CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: paiN vs Heroic - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x830ee849d4b02dfe8c4c7a2d195bf9b2c54fc8ff47f4040dc89fdfd22a8285c0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Heroicof paiN, Heroic
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $141,111
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $140,069
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $141,111 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 135 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Heroic | 38c | 15,012$5,636 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,375.82 | 3,256 | 50.3%1,637 W · 1,619 L | +97.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3993…cdedbacked paiN | 67c | 8,673$5,810 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,809.98 | 836 | 52.5%439 W · 397 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40e2…b0a7backed Heroic | 56c | 5,214$2,945 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,268.88 | 17 | 82.4%14 W · 3 L | +4.3wins | +0.25per pick | 57cpaid | +38.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Heroic | 45c | 4,418$1,972 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,446.51 | 4,220 | 49.2%2,078 W · 2,142 L | +61.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a58…149dbacked paiN | 1c | 4,323$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.02 | 76 | 25%19 W · 57 L | -6.0wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -56.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Heroic | 40c | 3,767$1,497 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,270.12 | 3,096 | 48.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L | +135.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda35…ff0ebacked Heroic | 23c | 3,762$874 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,887.65 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Heroic | 61c | 3,454$2,101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,352.59 | 1,040 | 44%458 W · 582 L | -22.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6fb6…242abacked Heroic | 50c | 2,980$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,479.8 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked paiN | 43c | 2,531$1,087 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,086.8 | 1,611 | 45.4%731 W · 880 L | +30.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef26…05babacked paiN | 56c | 2,500$1,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,400 | 598 | 39.6%237 W · 361 L | -15.9wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52ec…a6f3backed paiN | 52c | 2,426$1,258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,257.77 | 469 | 49.7%233 W · 236 L | -14.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9333…3fa5backed paiN | 51c | 1,962$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -5.3wins | -0.38per pick | 59cpaid | -62.4%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x2d39…6053backed paiN | 41c | 1,738$718 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$718.28 | 887 | 46.7%414 W · 473 L | +8.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc24…c8c4backed paiN | 65c | 1,682$1,096 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,096.02 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | -3.1wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7a78…add7backed Heroic | 51c | 1,581$813 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$767.57 | 1,969 | 46.7%919 W · 1,050 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Heroic | 27c | 1,394$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,013.74 | 2,770 | 37.4%1,036 W · 1,734 L | -139.7wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x998f…75d1backed Heroic | 63c | 1,289$816 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$473.14 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e59…1520backed paiN | 50c | 1,172$586 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$585.86 | 60 | 38.3%23 W · 37 L | -4.6wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Heroic | 37c | 1,080$402 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$678.3 | 2,326 | 55.7%1,296 W · 1,030 L | +44.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ce…7a7dbacked Heroic | 46c | 1,053$485 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$568.4 | 1,256 | 46.7%587 W · 669 L | +17.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -16%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb569…6fe0backed Heroic | 58c | 1,031$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$430.93 | 384 | 52.3%201 W · 183 L | +10.4wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37f8…b5e5backed Heroic | 54c | 1,000$535 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$465 | 447 | 43.8%196 W · 251 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed paiN | 49c | 999.98$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$489.99 | 645 | 52.9%341 W · 304 L | +27.2wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x394c…0c58backed paiN | 53c | 897$475 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$475.41 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.3wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8307…ad90backed paiN | 2c | 715$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 36 | 19.4%7 W · 29 L | +4.6wins | +0.13per pick | 7cpaid | +178.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6089…00e2backed paiN | 22c | 700$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4aef…08f5backed paiN | 1c | 700$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | +1.5wins | +0.11per pick | 4cpaid | +209.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf5b3…7c36backed paiN | 5c | 663.86$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.87 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 9cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8df0…96a6backed Heroic | 57c | 599.11$342 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257 | 92 | 64.1%59 W · 33 L | +10.0wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3ffa…f2cfbacked Heroic | 34c | 565$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$370.13 | 61 | 29.5%18 W · 43 L | -4.5wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -42.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9777…6b53backed Heroic | 51c | 541.67$274 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$268.01 | 197 | 32.5%64 W · 133 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb52e…cdcebacked Heroic | 51c | 537.04$273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$263.85 | 91 | 52.7%48 W · 43 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b9a…a06bbacked paiN | 5c | 510$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.1 | 696 | 24%167 W · 529 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 24cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae30…079ebacked paiN | 61c | 500$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305 | 65 | 44.6%29 W · 36 L | -4.2wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -15%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaee7…1e5bbacked paiN | 69c | 500$345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$344.86 | 341 | 47.5%162 W · 179 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7daf…0ec8backed paiN | 50c | 500$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +1.7wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +19%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc6e7…caa8backed paiN | 2c | 450$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.44 | 77 | 6.5%5 W · 72 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 7cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6cd…e027backed Heroic | 65c | 434$282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.9 | 489 | 43.6%213 W · 276 L | -12.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x757b…7f5abacked Heroic | 63c | 400$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -27%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed paiN | 40c | 400$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 5,810 | 37.8%2,196 W · 3,614 L | +78.9wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4e1…d80bbacked paiN | 52c | 400$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208 | 118 | 46.6%55 W · 63 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe625…94c0backed paiN | 52c | 384.62$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 48 | 39.6%19 W · 29 L | -5.9wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6df5…6430backed Heroic | 5c | 380$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$361 | 1,277 | 21.9%280 W · 997 L | -23.9wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa60…556cbacked Heroic | 55c | 329.66$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.83 | 323 | 52%168 W · 155 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad4b…e93dbacked paiN | 43c | 320.32$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.74 | 90 | 50%45 W · 45 L | +6.2wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xecd3…4285backed paiN | 47c | 318.75$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.7wins | -0.39per pick | 53cpaid | -73.3%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdbd3…0591backed paiN | 45c | 312.57$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x553f…99b9backed paiN | 34c | 306.08$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.45 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | -3.4wins | -0.15per pick | 41cpaid | -47.