NBA · resolved market

Nuggets vs. Pistons

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc130402d572ed1310de199531131768a4c2de2e7da8e3162ca2475b4735b4bb1

Rebuilt 5 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Pistonsof Nuggets, Pistons
Resolved: Feb 3, 2026, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $2,829,138
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $2,953,974

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,829,138 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 1,454 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in NBA
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xe90b…5da2backed Nuggets	2c	212,340$4,820 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,820.16	1,045	49%512 W · 533 L	+21.8wins	+0.02per pick	47cpaid	-7.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcd9b…414dbacked Pistons	63c	112,933$71,148 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$41,785.29	518	44.4%230 W · 288 L	+11.0wins	+0.02per pick	42cpaid	+8.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Pistons	70c	63,792$44,582 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$19,209.9	5,053	50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L	+110.9wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+2.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x07b8…8e25backed Pistons	64c	50,000$32,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17,999.97	232	57.8%134 W · 98 L	+7.6wins	+0.03per pick	54cpaid	+6.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc94a…9401backed Nuggets	37c	47,625$17,621 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17,621.4	403	50.1%202 W · 201 L	-3.6wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Nuggets	8c	45,925$3,788 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,788.41	4,878	48%2,341 W · 2,537 L	+61.9wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc64e…fd52backed Nuggets	2c	40,733$859 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$858.77	58	37.9%22 W · 36 L	-0.3wins	-0.01per pick	38cpaid	-16.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb57a…b8c3backed Pistons	63c	40,000$25,200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14,799.94	196	53.6%105 W · 91 L	-1.0wins	-0.01per pick	54cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xead0…f3babacked Pistons	62c	40,000$24,800 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15,199.91	1,124	48.6%546 W · 578 L	+13.9wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	+3.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked Nuggets	6c	38,791$2,240 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,239.96	1,096	40.9%448 W · 648 L	+34.3wins	+0.03per pick	38cpaid	-17%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5c9e…ae08backed Pistons	63c	37,400$23,562 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13,838	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.4wins	+0.37per pick	63cpaid	+58.7%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc81c…8974backed Nuggets	37c	37,400$13,838 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13,838	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.4wins	-0.37per pick	37cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd45c…36c4backed Nuggets	28c	36,545$10,385 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10,385.16	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.2wins	-0.08per pick	41cpaid	-29.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Nuggets	3c	33,721$1,093 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,093.11	1,341	29.9%401 W · 940 L	-53.8wins	-0.04per pick	34cpaid	-35.7%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc350…3669backed Pistons	65c	33,518$21,776 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11,742.09	148	56.1%83 W · 65 L	+5.2wins	+0.04per pick	53cpaid	+2.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Nuggets	37c	33,064$12,150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12,150.24	2,045	48.4%990 W · 1,055 L	-30.3wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-3.4%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x44d4…1970backed Nuggets	36c	32,191$11,645 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11,645.17	167	52.1%87 W · 80 L	+7.6wins	+0.05per pick	48cpaid	+10.6%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc1e1…f855backed Nuggets	37c	30,871$11,409 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11,408.68	287	42.9%123 W · 164 L	-6.0wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-6.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x88a1…ad45backed Nuggets	34c	30,000$10,200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10,200	53	50.9%27 W · 26 L	+0.6wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+11.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x93ab…9723backed Nuggets	35c	30,000$10,500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10,500	603	51.4%310 W · 293 L	+16.3wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	+2.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2ada…2f28backed Nuggets	0c	29,947$111 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$110.57	645	17.1%110 W · 535 L	-11.9wins	-0.02per pick	19cpaid	-44.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcf11…8399backed Nuggets	35c	28,571$10,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10,000	375	39.5%148 W · 227 L	-1.2wins	0.00per pick	40cpaid	-0.