TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

76ers vs. Thunder

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Thunderof 76ers, Thunder
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,769,147
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,733,692

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,769,147 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 385 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x7b6c…6305backed 76ers14c278,367$37,976 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37,975.67941.8%33 W · 46 L+3.8wins+0.05per pick37cpaid+20.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x060e…2384backed 76ers14c155,911$21,341 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21,340.998037.5%30 W · 50 L-5.0wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-7.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xcf11…8399backed 76ers13c155,861$20,762 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20,761.9537539.5%148 W · 227 L-1.2wins0.00per pick40cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcd9b…414dbacked 76ers12c75,000$9,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,999.9451844.4%230 W · 288 L+11.0wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+8.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9f05…8937backed 76ers13c49,322$6,335 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,335.4447028.1%132 W · 338 L+27.2wins+0.06per pick22cpaid+13.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x8398…fe44backed 76ers4c47,370$1,775 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,774.82837.5%3 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-17.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed 76ers16c45,998$7,571 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,571.342,09147.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L-56.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x94d7…bef5backed 76ers14c33,960$4,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,60025925.9%67 W · 192 L+6.5wins+0.03per pick23cpaid+8.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x64b5…7543backed 76ers13c30,124$3,917 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,916.7835235.8%126 W · 226 L+5.1wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+10.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7960…b94fbacked 76ers14c30,000$4,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,20019751.8%102 W · 95 L+9.2wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+8.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x70a8…6dfdbacked 76ers4c27,651$1,220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,22016325.2%41 W · 122 L+5.8wins+0.04per pick22cpaid-4.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x062a…c2a3backed 76ers14c25,000$3,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,50019048.4%92 W · 98 L+4.5wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+25.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6480…8dc5backed 76ers14c16,490$2,309 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,308.68827.3%24 W · 64 L+5.2wins+0.06per pick21cpaid-1.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe9cb…d096backed 76ers14c16,385$2,341 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,340.781,00334.7%348 W · 655 L-44.7wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-35.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8b9a…5f69backed 76ers1c16,100$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$156.235213.8%20 W · 501 L+0.6wins0.00per pick4cpaid-36.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4534…f867backed 76ers12c15,000$1,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,80013625.7%35 W · 101 L+0.5wins0.00per pick25cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1cf5…6440backed 76ers13c15,000$1,940 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,94046928.4%133 W · 336 L+2.3wins0.00per pick28cpaid-4.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xbce9…03e9backed 76ers0c12,116$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.288820%0 W · 882 L-6.7wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x377c…91aebacked 76ers10c12,000$1,230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,23047535.8%170 W · 305 L+41.1wins+0.09per pick27cpaid+26.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed 76ers7c10,340$725 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$724.891,38439.4%545 W · 839 L+4.8wins0.00per pick39cpaid-21.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5a22…c3b5backed 76ers15c10,277$1,501 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,50116130.4%49 W · 112 L-6.8wins-0.04per pick35cpaid-23.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc8ec…e8f1backed 76ers13c10,000$1,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,30024831.9%79 W · 169 L+7.3wins+0.03per pick29cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x906f…88b4backed Thunder77c9,708$7,475 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,232.9122453.1%119 W · 105 L+7.6wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa849…c825backed Thunder79c8,271$6,504 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,767.8616641%68 W · 98 L-12.9wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-17.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x42b5…b5b6backed Thunder77c7,473$5,754 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,718.8560549.8%301 W · 304 L+17.8wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+5.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xccea…a8ebbacked 76ers14c7,300$1,022 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,022.0623348.1%112 W · 121 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5a0c…9db8backed 76ers14c7,251$983 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$982.5221538.1%82 W · 133 L+7.6wins+0.04per pick35cpaid+20.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd8ef…b642backed 76ers13c6,720$886 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$886.2850%4 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+128.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd903…bf9dbacked Thunder79c6,670$5,244 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,426.3244654.3%242 W · 204 L+21.5wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+5.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb737…98b9backed 76ers26c6,482$1,659 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,659.091752.9%9 W · 8 L-0.8wins-0.05per pick57cpaid-10.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed 76ers14c6,150$861 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8611,78228%499 W · 1,283 L+11.5wins+0.01per pick27cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee47…a253backed 76ers13c5,698$741 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$740.75433.3%18 W · 36 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-2.