NBA · resolved market

Spread: Pistons (-6.5)

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5989f2defbc179d4db9727cbc3f601d1480ba37cfef4957cb2176a6fae6ec093

Rebuilt 2 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Nuggetsof Pistons, Nuggets
Resolved: Feb 4, 2026, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $103,519
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $117,581

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $103,519 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 98 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in NBA
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xc257…358ebacked Nuggets	57c	54,000$30,780 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$23,220	404	46.8%189 W · 215 L	-3.6wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	+1.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe90b…5da2backed Pistons	43c	42,842$18,422 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18,421.98	1,045	49%512 W · 533 L	+21.8wins	+0.02per pick	47cpaid	-7.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Pistons	43c	12,000$5,160 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,160	2,153	51.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L	+76.7wins	+0.04per pick	48cpaid	+6.9%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8873…09fcbacked Nuggets	57c	10,616$6,094 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,522.17	78	48.7%38 W · 40 L	-3.7wins	-0.05per pick	54cpaid	-10.7%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Pistons	43c	5,539$2,371 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,371.45	9,722	49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L	-2.8wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4924…3782backed Pistons	46c	3,974$1,828 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,828.07	874	51.5%450 W · 424 L	+15.8wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	+3.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Nuggets	56c	2,898$1,623 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,275.12	2,045	48.4%990 W · 1,055 L	-30.3wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-3.4%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x733d…1ae7backed Pistons	43c	2,270$976 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$976.07	191	47.6%91 W · 100 L	+6.9wins	+0.04per pick	44cpaid	+0.4%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Pistons	58c	1,985$1,153 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,152.95	8,988	47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L	+96.4wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7e3a…3246backed Pistons	58c	1,729$1,003 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,002.57	199	54.8%109 W · 90 L	+12.2wins	+0.06per pick	49cpaid	+12.3%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Nuggets	42c	1,646$691 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$954.71	3,995	48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L	+101.9wins	+0.03per pick	46cpaid	-1.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Pistons	44c	1,319$580 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$580.4	6,213	50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L	+53.8wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe76f…39fcbacked Nuggets	22c	926.68$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$726.68	120	50%60 W · 60 L	-5.2wins	-0.04per pick	54cpaid	-8.9%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Nuggets	55c	909.74$502 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$407.65	2,091	47.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L	-56.6wins	-0.03per pick	51cpaid	-4.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Pistons	43c	762.28$325 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$324.84	4,325	47%2,031 W · 2,294 L	-69.5wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Pistons	44c	760.46$332 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$331.96	807	44.1%356 W · 451 L	+6.2wins	+0.01per pick	43cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xce26…8e06backed Nuggets	55c	667.26$366 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$301.64	910	50.9%463 W · 447 L	+11.5wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd6a8…58fdbacked Nuggets	48c	657.84$316 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$341.36	214	43.9%94 W · 120 L	+7.8wins	+0.04per pick	40cpaid	+12.1%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf395…8e3cbacked Nuggets	44c	649.98$288 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$361.49	118	39.8%47 W · 71 L	-2.1wins	-0.02per pick	42cpaid	-6.6%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x86b1…c094backed Nuggets	19c	636.58$120 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$516.36	448	21.4%96 W · 352 L	-4.7wins	-0.01per pick	22cpaid	-17.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Pistons	70c	568.34$400 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$399.77	2,630	36.7%966 W · 1,664 L	-119.1wins	-0.05per pick	41cpaid	-25.5%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x785f…e3d9backed Pistons	44c	545.86$238 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$237.68	1,029	47.7%491 W · 538 L	-13.8wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-4.