NBA · resolved market
Nuggets vs. Pistons: O/U 229.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x68c8d7518b0e16e716b4e5a80ced83f6c2dbb7ea4e0feda826190739c4dbfa2d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $88,050
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $87,801
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $88,050 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 95 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x08c5…43edbacked Over | 49c | 39,999$19,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,399.7 | 443 | 52.4%232 W · 211 L | +10.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44d4…1970backed Under | 51c | 32,451$16,550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,550 | 167 | 52.1%87 W · 80 L | +7.6wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 48c | 15,834$7,667 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,166.75 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x187b…26bfbacked Under | 51c | 10,000$5,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,100 | 173 | 48.6%84 W · 89 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Under | 50c | 3,848$1,924 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,924.14 | 1,820 | 52.1%948 W · 872 L | +48.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1041…f452backed Over | 51c | 3,117$1,586 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,531.17 | 269 | 49.1%132 W · 137 L | -5.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf6de…95e8backed Under | 51c | 3,000$1,530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,530 | 230 | 47%108 W · 122 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed Under | 52c | 2,911$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 591 | 40.8%241 W · 350 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7298…fe8dbacked Under | 51c | 2,790$1,423 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,422.9 | 657 | 50.1%329 W · 328 L | +10.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb0b…3790backed Over | 10c | 2,476$247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,228.26 | 279 | 37.3%104 W · 175 L | +57.6wins | +0.21per pick | 17cpaid | +187%equal weight | 71+0.19 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 49c | 2,436$1,191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,245.84 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Under | 51c | 2,157$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,100 | 1,910 | 54.3%1,038 W · 872 L | +25.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Under | 42c | 2,075$869 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$869.3 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Over | 49c | 2,014$977 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,036.84 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2fec…871cbacked Under | 51c | 1,601$820 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$819.89 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Over | 51c | 1,540$780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$760.03 | 2,468 | 50.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L | +38.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…bfc2backed Over | 50c | 1,200$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600 | 2,435 | 49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L | +30.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x785f…e3d9backed Over | 49c | 1,014$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$513.38 | 1,029 | 47.7%491 W · 538 L | -13.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf38b…b601backed Over | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +3.7wins | +0.24per pick | 42cpaid | +55.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x05e3…4b87backed Over | 50c | 820$410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$410 | 478 | 56.7%271 W · 207 L | +11.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x34cd…9675backed Under | 51c | 800$408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$408 | 226 | 48.2%109 W · 117 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7100…b346backed Under | 52c | 677.85$352 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$352.48 | 201 | 47.8%96 W · 105 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e3a…3246backed Under | 30c | 677.84$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.35 | 199 | 54.8%109 W · 90 L | +12.2wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Over | 56c | 591.83$331 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260.77 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcacd…e880backed Under | 51c | 588.24$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.18per pick | 43cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5264…54cebacked Under | 51c | 584.1$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298.8 | 48 | 39.6%19 W · 29 L | -4.0wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Over | 50c | 568.06$284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$284.03 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Over | 49c | 528.72$259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.65 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30a4…8441backed Under | 52c | 500$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 320 | 51.9%166 W · 154 L | +10.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +11%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Under | 51c | 500$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255 | 1,194 | 48.8%583 W · 611 L | -22.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 51c | 492.25$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.81 | 3,341 | 53.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L | +108.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Over | 49c | 463.33$227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236.57 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x55aa…4f8ebacked Under | 51c | 461.05$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.24 | 83 | 44.6%37 W · 46 L | -4.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x88b2…7917backed Under | 51c | 331.65$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.14 | 60 | 55%33 W · 27 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc091…3d42backed Under | 50c | 285$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.5 | 543 | 51.6%280 W · 263 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7808…3046backed Under | 51c | 228.59$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.13 | 60 | 55%33 W · 27 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4fb0…3182backed Under | 51c | 227.15$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.85 | 213 | 57.7%123 W · 90 L | +10.3wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x86b1…c094backed Under | 13c | 200$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 448 | 21.4%96 W · 352 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76c3…4b14backed Over | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 25 | 20%5 W · 20 L | -4.0wins | -0.16per pick | 36cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x35a1…2254backed Under | 33c | 199.99$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f89…f3eabacked Under | 51c | 164.71$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 44 | 54.5%24 W · 20 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01b1…0436backed Under | 51c | 159.12$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.15 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -3.5wins | -0.14per pick | 50cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x95b7…d633backed Under | 50c | 120$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 451 | 46.1%208 W · 243 L | -10.4wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd2f8…5bf4backed Under | 51c | 108.73$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.64 | 43 | 41.9%18 W · 25 L | -3.7wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7166…cd31backed Under | 51c | 106.25$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.19 | 78 | 46.2%36 W · 42 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b87…f42dbacked Under | 51c | 105.69$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.9 | 75 | 44%33 W · 42 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60df…7092backed Under | 51c | 101.49$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 117 | 52.1%61 W · 56 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce16…749fbacked Under | 51c | 101.19$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.85 | 117 | 55.6%65 W · 52 L | +6.4wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x73ee…5d16backed Under | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 63 | 46%29 W · 34 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -11%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d8e…3d55backed Under | 51c | 97.71$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 125 | 41.6%52 W · 73 L | -9.3wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1f2d…241bbacked Under | 52c | 97.06$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.47 | 45 | 46.7%21 W · 24 L | -2.9wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc79f…d270backed Under | 51c | 94.81$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.58 | 127 | 52%66 W · 61 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xccf1…25a0backed Over | 30c | 85$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.5 | 1,522 | 49.6%755 W · 767 L | +27.