NHL · resolved market
Oilers vs. Flames
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8cdd21b2d9e70f603662e84c520055225c9695ea965e18aa6ab3d9745d836569
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Flamesof Oilers, Flames
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $553,986
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $566,674
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $553,986 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 530 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x03e8…1697backed Flames | 45c | 175,913$79,161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96,752.2 | 670 | 51%342 W · 328 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Oilers | 39c | 69,488$27,220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27,220.24 | 1,345 | 54.8%737 W · 608 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc257…358ebacked Flames | 45c | 44,500$20,025 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24,475 | 485 | 45.4%220 W · 265 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20d6…3856backed Oilers | 56c | 31,133$17,435 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,434.51 | 268 | 49.6%133 W · 135 L | +5.9wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Oilers | 55c | 21,936$11,984 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,983.69 | 619 | 50.1%310 W · 309 L | -7.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Oilers | 56c | 20,000$11,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,200 | 566 | 49.5%280 W · 286 L | -7.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Oilers | 55c | 18,435$10,139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,139.29 | 387 | 48.3%187 W · 200 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfbf3…b218backed Flames | 61c | 17,000$10,368 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,631.78 | 117 | 45.3%53 W · 64 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c16…8bfabacked Flames | 65c | 16,666$10,818 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,848.69 | 37 | 64.9%24 W · 13 L | +2.6wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc660…bd28backed Flames | 44c | 15,820$6,961 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,859.2 | 485 | 49.7%241 W · 244 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12ec…41aebacked Flames | 61c | 15,105$9,214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,890.81 | 48 | 66.7%32 W · 16 L | +3.9wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Oilers | 55c | 14,497$7,950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,950.3 | 1,891 | 52.4%991 W · 900 L | +36.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Oilers | 38c | 14,101$5,357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,356.59 | 588 | 41.8%246 W · 342 L | -20.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd7a5…7c26backed Flames | 61c | 13,250$8,082 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,167.48 | 43 | 65.1%28 W · 15 L | +3.9wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfb68…a240backed Oilers | 54c | 12,545$6,820 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,820 | 500 | 49.6%248 W · 252 L | +16.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3189…b449backed Oilers | 55c | 11,907$6,549 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,548.85 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -2.6wins | -0.29per pick | 40cpaid | -81.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1496…a429backed Oilers | 54c | 11,150$6,021 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,020.85 | 135 | 53.3%72 W · 63 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4440…959abacked Flames | 62c | 11,000$6,855 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,144.62 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +75%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa21…1438backed Oilers | 56c | 10,107$5,660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,660 | 71 | 49.3%35 W · 36 L | -4.9wins | -0.07per pick | 56cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x23c8…f293backed Flames | 61c | 9,804$5,974 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,829.56 | 71 | 62%44 W · 27 L | +4.4wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbb66…2f53backed Oilers | 56c | 8,929$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 88 | 48.9%43 W · 45 L | -4.4wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbd09…a188backed Oilers | 54c | 8,000$4,320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,320 | 617 | 48.5%299 W · 318 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57b9…d142backed Oilers | 54c | 7,197$3,912 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,912.29 | 97 | 52.6%51 W · 46 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa07…2125backed Flames | 43c | 6,772$2,912 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,860.32 | 1,070 | 49.9%534 W · 536 L | +22.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd4da…3175backed Oilers | 54c | 6,600$3,564 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,564 | 282 | 51.8%146 W · 136 L | +8.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Flames | 46c | 6,500$2,990 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,509.99 | 1,087 | 45.1%490 W · 597 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2935…96f7backed Oilers | 5c | 5,664$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294.3 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.21per pick | 22cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x55fb…a3acbacked Flames | 69c | 5,487$3,779 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,707.69 | 35 | 60%21 W · 14 L | +3.2wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6c…7e66backed Oilers | 54c | 5,475$2,957 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,956.5 | 159 | 49.7%79 W · 80 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Oilers | 55c | 5,360$2,932 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,931.55 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Oilers | 54c | 5,333$2,880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,879.82 | 866 | 49.9%432 W · 434 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x953c…1aacbacked Oilers | 46c | 