NHL · resolved market
Spread: Panthers (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1e2900a3ce5b812e56bb31b234b679b5853b79d85390654c3f8e8ae195ad7387
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Kingsof Panthers, Kings
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $20,274
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $20,181
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,274 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 52 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x01b4…372ebacked Panthers | 1c | 12,000$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 217 | 4.1%9 W · 208 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84cb…28adbacked Kings | 73c | 3,130$2,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$830.05 | 37 | 54.1%20 W · 17 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Panthers | 27c | 2,169$591 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$591.39 | 881 | 51.2%451 W · 430 L | +10.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Panthers | 31c | 785$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.97 | 2,314 | 46.5%1,075 W · 1,239 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Panthers | 31c | 636.35$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.31 | 1,406 | 47%661 W · 745 L | +58.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Kings | 67c | 589.87$396 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.42 | 2,664 | 51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Kings | 64c | 588.33$377 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.8 | 1,441 | 49.2%709 W · 732 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2160…bcb3backed Panthers | 36c | 555.56$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 403 | 40.9%165 W · 238 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Kings | 65c | 508.33$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178 | 1,679 | 54.4%914 W · 765 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4103…9b9ebacked Panthers | 35c | 500$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175 | 288 | 42%121 W · 167 L | -12.4wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x93a2…5181backed Panthers | 36c | 319.44$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115 | 50 | 52%26 W · 24 L | +5.6wins | +0.11per pick | 41cpaid | +65.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x102f…9b6ebacked Kings | 65c | 161$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.35 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb12…f057backed Kings | 64c | 150$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 232 | 49.1%114 W · 118 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…b1b1backed Panthers | 36c | 138.89$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 268 | 48.5%130 W · 138 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Panthers | 35c | 136.14$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.03 | 1,948 | 49.4%962 W · 986 L | +24.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba36…52d0backed Kings | 65c | 127$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.45 | 47 | 46.8%22 W · 25 L | -3.0wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…5ab9backed Kings | 65c | 116$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.6 | 61 | 67.2%41 W · 20 L | +9.8wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x2000…df78backed Panthers | 34c | 90$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.6 | 57 | 42.1%24 W · 33 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Kings | 65c | 87.13$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.84 | 484 | 52.3%253 W · 231 L | +14.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked Kings | 65c | 85.07$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.78 | 454 | 47.8%217 W · 237 L | -17.4wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9a4e…e3a4backed Panthers | 35c | 80$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +2.9wins | +0.14per pick | 51cpaid | +26%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0fed…0d78backed Kings | 65c | 68$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.8 | 42 | 40.5%17 W · 25 L | -5.7wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9773…67e8backed Kings | 65c | 65$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.75 | 47 | 55.3%26 W · 21 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc7c…666cbacked Panthers | 36c | 55.56$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.0wins | -0.20per pick | 50cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3c78…1af0backed Panthers | 36c | 55.56$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 43 | 58.1%25 W · 18 L | +2.4wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x38a6…bbd5backed Panthers | 35c | 55$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.25 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +1.8wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1600…5a08backed Panthers | 36c | 50$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 127 | 35.4%45 W · 82 L | -9.0wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3fa2…6f8cbacked Kings | 65c | 50$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.5 | 42 | 59.5%25 W · 17 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed Kings | 64c | 49.76$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.91 | 481 | 49.3%237 W · 244 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d4d…8b2cbacked Panthers | 37c | 47.3$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x042e…f947backed Kings | 64c | 47.06$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.94 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | +2.3wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa60b…c728backed Panthers | 33c | 43.49$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.35 | 264 | 48.9%129 W · 135 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc856…0aa5backed Panthers | 35c | 40$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -2.6wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf21a…0751backed Panthers | 35c | 39$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.65 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1787…c311backed Panthers | 36c | 38.89$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 696 | 53.4%372 W · 324 L | -16.8wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d19…0b39backed Panthers | 35c | 38$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.3 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +1.5wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x480a…e3c9backed Panthers | 35c | 38$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.3 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -1.5wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe11a…d47ebacked Panthers | 35c | 36$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 21 | 71.4%15 W · 6 L | +4.7wins | +0.22per pick | 49cpaid | +43.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf447…3fe7backed Panthers | 35c | 36$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2877…dc5bbacked Panthers | 35c | 33$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.55 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -2.7wins | -0.20per pick | 55cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0fad…aa0fbacked Kings | 64c | 30$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.8 | 130 | 46.2%60 W · 70 L | -7.0wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa48d…b023backed Kings | 64c | 30$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.8 | 198 | 48.5%96 W · 102 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb590…15d3backed Kings | 67c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.9 | 481 | 61.3%295 W · 186 L | +21.3wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51ec…a7b9backed Panthers | 36c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 142 | 20.4%29 W · 113 L | -7.3wins | -0.05per pick | 26cpaid | -24%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0bd3…c066backed Kings | 67c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.9 | 84 | 58.3%49 W · 35 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb95e…c6d6backed Kings | 64c | 30$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.8 | 172 | 49.4%85 W · 87 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f1f…f56bbacked Kings | 64c | 30$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.8 | 204 | 47.5%97 W · 107 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7398…f4b6backed Kings | 64c | 30$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.8 | 196 | 45.4%89 W · 107 L | -8.0wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xedb5…ce8ebacked Kings | 67c | 29.85$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.85 | 132 | 46.2%61 W · 71 L | -8.3wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcd53…a861backed Kings | 65c | 28$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.8 | 40 | 55%22 W · 18 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b74…b58fbacked Kings | 79c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.25 | 62 | 71%44 W · 18 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 70cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2dd…ea96backed Kings | 69c | 18.18$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.73 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Panthers (-1.5)this page
- Kings vs. PanthersPanthers won
- Kings vs. Panthers: O/U 5.5Under won
- Kings vs. Panthers: O/U 6.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.