TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NHL · resolved market

Flyers vs. Islanders: O/U 5.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$71,336
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$72,176

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $71,336 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 94 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NHL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xc257…358ebacked Under49c36,301$17,787 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18,513.5148545.4%220 W · 265 L-7.8wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-6.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x116c…e162backed Over51c16,191$8,260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,259.7111058.2%64 W · 46 L+6.6wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+11.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb7f5…c669backed Under50c9,000$4,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,50051045.5%232 W · 278 L-9.3wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over48c6,135$2,929 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,928.6941842.8%179 W · 239 L-5.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8adc…bafcbacked Over51c5,882$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,0003351.5%17 W · 16 L-2.0wins-0.06per pick58cpaid-9.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Over55c5,372$2,951 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,950.642,31446.5%1,075 W · 1,239 L-7.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Under48c4,447$2,134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,312.2451550.7%261 W · 254 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2a2c…9bc1backed Over50c4,135$2,067 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,067.3240351.9%209 W · 194 L+6.9wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4285…cfb5backed Over52c4,115$2,119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,119.416758.2%39 W · 28 L+0.1wins0.00per pick58cpaid+3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Over50c2,899$1,449 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,449.312,89451.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L+58.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd5bf…f0ccbacked Over14c2,131$301 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-24.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbf5a…e0c0backed Under49c2,000$980 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,019.981850%9 W · 9 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Over50c1,906$953 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95359450.8%302 W · 292 L+2.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under56c1,839$1,024 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$815.121,44149.2%709 W · 732 L+6.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over54c1,739$947 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$946.762,11242.9%907 W · 1,205 L-10.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-9.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Over67c1,131$763 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$762.942,75447.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L+11.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9b7a…bc22backed Over52c1,000$520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52035829.3%105 W · 253 L-12.5wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-12.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa5f6…a659backed Under48c1,000$480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52013445.5%61 W · 73 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd092…342abacked Over52c865.38$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45047256.8%268 W · 204 L-5.5wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-2.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcf37…993fbacked Over47c849.43$397 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$397.0313336.1%48 W · 85 L-5.8wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-25.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x30db…44e1backed Over51c790.72$404 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$404.298060%48 W · 32 L+2.6wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+0.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8193…8c82backed Over51c784.31$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4003666.7%24 W · 12 L+3.0wins+0.08per pick58cpaid+14.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Over51c752.62$384 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$383.841,43450.8%728 W · 706 L-10.7wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf0ac…4ec7backed Under21c689$145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$544.0931828.3%90 W · 228 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick27cpaid-9.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Under35c602.7$211 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$391.363,70450.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L+105.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbf90…8e17backed Over50c594$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$299.9433941.3%140 W · 199 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under48c515.3$246 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$269.492,66451.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L+58.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6b84…2f73backed Under66c455.53$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$155.53560%3 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick64cpaid-14.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xab41…c453backed Over57c439.39$252 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$252.041,43158.3%834 W · 597 L+81.0wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+7.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xfce1…4f4cbacked Over51c394.61$201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201.255569.1%38 W · 17 L+6.7wins+0.12per pick57cpaid+15.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x8059…c043backed Over52c384.62$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20036652.7%193 W · 173 L+3.5wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb6ae…4df8backed Under48c381.85$183 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$198.5636748%176 W · 191 L-12.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-6.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc112…47b0backed Over51c372$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$189.72540%2 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.13per pick53cpaid-25.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x13a1…d9bcbacked Over77c343$264 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$263.8557157.8%330 W · 241 L+12.7wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xce9d…3c05backed Under62c323.1$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123.125449.6%126 W · 128 L-15.0wins-0.06per pick55cpaid-12.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x96d9…18a0backed Over51c300$153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15324847.6%118 W · 130 L-7.8wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-6.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Under49c300$147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$152.9282353.1%437 W · 386 L+1.8wins0.00per pick53cpaid-4.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc81a…c368backed Over51c260$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132.624442.6%104 W · 140 L-9.2wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-8.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8709…7d3dbacked Over51c234.82$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.7611154.1%60 W · 51 L-2.4wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under48c221.92$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.41,55551.4%800 W · 755 L+12.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2ffb…e82abacked Over51c200$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1026550.8%33 W · 32 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+8.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed Over34c199.99$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6735349.6%175 W · 178 L-0.8wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdc56…b1b7backed Over51c199.96$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.981752.9%9 W · 8 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8f75…df7fbacked Over69c175$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120.751723.5%4 W · 13 L-5.8wins-0.34per pick57cpaid-58.5%equal weight35-0.14 edge/pick
