TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x6fb3…c801

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
120
Categories scored
16
Categories below 50
10

Best Category: Fifa International, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category Fifa International at 55 out of 100; worst NFL at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 3, 2026, EDT6237.1%23 W · 39 L+0.1wins0.00per pick37cpaid+15.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NBA — the 62 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$111Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$111.48
Will Giannis Antetokounmpo be traded to the New York Knicks?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$189Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$188.57
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$1,255Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$1,255
Hornets vs. Clippersbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Lakers vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST+316.7%+$63.33
Jazz vs. Cavaliersbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST+525%+$84
Hornets vs. Jazzbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Spurs vs. Celticsbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+100%+$25
Bucks vs. Lakersbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+279%+$125.56
Mavericks vs. Jazzbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST+212.5%+$31.88
Raptors vs. Hornetsbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$60
Clippers vs. Knicksbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Wizards vs. 76ersbacked Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Bulls vs. Pistonsbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Timberwolves vs. Heatbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Magic vs. Bullsbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+170.3%+$68.11
Nuggets vs. Cavaliersbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Kings vs. Clippers: O/U 223.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$45
Celtics vs. Jazzbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$30
Spread: Knicks (-8.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$40
Timberwolves vs. Bullsbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$30
Nuggets vs. Heatbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST+117.4%+$23.48
Hawks vs. Thunder: O/U 235.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST+117.4%+$29.35
Suns vs. Wizards: 1H Moneylinebacked Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST-100%-$25
Pistons vs. Clippersbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Showing 25 of 62 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Jan 10, 2026, EST1833.3%6 W · 12 L-1.8wins-0.10per pick44cpaid-5.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
NFL — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Rams vs. Panthersbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$60
Spread: Rams (-7.5)backed Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$40
Eagles vs. Billsbacked Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+150%+$60
Giants vs. Raidersbacked Raiders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$30
Saints vs. Titansbacked Saints · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+88.7%+$35.47
Jaguars vs. Colts: O/U 48.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$30
Broncos vs. Chiefs: O/U 36.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Spread: Broncos (-13.5)backed Broncos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Lions vs. Vikingsbacked Vikings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST+316.7%+$47.5
Spread: Lions (-7.5)backed Lions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Cowboys vs. Commandersbacked Commanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST-100%-$15
Spread: Ravens (-2.5)backed Ravens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Steelers vs. Lionsbacked Steelers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST+303.3%+$75.83
Falcons vs. Cardinalsbacked Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST+108.3%+$21.67
Dolphins vs. Steelersbacked Dolphins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Panthers vs. Saintsbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Commanders vs. Giantsbacked Commanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+132.6%+$26.51
Eagles vs. Chargersbacked Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$223Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST-100%-$223
All 18 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Jan 13, 2026, EST1637.5%6 W · 10 L-1.5wins-0.09per pick47cpaid-20.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
NHL — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Stars vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$60
Hurricanes vs. Red Wingsbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$60
Canucks vs. Canadiensbacked Canucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$60
Panthers vs. Sabresbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST+108.3%+$65
Kraken vs. Ducksbacked Kraken · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST+150%+$37.5
Canucks vs. Flyersbacked Canucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST-100%-$45
Hurricanes vs. Predatorsbacked Predators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Kings vs. Panthers: O/U 5.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST+112.8%+$22.55
Oilers vs. Penguinsbacked Penguins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 17, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Capitals vs. Wildbacked Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 17, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Utah vs. Bruinsbacked Utah · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Blackhawks vs. Maple Leafsbacked Blackhawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Senators vs. Jetsbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2025, EST-100%-$30
Panthers vs. Lightning: O/U 5.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2025, EST+78.6%+$23.57
Flames vs. Kingsbacked Flames · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+122.2%+$24.44
Red Wings vs. Flamesbacked Red Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$430Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2025, EST+96.1%+$413.14
All 16 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT650%3 W · 3 L+1.3wins+0.21per pick29cpaid+69.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier Leaguelast resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.30per pick45cpaid+67.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Premier League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Weather Inactivelast resolved Dec 26, 2025, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Weather — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Jan 27, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will RB Leipzig win on 2026-01-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST-100%-$120
Will 1. FC Köln win on 2026-01-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$120
All 2 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Dec 16, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.87per pick13cpaid+669.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Tweets — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from December 9 to December 16, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2025, EST+669.2%+$100.38
All 1 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Dec 15, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+117.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Yakutou Brothers vs Passion UA (BO3)backed Passion UA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2025, EST+117.4%+$23.48
All 1 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Dec 14, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+88.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC Fight Night: Charrière vs. Costa (Featherweight, Main Card)backed Costa · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+88.7%+$39.02
All 1 picks, newest first.
WNBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 4, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
WNBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Atlanta Dream vs. Indiana Feverbacked Atlanta Dream · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.58
All 1 picks, newest first.
Boxing Inactivelast resolved Dec 20, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Boxing — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Jake Paul win his boxing match against Anthony Joshua?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$34.68
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Dec 23, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST-100%-$30
All 1 picks, newest first.
Australian A League Inactivelast resolved Dec 20, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Australian A League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Australian A League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Melbourne City FC win on 2025-12-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$19
All 1 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Feb 18, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Villarreal CF win on 2025-12-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.