TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NHL · resolved market

Kings vs. Panthers: O/U 5.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$329,229
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$345,220

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $329,229 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 178 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NHL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x16b2…a881backed Under47c197,571$91,899 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105,672.6988151.2%451 W · 430 L+10.4wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6a72…33eebacked Over54c107,669$58,141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58,141.371,34554.8%737 W · 608 L+21.0wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x37e4…c991backed Over54c71,238$38,469 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38,468.757946.8%37 W · 42 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-5.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1117…3532backed Over53c26,739$14,278 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,277.7756649.5%280 W · 286 L-7.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf1ff…e56abacked Under47c23,187$10,810 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,376.645749.1%28 W · 29 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc350…3669backed Over51c19,504$9,947 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,947.0830944.7%138 W · 171 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-8.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x67ae…24c4backed Over52c11,800$6,134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,13420%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x29a3…d38dbacked Under48c11,600$5,568 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,0322100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1341…0853backed Over51c10,000$5,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,10041850%209 W · 209 L+7.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x84cb…28adbacked Under65c9,950$6,485 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,464.923754.1%20 W · 17 L-1.6wins-0.04per pick58cpaid-8.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x869b…c625backed Under47c9,899$4,653 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,246.734665.2%30 W · 16 L+4.7wins+0.10per pick55cpaid+21.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xb7f5…c669backed Over53c9,000$4,770 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,77051045.5%232 W · 278 L-9.3wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Over53c8,435$4,471 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,470.651,94849.4%962 W · 986 L+24.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf5f2…0234backed Under48c7,953$3,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,152.9210554.3%57 W · 48 L+8.7wins+0.08per pick46cpaid+15.7%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Over48c5,369$2,594 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,593.721,40647%661 W · 745 L+58.6wins+0.04per pick43cpaid-0.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x52b4…34a8backed Under46c5,000$2,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,70022150.2%111 W · 110 L+8.4wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+11.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x57a8…6933backed Under46c4,060$1,868 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,192.438844.6%173 W · 215 L-17.1wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe7ca…a175backed Under45c3,353$1,509 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,84413333.1%44 W · 89 L-11.9wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-22%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x2195…16f9backed Over52c2,885$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,5004440.9%18 W · 26 L-3.4wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-18.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4ba4…8a89backed Over55c2,500$1,375 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,3754837.5%18 W · 30 L-4.1wins-0.09per pick46cpaid-19.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x8e68…d99bbacked Under46c2,011$925 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,086.2728652.4%150 W · 136 L+6.1wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe0db…f44ebacked Under46c2,000$920 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,08039752.1%207 W · 190 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Over52c1,844$959 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$959.131,44149.2%709 W · 732 L+6.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Over63c1,750$1,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,100.352,31446.5%1,075 W · 1,239 L-7.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbd5c…8ae8backed Under46c1,522$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$821.741127.3%3 W · 8 L-2.5wins-0.23per pick50cpaid-44.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xc7e5…2d3abacked Over54c1,389$750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75043743%188 W · 249 L+16.7wins+0.04per pick39cpaid+9.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Under46c1,280$589 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$691.21,67954.4%914 W · 765 L+36.6wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfb85…8464backed Over40c1,237$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5003151.6%16 W · 15 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc8b4…f05dbacked Over40c1,079$431 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$431.419555.4%108 W · 87 L+9.2wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+8.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x14f3…0c3dbacked Under46c950$437 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51314848%71 W · 77 L-0.7wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd4da…3175backed Over54c887.96$479 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$479.528251.8%146 W · 136 L+8.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+4.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over20c771.04$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154.762,11242.9%907 W · 1,205 L-10.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-9.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Under44c766.97$337 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$429.51,23053.7%661 W · 569 L-9.1wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Under47c709.7$330 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$379.461,53051.7%791 W · 739 L+22.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8eb1…0812backed Under46c700$322 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3781850%9 W · 9 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd8f6…15fbbacked Over53c681.48$363 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3631540%6 W · 9 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick36cpaid-11%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9852…111abacked Over54c677.78$366 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3668845.5%40 W · 48 L-8.5wins-0.10per pick55cpaid-18.3%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x273c…7a42backed Over54c604.19$326 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$326.2618159.7%108 W · 73 L+8.3wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+7.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1f74…558dbacked Over55c593.1$329 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$328.562065%13 W · 7 L+2.8wins+0.14per pick51cpaid+23.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Over39c576.88$224 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$223.952,66451.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L+58.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb428…13bfbacked Over55c545.45$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3005240.4%21 W · 31 L-4.0wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-16.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x67c3…5cc8backed Over55c545.45$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3003070%21 W · 9 L+3.1wins+0.10per pick60cpaid+13.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x04ca…b334backed Over56c535.86$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30030%0 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa07d…9871backed Over55c500$275 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27532451.2%166 W · 158 L+18.3wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+6.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4602…3315backed Under45c470.4$212 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$258.728956.2%50 W · 39 L+5.4wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+13.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed Under48c417.84$199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$218.991,14350.8%581 W · 562 L+11.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x740b…1d47backed Over48c412.41$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2007553.3%40 W · 35 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5ad5…37b9backed Under14c407.86$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$351.197230.6%22 W · 50 L+14.5wins+0.20per pick10cpaid+218.9%equal weight67+0.15 edge/pick