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9030…4a23backed Nuggets	60c	533.33$320 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$213.33	78	62.8%49 W · 29 L	+4.0wins	+0.05per pick	58cpaid	+7.9%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Pistons	43c	463$199 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$199.09	1,667	52.7%878 W · 789 L	+45.5wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x69ca…9ef8backed Nuggets	80c	350$280 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$70	285	54.7%156 W · 129 L	-1.4wins	-0.01per pick	55cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Pistons	42c	344.83$145 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$144.83	5,053	50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L	+110.9wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+2.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2de8…1121backed Nuggets	58c	344.83$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$144.83	909	57.6%524 W · 385 L	-1.9wins	0.00per pick	58cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Pistons	44c	335.16$146 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$146.44	3,285	49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L	+5.3wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Pistons	40c	319.79$128 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$127.92	3,902	47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L	-17.9wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x8f88…ca51backed Nuggets	22c	300$66 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$234	135	36.3%49 W · 86 L	-0.4wins	0.00per pick	37cpaid	+4.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x76c3…4b14backed Nuggets	19c	300$56 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$243.72	25	20%5 W · 20 L	-4.0wins	-0.16per pick	36cpaid	-45.9%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0xa924…b1b9backed Pistons	28c	242$67 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$66.72	146	36.3%53 W · 93 L	+16.4wins	+0.11per pick	25cpaid	+58.2%equal weight	61+0.10 edge/pick
0xb9fc…da76backed Nuggets	56c	237.71$133 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$104.59	851	47.5%404 W · 447 L	-7.6wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-3.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5f19…ec51backed Nuggets	63c	233$146 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$86.61	71	50.7%36 W · 35 L	-0.6wins	-0.01per pick	52cpaid	-8.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf09f…8049backed Nuggets	41c	199.99$82 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$118	666	45.9%306 W · 360 L	-11.5wins	-0.02per pick	48cpaid	-4.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed Pistons	61c	191.64$116 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$116.12	506	51.2%259 W · 247 L	+11.8wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	-3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Nuggets	76c	168$128 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$40.26	2,169	40.8%885 W · 1,284 L	-8.7wins	0.00per pick	41cpaid	-14.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe20a…e469backed Pistons	45c	164.76$74 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$74.14	2,361	48.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L	-41.8wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-3.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Pistons	42c	159$66 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$66.33	3,120	44.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L	-7.6wins	0.00per pick	45cpaid	-3.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xec6c…23c7backed Pistons	60c	158.77$95 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$94.52	248	46.8%116 W · 132 L	+8.7wins	+0.04per pick	43cpaid	-9%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x187b…8848backed Nuggets	56c	142.86$80 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$62.86	722	50.6%365 W · 357 L	-17.6wins	-0.02per pick	53cpaid	-3.7%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3a72…fc7abacked Nuggets	56c	141.65$80 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$61.66	46	56.5%26 W · 20 L	+2.6wins	+0.06per pick	51cpaid	+17.1%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x94d8…8835backed Nuggets	60c	130.32$78 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$52.13	134	64.2%86 W · 48 L	+8.0wins	+0.06per pick	58cpaid	+10.2%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x39c6…0ac1backed Pistons	46c	128.26$59 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$59	542	46.7%253 W · 289 L	-7.2wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-6.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9d15…2d65backed Nuggets	68c	126.1$86 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$40.35	17	47.1%8 W · 9 L	-4.4wins	-0.26per pick	73cpaid	-35.9%equal weight	38-0.10 edge/pick
