TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

76ers vs. Thunder: O/U 225.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$160,897
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$165,264

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $160,897 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 93 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4924…3782backed Over52c86,589$45,025 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41,564.4587451.5%450 W · 424 L+15.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbf42…d698backed Under48c62,400$29,952 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29,951.9817031.8%54 W · 116 L-24.9wins-0.15per pick46cpaid-31.5%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0x16b2…a881backed Under48c25,782$12,392 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,391.652,29851.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L+65.4wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x18d1…dbcbbacked Under50c20,103$10,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,0009641.7%40 W · 56 L-4.0wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-3.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x384c…2f59backed Over51c7,006$3,573 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,432.961080%8 W · 2 L+3.0wins+0.30per pick50cpaid+61%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Under49c5,000$2,450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,4501,82052.1%948 W · 872 L+48.5wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Under49c5,000$2,450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,4502,51249.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L+6.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Over51c4,830$2,445 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,385.799,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Over52c4,433$2,317 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,116.372,09147.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L-56.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbf51…4a30backed Under51c3,939$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,00076746.4%356 W · 411 L-16.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4278…0e92backed Over51c3,567$1,831 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,735.6341652.2%217 W · 199 L+1.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3800…1715backed Over51c2,941$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,441.18450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xece7…6979backed Over51c2,935$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,435.7212147.1%57 W · 64 L-3.6wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-8.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb230…4193backed Under48c2,898$1,391 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,391.2219351.3%99 W · 94 L-0.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Over49c2,002$991 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,011.025,05350.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L+110.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked Under13c1,643$206 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206.211,09640.9%448 W · 648 L+34.3wins+0.03per pick38cpaid-17%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc617…a854backed Over51c1,547$789 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$758.0942648.1%205 W · 221 L-5.1wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4366…c73ebacked Under47c1,474$693 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$693.068742.5%37 W · 50 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick43cpaid+1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc7e5…2d3abacked Over53c1,415$750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$665.0965339.5%258 W · 395 L-24.6wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-10.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x187b…26bfbacked Over52c1,211$630 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$581.3817348.6%84 W · 89 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa5a9…45ffbacked Over52c1,063$553 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$510.4623850%119 W · 119 L+1.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Under6c1,060$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.621,38439.4%545 W · 839 L+4.8wins0.00per pick39cpaid-21.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Over49c1,056$518 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$538.672,73646.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L-67.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7a30…8abdbacked Under52c1,035$535 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$535.4250754.2%275 W · 232 L+13.6wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd51b…9606backed Under49c1,021$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50010541%43 W · 62 L-11.1wins-0.11per pick52cpaid-23.8%equal weight41-0.09 edge/pick
0xe83c…5e8fbacked Over50c1,000$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5001,45149.7%721 W · 730 L+18.0wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf28e…cab2backed Over76c995.6$757 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$238.9456646.5%263 W · 303 L+16.2wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under49c785.67$385 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$384.984,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd903…bf9dbacked Over49c744.88$365 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$379.8944654.3%242 W · 204 L+21.5wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+5.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8d14…1eb4backed Over79c700.46$550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150.4637352%194 W · 179 L-7.7wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x15d5…ef7bbacked Over50c600$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3001,19838.8%465 W · 733 L+11.6wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6036…d2ccbacked Over51c589$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$288.6140648%195 W · 211 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x47c8…f30abacked Over53c426.23$226 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$200.3310149.5%50 W · 51 L+2.7wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed Over50c400$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2002,79650.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L+27.9wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe962…663abacked Over49c400$196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20484342.9%362 W · 481 L-39.1wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-11.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa4e1…d80bbacked Over52c400$208 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1926656.1%37 W · 29 L+3.4wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+9.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x37de…f512backed Over78c394.99$308 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.81,39026%361 W · 1,029 L-5.6wins0.00per pick26cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1733…1e15backed Over52c384.62$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$184.621,15747.9%554 W · 603 L-19.9wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9ae2…20a3backed Over52c384.62$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$184.6213951.1%71 W · 68 L-3.9wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-6.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5339…9da3backed Over54c331.48$177 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$153.9833258.7%195 W · 137 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick58cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x611a…e63ebacked Under10c300$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30437%3 W · 40 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick6cpaid-35.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe6f0…5701backed Under14c288.54$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.0531144.4%138 W · 173 L+6.2wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-7.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under13c232.26$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.922,63036.7%966 W · 1,664 L-119.1wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-25.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x64db…325bbacked Under50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001,25948.7%613 W · 646 L+1.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3fbc…9cf6backed Over52c192.31$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.3136649.5%181 W · 185 L+0.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x45c3…42f9backed Over54c185.19$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.1916852.4%88 W · 80 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+5.