NBA · resolved market
76ers vs. Thunder: O/U 227.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf27c707f9ab81c9590493f1bab1dcafc18aaa62b72f2324a2582ce22993953d3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $34,839
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $35,071
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $34,839 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 51 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0352…3292backed Under | 53c | 8,393$4,479 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,479.29 | 101 | 58.4%59 W · 42 L | +7.4wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x39fd…5a3fbacked Over | 47c | 6,400$3,008 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,392 | 199 | 58.3%116 W · 83 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d1…4660backed Under | 3c | 3,476$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.27 | 390 | 18.2%71 W · 319 L | +27.6wins | +0.07per pick | 11cpaid | +62.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 45c | 2,108$951 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$951.31 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14fa…cfb0backed Over | 48c | 2,090$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,089.58 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe962…663abacked Over | 55c | 2,000$1,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$900 | 843 | 42.9%362 W · 481 L | -39.1wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 52c | 1,579$828 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$827.9 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x89bd…3f72backed Under | 53c | 1,220$647 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$646.6 | 112 | 43.8%49 W · 63 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…bfc2backed Over | 50c | 1,188$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$588.11 | 2,435 | 49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L | +30.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 46c | 1,011$465 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$545.94 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd5b0…60e7backed Under | 50c | 840.3$418 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$418.4 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -5.2wins | -0.29per pick | 51cpaid | -57.6%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 55c | 766$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$345.99 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15d5…ef7bbacked Over | 46c | 600$276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$324 | 1,198 | 38.8%465 W · 733 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1015…c873backed Over | 47c | 416.52$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.94 | 627 | 44.5%279 W · 348 L | -12.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x426f…e76bbacked Over | 47c | 416$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.48 | 176 | 44.9%79 W · 97 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd947…9b61backed Under | 53c | 300$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159 | 287 | 51.9%149 W · 138 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb3f…e8a6backed Over | 67c | 297.42$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.42 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 69cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb230…4193backed Under | 53c | 296$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.88 | 193 | 51.3%99 W · 94 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Over | 47c | 296$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.88 | 1,667 | 52.7%878 W · 789 L | +45.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe463…f7b2backed Over | 46c | 280$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.2 | 73 | 41.1%30 W · 43 L | -3.7wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xae53…d80bbacked Under | 55c | 272.73$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 409 | 52.1%213 W · 196 L | +16.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe47b…1b4bbacked Over | 49c | 200$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 357 | 39.8%142 W · 215 L | -25.0wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3f…44f1backed Over | 51c | 197.84$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.84 | 254 | 52.8%134 W · 120 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c94…a43bbacked Under | 53c | 184.82$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.95 | 511 | 46.6%238 W · 273 L | -13.7wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Under | 32c | 183.64$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.87 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Over | 47c | 158.94$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.83 | 2,361 | 48.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7602…2775backed Under | 34c | 140.72$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.48 | 506 | 48%243 W · 263 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Over | 46c | 100$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 1,475 | 51.3%756 W · 719 L | +35.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee20…5b37backed Under | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 503 | 47.9%241 W · 262 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70a1…978abacked Under | 54c | 96.3$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 88 | 50%44 W · 44 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x85c2…9730backed Under | 54c | 83.33$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 685 | 42.6%292 W · 393 L | -6.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x243c…9ae0backed Under | 55c | 81.82$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 383 | 47%180 W · 203 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa852…d55dbacked Over | 60c | 76.43$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.86 | 53 | 39.6%21 W · 32 L | -3.4wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x086f…8bc3backed Over | 45c | 76$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.8 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Under | 53c | 75.47$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 2,602 | 50.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L | -20.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Over | 46c | 75$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.75 | 2,657 | 49.6%1,319 W · 1,338 L | +42.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d84…6df0backed Under | 54c | 73.44$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.43 | 138 | 44.2%61 W · 77 L | -6.3wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x49c4…3f14backed Under | 55c | 68.16$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.49 | 83 | 47%39 W · 44 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d28…7a6dbacked Over | 48c | 62.85$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.93 | 938 | 49.7%466 W · 472 L | +36.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Under | 25c | 59$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.54 | 1,786 | 53.2%950 W · 836 L | +52.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x474b…c5b1backed Under | 55c | 53.73$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.55 | 90 | 50%45 W · 45 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 49c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.5 | 3,341 | 53.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L | +108.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe70c…c938backed Over | 49c | 49.18$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.08 | 745 | 47.2%352 W · 393 L | -13.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72a1…1950backed Under | 25c | 40.72$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 381 | 52.8%201 W · 180 L | +18.2wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x72ea…d4f2backed Over | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 120 | 52.5%63 W · 57 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a81…b783backed Under | 55c | 36.32$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.98 | 40 | 32.5%13 W · 27 L | -6.8wins | -0.17per pick | 49cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Under | 44c | 33.73$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.73 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac98…7281backed Over | 52c | 28.85$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.85 | 421 | 43.7%184 W · 237 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5373…e46bbacked Under | 55c | 26.87$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.78 | 87 | 44.8%39 W · 48 L | -4.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x47e5…9b73backed Under | 54c | 21.11$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 425 | 51.3%218 W · 207 L | -7.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ae5…1fe0backed Under | 52c | 20.62$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.72 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- 76ers vs. Thunder: O/U 227.5this page
- 1H Spread: Thunder (-8.5)76ers won
- 1H Spread: Thunder (-9.5)76ers won
- 76ers vs. ThunderThunder won
- 76ers vs. Thunder: 1H MoneylineThunder won
- 76ers vs. Thunder: 1H O/U 115.5Over won
- 76ers vs. Thunder: 1H O/U 116.5Over won
- 76ers vs. Thunder: 1H O/U 117.5Over won
- 76ers vs. Thunder: O/U 225.5Over won
- 76ers vs. Thunder: O/U 226.5Over won
- 76ers vs. Thunder: O/U 228.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.