CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: paiN vs Heroic - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb65b1a2047ad652fab1b997bab0c852404b7ba22dc4221db1033616a198223d4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Heroicof paiN, Heroic
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $63,608
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $73,664
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $63,608 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 67 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2687…1363backed paiN | 1c | 3,058$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.7 | 394 | 68%268 W · 126 L | +26.1wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x40e2…b0a7backed Heroic | 61c | 2,971$1,823 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,147.35 | 17 | 82.4%14 W · 3 L | +4.3wins | +0.25per pick | 57cpaid | +38.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7a78…add7backed paiN | 36c | 2,600$940 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$939.91 | 1,969 | 46.7%919 W · 1,050 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Heroic | 61c | 2,569$1,555 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,014.49 | 3,096 | 48.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L | +135.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed paiN | 36c | 2,390$867 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$867.03 | 4,238 | 49.2%2,085 W · 2,153 L | +60.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d39…6053backed paiN | 23c | 2,001$459 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$458.58 | 895 | 46.8%419 W · 476 L | +9.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked paiN | 36c | 2,000$712 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$711.83 | 2,326 | 55.7%1,296 W · 1,030 L | +44.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef26…05babacked Heroic | 60c | 1,871$1,117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$754.11 | 605 | 40%242 W · 363 L | -14.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked paiN | 24c | 1,859$454 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$453.96 | 1,619 | 45.5%737 W · 882 L | +31.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x861f…a189backed paiN | 50c | 1,763$874 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$873.89 | 921 | 52.6%484 W · 437 L | +16.3wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe2a6…9837backed paiN | 16c | 1,168$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.32 | 46 | 43.5%20 W · 26 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ce…7a7dbacked paiN | 30c | 1,083$329 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$328.52 | 1,263 | 46.9%592 W · 671 L | +18.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37f8…b5e5backed Heroic | 66c | 965.73$640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$326.17 | 447 | 43.8%196 W · 251 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked paiN | 32c | 897.98$289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.49 | 1,040 | 44%458 W · 582 L | -22.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8df0…96a6backed Heroic | 63c | 695.27$435 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260.28 | 92 | 64.1%59 W · 33 L | +10.0wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Heroic | 40c | 620$247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$373.2 | 1,259 | 42.5%535 W · 724 L | +20.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb52e…cdcebacked paiN | 38c | 528.05$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 91 | 52.7%48 W · 43 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd96…e623backed paiN | 57c | 479$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273.03 | 214 | 55.6%119 W · 95 L | +12.3wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x56e1…8b17backed paiN | 19c | 449.99$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d4d…1a07backed paiN | 18c | 428.17$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.58 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed paiN | 44c | 408$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.5 | 5,876 | 37.7%2,213 W · 3,663 L | +71.9wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa60…556cbacked Heroic | 55c | 401.02$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.53 | 323 | 52%168 W · 155 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07cd…e51dbacked paiN | 10c | 400$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.2 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fb…95fbbacked paiN | 27c | 371.43$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 93 | 53.8%50 W · 43 L | +5.0wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7437…e1e9backed paiN | 59c | 338.98$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 109 | 42.2%46 W · 63 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5862…76abbacked paiN | 33c | 303.03$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | -1.5wins | -0.08per pick | 61cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9777…6b53backed Heroic | 41c | 275$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162 | 197 | 32.5%64 W · 133 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x757b…7f5abacked paiN | 39c | 269.98$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.19 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -27%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Heroic | 65c | 269.01$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.34 | 698 | 63%440 W · 258 L | +65.3wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9ee4…3485backed paiN | 50c | 268.66$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133 | 84 | 46.4%39 W · 45 L | -4.5wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc0…699abacked paiN | 16c | 255$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1,181 | 22.5%266 W · 915 L | +3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x72c2…5e74backed paiN | 11c | 209.99$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.4 | 244 | 40.2%98 W · 146 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42a7…96f9backed paiN | 57c | 181.84$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.17 | 90 | 47.8%43 W · 47 L | -7.0wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x49d8…c5dbbacked paiN | 12c | 173.5$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c9c…bcfcbacked paiN | 40c | 173.35$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 152 | 55.3%84 W · 68 L | +8.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb4ec…51e8backed paiN | 58c | 170$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.6 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f97…4059backed paiN | 53c | 161.01$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.34 | 463 | 49.9%231 W · 232 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6bea…5d50backed Heroic | 65c | 160$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.3 | 339 | 49%166 W · 173 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaaa6…f3b0backed Heroic | 71c | 157.72$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.73 | 136 | 75%102 W · 34 L | +22.9wins | +0.17per pick | 58cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a5…e95dbacked Heroic | 68c | 147.06$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.06 | 581 | 49.2%286 W · 295 L | -17.2wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f57…3e7abacked Heroic | 69c | 144.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.93 | 661 | 62.6%414 W · 247 L | +29.2wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x42af…15f7backed paiN | 61c | 131.38$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Heroic | 39c | 118.65$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.91 | 1,723 | 46.8%807 W · 916 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x583c…85cebacked paiN | 29c | 108.55$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.48 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked paiN | 55c | 100$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 176 | 48.3%85 W · 91 L | +6.8wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x00c8…a75fbacked paiN | 33c | 100$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 39 | 23.1%9 W · 30 L | -6.2wins | -0.16per pick | 39cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2f47…fc05backed Heroic | 60c | 100$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c1d…58fcbacked Heroic | 72c | 91.67$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.67 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +1.8wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe636…e062backed Heroic | 75c | 89.41$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.41 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc954…642fbacked Heroic | 39c | 72.41$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.17 | 265 | 53.2%141 W · 124 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed37…b5a2backed paiN | 23c | 70$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.1 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -41.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad34…2b5ebacked paiN | 61c | 65.57$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcfbb…55b0backed paiN | 58c | 60.34$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 71 | 56.3%40 W · 31 L | -3.9wins | -0.06per pick | 62cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x92b5…2defbacked paiN | 50c | 60$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 807 | 41.3%333 W · 474 L | -10.9wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x868c…279dbacked paiN | 44c | 52.33$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.99 | 48 | 45.8%22 W · 26 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9f0…a444backed paiN | 31c | 51.38$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.82 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +1.6wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f3a…7dcbbacked paiN | 53c | 49.06$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 176 | 59.7%105 W · 71 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x425f…0f7abacked paiN | 41c | 48.54$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 117 | 47%55 W · 62 L | -7.3wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x70b1…73b2backed Heroic | 60c | 41.54$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.62 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.21per pick | 65cpaid | +33.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed Heroic | 69c | 40$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.32 | 291 | 28.5%83 W · 208 L | -30.2wins | -0.10per pick | 39cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x456b…945abacked paiN | 38c | 36.84$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 65cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc508…ec49backed Heroic | 45c | 33.33$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.33 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +122.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ed…50efbacked Heroic | 40c | 30$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 62 | 29%18 W · 44 L | -6.6wins | -0.11per pick | 40cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4534…4d07backed Heroic | 69c | 20.75$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.43 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfab5…2bb4backed paiN | 53c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd8db…0ed3backed Heroic | 73c | 16.92$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.64 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.15per pick | 60cpaid | +29.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2806…6de8backed Heroic | 77c | 14.25$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.28 | 137 | 50.4%69 W · 68 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: paiN vs Heroic - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: paiN vs Heroic (BO3) - BLAST Bounty QualifierHeroic won
- Counter-Strike: paiN vs Heroic - Map 2 WinnerHeroic won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.