NBA · resolved market
Spread: Pistons (-4.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd22c0784a7ec6bf1a9413da6e5dc1afb8751b04c9d538aa9db4ed5d15e065f13
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Nuggetsof Pistons, Nuggets
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $254,236
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $258,171
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $254,236 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 243 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf1f4…544cbacked Pistons | 54c | 15,935$8,605 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,604.95 | 39 | 20.5%8 W · 31 L | -11.0wins | -0.28per pick | 49cpaid | -58.8%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Nuggets | 48c | 15,637$7,561 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,076.36 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5227…f9bdbacked Pistons | 49c | 12,244$6,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,000 | 102 | 52.9%54 W · 48 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Pistons | 53c | 10,406$5,515 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,515.09 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfce1…9ce7backed Nuggets | 47c | 10,000$4,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,300 | 354 | 50.8%180 W · 174 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb66…2f53backed Pistons | 50c | 8,027$4,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,000 | 208 | 49.5%103 W · 105 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e6e…be00backed Pistons | 49c | 5,644$2,765 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,764.78 | 458 | 50.4%231 W · 227 L | +11.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3218…4918backed Pistons | 48c | 4,948$2,375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,374.85 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3270…1f68backed Pistons | 48c | 4,727$2,269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,268.96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x744a…8045backed Nuggets | 52c | 4,594$2,389 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,205.12 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61c8…40e1backed Pistons | 48c | 4,526$2,172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,172.48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6282…3e20backed Nuggets | 52c | 4,486$2,333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,153.28 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbbe0…c81fbacked Nuggets | 52c | 4,484$2,332 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,152.32 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa043…43e3backed Nuggets | 52c | 4,414$2,295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,118.72 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d69…af6dbacked Nuggets | 52c | 4,380$2,278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,102.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc9c9…7f8dbacked Nuggets | 52c | 4,360$2,267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,092.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb75…ecf2backed Nuggets | 52c | 4,324$2,248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,075.52 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2983…5e5bbacked Nuggets | 52c | 4,300$2,236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,064 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x306c…2af7backed Nuggets | 52c | 4,298$2,235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,063.04 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x942f…ae50backed Nuggets | 52c | 4,256$2,213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,042.88 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32c7…604abacked Pistons | 48c | 4,255$2,042 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,042.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca2…bb7fbacked Nuggets | 52c | 4,186$2,177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,009.28 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b31…64c4backed Nuggets | 52c | 4,160$2,163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,996.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea70…5b65backed Nuggets | 52c | 4,146$2,156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,990.08 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f7f…4b81backed Pistons | 48c | 4,106$1,971 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,970.88 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc407…abe9backed Nuggets | 52c | 4,080$2,122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,958.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b55…7b1fbacked Nuggets | 52c | 4,034$2,098 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,936.32 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84e3…9ef7backed Nuggets | 52c | 3,988$2,074 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,914.24 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4459…6d33backed Pistons | 48c | 3,960$1,901 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,900.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x89b9…2627backed Pistons | 48c | 3,920$1,882 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,881.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa533…52a0backed Nuggets | 52c | 3,920$2,038 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,881.6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x27ec…ca44backed Nuggets | 52c | 3,880$2,018 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,862.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7817…c6fabacked Pistons | 48c | 3,872$1,859 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,858.56 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2807…c65dbacked Pistons | 48c | 3,855$1,850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,850.4 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x24e5…2236backed Nuggets | 52c | 3,854$2,004 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,849.92 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1047…13babacked Nuggets | 52c | 3,852$2,003 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,848.96 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d5b…2d7ebacked Nuggets | 52c | 3,844$1,999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,845.12 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x308c…4dbfbacked Nuggets | 52c | 3,788$1,970 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,818.24 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf51…4a30backed Nuggets | 53c | 3,774$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,773.58 | 767 | 46.4%356 W · 411 L | -16.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc5a…ee7ebacked Pistons | 48c | 3,688$1,770 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,770.24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07fb…930bbacked Pistons | 48c | 3,636$1,745 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,745.28 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee6a…2c3fbacked Pistons | 48c | 3,628$1,741 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,741.44 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3198…f6c2backed Nuggets | 52c | 3,605$1,875 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,730.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42e8…6e3cbacked Pistons | 48c | 3,584$1,720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,720.32 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb954…bd77backed Pistons | 48c | 3,520$1,690 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,689.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe991…a082backed Pistons | 48c | 3,512$1,686 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,685.76 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7380…6f2abacked Pistons | 48c | 3,494$1,677 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,677.12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7337…6211backed Pistons | 48c | 3,482$1,671 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,671.36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f60…9a40backed Nuggets | 52c | 3,421$1,779 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,642.08 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.48per pick | 53cpaid | +90.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x131b…62ffbacked Pistons | 48c | 3,404$1,634 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,633.92 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07ec…bc58backed Nuggets | 52c | 3,255$1,693 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,562.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x71aa…63e1backed Pistons | 48c | 3,234$1,552 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,552.32 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc9ed…5411backed Pistons | 48c | 3,234$1,552 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,552.32 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4a2…8eefbacked Pistons | 48c | 3,220$1,546 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,545.