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5227…f9bdbacked Pistons	64c	26,642$17,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9,642.25	102	52.9%54 W · 48 L	-3.0wins	-0.03per pick	56cpaid	-5.8%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x11db…841fbacked Nuggets	0c	25,000$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	227	0%0 W · 227 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x84db…aeebbacked Pistons	64c	24,806$15,931 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8,875.72	1,374	50.1%689 W · 685 L	+34.9wins	+0.03per pick	48cpaid	+7.3%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0d16…d24dbacked Pistons	63c	22,638$14,262 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8,376.04	89	61.8%55 W · 34 L	+0.4wins	0.00per pick	61cpaid	-2.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6b9c…57b3backed Nuggets	36c	22,167$7,980 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$7,980.03	10	50%5 W · 5 L	-1.2wins	-0.12per pick	62cpaid	-20.6%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Pistons	64c	21,691$13,799 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7,891.93	4,325	47%2,031 W · 2,294 L	-69.5wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Nuggets	8c	21,394$1,723 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,722.73	1,190	32%381 W · 809 L	-58.1wins	-0.05per pick	37cpaid	-34.4%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x67bb…b6efbacked Nuggets	35c	21,190$7,500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$7,500	344	56.7%195 W · 149 L	+9.2wins	+0.03per pick	54cpaid	+3.8%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x03ae…188bbacked Pistons	65c	20,346$13,148 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7,197.88	5	60%3 W · 2 L	+0.3wins	+0.06per pick	54cpaid	+0.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa996…8aacbacked Nuggets	35c	20,005$7,002 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$7,001.64	142	43%61 W · 81 L	-1.6wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xba41…5f4fbacked Pistons	66c	20,000$13,150 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6,850	314	45.2%142 W · 172 L	-3.6wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-0.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaf9e…a250backed Pistons	64c	20,000$12,800 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7,199.98	152	47.4%72 W · 80 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	+1.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xbddf…c684backed Nuggets	35c	20,000$7,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$6,999.97	726	48.3%351 W · 375 L	+30.5wins	+0.04per pick	44cpaid	+11%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5e6e…be00backed Pistons	62c	20,000$12,400 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7,599.88	458	50.4%231 W · 227 L	+11.4wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+4.4%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x91fd…1cdebacked Pistons	62c	20,000$12,400 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7,599.81	773	48.5%375 W · 398 L	+7.7wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Nuggets	36c	19,640$7,013 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$7,013.31	2,091	47.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L	-56.6wins	-0.03per pick	51cpaid	-4.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc6fd…f43ebacked Nuggets	37c	18,765$6,943 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$6,943	107	46.7%50 W · 57 L	-4.2wins	-0.04per pick	51cpaid	-5.7%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Nuggets	16c	17,202$2,764 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,763.61	8,988	47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L	+96.4wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5523…51e9backed Nuggets	37c	15,000$5,550 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,550	618	51.6%319 W · 299 L	-1.3wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	+3.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x57cd…a0fbbacked Nuggets	35c	14,400$5,040 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,039.98	56	55.4%31 W · 25 L	-2.5wins	-0.04per pick	60cpaid	-4.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x14ac…cb21backed Pistons	63c	14,000$8,820 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,179.98	375	57.6%216 W · 159 L	+4.2wins	+0.01per pick	56cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7aa8…56dbbacked Pistons	74c	13,514$10,019 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,495.42	489	56.4%276 W · 213 L	+31.3wins	+0.06per pick	50cpaid	+5.5%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xb876…a86bbacked Nuggets	2c	13,448$305 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$305.39	143	44.8%64 W · 79 L	-2.6wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	-3.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc44f…d49fbacked Nuggets	8c	12,754$1,020 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,020.31	483	52%251 W · 232 L	+10.2wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb7f5…c669backed Pistons	65c	12,500$8,075 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,424.99	662	50.8%336 W · 326 L	+15.7wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+4.7%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6a96…7b1fbacked Nuggets	35c	11,140$3,899 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,898.9	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.4wins	-0.35per pick	35cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8b9a…5f69backed Nuggets	0c	11,000$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45	521	3.8%20 W · 501 L	+0.6wins	0.00per pick	4cpaid	-36.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4108…9e22backed Nuggets	37c	10,881$4,026 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,026	50	36%18 W · 32 L	-2.1wins	-0.04per pick	40cpaid	-20.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb7a6…89b2backed Nuggets	35c	10,594$3,676 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,676.47	142	44.4%63 W · 79 L	+5.0wins	+0.04per pick	41cpaid	+11.