NBA · resolved market
76ers vs. Thunder: O/U 226.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa662a7f07a922d8eb6cfb3fdedab7902e4db71df4d1dc24c43f9918c4601139c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $75,487
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $76,201
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $75,487 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 57 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd0b4…fed6backed Under | 51c | 46,591$23,761 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23,761.45 | 200 | 55%110 W · 90 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x937c…2d35backed Over | 49c | 10,204$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,204.08 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa0e2…8433backed Over | 49c | 10,204$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,204.08 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 50cpaid | -32%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8cd8…7867backed Over | 49c | 9,592$4,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,891.84 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.9wins | +0.31per pick | 52cpaid | +61.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1748…a816backed Over | 49c | 9,196$4,506 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,689.92 | 173 | 44.5%77 W · 96 L | -6.3wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Under | 50c | 8,941$4,507 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,507.14 | 2,298 | 51.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L | +65.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0175…24f8backed Over | 49c | 4,890$2,396 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,493.8 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d1…4660backed Under | 3c | 4,620$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.6 | 390 | 18.2%71 W · 319 L | +27.6wins | +0.07per pick | 11cpaid | +62.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5cce…5c2fbacked Over | 49c | 4,082$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,081.63 | 162 | 54.3%88 W · 74 L | +7.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x384c…2f59backed Over | 48c | 2,708$1,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,408.33 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +3.0wins | +0.30per pick | 50cpaid | +61%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x39fd…5a3fbacked Over | 49c | 2,700$1,323 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,377 | 199 | 58.3%116 W · 83 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…bfc2backed Over | 50c | 2,388$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,188.1 | 2,435 | 49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L | +30.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Over | 56c | 2,213$1,236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$976.57 | 1,910 | 54.3%1,038 W · 872 L | +25.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc617…a854backed Over | 48c | 2,113$1,014 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,098.93 | 426 | 48.1%205 W · 221 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe5f…d795backed Over | 49c | 1,033$506 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$527.16 | 270 | 51.5%139 W · 131 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 44c | 1,018$448 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$447.92 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Under | 51c | 925$472 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$471.75 | 1,715 | 44.5%764 W · 951 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Over | 51c | 909.62$462 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$448 | 2,796 | 50.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L | +27.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ed4…4547backed Over | 49c | 630.2$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320.1 | 193 | 51.8%100 W · 93 L | -5.1wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Under | 44c | 596$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.24 | 2,736 | 46.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L | -67.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15d5…ef7bbacked Under | 44c | 452.19$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.97 | 1,198 | 38.8%465 W · 733 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Over | 49c | 408.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.16 | 1,157 | 47.9%554 W · 603 L | -19.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fc…da76backed Over | 49c | 375$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.25 | 851 | 47.5%404 W · 447 L | -7.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 49c | 372$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.88 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c94…a43bbacked Under | 51c | 362.43$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.84 | 511 | 46.6%238 W · 273 L | -13.7wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Over | 48c | 243.34$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.53 | 2,361 | 48.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6236…6881backed Over | 48c | 210$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.2 | 237 | 48.1%114 W · 123 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Over | 48c | 200$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104 | 1,197 | 47.5%569 W · 628 L | -32.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4556…2b35backed Under | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 129 | 52.7%68 W · 61 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe622…18cabacked Under | 53c | 180.73$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.99 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa42a…d91fbacked Over | 49c | 176$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.76 | 623 | 47.5%296 W · 327 L | -17.3wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Over | 50c | 158.99$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.26 | 1,695 | 44.7%758 W · 937 L | -30.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc468…530fbacked Under | 50c | 116.21$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.11 | 94 | 43.6%41 W · 53 L | -12.3wins | -0.13per pick | 57cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc210…39fcbacked Over | 53c | 112.5$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.87 | 231 | 53.2%123 W · 108 L | +6.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d6…14d9backed Under | 52c | 100$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 139 | 46.8%65 W · 74 L | +11.6wins | +0.08per pick | 38cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x15a3…718ebacked Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 113 | 51.3%58 W · 55 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc1d…ff79backed Under | 51c | 98.63$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 56 | 46.4%26 W · 30 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Over | 49c | 96.19$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.23 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e46…0742backed Under | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 239 | 48.5%116 W · 123 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc599…2cecbacked Over | 53c | 86.15$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.49 | 734 | 45.5%334 W · 400 L | +8.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4465…baafbacked Under | 52c | 74.71$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.58 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1889…0714backed Under | 51c | 69.8$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.6 | 210 | 56.2%118 W · 92 L | +10.9wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2d61…d43cbacked Over | 46c | 62$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.28 | 288 | 52.8%152 W · 136 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1787…c311backed Over | 50c | 60$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 1,444 | 58.1%839 W · 605 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e68…d99bbacked Over | 52c | 50$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 100 | 57%57 W · 43 L | +5.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa965…3565backed Over | 47c | 49.12$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.04 | 1,911 | 45.4%868 W · 1,043 L | +22.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 49c | 47.36$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.25 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d28…7a6dbacked Over | 49c | 46.07$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.54 | 938 | 49.7%466 W · 472 L | +36.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3381…52bcbacked Under | 54c | 45.18$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.4 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa60b…c728backed Over | 47c | 41.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.08 | 340 | 53.8%183 W · 157 L | +16.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3f1f…f56bbacked Over | 47c | 35.98$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.07 | 273 | 50.9%139 W · 134 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x864c…735fbacked Over | 47c | 32$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.96 | 326 | 49.7%162 W · 164 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Under | 38c | 30.86$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.78 | 1,786 | 53.2%950 W · 836 L | +52.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3dcf…4eb4backed Over | 49c | 29.78$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.19 | 874 | 53.3%466 W · 408 L | +19.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7602…2775backed Over | 48c | 26.23$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.65 | 506 | 48%243 W · 263 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe601…c728backed Under | 48c | 21$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 63 | 46%29 W · 34 L | -5.2wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe5bc…a233backed Under | 51c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 69 | 53.6%37 W · 32 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- 76ers vs. Thunder: O/U 226.5this page
- 1H Spread: Thunder (-8.5)76ers won
- 1H Spread: Thunder (-9.5)76ers won
- 76ers vs. ThunderThunder won
- 76ers vs. Thunder: 1H MoneylineThunder won
- 76ers vs. Thunder: 1H O/U 115.5Over won
- 76ers vs. Thunder: 1H O/U 116.5Over won
- 76ers vs. Thunder: 1H O/U 117.5Over won
- 76ers vs. Thunder: O/U 225.5Over won
- 76ers vs. Thunder: O/U 227.5Over won
- 76ers vs. Thunder: O/U 228.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.