5,059$2,313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,313.08 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x201c…58bfbacked Oilers | 55c | 5,000$2,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,750 | 66 | 40.9%27 W · 39 L | -7.5wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -21%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x35ac…92a7backed Flames | 46c | 5,000$2,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,699.99 | 275 | 48.7%134 W · 141 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Oilers | 40c | 4,737$1,871 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,871.45 | 393 | 44.8%176 W · 217 L | +23.3wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x29ae…4d2cbacked Flames | 54c | 4,717$2,545 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,171.69 | 73 | 54.8%40 W · 33 L | +7.0wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Flames | 59c | 4,571$2,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,870.64 | 852 | 50.2%428 W · 424 L | -26.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Oilers | 55c | 4,559$2,494 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,494.33 | 1,092 | 50.4%550 W · 542 L | +12.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Flames | 64c | 4,514$2,873 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,641.18 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Oilers | 51c | 4,250$2,188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,188.18 | 1,948 | 49.4%962 W · 986 L | +24.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee7e…61bbbacked Oilers | 57c | 4,242$2,418 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,417.76 | 412 | 48.3%199 W · 213 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5116…58c4backed Oilers | 50c | 4,111$2,061 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,061.07 | 752 | 51.7%389 W · 363 L | -2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Flames | 61c | 4,013$2,445 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,567.79 | 629 | 51.2%322 W · 307 L | +18.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a7a…15a4backed Oilers | 56c | 4,000$2,240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,239.98 | 230 | 47.4%109 W · 121 L | -7.5wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Flames | 60c | 3,763$2,273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,489.83 | 1,202 | 60.1%722 W · 480 L | +51.9wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +15%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Oilers | 55c | 3,737$2,056 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,055.52 | 1,555 | 51.4%800 W · 755 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Flames | 64c | 3,571$2,282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,289.4 | 2,664 | 51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x733d…1ae7backed Oilers | 54c | 3,500$1,890 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,890 | 210 | 48.1%101 W · 109 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf104…d34cbacked Oilers | 31c | 3,454$1,088 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,087.71 | 94 | 40.4%38 W · 56 L | -6.0wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd3fa…a26cbacked Oilers | 30c | 3,334$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000.12 | 151 | 45%68 W · 83 L | -7.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Flames | 68c | 2,952$2,018 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$933.6 | 896 | 36.9%331 W · 565 L | -30.9wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9870…b9d3backed Oilers | 56c | 2,679$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 315 | 50.8%160 W · 155 L | -11.6wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Oilers | 35c | 2,634$923 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$922.78 | 2,754 | 47.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L | +11.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7298…fe8dbacked Oilers | 54c | 2,602$1,405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,405.31 | 332 | 43.7%145 W · 187 L | -16.1wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf699…07e1backed Flames | 56c | 2,574$1,432 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,142.2 | 854 | 64.2%548 W · 306 L | +64.5wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc1fd…948ebacked Oilers | 45c | 2,514$1,131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,131.25 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaea0…0decbacked Oilers | 32c | 2,293$725 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$725.01 | 164 | 47%77 W · 87 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c7e…a65fbacked Oilers | 55c | 2,000$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,100 | 603 | 37.5%226 W · 377 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Oilers | 56c | 1,984$1,103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,102.65 | 520 | 50%260 W · 260 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50fc…dc40backed Oilers | 48c | 1,960$935 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$934.94 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe630…5d81backed Flames | 61c | 1,852$1,130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$722.46 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.16per pick | 41cpaid | -59%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Flames | 64c | 1,808$1,149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$659.26 | 1,846 | 57.2%1,055 W · 791 L | +85.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Oilers | 8c | 1,800$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137 | 1,163 | 2.3%27 W · 1,136 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -87.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Oilers | 56c | 1,734$971 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$971.04 | 619 | 53.8%333 W · 286 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2c2…4de7backed Oilers | 31c | 1,700$527 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$526.97 | 380 | 46.6%177 W · 203 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe504…600ebacked Oilers | 54c | 1,660$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 270 | 44.4%120 W · 150 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce4d…a7fabacked Oilers | 48c | 1,600$774 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$774 | 255 | 55.3%141 W · 114 L | +10.