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3873…c068backed Nuggets	18c	10,430$1,896 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,896.38	145	37.9%55 W · 90 L	-7.5wins	-0.05per pick	43cpaid	-11.6%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xac0a…f89ebacked Pistons	63c	10,314$6,498 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,816.21	382	51%195 W · 187 L	+8.1wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+1.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Pistons	64c	10,030$6,450 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,579.53	2,346	48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L	-14.3wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf988…d63bbacked Pistons	65c	10,000$6,500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,500	285	54%154 W · 131 L	+5.5wins	+0.02per pick	52cpaid	-0.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x52ed…8db7backed Nuggets	34c	10,000$3,400 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,400	393	49.1%193 W · 200 L	+1.6wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	+0.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7960…b94fbacked Nuggets	34c	10,000$3,400 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,399.99	197	51.8%102 W · 95 L	+9.2wins	+0.05per pick	47cpaid	+8.9%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7320…28b4backed Pistons	65c	10,000$6,500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,499.97	126	57.1%72 W · 54 L	+11.4wins	+0.09per pick	48cpaid	+15.1%equal weight	58+0.08 edge/pick
0x9f13…e0fdbacked Pistons	64c	9,964$6,377 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,586.91	724	50.7%367 W · 357 L	+13.1wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Nuggets	11c	9,360$1,030 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,029.61	3,995	48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L	+101.9wins	+0.03per pick	46cpaid	-1.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd6f4…0566backed Nuggets	20c	9,280$1,879 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,878.55	853	44%375 W · 478 L	+1.1wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	-15.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0eb3…f766backed Nuggets	37c	9,235$3,417 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,416.63	489	44.2%216 W · 273 L	-12.3wins	-0.03per pick	47cpaid	-9.7%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x08c5…43edbacked Nuggets	37c	9,202$3,405 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,404.81	443	52.4%232 W · 211 L	+10.3wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	+4.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4c03…0cc1backed Nuggets	1c	9,128$91 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$91.28	1,602	11.8%189 W · 1,413 L	-4.8wins	0.00per pick	12cpaid	-6.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf104…d34cbacked Nuggets	8c	8,985$716 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$716.24	138	50%69 W · 69 L	+1.0wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+6.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf801…901cbacked Nuggets	36c	8,607$3,116 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,115.77	15	26.7%4 W · 11 L	-2.2wins	-0.15per pick	41cpaid	-33.6%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Pistons	63c	8,311$5,236 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,075.13	2,153	51.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L	+76.7wins	+0.04per pick	48cpaid	+6.9%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xea22…747abacked Nuggets	1c	8,000$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45	679	21.4%145 W · 534 L	+32.4wins	+0.05per pick	17cpaid	+33.9%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9c42…da3cbacked Pistons	62c	7,601$4,713 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,888.33	140	55.7%78 W · 62 L	+11.5wins	+0.08per pick	48cpaid	+13.9%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x0f8b…77d4backed Nuggets	37c	7,600$2,812 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,811.94	112	44.6%50 W · 62 L	-4.1wins	-0.04per pick	48cpaid	-6.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc660…bd28backed Pistons	63c	7,562$4,764 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,797.9	593	47%279 W · 314 L	-7.3wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-4.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x76cb…55d3backed Nuggets	37c	7,048$2,589 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,589.05	44	45.5%20 W · 24 L	+0.2wins	+0.01per pick	45cpaid	-3.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4fbe…b84fbacked Nuggets	36c	7,042$2,535 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,535.21	129	55%71 W · 58 L	-4.4wins	-0.03per pick	58cpaid	-4.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Nuggets	36c	6,884$2,492 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,491.63	4,781	50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L	+20.7wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe4fc…8af7backed Nuggets	36c	6,677$2,403 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,402.74	866	41.5%359 W · 507 L	-2.2wins	0.00per pick	42cpaid	-1.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xaaf9…208bbacked Pistons	65c	6,154$4,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,153.83	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.4wins	+0.35per pick	65cpaid	+53.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb2a4…cf8abacked Nuggets	37c	6,017$2,226 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,226.15	247	44.1%109 W · 138 L	-10.8wins	-0.04per pick	48cpaid	-10.9%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x39d3…9ef0backed Nuggets	38c	5,700$2,166 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,166	316	44.6%141 W · 175 L	-7.1wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	-5.