TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x9c59…6719

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
27
Categories scored
5
Categories below 50
2

Best Category: NHL, grading 59 out of 100 (+0.08 per pick).

Best Category NHL at 59 out of 100; worst NBA at 49.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NHL Inactivelast resolved May 20, 2026, EDT1872.2%13 W · 5 L+3.5wins+0.19per pick53cpaid+37.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
NHL — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Golden Knights vs. Avalanchebacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$102Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$102
Canadiens vs. Sabresbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$158Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$164.45
Wild vs. Avalanchebacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$21.67
Capitals vs. Penguinsbacked Penguins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.42
Penguins vs. Devilsbacked Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$153Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$152.5
Oilers vs. Sharksbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$358Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$317.21
Bruins vs. Hurricanesbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$220Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$134.84
Blackhawks vs. Sharksbacked Sharks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$138Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$84.69
Flyers vs. Islandersbacked Flyers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$78.21
Utah vs. Flyersbacked Flyers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$146Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST-100%-$145.52
Blues vs. Krakenbacked Blues · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$61Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST+132.6%+$80.86
Blackhawks vs. Jetsbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+69.5%+$26.51
Blue Jackets vs. Rangersbacked Blue Jackets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+81.8%+$17.17
Panthers vs. Lightningbacked Lightning · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$157Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST+58.7%+$92.36
Oilers vs. Flamesbacked Flames · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$71Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+112.8%+$80.06
Kings vs. Panthersbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$361Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 17, 2025, EST-100%-$361.3
Flyers vs. Canadiensbacked Flyers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$233Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2025, EST+117.4%+$273.94
Ducks vs. Rangersbacked Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$104Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2025, EST+112.8%+$117.28
All 18 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 15, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-19.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Pistons vs. Cavaliersbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$64Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+150%+$96
Grizzlies vs. Trail Blazersbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$98
Nuggets vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+51.5%+$26.25
Grizzlies vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$146Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST-100%-$146
Rockets vs. Thunderbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$135Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$134.55
All 5 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved May 19, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
MLB — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Baltimore Orioles vs. Tampa Bay Raysbacked Tampa Bay Rays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$31.52
Blue Jays vs. Dodgersbacked Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$19.26
All 2 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Oct 19, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+72.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NFL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dolphins vs. Brownsbacked Browns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$90Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2025, EDT+72.4%+$65.08
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 6, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Spain (-2.5)backed Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.