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xca47…3ef4backed paiN | 74c | 300$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223 | 59 | 57.6%34 W · 25 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4ec…51e8backed Heroic | 50c | 290$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaaa6…f3b0backed paiN | 55c | 288.92$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.87 | 136 | 75%102 W · 34 L | +22.9wins | +0.17per pick | 58cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x65b3…7fc9backed Heroic | 29c | 280.05$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.23 | 35 | 62.9%22 W · 13 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82bf…de71backed paiN | 29c | 279$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.61 | 623 | 50.9%317 W · 306 L | +18.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8104…3128backed Heroic | 42c | 277.07$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.92 | 91 | 51.6%47 W · 44 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked paiN | 49c | 255$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.95 | 601 | 47.4%285 W · 316 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bea…5d50backed paiN | 35c | 237$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.89 | 339 | 49%166 W · 173 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x762d…45a6backed paiN | 24c | 233$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.53 | 127 | 52%66 W · 61 L | +5.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5862…76abbacked Heroic | 44c | 227.5$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.5 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | -1.5wins | -0.08per pick | 61cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x558c…ca77backed Heroic | 53c | 227.26$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.72 | 182 | 65.9%120 W · 62 L | +5.5wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf7…e5a5backed paiN | 52c | 223.37$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116 | 240 | 38.3%92 W · 148 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Heroic | 48c | 222.32$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.6 | 239 | 32.2%77 W · 162 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfab4…564fbacked paiN | 42c | 220.66$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.2 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -5.0wins | -0.17per pick | 55cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a5…e95dbacked paiN | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 581 | 49.2%286 W · 295 L | -17.2wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x26a0…9fcdbacked Heroic | 64c | 200$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +1.6wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc558…d0f1backed Heroic | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +2.2wins | +0.25per pick | 42cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb171…32f0backed Heroic | 39c | 192.31$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.31 | 182 | 39%71 W · 111 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4177…a2b4backed Heroic | 36c | 190.91$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.91 | 1,248 | 41.3%516 W · 732 L | +5.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x81a4…da1fbacked paiN | 44c | 182.56$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbab6…f845backed Heroic | 35c | 177.67$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.93 | 48 | 45.8%22 W · 26 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3fb9…1591backed paiN | 23c | 176.3$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.27 | 76 | 47.4%36 W · 40 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x11ff…4447backed paiN | 34c | 171.91$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.45 | 105 | 34.3%36 W · 69 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4f9…32b1backed Heroic | 45c | 160$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88 | 113 | 37.2%42 W · 71 L | -9.8wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc954…642fbacked Heroic | 49c | 156$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.56 | 265 | 53.2%141 W · 124 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4a5…398fbacked paiN | 51c | 156$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.56 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e21…4dccbacked Heroic | 36c | 147.71$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.75 | 64 | 59.4%38 W · 26 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36cb…3f90backed Heroic | 49c | 142.16$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.89 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.7wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +81.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3a89…a4d6backed paiN | 45c | 142.04$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.4 | 238 | 42.4%101 W · 137 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe089…f441backed paiN | 43c | 128.26$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -1.5wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f89…b87ebacked Heroic | 33c | 126.6$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.4 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x456b…945abacked Heroic | 59c | 125.06$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.14 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 65cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc0…699abacked paiN | 9c | 121.11$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.9 | 1,181 | 22.5%266 W · 915 L | +3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x00c8…a75fbacked Heroic | 45c | 120$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66 | 39 | 23.1%9 W · 30 L | -6.2wins | -0.16per pick | 39cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6827…26fdbacked paiN | 48c | 110$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.3 | 112 | 46.4%52 W · 60 L | +5.7wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2093…ced6backed paiN | 42c | 109.81$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.12 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x727d…1589backed paiN | 20c | 105.85$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.22 | 198 | 43.9%87 W · 111 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -24%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ae4…7c46backed Heroic | 48c | 102.47$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.98 | 113 | 44.2%50 W · 63 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ea3…2f74backed paiN | 49c | 100$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa5a8…bf60backed paiN | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 988 | 56.1%554 W · 434 L | +21.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56fc…affbbacked Heroic | 37c | 99.99$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63 | 286 | 44.1%126 W · 160 L | -8.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d4…6297backed Heroic | 32c | 92$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.02 | 202 | 43.6%88 W · 114 L | -8.1wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6fe9…9c50backed paiN | 44c | 90.44$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 186 | 57%106 W · 80 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70e0…52fabacked paiN | 29c | 86.21$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -2.8wins | -0.16per pick | 38cpaid | -54.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x873d…97b5backed paiN | 28c | 81$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.68 | 66 | 21.2%14 W · 52 L | -5.5wins | -0.08per pick | 29cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc6c8…dd64backed paiN | 59c | 79.97$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.28per pick | 53cpaid | -64.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf48c…e4dabacked Heroic | 37c | 77.51$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.77 | 51 | 45.1%23 W · 28 L | -3.1wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd8db…0ed3backed Heroic | 42c | 76.01$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.89 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.15per pick | 60cpaid | +29.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa58f…fd67backed Heroic | 80c | 75$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 53 | 43.4%23 W · 30 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8941…3126backed paiN | 52c | 74.12$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.54 | 150 | 32%48 W · 102 L | -9.2wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc03a…517ebacked paiN | 28c | 71.38$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: paiN vs Heroic - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: paiN vs Heroic (BO3) - BLAST Bounty QualifierHeroic won
- Counter-Strike: paiN vs Heroic - Map 1 WinnerHeroic won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.