0x1244…c851backed Under45c399.98$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$219.9922248.2%107 W · 115 L-5.2wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-5.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x42b5…b5b6backed Under48c340.92$164 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$177.281,37749.1%676 W · 701 L+39.2wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc8ab…4f9cbacked Under46c326.09$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$176.0916056.3%90 W · 70 L+11.6wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+15.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe83c…5e8fbacked Over49c309.8$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151.872847.9%349 W · 379 L-1.7wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7cb2…f12fbacked Under51c300$153 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1475448.1%26 W · 28 L-2.6wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6b3a…2841backed Under46c300$138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16276450.4%385 W · 379 L+7.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb63f…2dabbacked Over52c300$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$156850%4 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4a59…eb2ebacked Under46c300$138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16237649.7%187 W · 189 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Under47c295.65$138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$157.1793953.6%503 W · 436 L+29.6wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1b23…39fdbacked Over51c294.12$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1503842.1%16 W · 22 L-1.9wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-6.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x033f…618ebacked Under30c272.91$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$191.518262.1%113 W · 69 L+15.6wins+0.09per pick53cpaid+18.5%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x6d01…0ab1backed Under46c257.85$119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$139.2475946.6%354 W · 405 L-3.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Under48c242.13$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$126.911,14051.5%587 W · 553 L+40.1wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+4.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6236…6881backed Under46c220$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.820446.6%95 W · 109 L+0.7wins0.00per pick46cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3fbc…9cf6backed Under46c217.39$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.3930447.4%144 W · 160 L-6.6wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd1a8…1b66backed Under46c215.23$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.2212250%61 W · 61 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe025…102fbacked Under47c212.77$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.7712756.7%72 W · 55 L+11.4wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+19.8%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xf3d8…c8c0backed Under48c211$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.722948.3%14 W · 15 L-2.3wins-0.08per pick56cpaid-17.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa8f3…e544backed Under48c210$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.262447.3%295 W · 329 L+0.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4390…37e7backed Under48c200$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-3.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7681…ac03backed Over55c200$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11027334.4%94 W · 179 L+12.7wins+0.05per pick30cpaid+22%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9fa6…0b3bbacked Over53c200$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1071546.7%7 W · 8 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-11.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0ad2…71f8backed Under46c200$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10912250.8%62 W · 60 L+6.3wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+12.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under44c199.93$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.961,19050.7%603 W · 587 L+13.3wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5b20…99e9backed Under46c195.65$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.651,09351.8%566 W · 527 L+14.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa1d7…a70cbacked Over54c185.19$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10030946.3%143 W · 166 L-7.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-8.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9e03…7f54backed Over54c185$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.91747.1%8 W · 9 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-20%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x454a…4039backed Under48c180$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.62245.5%10 W · 12 L-1.6wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-15%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4a87…fb21backed Under47c165$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.4538551.4%198 W · 187 L+0.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid+1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb589…33d4backed Over20c157.54$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.5113435.8%48 W · 86 L+4.9wins+0.04per pick32cpaid+0.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xeb7d…d9dfbacked Under47c156.73$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.15955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+6.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdb12…f057backed Under46c150$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8123249.1%114 W · 118 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Under46c150$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8179251.1%405 W · 387 L+21.7wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Under31c132.5$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.262951.2%322 W · 307 L+18.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcbd9…0a88backed Over55c125.45$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6920%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xed3f…0ab8backed Under45c125.09$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.85453.7%29 W · 25 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3297…a2c5backed Over40c125$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50825%2 W · 6 L-1.6wins-0.20per pick45cpaid-52.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa774…005fbacked Over55c120$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6614245.1%64 W · 78 L-12.5wins-0.09per pick54cpaid-16.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x38e9…e56bbacked Over52c118$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.3610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd323…64acbacked Over54c111.11$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60955.6%5 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-2.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xf13b…9ef9backed Over54c107.2$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.9649053.7%263 W · 227 L-1.2wins0.00per pick54cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf0fd…5903backed Over56c107.14$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$608949.4%44 W · 45 L-3.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-3.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8717…49a8backed Under47c105.81$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.0830152.5%158 W · 143 L+17.8wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+12.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Under46c105$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.747249.2%232 W · 240 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x34fa…f491backed Under46c100$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5459950.4%302 W · 297 L+20.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+7.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe7c6…5210backed Over51c100$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5110652.8%56 W · 50 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbe3c…a835backed Under47c100$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-0.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5124…91bbbacked Over51c100$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$517248.6%35 W · 37 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x15e3…009fbacked Over55c100$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5538857.2%222 W · 166 L+8.8wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb545…6e0abacked Under30c100$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$707544%33 W · 42 L+5.3wins+0.07per pick37cpaid+8.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa43a…4056backed Under48c100$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52560%3 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.13per pick47cpaid+24.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x591a…aec2backed Over53c99.99$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5313644.9%61 W · 75 L-6.5wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-9.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.