0x299f…2140backed Under49c150.13$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.5738849.5%192 W · 196 L+0.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5d5e…7004backed Under21c142$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.188955.1%49 W · 40 L+9.3wins+0.10per pick45cpaid+16.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x6d63…0b78backed Under41c120.63$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.626261.3%38 W · 24 L+4.0wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+11.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x05c9…271bbacked Under50c120$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6010744.9%48 W · 59 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-0.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5668…eababacked Over52c105.77$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$555745.6%26 W · 31 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-8.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Under24c101.62$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.231,20260.1%722 W · 480 L+51.9wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+15%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc9b7…93ebbacked Over51c100.49$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.253860.5%23 W · 15 L+1.5wins+0.04per pick56cpaid-3.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xfdc6…b20dbacked Over51c100$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5159852.3%313 W · 285 L+34.1wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+4.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xce06…c99dbacked Over51c98.04$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502272.7%16 W · 6 L+3.1wins+0.14per pick59cpaid+20.6%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xd3be…c163backed Under67c96.89$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.971770.6%12 W · 5 L+1.5wins+0.09per pick62cpaid+7.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x83d7…552cbacked Over52c96$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.921346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.8wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-12.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaa0f…574cbacked Over52c86.53$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$452751.9%14 W · 13 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-15.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0044…cb2cbacked Under20c80.72$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.741369.2%9 W · 4 L+5.9wins+0.45per pick24cpaid+147.6%equal weight67+0.15 edge/pick
0x4488…579cbacked Over53c80$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.434752.4%182 W · 165 L+0.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under49c78.76$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.2976950.3%387 W · 382 L+1.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xff89…9c06backed Over51c78.43$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$405846.6%27 W · 31 L-4.0wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-13.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf4ec…7b98backed Over51c77.79$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.964961.2%30 W · 19 L+3.4wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+14.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb1cc…1958backed Over54c76.56$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.472055%11 W · 9 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-9.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x46dc…92c3backed Over52c74.31$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.646341.3%26 W · 37 L-5.3wins-0.08per pick50cpaid-25.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9438…3d6abacked Over50c69.78$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.8917761.6%109 W · 68 L+5.4wins+0.03per pick59cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcec1…9c0cbacked Under37c63.59$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.0638551.4%198 W · 187 L+16.7wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+8.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6516…dfdabacked Over51c60.78$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.18per pick51cpaid-32.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x55fb…a3acbacked Under43c60$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.43560%21 W · 14 L+3.2wins+0.09per pick51cpaid-5.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xdd3b…cea6backed Over52c60$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.28053.8%43 W · 37 L-2.6wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-5.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x08d1…28adbacked Over51c58.82$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$309251.1%47 W · 45 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xda47…c2e9backed Under40c52$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.461752.9%9 W · 8 L+2.0wins+0.12per pick41cpaid+23.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5c44…5eefbacked Over51c48.72$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.85333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.25per pick58cpaid-47.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Over50c45$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.586049.2%423 W · 437 L+1.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4679…bc44backed Over50c44$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$221566.7%10 W · 5 L+3.0wins+0.20per pick47cpaid+35%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x0eca…c56abacked Over60c43.82$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.4651343.3%222 W · 291 L-21.0wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-13.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9e70…14babacked Under48c41.15$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.410049%49 W · 51 L+2.0wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+0.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x356d…082abacked Over51c39.22$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1341…0853backed Under50c39$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.541850%209 W · 209 L+7.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xef92…f133backed Under48c37.05$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.271471.4%10 W · 4 L+2.7wins+0.19per pick52cpaid+35.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x9cfd…dfe7backed Over53c32.67$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.453672.2%26 W · 10 L+3.8wins+0.11per pick62cpaid+12.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0576…6232backed Over51c32.07$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.3645651.5%235 W · 221 L+4.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfc23…8283backed Over51c31.98$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.3125258.3%147 W · 105 L+5.1wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf2a7…ac65backed Over52c30.81$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16771.4%5 W · 2 L+2.2wins+0.31per pick40cpaid+99.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x5587…6d07backed Under49c30.61$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.616369.8%44 W · 19 L+6.9wins+0.11per pick59cpaid+18.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xaca2…b9a1backed Under49c30$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.312838.3%49 W · 79 L-4.3wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-8.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9bd9…084fbacked Over63c28.19$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.721463.1%135 W · 79 L+16.9wins+0.08per pick55cpaid+11%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xc49d…91a8backed Over64c28$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.8213552.6%71 W · 64 L+5.9wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+4.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6137…171ebacked Under49c25.51$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.016163.9%39 W · 22 L+2.8wins+0.05per pick59cpaid+9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x99d5…9622backed Over51c25$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.751457.1%8 W · 6 L+0.7wins+0.05per pick52cpaid-3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1044…8cebbacked Under41c24.83$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.711145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-11.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x44e4…f624backed Over51c23$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.7327957.7%161 W · 118 L+11.5wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+8.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4aab…38ccbacked Over52c22.69$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.823559.1%139 W · 96 L+7.6wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+5.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Over51c21.6$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.0266552%346 W · 319 L+8.8wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x31c8…9487backed Over52c20.89$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.917852.6%41 W · 37 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-12.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x312d…6814backed Over74c18$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.329347.3%44 W · 49 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.