NHL · resolved market
Flyers vs. Islanders
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x244afba7938f3bceca5f2c249b81d62b2c2ecd741c7c970c825454aa32ad39a2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Flyersof Flyers, Islanders
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,019,070
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,158,516
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,019,070 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 946 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Islanders | 58c | 845,052$488,642 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$488,642.23 | 1,345 | 54.8%737 W · 608 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5bec…b215backed Flyers | 43c | 554,195$236,613 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$317,581.96 | 164 | 42.7%70 W · 94 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Flyers | 41c | 347,822$144,010 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203,812.03 | 515 | 50.7%261 W · 254 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed Islanders | 58c | 140,742$81,630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81,630.4 | 403 | 51.9%209 W · 194 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa1f1…c5f8backed Flyers | 76c | 133,140$101,186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31,953.6 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03e8…1697backed Flyers | 42c | 81,880$34,390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47,490.66 | 670 | 51%342 W · 328 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc257…358ebacked Islanders | 46c | 76,655$35,056 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35,056.06 | 485 | 45.4%220 W · 265 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc6b1…78fdbacked Flyers | 42c | 68,072$28,584 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39,487.97 | 56 | 39.3%22 W · 34 L | -4.1wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Flyers | 61c | 38,477$23,638 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,838.99 | 1,441 | 49.2%709 W · 732 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Islanders | 52c | 33,483$17,288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,288.35 | 1,434 | 50.8%728 W · 706 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc660…bd28backed Flyers | 41c | 31,863$13,064 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,799.29 | 485 | 49.7%241 W · 244 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe790…eadcbacked Islanders | 43c | 31,299$13,374 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,373.75 | 274 | 48.9%134 W · 140 L | -6.4wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ae…4df8backed Islanders | 57c | 24,670$14,062 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,061.85 | 367 | 48%176 W · 191 L | -12.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x412f…30fabacked Flyers | 42c | 23,940$10,055 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,885.2 | 77 | 37.7%29 W · 48 L | -4.5wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1341…0853backed Flyers | 62c | 23,895$14,895 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,999.94 | 418 | 50%209 W · 209 L | +7.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f5b…e747backed Flyers | 43c | 21,328$9,068 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,259.08 | 435 | 48.5%211 W · 224 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Islanders | 57c | 20,140$11,480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,479.97 | 403 | 56.3%227 W · 176 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2f6…5817backed Flyers | 42c | 20,000$8,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,600 | 46 | 50%23 W · 23 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4880…5626backed Islanders | 58c | 17,299$10,114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,114.43 | 132 | 52.3%69 W · 63 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf984…5098backed Islanders | 58c | 17,110$10,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,000 | 106 | 47.2%50 W · 56 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc974…b33bbacked Flyers | 42c | 17,000$7,056 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,944.5 | 101 | 46.5%47 W · 54 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd1…9a1fbacked Islanders | 57c | 16,842$9,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,600 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.18per pick | 47cpaid | -40.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Islanders | 46c | 15,636$7,230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,230.22 | 510 | 45.5%232 W · 278 L | -9.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60ba…3c6cbacked Flyers | 43c | 15,050$6,399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,650.98 | 97 | 51.5%50 W · 47 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaca2…b9a1backed Islanders | 59c | 15,000$8,850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,850 | 128 | 38.3%49 W · 79 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd36…a8acbacked Flyers | 76c | 14,672$11,151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,521.28 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Islanders | 58c | 12,858$7,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,500 | 377 | 54.4%205 W · 172 L | +5.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked Islanders | 58c | 12,858$7,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,500 | 197 | 59.4%117 W · 80 L | +10.1wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7d2f…ef1abacked Flyers | 41c | 12,040$4,936 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,103.6 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Islanders | 58c | 12,023$6,945 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,944.62 | 188 | 53.2%100 W · 88 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Flyers | 42c | 12,000$5,010 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,989.88 | 1,555 | 51.4%800 W · 755 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Flyers | 41c | 11,796$4,856 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,939.5 | 2,664 | 51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad6a…9dbdbacked Flyers | 41c | 11,340$4,649 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,690.32 | 52 | 59.6%31 W · 21 L | +5.6wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xee0b…e6d4backed Flyers | 42c | 10,876$4,568 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,307.85 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1bc8…2f68backed Flyers | 42c | 10,271$4,314 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,957.43 | 33 | 33.3%11 W · 22 L | -3.4wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -26%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xacb2…b989backed Islanders | 57c | 10,000$5,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,699.89 | 129 | 50.4%65 W · 64 L | +10.7wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7b47…d615backed Flyers | 41c | 10,000$4,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,879.88 | 193 | 53.9%104 W · 89 L | +7.