CS2 · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2c9daa2f68d14544b072330d670065577dd24fce040cd6dc0da7c0f1beea6a2c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $25,921
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $27,444
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $25,921 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 28 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3926…7e9ebacked Over | 51c | 3,131$1,597 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,596.94 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | -3.7wins | -0.13per pick | 45cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3993…cdedbacked Under | 49c | 3,111$1,524 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,586.6 | 836 | 52.5%439 W · 397 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a78…add7backed Over | 51c | 3,056$1,568 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,567.98 | 1,969 | 46.7%919 W · 1,050 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Under | 47c | 2,605$1,231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,373.88 | 4,228 | 49.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L | +59.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb093…5480backed Over | 33c | 1,786$590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$589.82 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -2.3wins | -0.29per pick | 41cpaid | -81.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc2fe…f0fbbacked Under | 54c | 1,756$950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$805.53 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Over | 40c | 1,341$541 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540.59 | 2,776 | 37.4%1,038 W · 1,738 L | -140.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Under | 70c | 1,185$828 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$356.56 | 1,040 | 44%458 W · 582 L | -22.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8307…ad90backed Over | 2c | 929.38$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 36 | 19.4%7 W · 29 L | +4.6wins | +0.13per pick | 7cpaid | +178.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf5b3…7c36backed Over | 7c | 889.66$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.68 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 9cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 55c | 888$492 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$395.86 | 3,257 | 50.3%1,638 W · 1,619 L | +98.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4aef…08f5backed Over | 2c | 700$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | +1.5wins | +0.11per pick | 4cpaid | +209.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x12d9…01bbbacked Over | 47c | 636.79$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$301.79 | 612 | 28.9%177 W · 435 L | -9.2wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e80…f17abacked Over | 8c | 500$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 101 | 11.9%12 W · 89 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6e7…caa8backed Over | 3c | 450$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 77 | 6.5%5 W · 72 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 7cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Over | 49c | 402.82$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.67 | 2,326 | 55.7%1,296 W · 1,030 L | +44.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fb…95fbbacked Under | 55c | 288.93$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.93 | 93 | 53.8%50 W · 43 L | +5.0wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf4ee…a2b3backed Over | 76c | 131.58$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -5.0wins | -0.25per pick | 60cpaid | -45.5%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xfcf3…f535backed Over | 54c | 83.22$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.6 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97c7…37adbacked Under | 42c | 65$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.75 | 667 | 53.1%354 W · 313 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ae4…7c46backed Under | 49c | 60.6$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.91 | 113 | 44.2%50 W · 63 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked Over | 47c | 60$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.2 | 1,281 | 37.8%484 W · 797 L | +5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9a58…149dbacked Over | 28c | 46.36$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.19 | 76 | 25%19 W · 57 L | -6.0wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -56.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf873…f644backed Under | 56c | 27.24$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.99 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc1…8cbcbacked Over | 67c | 22.39$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd7c…c170backed Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.25per pick | 58cpaid | -48.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…a742backed Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 169 | 50.9%86 W · 83 L | -5.7wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed Under | 59c | 19.09$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.86 | 291 | 28.5%83 W · 208 L | -30.2wins | -0.10per pick | 39cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 2.5this page
- Counter-Strike: paiN vs Heroic (BO3) - BLAST Bounty QualifierHeroic won
- Counter-Strike: paiN vs Heroic - Map 1 WinnerHeroic won
- Counter-Strike: paiN vs Heroic - Map 2 WinnerHeroic won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.