TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NHL · resolved market

Oilers vs. Flames: O/U 6.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$294,469
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$294,650

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $294,469 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 88 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NHL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4924…3782backed Over51c165,139$84,197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80,942.0620354.2%110 W · 93 L+7.2wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+5.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe20a…e469backed Under49c97,615$47,831 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47,831.2439047.9%187 W · 203 L-13.2wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-6.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xcd9b…414dbacked Under49c90,000$44,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44,1004242.9%18 W · 24 L-2.1wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-16.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x93ab…9723backed Over51c57,000$29,070 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27,9305050%25 W · 25 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+5.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf2f6…5817backed Under51c16,000$8,160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,1604650%23 W · 23 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Under51c12,093$6,182 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,182.2679350.1%397 W · 396 L-11.5wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-3.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under49c9,938$4,870 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,869.82,66451.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L+58.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1d7a…b22fbacked Under50c9,870$4,935 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,93516843.5%73 W · 95 L-14.3wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-16.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xb7f5…c669backed Under50c9,000$4,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,50051045.5%232 W · 278 L-9.3wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x03e8…1697backed Under51c6,844$3,491 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,490.567051%342 W · 328 L+9.3wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd696…8a49backed Over50c6,769$3,371 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,398.0751452.3%269 W · 245 L+17.1wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+7.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under49c5,759$2,822 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,822.112,11242.9%907 W · 1,205 L-10.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-9.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x2e00…eb46backed Over49c4,526$2,218 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,308.475242.3%22 W · 30 L-4.9wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-19.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1d3a…7b63backed Under52c2,500$1,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,30086649.9%432 W · 434 L+1.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe9f5…3e7abacked Over51c2,090$1,066 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,024.16656.1%37 W · 29 L+2.6wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+6.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Over49c1,922$942 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$980.4556152%292 W · 269 L+7.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe56d…2b65backed Over49c1,794$879 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$914.881457.1%8 W · 6 L+0.6wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+8.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x13fa…3facbacked Under49c1,500$735 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73536038.6%139 W · 221 L-5.6wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-3.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Over49c1,416$693 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$722.241,09250.4%550 W · 542 L+12.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Under51c1,300$669 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$668.5161953.8%333 W · 286 L+13.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb6ae…4df8backed Over49c1,230$603 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$627.1836748%176 W · 191 L-12.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-6.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4d84…21b1backed Under50c1,169$585 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$584.6513954%75 W · 64 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-5.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xd5a1…0544backed Over48c1,111$533 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$577.7233447.9%160 W · 174 L-9.7wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-5.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8314…0f1ebacked Over49c1,022$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$521.712171.4%15 W · 6 L+4.0wins+0.19per pick52cpaid+35.7%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Over50c1,001$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$500.91,94849.4%962 W · 986 L+24.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x617b…a499backed Over48c1,000$480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52022747.6%108 W · 119 L-7.0wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Over49c986.62$486 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$500.972,89451.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L+58.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8c16…4b37backed Over49c952.01$466 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$485.5321856.4%123 W · 95 L+10.1wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+9.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8a33…d0e2backed Over52c921.15$479 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$442.15887.5%7 W · 1 L+2.6wins+0.33per pick54cpaid+59.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xf41a…ea2bbacked Under50c800$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40091945.6%419 W · 500 L-27.3wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7d35…e83ebacked Under50c690.56$345 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$345.281020%2 W · 8 L-2.9wins-0.29per pick49cpaid-62.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x9030…4a23backed Under50c640$320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3203174.2%23 W · 8 L+5.9wins+0.19per pick55cpaid+32.7%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x1733…1e15backed Over49c612.24$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$312.2453050.6%268 W · 262 L0.0wins0.00per pick51cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xabde…d41fbacked Over51c505.05$258 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$247.472055%11 W · 9 L+1.0wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+10.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8f13…daaebacked Over50c503.71$252 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$251.2411435.1%40 W · 74 L-4.7wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-12.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x42b5…b5b6backed Under48c416.83$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200.081,37749.1%676 W · 701 L+39.2wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5b20…99e9backed Over49c408.16$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$208.161,09351.8%566 W · 527 L+14.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc6fa…51e5backed Over51c391.78$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$191.9723754%128 W · 109 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x84d9…76dbbacked Over52c384.62$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$184.6248552.2%253 W · 232 L+8.1wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3675…e4cdbacked Over48c383.08$184 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$199.21346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-12.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Over49c279.39$137 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$142.4993953.6%503 W · 436 L+29.6wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Over49c279$137 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$142.291,02448.4%496 W · 528 L+1.