NBA · resolved market
Spread: Pistons (-5.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa2cc0d4140c3058b13d8bc22cee417027e615b716fc7cb7e84ceb06e95e2c95e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Nuggetsof Pistons, Nuggets
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $822,882
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $833,863
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $822,882 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 149 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4924…3782backed Pistons | 51c | 560,959$285,915 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285,915.32 | 874 | 51.5%450 W · 424 L | +15.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Nuggets | 49c | 323,133$158,335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164,798.08 | 2,361 | 48.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Nuggets | 49c | 118,940$58,281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60,659.49 | 1,045 | 49%512 W · 533 L | +21.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc257…358ebacked Nuggets | 53c | 95,000$50,350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44,650 | 404 | 46.8%189 W · 215 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbddf…c684backed Nuggets | 51c | 37,000$18,870 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,129.86 | 726 | 48.3%351 W · 375 L | +30.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f4…544cbacked Pistons | 50c | 21,513$10,747 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,746.65 | 39 | 20.5%8 W · 31 L | -11.0wins | -0.28per pick | 49cpaid | -58.8%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Pistons | 48c | 19,327$9,344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,344.02 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1433…56a0backed Pistons | 49c | 12,776$6,260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,260.47 | 175 | 54.9%96 W · 79 L | +8.8wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Nuggets | 49c | 11,111$5,444 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,666.61 | 245 | 54.7%134 W · 111 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d1a…0df6backed Nuggets | 52c | 10,300$5,356 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,943.99 | 207 | 44.9%93 W · 114 L | -8.4wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xead0…f3babacked Nuggets | 53c | 10,000$5,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,700 | 1,124 | 48.6%546 W · 578 L | +13.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x201c…58bfbacked Nuggets | 50c | 10,000$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,000 | 185 | 47%87 W · 98 L | -4.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa1f3…d99cbacked Pistons | 47c | 9,465$4,458 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,458 | 485 | 46.4%225 W · 260 L | -14.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb66…2f53backed Pistons | 51c | 7,843$4,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,000 | 208 | 49.5%103 W · 105 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Pistons | 49c | 7,000$3,430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,430 | 1,820 | 52.1%948 W · 872 L | +48.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Nuggets | 50c | 6,762$3,376 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,385.65 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7298…fe8dbacked Pistons | 48c | 5,702$2,737 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,736.75 | 657 | 50.1%329 W · 328 L | +10.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Pistons | 47c | 5,153$2,440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,440.19 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf57e…bbd6backed Nuggets | 52c | 4,973$2,586 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,386.81 | 105 | 53.3%56 W · 49 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Pistons | 48c | 4,000$1,920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,920 | 691 | 49.1%339 W · 352 L | -8.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33dd…ef8abacked Nuggets | 53c | 4,000$2,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,880 | 139 | 54.7%76 W · 63 L | +7.8wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdf…8e02backed Nuggets | 50c | 4,000$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,000 | 339 | 45.1%153 W · 186 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x92d8…0924backed Pistons | 47c | 3,904$1,835 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,835.09 | 240 | 45.4%109 W · 131 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8738…222bbacked Nuggets | 52c | 3,817$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,817.27 | 100 | 45%45 W · 55 L | -9.4wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -20%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7e86…d720backed Pistons | 49c | 3,277$1,606 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,606.27 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.9wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +47.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9870…b9d3backed Nuggets | 52c | 2,885$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,384.62 | 564 | 53.9%304 W · 260 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc617…a854backed Pistons | 47c | 2,553$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 426 | 48.1%205 W · 221 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Nuggets | 51c | 2,043$1,049 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$994.02 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x785f…e3d9backed Pistons | 49c | 2,020$994 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$993.73 | 1,029 | 47.7%491 W · 538 L | -13.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Pistons | 54c | 2,000$1,078 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,078.12 | 461 | 45.6%210 W · 251 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fb4…5c6cbacked Nuggets | 52c | 2,000$1,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$960 | 266 | 40.2%107 W · 159 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed Nuggets | 52c | 2,000$1,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$960 | 672 | 52.7%354 W · 318 L | +15.