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8bb6…cb97backed Flyers | 76c | 9,753$7,412 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,340.62 | 53 | 50.9%27 W · 26 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Flyers | 43c | 9,472$4,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,391.45 | 619 | 50.1%310 W · 309 L | -7.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82de…1337backed Islanders | 57c | 9,408$5,397 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,396.75 | 140 | 62.1%87 W · 53 L | +10.5wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xec8d…dd71backed Islanders | 57c | 9,266$5,282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,281.79 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Islanders | 58c | 8,548$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 334 | 50.9%170 W · 164 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x762e…4bf0backed Islanders | 59c | 8,135$4,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,799.74 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | -3.1wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4ef2…ccfbbacked Flyers | 43c | 8,131$3,496 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,634.88 | 126 | 54.8%69 W · 57 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…9871backed Islanders | 13c | 7,939$1,046 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,045.55 | 324 | 51.2%166 W · 158 L | +18.3wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe4fc…8af7backed Flyers | 43c | 7,402$3,169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,233.22 | 602 | 49.5%298 W · 304 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Islanders | 57c | 7,323$4,174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,174 | 852 | 50.2%428 W · 424 L | -26.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xebc7…4003backed Islanders | 56c | 7,307$4,105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,105.16 | 115 | 53%61 W · 54 L | +5.2wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Flyers | 76c | 7,174$5,475 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,698.82 | 896 | 36.9%331 W · 565 L | -30.9wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Flyers | 41c | 7,065$2,916 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,148.89 | 594 | 50.8%302 W · 292 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc49f…9e05backed Flyers | 42c | 7,000$2,940 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,059.99 | 260 | 58.8%153 W · 107 L | +17.7wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +15%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc1ae…f001backed Islanders | 58c | 6,920$4,014 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,013.6 | 149 | 54.4%81 W · 68 L | +9.5wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7d80…ba3dbacked Flyers | 41c | 6,840$2,804 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,035.6 | 24 | 70.8%17 W · 7 L | +3.1wins | +0.13per pick | 58cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe998…b7f0backed Flyers | 42c | 6,768$2,843 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,925.64 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbad2…5296backed Flyers | 43c | 6,666$2,866 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,799.62 | 892 | 49.9%445 W · 447 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6185…2965backed Flyers | 42c | 6,349$2,672 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,677.14 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x299f…2140backed Flyers | 41c | 6,156$2,524 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,632.07 | 388 | 49.5%192 W · 196 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1467…4372backed Flyers | 42c | 6,000$2,520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,480 | 321 | 51.7%166 W · 155 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1418…6fefbacked Flyers | 42c | 6,000$2,520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,479.99 | 278 | 50.4%140 W · 138 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6c…7e66backed Islanders | 57c | 5,975$3,406 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,405.63 | 159 | 49.7%79 W · 80 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaabb…5554backed Flyers | 42c | 5,600$2,372 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,227.83 | 457 | 49.2%225 W · 232 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42b5…b5b6backed Islanders | 58c | 5,344$3,098 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,097.61 | 1,377 | 49.1%676 W · 701 L | +39.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x44d6…9858backed Flyers | 42c | 5,000$2,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,900 | 291 | 46.7%136 W · 155 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedf0…1e2abacked Flyers | 44c | 5,000$2,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,800 | 149 | 40.9%61 W · 88 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1d7…a70cbacked Islanders | 58c | 4,500$2,627 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,627 | 309 | 46.3%143 W · 166 L | -7.