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x40f8…327dbacked 76ers23c5,000$1,150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,1506339.7%25 W · 38 L-3.6wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-19.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked 76ers15c5,000$750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75081529.4%240 W · 575 L-37.0wins-0.05per pick34cpaid-43%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb45d…a406backed 76ers19c4,689$891 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$890.9627917.9%50 W · 229 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick19cpaid-44.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd029…1909backed 76ers14c4,643$650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6501060%6 W · 4 L+1.2wins+0.12per pick48cpaid+32.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x12d9…01bbbacked 76ers21c3,896$801 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80146632.6%152 W · 314 L+8.3wins+0.02per pick31cpaid+9.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa9dd…3cc5backed 76ers17c3,880$654 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$654.452744.4%12 W · 15 L+3.8wins+0.14per pick30cpaid+64.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x23df…c7a8backed 76ers11c3,667$404 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4041533.3%5 W · 10 L-3.1wins-0.21per pick54cpaid-36.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x43cb…4bccbacked 76ers14c3,571$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50029635.8%106 W · 190 L-4.3wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x519d…37a1backed 76ers1c3,550$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.57502%15 W · 735 L-3.2wins0.00per pick2cpaid-63.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x34ad…040abacked 76ers17c3,516$581 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$580.914341.9%18 W · 25 L+2.4wins+0.06per pick36cpaid+37.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x72bc…c332backed 76ers11c3,500$380 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38018332.2%59 W · 124 L+0.9wins0.00per pick32cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5077…4e7cbacked 76ers19c3,139$591 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$591.359733%32 W · 65 L-6.3wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-30.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8927…f5c6backed 76ers13c3,077$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40035531.8%113 W · 242 L+1.0wins0.00per pick32cpaid+9.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4309…7456backed 76ers13c3,000$385 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38561336.1%221 W · 392 L-6.4wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-10%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x26e3…0b75backed Thunder78c3,000$2,350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6501656.3%9 W · 7 L+0.8wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+18.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x52ed…8db7backed Thunder76c2,912$2,213 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$698.9639349.1%193 W · 200 L+1.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcd3a…67cabacked 76ers17c2,883$497 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$496.850838.2%194 W · 314 L+22.3wins+0.04per pick34cpaid+1.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x033e…1bb9backed 76ers14c2,880$399 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$399.225146.2%116 W · 135 L+9.9wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+6.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9daa…5fb4backed 76ers7c2,706$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2003033.3%10 W · 20 L-1.6wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-42.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb8c4…7385backed 76ers19c2,692$511 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$511.4447542.3%201 W · 274 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb654…67d4backed 76ers15c2,598$380 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3805750.9%29 W · 28 L-2.6wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-4.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6cff…c3dabacked 76ers18c2,586$461 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$460.5718518.4%34 W · 151 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick19cpaid-15%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeb22…808abacked 76ers13c2,500$325 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32595641.7%399 W · 557 L+1.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xed5f…94acbacked 76ers5c2,450$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121742.9%3 W · 4 L+2.1wins+0.31per pick12cpaid+169.3%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xcacf…35ffbacked 76ers1c2,414$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.427211%7 W · 714 L-2.6wins0.00per pick1cpaid-32.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x101c…7df8backed 76ers14c2,380$333 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$333.28644.2%38 W · 48 L+0.3wins0.00per pick44cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfd1f…6623backed 76ers13c2,308$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3002445.8%11 W · 13 L0.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid-5.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe3ff…805cbacked 76ers13c2,308$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30042827.3%117 W · 311 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick27cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf7c4…5919backed 76ers3c2,222$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.6767911%75 W · 604 L+7.6wins+0.01per pick10cpaid-11%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked 76ers13c2,179$285 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2852,63036.7%966 W · 1,664 L-119.1wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-25.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x344b…f7fcbacked 76ers20c2,160$437 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$436.8446940.3%189 W · 280 L-7.0wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-17.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed 76ers10c2,151$215 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$214.781,34129.9%401 W · 940 L-53.8wins-0.04per pick34cpaid-35.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfb85…8464backed 76ers14c2,143$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30040041.5%166 W · 234 L-5.9wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf7bb…a9f7backed Thunder77c2,100$1,617 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4833844.7%17 W · 21 L-1.4wins-0.04per pick48cpaid+15.