TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Lol · resolved market

Game Handicap: BLG (-1.5) vs JD Gaming (+1.5)

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
JD Gamingof Bilibili Gaming, JD Gaming
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$17,819
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$21,187

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,819 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 24 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Lol
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x029a…503bbacked Bilibili Gaming0c10,875$20 inLost-$201533.3%5 W · 10 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick31cpaid+20.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe550…2c8bbacked Bilibili Gaming40c1,205$482 inLost-$481.9932345.8%148 W · 175 L-11.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-11.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe9b5…f95bbacked JD Gaming60c499.56$299 inWon+$200.5867549%331 W · 344 L+10.9wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+8.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2765…7ee4backed JD Gaming60c434.38$261 inWon+$173.7548448.6%235 W · 249 L+12.5wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-1.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4948…08bdbacked Bilibili Gaming41c393.2$161 inLost-$161.2129833.9%101 W · 197 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-7.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0d29…6da9backed JD Gaming64c300$192 inWon+$10832752.9%173 W · 154 L-6.6wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-6.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xeddf…a953backed Bilibili Gaming40c250$100 inLost-$10039541.3%163 W · 232 L+13.0wins+0.03per pick38cpaid+12.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2307…3934backed JD Gaming55c228.82$126 inWon+$102.9754353.8%292 W · 251 L+32.6wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+15.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x3e47…a7abbacked JD Gaming61c203.88$125 inWon+$78.7411559.1%68 W · 47 L+5.5wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+6.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2683…2be7backed Bilibili Gaming45c178.76$80 inLost-$80.445028%14 W · 36 L-5.9wins-0.12per pick40cpaid-37.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xf5d0…d9e8backed JD Gaming60c159.52$96 inWon+$63.8185746.3%397 W · 460 L+17.4wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x71c1…e358backed Bilibili Gaming38c157.89$60 inLost-$606930.4%21 W · 48 L-4.1wins-0.06per pick36cpaid-20.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xaa14…ebb0backed JD Gaming64c156.13$100 inWon+$56.214959.2%29 W · 20 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+14.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf26b…f3b8backed Bilibili Gaming42c100$42 inLost-$4228923.5%68 W · 221 L-9.6wins-0.03per pick27cpaid-22.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x77f3…f487backed Bilibili Gaming45c89.77$40 inLost-$4012157.9%70 W · 51 L+5.3wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+23.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd1c1…928cbacked JD Gaming58c86.21$50 inWon+$36.2115862.7%99 W · 59 L+8.9wins+0.06per pick57cpaid+10.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8725…eb10backed JD Gaming60c66$40 inWon+$26.42,22637.5%834 W · 1,392 L-29.3wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-9.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x17d4…d0eabacked Bilibili Gaming38c57.79$22 inLost-$21.962334.8%8 W · 15 L-1.8wins-0.08per pick43cpaid-28.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc0af…5490backed JD Gaming60c57.42$34 inWon+$23.1612242.6%52 W · 70 L-7.3wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-15.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6e8d…3a3dbacked Bilibili Gaming38c47.37$18 inLost-$1849346.5%229 W · 264 L-6.7wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6dd9…ffe5backed JD Gaming59c42.13$25 inWon+$17.13757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick62cpaid-18%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Bilibili Gaming41c41.99$17 inLost-$17.2289810.7%96 W · 802 L+2.6wins0.00per pick10cpaid-36.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x499c…e165backed JD Gaming60c33.33$20 inWon+$13.332365.2%15 W · 8 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick64cpaid+5.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbf07…4a12backed Bilibili Gaming38c30$11 inLost-$11.420239.6%80 W · 122 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+5.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.