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Nuggets | 46c | 1,780$819 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$961.2 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd8e…f023backed Nuggets | 52c | 1,346$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$646.15 | 126 | 49.2%62 W · 64 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Pistons | 47c | 1,296$612 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$611.97 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ca5…73bcbacked Nuggets | 52c | 1,250$650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600 | 404 | 51.5%208 W · 196 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Pistons | 49c | 1,222$597 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$596.59 | 3,120 | 44.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L | -7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…bfc2backed Nuggets | 53c | 1,133$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$532.51 | 2,435 | 49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L | +30.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa82b…5220backed Nuggets | 51c | 1,100$562 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$538 | 186 | 50%93 W · 93 L | +6.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0674…2034backed Pistons | 49c | 1,020$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +2.3wins | +0.17per pick | 52cpaid | +24%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8a33…d0e2backed Pistons | 49c | 1,017$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 54 | 68.5%37 W · 17 L | +9.4wins | +0.17per pick | 51cpaid | +30%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Nuggets | 49c | 1,002$491 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$511.02 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca1a…89e5backed Nuggets | 52c | 1,000$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -2.9wins | -0.21per pick | 49cpaid | -41.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1041…f452backed Pistons | 48c | 1,000$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480 | 269 | 49.1%132 W · 137 L | -5.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Nuggets | 51c | 1,000$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490 | 1,194 | 48.8%583 W · 611 L | -22.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xedf9…5b10backed Nuggets | 51c | 1,000$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490 | 58 | 46.6%27 W · 31 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd65…3e60backed Nuggets | 52c | 961.54$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$461.54 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbad3…ab75backed Nuggets | 57c | 961.01$544 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$417.12 | 15 | 80%12 W · 3 L | +2.7wins | +0.18per pick | 62cpaid | +32%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Nuggets | 51c | 943$481 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$462.07 | 2,078 | 53.6%1,113 W · 965 L | +44.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Nuggets | 51c | 831$424 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$407.19 | 1,908 | 54.5%1,040 W · 868 L | +53.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Nuggets | 52c | 673$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$323.04 | 1,150 | 49.5%569 W · 581 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Pistons | 47c | 657$309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$308.79 | 1,667 | 52.7%878 W · 789 L | +45.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Nuggets | 44c | 622.79$272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$351.23 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40ce…bf90backed Pistons | 50c | 600$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 42 | 40.5%17 W · 25 L | -3.3wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fc…da76backed Nuggets | 52c | 573.2$298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275.14 | 851 | 47.5%404 W · 447 L | -7.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb95…a5ccbacked Nuggets | 51c | 550$281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269 | 244 | 42.6%104 W · 140 L | -17.8wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7be1…200ebacked Nuggets | 52c | 490.38$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.38 | 364 | 49.7%181 W · 183 L | -11.6wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x68a9…e73abacked Nuggets | 52c | 480.77$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.77 | 210 | 45.2%95 W · 115 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf395…8e3cbacked Nuggets | 52c | 461.54$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.54 | 118 | 39.8%47 W · 71 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Pistons | 49c | 458.75$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.79 | 2,512 | 49.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Nuggets | 52c | 456.74$238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.23 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…4f9cbacked Pistons | 49c | 408.16$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 155 | 43.2%67 W · 88 L | -6.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d91…bb2abacked Pistons | 50c | 400$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +2.2wins | +0.17per pick | 60cpaid | +27.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf09f…8049backed Nuggets | 50c | 400$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 666 | 45.9%306 W · 360 L | -11.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9031…5265backed Nuggets | 53c | 396.58$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.39 | 94 | 51.1%48 W · 46 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4096…3e9cbacked Nuggets | 55c | 394$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.3 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa533…52a0backed Pistons | 45c | 394$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.3 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x85c2…9730backed Nuggets | 53c | 373.86$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.86 | 685 | 42.6%292 W · 393 L | -6.