0x4d9b…eb8dbacked Nuggets	55c	120$66 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$54	86	59.3%51 W · 35 L	+6.4wins	+0.07per pick	52cpaid	+12.2%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x70b2…1950backed Nuggets	57c	117.54$67 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$50.54	83	57.8%48 W · 35 L	+2.4wins	+0.03per pick	55cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x05f9…f351backed Nuggets	57c	116$67 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$49.3	410	48.3%198 W · 212 L	+1.8wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	+4.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3fbc…9cf6backed Pistons	44c	113.64$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	366	49.5%181 W · 185 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed Nuggets	56c	104$58 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$45.76	1,163	52.8%614 W · 549 L	+22.4wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfd07…cb4ebacked Nuggets	47c	102.22$48 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$54.22	201	43.3%87 W · 114 L	-12.4wins	-0.06per pick	49cpaid	-13.9%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x48cf…c7dfbacked Nuggets	60c	100$60 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$40	364	53%193 W · 171 L	-17.0wins	-0.05per pick	58cpaid	-8.2%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x37de…f512backed Pistons	21c	100$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21	1,390	26%361 W · 1,029 L	-5.6wins	0.00per pick	26cpaid	+0.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Pistons	41c	100$41 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$41	2,512	49.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L	+6.9wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	+1.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Pistons	52c	96.34$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50.1	2,666	48%1,279 W · 1,387 L	-8.2wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8415…dfe1backed Pistons	40c	92.88$37 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37.15	196	47.4%93 W · 103 L	-2.2wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-3.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x93e7…cc0cbacked Nuggets	53c	75.04$40 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$35.27	63	52.4%33 W · 30 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	-2.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x849f…0665backed Nuggets	54c	75$41 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$34.5	950	47.2%448 W · 502 L	-28.5wins	-0.03per pick	50cpaid	-6.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc5b5…7e80backed Nuggets	80c	73.99$59 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14.8	1,055	49.9%526 W · 529 L	+29.7wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	-3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x57e5…e51ebacked Nuggets	57c	70$40 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$30.1	333	60.4%201 W · 132 L	+17.6wins	+0.05per pick	55cpaid	+8.8%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb53c…c76ebacked Nuggets	31c	67.1$21 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$46.6	487	40.7%198 W · 289 L	-13.0wins	-0.03per pick	43cpaid	-11%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked Pistons	62c	61.88$38 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$38.35	1,096	40.9%448 W · 648 L	+34.3wins	+0.03per pick	38cpaid	-17%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5101…4a4fbacked Pistons	51c	58.82$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	400	48.3%193 W · 207 L	-4.7wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-2.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8b5b…6e14backed Pistons	45c	55.58$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	58	53.4%31 W · 27 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	53cpaid	-0.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0a7e…b805backed Pistons	56c	53$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.82	99	58.6%58 W · 41 L	+9.5wins	+0.10per pick	49cpaid	+15.2%equal weight	58+0.08 edge/pick
0xda16…6da2backed Pistons	54c	47.62$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.81	470	45.1%212 W · 258 L	-10.2wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	-8.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xea78…a74ebacked Pistons	44c	45.45$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	565	47.8%270 W · 295 L	+9.5wins	+0.02per pick	46cpaid	+3.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x11f2…a7a0backed Nuggets	36c	43.09$16 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$27.37	190	50.5%96 W · 94 L	-1.3wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-4.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc86…7e77backed Pistons	43c	42.84$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.42	927	50.6%469 W · 458 L	-1.8wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	-3.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x033f…b8cabacked Nuggets	60c	41.67$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16.67	133	52.6%70 W · 63 L	-6.4wins	-0.05per pick	57cpaid	-10.1%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xef23…9971backed Nuggets	60c	41.67$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16.67	281	56.2%158 W · 123 L	-6.0wins	-0.02per pick	58cpaid	-2.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3bbe…03c5backed Nuggets	55c	40$22 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18	52	40.4%21 W · 31 L	-4.5wins	-0.09per pick	49cpaid	-25.7%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc006…036abacked Pistons	55c	36$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.8	29	31%9 W · 20 L	-4.7wins	-0.16per pick	47cpaid	-35.2%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0x1ea1…6072backed Nuggets	56c	35.71$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15.71	245	66.9%164 W · 81 L	+7.5wins	+0.03per pick	64cpaid	+3.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf78d…ea1dbacked Pistons	56c	34.15$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.12	7	57.1%4 W · 3 L	+0.7wins	+0.10per pick	47cpaid	+4.