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd8d9…2ffbbacked Pistons | 48c | 3,210$1,541 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,540.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1213…1571backed Pistons | 48c | 3,170$1,522 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,521.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff2d…7aebbacked Pistons | 48c | 3,148$1,511 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,511.04 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3788…841dbacked Pistons | 48c | 3,144$1,509 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,509.12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2bf4…2f26backed Pistons | 48c | 3,138$1,506 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,506.24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4096…3e9cbacked Pistons | 48c | 3,130$1,502 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,502.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x68fb…9d1cbacked Nuggets | 52c | 3,120$1,625 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,495.16 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5505…4ce5backed Pistons | 48c | 3,118$1,497 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,496.64 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x486e…efe0backed Pistons | 48c | 3,050$1,464 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,464 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60ea…b827backed Nuggets | 52c | 3,030$1,576 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,454.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7915…d161backed Pistons | 48c | 3,014$1,447 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,446.72 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc6e9…1f9abacked Pistons | 48c | 3,000$1,440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,440 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08c5…43edbacked Nuggets | 51c | 2,995$1,525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,469.5 | 443 | 52.4%232 W · 211 L | +10.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x46be…9ce1backed Nuggets | 52c | 2,906$1,511 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,394.88 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +2.5wins | +0.25per pick | 55cpaid | +53.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7fcb…65b7backed Pistons | 48c | 2,767$1,328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,328.16 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Nuggets | 47c | 2,733$1,275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,457.73 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Pistons | 51c | 2,530$1,278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,277.5 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda78…5d02backed Pistons | 48c | 2,422$1,163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,162.56 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x20d6…3856backed Nuggets | 51c | 2,333$1,190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,143.17 | 398 | 42.5%169 W · 229 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x148c…fae5backed Pistons | 48c | 2,333$1,120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,119.84 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83dd…7136backed Pistons | 48c | 2,220$1,066 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,065.6 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Nuggets | 45c | 2,195$985 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,210.51 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c89…d4c1backed Nuggets | 52c | 2,121$1,103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,018.08 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe630…5d81backed Nuggets | 47c | 2,119$996 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,123.15 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -2.0wins | -0.17per pick | 42cpaid | -44.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Pistons | 53c | 2,079$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,100 | 1,910 | 54.3%1,038 W · 872 L | +25.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa447…5ed4backed Nuggets | 52c | 2,044$1,063 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$981.12 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.18per pick | 52cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x81f1…f25bbacked Nuggets | 52c | 2,044$1,063 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$981.12 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.18per pick | 52cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb853…0d33backed Nuggets | 49c | 2,041$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,040.82 | 354 | 38.1%135 W · 219 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd903…f957backed Nuggets | 52c | 2,033$1,057 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$975.84 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.29per pick | 51cpaid | +54.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7800…3823backed Nuggets | 52c | 2,025$1,053 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$972 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0851…bd1ebacked Pistons | 48c | 2,011$965 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$965.28 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5018…e1a4backed Pistons | 48c | 2,008$964 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$963.84 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Nuggets | 47c | 2,000$940 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,060 | 877 | 50.2%440 W · 437 L | -19.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf923…b801backed Pistons | 48c | 1,995$958 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$957.6 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca3d…2a83backed Nuggets | 52c | 1,958$1,018 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$939.84 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +30.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef91…5cf5backed Nuggets | 52c | 1,955$1,017 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$938.4 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +30.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x963e…1f5cbacked Nuggets | 52c | 1,955$1,017 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$938.4 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.18per pick | 52cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7e6…40a2backed Pistons | 48c | 1,945$934 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$933.6 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd7f4…6c80backed Pistons | 48c | 1,923$923 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$923.04 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1890…0366backed Pistons | 48c | 1,917$920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$920.16 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Nuggets | 49c | 1,889$919 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$969.6 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa488…10a1backed Nuggets | 52c | 1,877$976 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$900.96 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dad…b5d4backed Pistons | 48c | 1,866$896 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$895.68 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x87ee…8205backed Pistons | 48c | 1,855$890 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$890.4 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7a53…4285backed Nuggets | 52c | 1,844$959 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$885.12 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +30.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9680…0222backed Pistons | 48c | 1,823$875 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$875.04 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 18 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Pistons (-4.5)this page
- Cade Cunningham: Assists O/U 9.5Yes won
- Nikola Jokić: Assists O/U 8.5No won
- Nuggets vs. PistonsPistons won
- Nuggets vs. Pistons: 1H MoneylinePistons won
- Nuggets vs. Pistons: 1H O/U 109.5Over won
- Nuggets vs. Pistons: O/U 224.5Over won
- Nuggets vs. Pistons: O/U 225.5Over won
- Nuggets vs. Pistons: O/U 226.5Over won
- Nuggets vs. Pistons: O/U 227.5Over won
- Nuggets vs. Pistons: O/U 228.5Over won
- Nuggets vs. Pistons: O/U 229.5Over won
- Peyton Watson: Points O/U 15.5Yes won
- Peyton Watson: Rebounds O/U 4.5No won
- Ron Holland II: Rebounds O/U 3.5Yes won
- Spread: Pistons (-3.5)Nuggets won
- Spread: Pistons (-5.5)Nuggets won
- Spread: Pistons (-6.5)Nuggets won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.