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe78e…55f0backed 76ers16c2,000$320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32034645.7%158 W · 188 L+12.9wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+6.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe9a9…3ba9backed 76ers15c2,000$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3003735.1%13 W · 24 L+1.6wins+0.04per pick31cpaid+37.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3697…f189backed 76ers6c1,693$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10065218.4%120 W · 532 L+12.0wins+0.02per pick17cpaid+0.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbf51…4a30backed 76ers15c1,667$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25076746.4%356 W · 411 L-16.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbe91…7b3dbacked 76ers13c1,631$212 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21219144.5%85 W · 106 L-4.4wins-0.02per pick47cpaid+1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaff3…6eccbacked 76ers11c1,583$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$174.5833139.3%130 W · 201 L-9.4wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-15%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd662…5d1dbacked 76ers14c1,571$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2206141%25 W · 36 L-9.9wins-0.16per pick57cpaid-32%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0xd1b2…a20cbacked 76ers14c1,571$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2206154.1%33 W · 28 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1b77…f234backed 76ers13c1,540$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200.21457.1%8 W · 6 L+2.8wins+0.20per pick37cpaid+54.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x182d…73e9backed 76ers13c1,538$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20040243.8%176 W · 226 L-1.3wins0.00per pick44cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7e58…b29abacked 76ers13c1,538$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200633.3%2 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.09per pick24cpaid-16.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3ff2…49febacked 76ers17c1,434$245 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24524634.6%85 W · 161 L-6.3wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-18.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0a53…8c81backed 76ers12c1,408$168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$167.9210027%27 W · 73 L-6.9wins-0.07per pick34cpaid-33.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x87ea…f625backed 76ers13c1,388$174 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$173.5124330.9%75 W · 168 L-11.5wins-0.05per pick36cpaid-17.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4f83…8c23backed 76ers12c1,384$166 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$166.134320.9%9 W · 34 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick19cpaid+9.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf9d8…65adbacked 76ers16c1,369$215 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$215.351450%7 W · 7 L+2.6wins+0.19per pick31cpaid+46.8%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x3b62…09d9backed 76ers14c1,368$185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1854431.8%14 W · 30 L+5.4wins+0.12per pick20cpaid+71.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x2575…bf1ebacked 76ers21c1,281$269 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2698530.6%26 W · 59 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick29cpaid+7.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf52d…6ddebacked 76ers16c1,241$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001553.3%8 W · 7 L-1.5wins-0.10per pick63cpaid-17.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x89f3…dfffbacked 76ers8c1,173$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.4434227.2%93 W · 249 L-8.4wins-0.02per pick30cpaid-17.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0619…d801backed 76ers15c1,100$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16522826.3%60 W · 168 L-10.3wins-0.05per pick31cpaid-18.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0140…f773backed 76ers18c1,085$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2005433.3%18 W · 36 L+6.2wins+0.12per pick22cpaid+57%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xf060…b07abacked 76ers13c1,032$134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$134.117231.9%23 W · 49 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick30cpaid-2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x38fa…87b5backed 76ers12c1,022$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$126.6633632.4%109 W · 227 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick32cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x977a…f2cabacked 76ers1c1,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101,2772.3%29 W · 1,248 L-11.7wins-0.01per pick3cpaid-84%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x44a0…c3b9backed Thunder77c1,000$770 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23027547.6%131 W · 144 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-11.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x10a7…8652backed 76ers14c1,000$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14013258.3%77 W · 55 L+3.4wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+6.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbddd…3d9abacked 76ers15c1,000$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1501735.3%6 W · 11 L-1.6wins-0.09per pick45cpaid-35.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5811…dd30backed 76ers14c1,000$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1403537.1%13 W · 22 L0.0wins0.00per pick37cpaid+8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x97ae…82bdbacked 76ers15c1,000$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15030826.6%82 W · 226 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick26cpaid-11.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf42a…8470backed 76ers7c1,000$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7134524.3%84 W · 261 L-7.0wins-0.02per pick26cpaid-1.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xab26…0c0cbacked 76ers12c999.99$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12030619.9%61 W · 245 L+4.6wins+0.02per pick18cpaid+11.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked 76ers6c999.87$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.621,19032%381 W · 809 L-58.1wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-34.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8efe…7b44backed 76ers20c980$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1962133.3%7 W · 14 L-2.6wins-0.12per pick46cpaid-29.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.