 | 92 | 64.1%59 W · 33 L | +10.0wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc2fe…f0fbbacked Heroic | 62c | 800.86$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300.86 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1543…623cbacked Heroic | 75c | 800$601 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199 | 65 | 64.6%42 W · 23 L | +7.1wins | +0.11per pick | 54cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa4e1…d80bbacked paiN | 40c | 797.62$316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$316 | 118 | 46.6%55 W · 63 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c5e…269bbacked paiN | 54c | 740$401 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$401 | 420 | 50%210 W · 210 L | -10.5wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3755…4bedbacked paiN | 56c | 710.17$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400.31 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x757b…7f5abacked paiN | 43c | 699.99$304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$303.66 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -27%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe42b…7ea9backed Heroic | 41c | 699.98$287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$412.99 | 508 | 33.5%170 W · 338 L | +14.2wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b15…a031backed paiN | 36c | 686.85$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.5 | 225 | 54.7%123 W · 102 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cc4…e979backed Heroic | 77c | 680.34$521 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.41 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +53.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a58…149dbacked paiN | 4c | 625.22$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.06 | 76 | 25%19 W · 57 L | -6.0wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -56.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0314…8b59backed paiN | 57c | 618.4$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.9wins | -0.37per pick | 57cpaid | -71%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x56e1…8b17backed paiN | 29c | 617.11$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.96 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3911…30f3backed paiN | 54c | 608.17$328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$328.41 | 262 | 51.1%134 W · 128 L | -8.7wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfaf1…795fbacked Heroic | 41c | 599.99$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$353.99 | 290 | 46.9%136 W · 154 L | -7.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4a5…398fbacked paiN | 46c | 580.71$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1db3…ada1backed Heroic | 42c | 562.96$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$325.75 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: paiN vs Heroic (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifierthis page
- Counter-Strike: paiN vs Heroic - Map 1 WinnerHeroic won
- Counter-Strike: paiN vs Heroic - Map 2 WinnerHeroic won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.