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Pistons	47c	33.91$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.84	5,844	46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L	+32.7wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-3.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5a33…9a46backed Nuggets	60c	33.33$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13.33	139	53.2%74 W · 65 L	+2.8wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe09e…5047backed Pistons	61c	32.72$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.99	82	43.9%36 W · 46 L	-2.9wins	-0.04per pick	47cpaid	-7.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe315…3911backed Pistons	46c	31.4$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.58	576	57.8%333 W · 243 L	+13.0wins	+0.02per pick	56cpaid	+2.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xce9d…3c05backed Pistons	59c	30$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.7	954	52.3%499 W · 455 L	-17.4wins	-0.02per pick	54cpaid	-3.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0e51…e4f7backed Pistons	42c	30$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.6	432	44%190 W · 242 L	-18.3wins	-0.04per pick	48cpaid	-9.8%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x859d…3cecbacked Pistons	44c	29.6$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.02	508	41.7%212 W · 296 L	-11.2wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	-3.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Pistons	78c	29.41$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.95	3,551	46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L	+1.9wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-6.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa785…acb6backed Nuggets	39c	28.03$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17.01	324	55.9%181 W · 143 L	+8.4wins	+0.03per pick	53cpaid	-1.3%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb6ae…4df8backed Pistons	42c	28$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.8	1,044	47.5%496 W · 548 L	-12.8wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-3.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd730…1948backed Pistons	43c	26.74$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.6	171	55.6%95 W · 76 L	+4.9wins	+0.03per pick	53cpaid	+2.9%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Nuggets	55c	25.16$14 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11.42	1,786	53.2%950 W · 836 L	+52.7wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe760…aadcbacked Nuggets	60c	25$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10	152	48.7%74 W · 78 L	-2.5wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7481…279fbacked Nuggets	60c	25$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10	156	51.9%81 W · 75 L	-0.8wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0ca8…ddddbacked Nuggets	60c	25$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10	278	46.8%130 W · 148 L	-7.5wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-9.2%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd9a0…8b5bbacked Nuggets	60c	25$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10	165	50.3%83 W · 82 L	-0.4wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	-5.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xfc33…9636backed Pistons	42c	24.09$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.12	192	42.7%82 W · 110 L	-10.7wins	-0.06per pick	48cpaid	-11.7%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7aa8…56dbbacked Pistons	44c	23$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.12	489	56.4%276 W · 213 L	+31.3wins	+0.06per pick	50cpaid	+5.5%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd2f9…3f4fbacked Nuggets	50c	22.15$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11.15	5	40%2 W · 3 L	+0.4wins	+0.08per pick	32cpaid	-1%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf0a9…c0a7backed Nuggets	53c	21.36$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10.04	72	58.3%42 W · 30 L	+6.6wins	+0.09per pick	49cpaid	+15.6%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x52f2…5a5dbacked Pistons	63c	20.65$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.11	175	47.4%83 W · 92 L	-13.3wins	-0.08per pick	55cpaid	-14.8%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0x6fc5…d36ebacked Nuggets	80c	20$16 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4	58	48.3%28 W · 30 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-2.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1600…9236backed Nuggets	59c	17$10 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6.97	20	65%13 W · 7 L	+1.2wins	+0.06per pick	59cpaid	+3.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 18 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Spread: Pistons (-6.5)this page
Cade Cunningham: Assists O/U 9.5Yes won
Nikola Jokić: Assists O/U 8.5No won
Nuggets vs. PistonsPistons won
Nuggets vs. Pistons: 1H MoneylinePistons won
Nuggets vs. Pistons: 1H O/U 109.5Over won
Nuggets vs. Pistons: O/U 224.5Over won
Nuggets vs. Pistons: O/U 225.5Over won
Nuggets vs. Pistons: O/U 226.5Over won
Nuggets vs. Pistons: O/U 227.5Over won
Nuggets vs. Pistons: O/U 228.5Over won
Nuggets vs. Pistons: O/U 229.5Over won
Peyton Watson: Points O/U 15.5Yes won
Peyton Watson: Rebounds O/U 4.5No won
Ron Holland II: Rebounds O/U 3.5Yes won
Spread: Pistons (-3.5)Nuggets won
Spread: Pistons (-4.5)Nuggets won
Spread: Pistons (-5.5)Nuggets won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Spread: Pistons (-6.5)

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event