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1e…d5dfbacked Flames | 61c | 1,590$970 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$620.1 | 147 | 57.1%84 W · 63 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x10d4…d953backed Oilers | 55c | 1,560$858 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$858 | 445 | 51.2%228 W · 217 L | +16.4wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Flames | 71c | 1,550$1,103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$447.05 | 521 | 72.6%378 W · 143 L | +36.7wins | +0.07per pick | 66cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x13a1…d9bcbacked Flames | 69c | 1,386$951 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$434.56 | 571 | 57.8%330 W · 241 L | +12.7wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Oilers | 35c | 1,353$473 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$472.54 | 1,384 | 47.1%652 W · 732 L | +25.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Flames | 44c | 1,336$588 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$748.36 | 457 | 51.6%236 W · 221 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Oilers | 39c | 1,282$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 437 | 43%188 W · 249 L | +16.7wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Flames | 44c | 1,266$562 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$704.45 | 916 | 53.9%494 W · 422 L | +39.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x661d…4dc6backed Oilers | 41c | 1,213$495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$494.54 | 437 | 42.3%185 W · 252 L | +11.1wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x986c…3180backed Oilers | 54c | 1,196$649 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$649 | 459 | 55.1%253 W · 206 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Oilers | 56c | 1,185$664 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$663.6 | 751 | 55.8%419 W · 332 L | +12.1wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8e5…9401backed Flames | 70c | 1,070$749 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$321.09 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +58.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd622…8b56backed Oilers | 29c | 1,027$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$301.96 | 108 | 46.3%50 W · 58 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ce…7ec8backed Oilers | 54c | 1,000$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540 | 623 | 46.9%292 W · 331 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc350…3669backed Oilers | 56c | 1,000$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$560 | 309 | 44.7%138 W · 171 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a89…2f26backed Oilers | 54c | 1,000$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540 | 705 | 47.7%336 W · 369 L | -26.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed Oilers | 56c | 966.07$541 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$541 | 318 | 48.1%153 W · 165 L | -9.4wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe732…898fbacked Flames | 61c | 943.71$577 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$366.3 | 119 | 50.4%60 W · 59 L | -5.6wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -11%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc070…203abacked Oilers | 54c | 925.93$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 152 | 52%79 W · 73 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Oilers | 44c | 859.06$376 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$376.36 | 2,112 | 42.9%907 W · 1,205 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x81e9…1812backed Flames | 64c | 815.5$526 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$289.5 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +1.8wins | +0.14per pick | 63cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3568…c765backed Flames | 62c | 810$502 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$307.8 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x23d4…5607backed Oilers | 25c | 793.79$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.95 | 204 | 48.5%99 W · 105 L | +12.1wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9405…c071backed Oilers | 54c | 776.67$419 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$419.4 | 76 | 47.4%36 W · 40 L | -4.2wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3e36…6ce1backed Oilers | 54c | 738.89$399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.28per pick | 61cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed Oilers | 40c | 714.08$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285.2 | 227 | 28.2%64 W · 163 L | -17.6wins | -0.08per pick | 36cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x42b5…b5b6backed Oilers | 53c | 710.5$377 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$376.57 | 1,377 | 49.1%676 W · 701 L | +39.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ce3…6f75backed Oilers | 37c | 692.16$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | +2.0wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf23…ee81backed Flames | 47c | 673.52$317 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$356.97 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +2.6wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…daaebacked Oilers | 38c | 663.98$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253.85 | 114 | 35.1%40 W · 74 L | -4.7wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6036…d2ccbacked Flames | 47c | 639$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$338.67 | 470 | 51.5%242 W · 228 L | +12.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee0e…b5cbbacked Oilers | 49c | 635.01$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$311.62 | 46 | 41.3%19 W · 27 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c9…4386backed Oilers | 40c | 600$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 369 | 48%177 W · 192 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Oilers vs. Flamesthis page
- Oilers vs. Flames: O/U 6.5Over won
- Spread: Oilers (-1.5)Flames won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.