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b6…fa47backed Flyers | 42c | 4,452$1,870 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,582.38 | 52 | 30.8%16 W · 36 L | -4.5wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe2a5…391cbacked Flyers | 75c | 4,226$3,169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,056.46 | 59 | 59.3%35 W · 24 L | +5.9wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +28%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed Flyers | 41c | 4,199$1,722 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,477.55 | 218 | 50.9%111 W · 107 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Flyers | 76c | 4,183$3,167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,016.19 | 1,301 | 52.6%684 W · 617 L | +23.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf11…c679backed Flyers | 43c | 4,162$1,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,362.26 | 54 | 46.3%25 W · 29 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x53cd…f23ebacked Islanders | 59c | 4,156$2,437 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,437.39 | 368 | 52.2%192 W · 176 L | -6.1wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Islanders | 17c | 4,019$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 437 | 43%188 W · 249 L | +16.7wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked Flyers | 43c | 4,000$1,720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,279.99 | 397 | 52.1%207 W · 190 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4ae…6503backed Flyers | 43c | 4,000$1,720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,279.99 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +109.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Islanders | 57c | 4,000$2,280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,279.98 | 1,891 | 52.4%991 W · 900 L | +36.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Flyers | 41c | 4,000$1,640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,359.9 | 227 | 47.6%108 W · 119 L | -7.0wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x05e1…85a2backed Islanders | 57c | 3,500$1,995 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,994.98 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe504…600ebacked Islanders | 53c | 3,392$1,812 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,812.21 | 270 | 44.4%120 W · 150 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Flyers | 80c | 3,144$2,513 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$631.86 | 1,679 | 54.4%914 W · 765 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Flyers | 76c | 3,066$2,330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$736.78 | 1,846 | 57.2%1,055 W · 791 L | +85.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xabf5…cfebbacked Islanders | 57c | 3,000$1,716 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,715.99 | 270 | 48.1%130 W · 140 L | -8.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Flyers | 41c | 2,862$1,182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,679.33 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c8…d8a4backed Flyers | 43c | 2,791$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,590.7 | 149 | 40.9%61 W · 88 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Flyers | 41c | 2,500$1,025 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,475 | 318 | 48.7%155 W · 163 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ff…24e3backed Flyers | 42c | 2,479$1,041 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,437.57 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf28e…cab2backed Flyers | 48c | 2,459$1,184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,275.36 | 106 | 50%53 W · 53 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc947…3462backed Islanders | 58c | 2,414$1,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,400 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +1.5wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x08fe…aedfbacked Flyers | 42c | 2,400$1,008 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,392 | 47 | 48.9%23 W · 24 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2335…eaf2backed Islanders | 57c | 2,399$1,367 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,367.43 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6832…831fbacked Islanders | 24c | 2,295$552 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$552.23 | 70 | 47.1%33 W · 37 L | +5.1wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbe02…5fb3backed Islanders | 58c | 2,250$1,310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,310.35 | 146 | 50%73 W · 73 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Islanders | 57c | 2,230$1,271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,270.86 | 665 | 52%346 W · 319 L | +8.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Flyers | 42c | 2,222$933 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,288.76 | 866 | 49.9%432 W · 434 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c7e…a65fbacked Islanders | 8c | 2,024$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.92 | 603 | 37.5%226 W · 377 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9870…b9d3backed Islanders | 58c | 2,000$1,160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,160 | 315 | 50.8%160 W · 155 L | -11.6wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Flyers | 42c | 2,000$840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,160 | 272 | 43.4%118 W · 154 L | -16.8wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc463…9a2fbacked Flyers | 43c | 2,000$860 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,140 | 267 | 50.2%134 W · 133 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd039…2532backed Flyers | 42c | 2,000$840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,160 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | +2.0wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x931e…e8e8backed Flyers | 42c | 2,000$840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,160 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +2.8wins | +0.17per pick | 45cpaid | +47.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4f4b…bb93backed Islanders | 59c | 2,000$1,180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,180 | 41 | 19.5%8 W · 33 L | -9.0wins | -0.22per pick | 41cpaid | -62.9%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Flyers vs. Islandersthis page
- Flyers vs. Islanders: O/U 4.5Over won
- Flyers vs. Islanders: O/U 5.5Under won
- Flyers vs. Islanders: O/U 6.5Under won
- Flyers vs. Islanders: O/U 7.5Under won
- Spread: Islanders (-1.5)Flyers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.