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcb2f…936abacked Nuggets	36c	5,634$2,028 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,028.17	71	50.7%36 W · 35 L	-2.9wins	-0.04per pick	55cpaid	-14.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x410a…2643backed Nuggets	37c	5,500$2,035 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,034.98	27	59.3%16 W · 11 L	+3.8wins	+0.14per pick	45cpaid	+25.1%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xa051…54ebbacked Nuggets	38c	5,263$2,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,000	154	35.7%55 W · 99 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	36cpaid	+2.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8ebf…82d5backed Pistons	63c	5,250$3,308 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,942.5	35	51.4%18 W · 17 L	+1.0wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	+10.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbabe…f584backed Nuggets	37c	5,250$1,943 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,942.5	16	43.8%7 W · 9 L	-1.4wins	-0.09per pick	53cpaid	-27.8%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x55d4…9b41backed Nuggets	37c	5,135$1,900 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,900	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.4wins	-0.37per pick	37cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2f47…f36abacked Nuggets	37c	5,135$1,900 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,899.95	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.4wins	-0.12per pick	45cpaid	-34.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd45d…9509backed Pistons	63c	5,079$3,200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,879.23	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.4wins	+0.37per pick	63cpaid	+58.7%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2219…e243backed Nuggets	34c	5,000$1,700 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,700.02	56	46.4%26 W · 30 L	-4.3wins	-0.08per pick	54cpaid	-15.2%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa849…c825backed Nuggets	37c	5,000$1,850 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,850	166	41%68 W · 98 L	-12.9wins	-0.08per pick	49cpaid	-17.2%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xa569…08dfbacked Nuggets	20c	5,000$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,000	18	38.9%7 W · 11 L	+1.5wins	+0.08per pick	31cpaid	+17.4%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2b90…b995backed Nuggets	38c	5,000$1,900 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,900	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.4wins	-0.38per pick	38cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xae47…4248backed Pistons	65c	4,986$3,241 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,745.06	2	100%2 W · 0 L	+0.6wins	+0.31per pick	69cpaid	+45.4%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdae7…92e3backed Nuggets	37c	4,973$1,849 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,848.51	16	56.3%9 W · 7 L	+0.8wins	+0.05per pick	51cpaid	+44.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9d93…2cf1backed Nuggets	36c	4,926$1,794 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,793.77	53	50.9%27 W · 26 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	-12.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xed35…58d1backed Pistons	63c	4,921$3,100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,820.77	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.4wins	+0.37per pick	63cpaid	+58.7%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1733…1e15backed Pistons	65c	4,914$3,200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,713.75	1,157	47.9%554 W · 603 L	-19.9wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-3.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaf2a…0525backed Nuggets	38c	4,908$1,865 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,865	80	63.8%51 W · 29 L	+3.6wins	+0.05per pick	59cpaid	+15.3%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x23af…eeabbacked Nuggets	37c	4,865$1,800 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,800.04	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-1.0wins	-0.48per pick	48cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5b9f…5fbabacked Nuggets	37c	4,854$1,796 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,795.97	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.9wins	-0.43per pick	43cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2f5b…e747backed Nuggets	36c	4,800$1,728 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,728	659	39.5%260 W · 399 L	-13.1wins	-0.02per pick	41cpaid	-8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd3d3…bb8ebacked Pistons	65c	4,769$3,100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,669.23	626	52.2%327 W · 299 L	-6.0wins	-0.01per pick	53cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 18 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Nuggets vs. Pistonsthis page
Cade Cunningham: Assists O/U 9.5Yes won
Nikola Jokić: Assists O/U 8.5No won
Nuggets vs. Pistons: 1H MoneylinePistons won
Nuggets vs. Pistons: 1H O/U 109.5Over won
Nuggets vs. Pistons: O/U 224.5Over won
Nuggets vs. Pistons: O/U 225.5Over won
Nuggets vs. Pistons: O/U 226.5Over won
Nuggets vs. Pistons: O/U 227.5Over won
Nuggets vs. Pistons: O/U 228.5Over won
Nuggets vs. Pistons: O/U 229.5Over won
Peyton Watson: Points O/U 15.5Yes won
Peyton Watson: Rebounds O/U 4.5No won
Ron Holland II: Rebounds O/U 3.5Yes won
Spread: Pistons (-3.5)Nuggets won
Spread: Pistons (-4.5)Nuggets won
Spread: Pistons (-5.5)Nuggets won
Spread: Pistons (-6.5)Nuggets won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Nuggets vs. Pistons

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event