Lol · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe21a34f8e98b1e75c693cb43b92af85a5e4ba88da8095cbf77dc15948ec1d9b9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,626
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,636
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,626 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 34 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3f97…4059backed Under | 53c | 483.01$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.57 | 1,156 | 49.1%568 W · 588 L | -17.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2db3…667abacked Under | 38c | 417.22$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259.83 | 173 | 48%83 W · 90 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Over | 50c | 390.04$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.97 | 1,158 | 42.6%493 W · 665 L | -23.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a09…3c83backed Over | 47c | 336.17$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked Under | 51c | 303.76$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.84 | 1,609 | 48.4%779 W · 830 L | +24.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16ce…eba1backed Under | 52c | 299.99$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144 | 1,517 | 3.3%50 W · 1,467 L | -53.9wins | -0.04per pick | 7cpaid | -74.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf971…0a57backed Under | 49c | 200.09$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.56 | 181 | 39.2%71 W · 110 L | +5.9wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d29…6da9backed Over | 48c | 200$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 327 | 52.9%173 W · 154 L | -6.6wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5084…40a4backed Over | 52c | 190.68$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.04 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -49%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Over | 60c | 186.63$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.91 | 704 | 43.9%309 W · 395 L | -15.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e04…28a9backed Over | 62c | 143.61$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.04 | 172 | 50.6%87 W · 85 L | +6.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x098c…1c67backed Under | 52c | 141.56$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.95 | 1,035 | 47.2%489 W · 546 L | +26.2wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4512…5d41backed Over | 48c | 125$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 204 | 39.2%80 W · 124 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21f0…299bbacked Under | 41c | 100$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a78…add7backed Under | 41c | 96.36$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.86 | 506 | 43.1%218 W · 288 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe4bd…06d4backed Over | 49c | 81.63$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 24 | 20.8%5 W · 19 L | -4.1wins | -0.17per pick | 38cpaid | -51.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfe1d…219ebacked Over | 49c | 61.22$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 78 | 62.8%49 W · 29 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 61c | 56.76$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.35 | 850 | 46%391 W · 459 L | -11.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2bb…ea55backed Under | 54c | 54.57$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.27 | 185 | 49.7%92 W · 93 L | -6.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xffa6…c296backed Over | 49c | 50.61$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.8 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -1.8wins | -0.14per pick | 37cpaid | -44.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb856…a9bcbacked Over | 66c | 43.94$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 62 | 33.9%21 W · 41 L | -10.4wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -34%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x755d…d9ebbacked Over | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4fb4…8830backed Over | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 124 | 37.9%47 W · 77 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb861…27ffbacked Over | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 130 | 40.8%53 W · 77 L | -5.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5ab4…50acbacked Over | 80c | 40$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -2.8wins | -0.31per pick | 65cpaid | -53.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2625…9198backed Under | 32c | 37.31$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.21 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.23per pick | 44cpaid | +52.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Under | 54c | 33$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.18 | 2,226 | 37.5%834 W · 1,392 L | -29.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbac0…f02ebacked Over | 48c | 31.56$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -3.8wins | -0.24per pick | 42cpaid | -63.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5470…accfbacked Under | 43c | 30.23$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.23 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb03…46dcbacked Over | 67c | 30$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.1 | 427 | 51.5%220 W · 207 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb345…557abacked Over | 67c | 30$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.1 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.7wins | -0.42per pick | 67cpaid | -68.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7cbf…4863backed Over | 54c | 22.16$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Over | 64c | 22.14$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.11 | 599 | 52.8%316 W · 283 L | -3.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x006a…d199backed Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 59 | 44.1%26 W · 33 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 2.5this page
- Game Handicap: BLG (-1.5) vs JD Gaming (+1.5)JD Gaming won
- LoL: JD Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group AscendJD Gaming won
- LoL: JD Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 WinnerJD Gaming won
- LoL: JD Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 WinnerJD Gaming won
- Series: Bilibili Gaming Inhibitor Handicap (-1.5) vs JD Gaming (+1.5)JD Gaming won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.