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked Pistons | 37c | 352.83$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.96 | 214 | 43.9%94 W · 120 L | +7.8wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6238…0523backed Nuggets | 51c | 346.98$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.02 | 158 | 49.4%78 W · 80 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc660…bd28backed Pistons | 47c | 342.39$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.92 | 593 | 47%279 W · 314 L | -7.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Nuggets | 51c | 314$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.86 | 522 | 40%209 W · 313 L | -8.4wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb85…8464backed Nuggets | 53c | 264.15$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.15 | 400 | 41.5%166 W · 234 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x849f…0665backed Nuggets | 50c | 245.17$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.59 | 950 | 47.2%448 W · 502 L | -28.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e11…45ecbacked Nuggets | 51c | 234.01$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.01 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | +5.1wins | +0.17per pick | 43cpaid | +38.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x04a7…164bbacked Pistons | 50c | 222.86$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.4 | 101 | 43.6%44 W · 57 L | -6.2wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa266…67f7backed Nuggets | 52c | 201.92$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.92 | 167 | 40.1%67 W · 100 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafdb…cdf6backed Pistons | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x01b1…0436backed Pistons | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -3.5wins | -0.14per pick | 50cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd420…df90backed Nuggets | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 514 | 51.9%267 W · 247 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc688…5987backed Nuggets | 51c | 200$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98 | 323 | 46.4%150 W · 173 L | -8.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97e5…e2f4backed Pistons | 55c | 199.99$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 49 | 32.7%16 W · 33 L | -4.4wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7aa8…56dbbacked Nuggets | 45c | 197.77$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.77 | 489 | 56.4%276 W · 213 L | +31.3wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xab15…d4a4backed Nuggets | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.31 | 56 | 53.6%30 W · 26 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x75f3…0e78backed Nuggets | 53c | 189.34$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.34 | 631 | 42%265 W · 366 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2ca…d984backed Nuggets | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.68 | 364 | 50.8%185 W · 179 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc871…7d99backed Nuggets | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.68 | 468 | 26.5%124 W · 344 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a2d…4f43backed Pistons | 49c | 173.47$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 228 | 50.9%116 W · 112 L | +7.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ae…4df8backed Pistons | 49c | 164.82$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.58 | 1,044 | 47.5%496 W · 548 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf2d…e660backed Pistons | 56c | 144.11$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 113 | 43.4%49 W · 64 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc57…f5f4backed Nuggets | 50c | 128$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64 | 108 | 50.9%55 W · 53 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39c6…0ac1backed Pistons | 46c | 126.09$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 542 | 46.7%253 W · 289 L | -7.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce3e…2f24backed Pistons | 48c | 125$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 250 | 56.8%142 W · 108 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Nuggets | 41c | 124.59$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.63 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x481d…48cfbacked Pistons | 54c | 120$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.8 | 79 | 54.4%43 W · 36 L | +5.6wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +17%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0646…0b51backed Pistons | 49c | 120$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.8 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed Nuggets | 50c | 119.32$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.64 | 666 | 46.8%312 W · 354 L | -29.6wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -11%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc86…7e77backed Nuggets | 50c | 116.96$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.48 | 927 | 50.6%469 W · 458 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Pistons | 59c | 100.46$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.38 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe0c7…5861backed Nuggets | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.04 | 516 | 51.2%264 W · 252 L | -6.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 18 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Pistons (-5.5)this page
- Cade Cunningham: Assists O/U 9.5Yes won
- Nikola Jokić: Assists O/U 8.5No won
- Nuggets vs. PistonsPistons won
- Nuggets vs. Pistons: 1H MoneylinePistons won
- Nuggets vs. Pistons: 1H O/U 109.5Over won
- Nuggets vs. Pistons: O/U 224.5Over won
- Nuggets vs. Pistons: O/U 225.5Over won
- Nuggets vs. Pistons: O/U 226.5Over won
- Nuggets vs. Pistons: O/U 227.5Over won
- Nuggets vs. Pistons: O/U 228.5Over won
- Nuggets vs. Pistons: O/U 229.5Over won
- Peyton Watson: Points O/U 15.5Yes won
- Peyton Watson: Rebounds O/U 4.5No won
- Ron Holland II: Rebounds O/U 3.5Yes won
- Spread: Pistons (-3.5)Nuggets won
- Spread: Pistons (-4.5)Nuggets won
- Spread: Pistons (-6.5)Nuggets won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.