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x945a…a48cbacked Under7c166.26$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.3230616.7%51 W · 255 L-36.5wins-0.12per pick29cpaid-37.6%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x4465…baafbacked Under50c156.74$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.371747.1%8 W · 9 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-10.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe20a…e469backed Over51c149$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.422,36148.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L-41.8wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Under12c145$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.21,11341.6%463 W · 650 L-10.0wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-17.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x71af…6b3dbacked Over51c138.22$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.732142.9%9 W · 12 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-5.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3381…52bcbacked Under49c126.97$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.830%0 W · 3 L-1.6wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xa5dc…ec43backed Over52c120.57$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.8769049.4%341 W · 349 L-30.0wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-9.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x06d5…0417backed Over53c113.21$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.2134050.3%171 W · 169 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-7.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbe05…b5a5backed Over53c112.33$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.3333246.1%153 W · 179 L-12.1wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-4.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3a56…387cbacked Under50c103$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.3388845.7%406 W · 482 L-12.2wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-9.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed Over79c101.47$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.331,69544.7%758 W · 937 L-30.4wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-11.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4523…0be0backed Over52c100$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$483339.4%13 W · 20 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-14.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9d29…4083backed Over52c100$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4817341%71 W · 102 L-10.0wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-6.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe50b…c2a8backed Over52c100$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4865855.6%366 W · 292 L+27.0wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+11.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9c13…99b7backed Over52c100$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4847738.2%182 W · 295 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-4.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x3eb6…2abbbacked Under14c100$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148512.9%11 W · 74 L+5.2wins+0.06per pick7cpaid+61.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1a12…ec08backed Over75c100$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.7wins-0.21per pick58cpaid-46.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Under47c94.03$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.733,66841.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L-70.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5e5d…e82ebacked Over54c92.59$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.5914252.1%74 W · 68 L-3.1wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-0.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under31c92.29$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.248,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc5b5…7e80backed Under20c90.22$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.041,05549.9%526 W · 529 L+29.7wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Over51c78.7$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.561,66752.7%878 W · 789 L+45.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6fb3…c801backed Over53c77.36$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.366237.1%23 W · 39 L+0.1wins0.00per pick37cpaid+15.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x02b6…8f5fbacked Over57c69.66$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.664647.8%22 W · 24 L-6.3wins-0.14per pick61cpaid-23.1%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x93a8…4bf7backed Over53c66.04$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.041241.7%5 W · 7 L-1.3wins-0.10per pick52cpaid-20.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xbc69…78b3backed Over53c62.26$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.264151.2%21 W · 20 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-6.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd448…f700backed Over49c57.02$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.0810953.2%58 W · 51 L-0.4wins0.00per pick54cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0d20…f812backed Over49c51.02$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.0260346.4%280 W · 323 L-12.0wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Over50c50$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$252,65749.6%1,319 W · 1,338 L+42.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc7a8…6e4abacked Under48c50$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.5wins-0.17per pick51cpaid-26.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8ddb…420bbacked Over71c48.4$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.129458.5%172 W · 122 L+6.0wins+0.02per pick56cpaid-0.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc0af…5490backed Over52c48.08$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.0828856.9%164 W · 124 L-1.4wins0.00per pick57cpaid+1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x7602…2775backed Under37c40.5$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.9850648%243 W · 263 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbaf1…47a4backed Under50c40.3$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$207250%36 W · 36 L-0.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid+2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd5ad…5a42backed Over52c38.46$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.468452.4%44 W · 40 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6ae4…7c46backed Over79c37.13$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.833653.9%181 W · 155 L+13.4wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+5.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0fa7…2e1abacked Over55c35.22$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.852045%9 W · 11 L-1.5wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-18.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8afa…28f0backed Under42c31.47$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.3340750.6%206 W · 201 L+10.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x89e3…8fa1backed Under49c30.61$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.15per pick48cpaid-33.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xca61…f06abacked Over53c30$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.14250%21 W · 21 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-8.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xac27…18e7backed Over51c29.41$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.4141556.9%236 W · 179 L-7.7wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x49b6…6fd5backed Over54c27.78$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.787959.5%47 W · 32 L+2.7wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+6.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x93ae…ba41backed Over56c26.79$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.794544.4%20 W · 25 L+1.9wins+0.04per pick40cpaid+38.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb6f8…256ebacked Over57c26.32$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.329547.4%45 W · 50 L-3.6wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-8.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8f38…c7e6backed Under48c25.81$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.3910%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x581b…f083backed Over52c25.56$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.274257.1%24 W · 18 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-0.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Over75c15.23$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.813,99548.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L+101.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.