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf104…d34cbacked Under50c226.05$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.039440.4%38 W · 56 L-6.0wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-17.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc56b…fe0abacked Over49c215.47$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.897254.2%39 W · 33 L+4.2wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+6.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7e14…8d33backed Under50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10020%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe105…1efbbacked Over48c200$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1043450%17 W · 17 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+5.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x96ca…5a71backed Over51c196.08$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.0855446.4%257 W · 297 L-0.2wins0.00per pick46cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under49c196.08$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.081,44149.2%709 W · 732 L+6.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x877a…7de2backed Over53c190.13$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.134953.1%26 W · 23 L+0.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x849f…0665backed Over49c188.56$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.3719651.5%101 W · 95 L-0.6wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5e8d…e22dbacked Over49c166.31$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.757855.1%43 W · 35 L+2.8wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x785f…e3d9backed Under50c156.62$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.3126243.5%114 W · 148 L-9.2wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-9.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Under46c129.87$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.162,75447.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L+11.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc688…5987backed Over49c127.16$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.858047.5%38 W · 42 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-7.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xacbe…85d4backed Over50c119.07$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.0720147.3%95 W · 106 L-5.5wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-7.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed Over49c106$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.0686852.4%455 W · 413 L+7.0wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9d55…7bc7backed Over49c103$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.5622352.9%118 W · 105 L+6.0wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Under50c100$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5091653.9%494 W · 422 L+39.6wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+8.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0078…bca0backed Over49c100$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5121060%126 W · 84 L+7.5wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+5.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5cfe…ed69backed Under51c100$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5141847.8%200 W · 218 L+11.3wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x32e8…72ccbacked Over49c81.63$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.631450%7 W · 7 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5d9e…e0e3backed Under50c75$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.526657.1%152 W · 114 L+4.2wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+0.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Over65c65$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.971,84657.2%1,055 W · 791 L+85.0wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+7.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Under50c62.98$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.761,23053.7%661 W · 569 L-9.1wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc88e…636cbacked Under51c60$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.61735.3%6 W · 11 L-2.0wins-0.12per pick47cpaid-35.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xba87…bc76backed Under51c58.82$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302564%16 W · 9 L+3.2wins+0.13per pick51cpaid+24.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x81b7…bd2abacked Over51c58.82$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.82366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick61cpaid+30.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5b6e…6cadbacked Over48c55.21$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.662100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+102%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe3c2…63f7backed Over51c54.78$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.86366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.14per pick52cpaid+24.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0c9e…bba8backed Under35c50$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.33842.1%16 W · 22 L-1.9wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-14%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3526…8b74backed Over49c42.86$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.865554.5%30 W · 25 L+1.5wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfa15…95e3backed Over49c40.78$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.86956.5%39 W · 30 L+3.1wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+10.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6994…eed0backed Under50c40$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201963.2%12 W · 7 L+2.6wins+0.13per pick50cpaid+28.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xf254…3ecabacked Over69c40$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.31643.8%7 W · 9 L-2.4wins-0.15per pick59cpaid-27.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xdf2f…670ebacked Under51c39.22$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201973.7%14 W · 5 L+3.2wins+0.17per pick57cpaid+26.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x3ed4…620ebacked Under52c38.98$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.189149.5%45 W · 46 L-3.5wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-6.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0ee1…268bbacked Over51c36.53$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.911650.9%59 W · 57 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe40c…2477backed Under51c33.12$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.89250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb1bd…5e2dbacked Under51c30$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.32568%17 W · 8 L+2.8wins+0.11per pick57cpaid+20.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x216b…fe46backed Over67c29.59$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.8111153.2%59 W · 52 L+5.7wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+6.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3494…04f4backed Under51c29.41$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159458.5%55 W · 39 L+5.6wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+9.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x239b…f8bfbacked Under50c25$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.515447.4%73 W · 81 L-7.6wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-11.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0d21…08d3backed Over48c21.79$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.336959.4%41 W · 28 L+5.4wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+13.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xf499…5543backed Under50c20.56$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.28250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+11.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe8bd…6504backed Under50c20$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.0wins+0.11per pick56cpaid+18.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5779…168dbacked Under51c19.61$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1012650.8%64 W · 62 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0c69…2b8dbacked Under52c19.29$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.0338551.4%198 W · 187 L-5.5wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x335d…ce5fbacked Over66c16.2$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.586839.7%27 W · 41 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-12.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.