NHL · resolved market
Kings vs. Panthers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x601356e405984bd7ee3b656cecae2dd6e90f98e10b69f2459290a9641547c117
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Panthersof Kings, Panthers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $614,887
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $641,916
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $614,887 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 1,086 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb230…4193backed Panthers | 57c | 40,000$22,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,199.91 | 78 | 50%39 W · 39 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Kings | 56c | 36,062$20,349 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,349.31 | 1,345 | 54.8%737 W · 608 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ff…e56abacked Kings | 43c | 33,145$14,252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,252.27 | 57 | 49.1%28 W · 29 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Panthers | 61c | 29,301$17,775 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,525.59 | 387 | 48.3%187 W · 200 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37e4…c991backed Kings | 43c | 29,028$12,482 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,482.13 | 79 | 46.8%37 W · 42 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ba6…0f07backed Kings | 44c | 25,000$11,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,000 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -2.0wins | -0.16per pick | 46cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked Kings | 42c | 20,003$8,496 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,496.14 | 243 | 49.8%121 W · 122 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68dd…f0b2backed Panthers | 57c | 20,000$11,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,599.95 | 254 | 49.2%125 W · 129 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60b2…3ccebacked Kings | 43c | 20,000$8,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,499.92 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Panthers | 58c | 18,728$10,862 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,865.76 | 1,434 | 50.8%728 W · 706 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x869b…c625backed Panthers | 57c | 15,727$8,964 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,762.55 | 46 | 65.2%30 W · 16 L | +4.7wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Panthers | 57c | 13,828$7,912 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,916.32 | 1,948 | 49.4%962 W · 986 L | +24.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…4c40backed Panthers | 36c | 12,393$4,477 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,915.87 | 263 | 44.5%117 W · 146 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Kings | 43c | 10,000$4,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,300 | 425 | 52.2%222 W · 203 L | +25.0wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xead0…f3babacked Kings | 42c | 10,000$4,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,199.97 | 329 | 46.8%154 W · 175 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1467…4372backed Panthers | 58c | 8,621$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,620.69 | 321 | 51.7%166 W · 155 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x69a9…e082backed Panthers | 57c | 8,000$4,560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,440 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5389…73c6backed Kings | 44c | 8,000$3,520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,520 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x25cc…9297backed Kings | 42c | 8,000$3,360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,359.93 | 54 | 48.1%26 W · 28 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Kings | 43c | 7,974$3,429 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,428.88 | 1,891 | 52.4%991 W · 900 L | +36.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x11b5…0d05backed Panthers | 57c | 7,889$4,459 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,429.9 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.4wins | +0.12per pick | 46cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a84…e60bbacked Panthers | 57c | 6,900$3,933 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,966.98 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f7f…f691backed Kings | 43c | 6,887$2,961 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,961.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Panthers | 67c | 6,002$4,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,962.88 | 387 | 38%147 W · 240 L | -13.9wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3450…6793backed Kings | 22c | 5,910$1,311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,311 | 68 | 33.8%23 W · 45 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Panthers | 57c | 5,342$3,037 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,304.85 | 1,406 | 47%661 W · 745 L | +58.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5116…58c4backed Panthers | 57c | 5,000$2,850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,150 | 752 | 51.7%389 W · 363 L | -2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf1b…b963backed Panthers | 58c | 5,000$2,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,100 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x48fe…b2b6backed Kings | 43c | 5,000$2,150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,150 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -3.5wins | -0.25per pick | 53cpaid | -48.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x21d6…86fdbacked Kings | 43c | 5,000$2,150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,149.93 | 66 | 57.6%38 W · 28 L | +6.2wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6a89…2f26backed Kings | 43c | 4,993$2,145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,145.41 | 705 | 47.7%336 W · 369 L | -26.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1341…0853backed Panthers | 36c | 4,854$1,747 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,106.38 | 418 | 50%209 W · 209 L | +7.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f03…64d6backed Kings | 43c | 4,534$1,949 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,949.48 | 100 | 50%50 W · 50 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0140…9510backed Panthers | 62c | 4,509$2,796 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,712.69 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -1.5wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -48.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x52b4…34a8backed Kings | 42c | 4,063$1,707 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,706.62 | 221 | 50.2%111 W · 110 L | +8.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec13…862bbacked Panthers | 57c | 4,000$2,280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,720 | 225 | 46.2%104 W · 121 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca3f…8078backed Kings | 42c | 3,545$1,501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500.75 | 622 | 49.4%307 W · 315 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb461…76cfbacked Kings | 44c | 3,350$1,474 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,474 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1a6…1dccbacked Panthers | 57c | 3,350$1,910 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,440.5 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Kings | 43c | 3,168$1,362 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,362.24 | 793 | 50.1%397 W · 396 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf704…bed4backed Kings | 43c | 2,909$1,251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,250.8 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4818…fde0backed Panthers | 57c | 2,795$1,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,194.92 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe504…600ebacked Panthers | 58c | 2,590$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,090.41 | 270 | 44.4%120 W · 150 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb17e…22bebacked Panthers | 79c | 2,546$2,011 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$535.2 | 95 | 62.1%59 W · 36 L | +9.1wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +22%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Panthers | 56c | 2,500$1,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,100 | 866 | 49.9%432 W · 434 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Panthers | 57c | 2,344$1,336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,007.72 | 939 | 53.6%503 W · 436 L | +29.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x182d…73e9backed Kings | 43c | 2,300$989 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$989 | 229 | 46.3%106 W · 123 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Kings | 1c | 2,222$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.22 | 745 | 0.7%5 W · 740 L | -13.2wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -94.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Kings | 43c | 2,188$941 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$940.75 | 388 | 44.6%173 W · 215 L | -17.1wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x89f3…dfffbacked Kings | 31c | 2,080$644 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$644.48 | 299 | 26.4%79 W · 220 L | -20.5wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Kings | 1c | 2,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1,163 | 2.3%27 W · 1,136 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -87.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked Kings | 42c | 2,000$840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$840 | 397 | 52.1%207 W · 190 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0e2…8e9ebacked Panthers | 57c | 2,000$1,140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$860 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e68…d99bbacked Kings | 42c | 2,000$840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$840 | 286 | 52.4%150 W · 136 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22e6…409fbacked Kings | 42c | 2,000$840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$839.96 | 73 | 38.4%28 W · 45 L | -8.0wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Kings | 43c | 1,739$740 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$739.56 | 1,143 | 50.8%581 W · 562 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf28e…cab2backed Panthers | 37c | 1,728$640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,088.94 | 106 | 50%53 W · 53 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd092…342abacked Panthers | 58c | 1,717$996 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$721.24 | 472 | 56.8%268 W · 204 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2cbd…74cfbacked Panthers | 58c | 1,517$880 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$637.24 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f85…bd8cbacked Kings | 42c | 1,500$630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$630 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe153…c12cbacked Kings | 43c | 1,500$645 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$645 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3383…c5c0backed Panthers | 57c | 1,500$855 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$644.99 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc4…f44fbacked Kings | 41c | 1,495$606 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$606.09 | 684 | 49.9%341 W · 343 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Kings | 42c | 1,465$621 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$620.59 | 976 | 51.6%504 W · 472 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x66ba…621fbacked Panthers | 58c | 1,389$806 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$583.45 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +2.0wins | +0.12per pick | 53cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfd7c…79a0backed Panthers | 44c | 1,362$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$761.91 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7197…14c8backed Panthers | 37c | 1,347$498 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$848.7 | 62 | 54.8%34 W · 28 L | +5.1wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Kings | 43c | 1,249$537 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$537.07 | 1,024 | 48.4%496 W · 528 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f92…1862backed Kings | 43c | 1,198$515 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$515 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | -6.6wins | -0.31per pick | 55cpaid | -57.7%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Panthers | 57c | 1,182$676 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$505.34 | 1,384 | 47.1%652 W · 732 L | +25.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x96ca…5a71backed Kings | 43c | 1,163$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 554 | 46.4%257 W · 297 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c7e…a65fbacked Kings | 43c | 1,163$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 603 | 37.5%226 W · 377 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb85…8464backed Panthers | 43c | 1,156$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$656.34 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Kings | 42c | 1,150$483 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$482.98 | 520 | 50%260 W · 260 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf33f…aa11backed Panthers | 58c | 1,138$660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$477.93 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.20per pick | 55cpaid | +50.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a65…9442backed Kings | 61c | 1,054$643 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$642.75 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Kings | 63c | 1,048$656 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$656.31 | 849 | 53.8%457 W · 392 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Panthers | 73c | 1,042$763 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$278.32 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4267…f10dbacked Panthers | 58c | 1,026$595 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$430.86 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1fe3…e0fdbacked Panthers | 57c | 1,022$583 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$439.46 | 190 | 51.1%97 W · 93 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2d7…da62backed Panthers | 57c | 1,004$572 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$431.51 | 188 | 40.4%76 W · 112 L | +4.8wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd589…27c2backed Panthers | 36c | 1,000$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$640 | 428 | 47.2%202 W · 226 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a1…0544backed Kings | 44c | 1,000$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440 | 334 | 47.9%160 W · 174 L | -9.7wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b06…8f01backed Kings | 43c | 1,000$430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$430 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1953…f310backed Panthers | 58c | 1,000$580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x445e…9be0backed Panthers | 57c | 1,000$570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$430 | 336 | 52.1%175 W · 161 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc449…2239backed Panthers | 58c | 1,000$580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420 | 102 | 55.9%57 W · 45 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9437…14d2backed Panthers | 58c | 1,000$580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +2.1wins | +0.21per pick | 49cpaid | +39.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Panthers | 36c | 999.98$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$639.99 | 1,025 | 40.8%418 W · 607 L | +15.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x356f…6254backed Panthers | 56c | 999.98$560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$439.99 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5143…bee0backed Kings | 42c | 999.96$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$419.99 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.12per pick | 53cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc922…2618backed Panthers | 57c | 999.95$570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$429.98 | 77 | 50.6%39 W · 38 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9807…157bbacked Kings | 43c | 930$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.9 | 201 | 44.8%90 W · 111 L | +7.8wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Kings | 39c | 906.59$349 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$349.32 | 881 | 51.2%451 W · 430 L | +10.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe948…ff23backed Kings | 43c | 902.17$388 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$387.93 | 296 | 51.7%153 W · 143 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x965c…167fbacked Kings | 43c | 842$362 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$362.06 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -2.0wins | -0.14per pick | 50cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ff…efbcbacked Panthers | 57c | 842$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$362.06 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c59…6719backed Kings | 43c | 840.23$361 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$361.3 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | +3.5wins | +0.19per pick | 53cpaid | +37.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb396…5d60backed Panthers | 58c | 839.66$487 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$352.66 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fdc…8499backed Kings | 43c | 833$358 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$358.19 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Kings vs. Panthersthis page
- Kings vs. Panthers: O/U 5.5Under won
- Kings vs. Panthers: O/U 6.5Under won
- Spread: Panthers (-1.5)Kings won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.