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Over | 37c | 80.66$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.89 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Over | 40c | 78.4$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.28 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf592…9872backed Over | 50c | 76$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38 | 116 | 51.7%60 W · 56 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17ea…9406backed Under | 54c | 74.07$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf464…0607backed Under | 51c | 73.73$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.78 | 97 | 53.6%52 W · 45 L | +4.5wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d15…2d65backed Under | 69c | 72.15$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.78 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -4.4wins | -0.26per pick | 73cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x8cf4…f5e5backed Under | 51c | 67.06$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.36 | 86 | 53.5%46 W · 40 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x71eb…5ec6backed Under | 51c | 65.73$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.68 | 76 | 50%38 W · 38 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb122…8405backed Under | 51c | 63.25$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.41 | 50 | 40%20 W · 30 L | -5.4wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8726…0f36backed Under | 50c | 60$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 282 | 43.3%122 W · 160 L | -13.1wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2478…52d7backed Under | 51c | 55.91$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.59 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +1.6wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec97…a32ebacked Under | 51c | 55.85$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.56 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -1.7wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xceb7…f773backed Under | 51c | 54.49$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.79 | 37 | 54.1%20 W · 17 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe88b…fa5abacked Under | 41c | 50$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.5 | 432 | 46.1%199 W · 233 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97d3…3296backed Under | 51c | 49.73$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.48 | 54 | 37%20 W · 34 L | -7.5wins | -0.14per pick | 51cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 39-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x522e…02e7backed Under | 51c | 47.13$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.15 | 46 | 43.5%20 W · 26 L | -3.6wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6909…8edbbacked Under | 51c | 46.37$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.76 | 56 | 41.1%23 W · 33 L | -5.0wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x81b7…bd2abacked Under | 57c | 45.79$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f6b…7e84backed Under | 51c | 43.58$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.33 | 55 | 41.8%23 W · 32 L | -4.3wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xef69…4ea1backed Under | 51c | 43.48$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.28 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc302…7409backed Under | 51c | 42.97$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.02 | 58 | 46.6%27 W · 31 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x10b7…e0e4backed Under | 51c | 42.74$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.9 | 51 | 37.3%19 W · 32 L | -7.1wins | -0.14per pick | 51cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x281a…7c48backed Under | 51c | 42.08$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.46 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -2.4wins | -0.12per pick | 47cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x38e9…424bbacked Under | 51c | 41.59$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.31 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d25…3a3bbacked Under | 52c | 40$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x862d…bc9bbacked Under | 51c | 39.87$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.43 | 70 | 47.1%33 W · 37 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaeba…d2d8backed Under | 51c | 35.21$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.04 | 76 | 48.7%37 W · 39 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47e2…8f62backed Under | 51c | 31.54$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.16 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.9wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8775…a0fdbacked Under | 51c | 31.42$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.1 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1fc…47eebacked Under | 64c | 31.25$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 45 | 55.6%25 W · 20 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xab4a…e477backed Under | 51c | 31$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.81 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -3.0wins | -0.23per pick | 54cpaid | -45.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x831e…500dbacked Under | 51c | 30.15$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.45 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -2.4wins | -0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…5f3cbacked Under | 51c | 28.78$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.68 | 64 | 48.4%31 W · 33 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x859d…3cecbacked Over | 49c | 28.68$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.63 | 508 | 41.7%212 W · 296 L | -11.2wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27ce…9a42backed Under | 51c | 26.53$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 59 | 42.4%25 W · 34 L | -2.7wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Over | 41c | 24.83$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.65 | 1,758 | 48.7%856 W · 902 L | +28.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8755…e152backed Under | 51c | 24.77$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.64 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | -2.7wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0a2d…de72backed Under | 51c | 23.6$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.07 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4399…a129backed Under | 51c | 22.04$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.28 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +28%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x893e…c716backed Under | 51c | 20.18$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.34 | 43 | 51.2%22 W · 21 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc35…91ddbacked Over | 50c | 20.08$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.04 | 52 | 55.8%29 W · 23 L | +3.1wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7081…2d9cbacked Under | 62c | 18.5$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.54 | 108 | 57.4%62 W · 46 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 18 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Nuggets vs. Pistons: O/U 229.5this page
- Cade Cunningham: Assists O/U 9.5Yes won
- Nikola Jokić: Assists O/U 8.5No won
- Nuggets vs. PistonsPistons won
- Nuggets vs. Pistons: 1H MoneylinePistons won
- Nuggets vs. Pistons: 1H O/U 109.5Over won
- Nuggets vs. Pistons: O/U 224.5Over won
- Nuggets vs. Pistons: O/U 225.5Over won
- Nuggets vs. Pistons: O/U 226.5Over won
- Nuggets vs. Pistons: O/U 227.5Over won
- Nuggets vs. Pistons: O/U 228.5Over won
- Peyton Watson: Points O/U 15.5Yes won
- Peyton Watson: Rebounds O/U 4.5No won
- Ron Holland II: Rebounds O/U 3.5Yes won
- Spread: Pistons (-3.5)Nuggets won
- Spread: Pistons (-4.5)Nuggets won
- Spread: Pistons (-5.5)Nuggets won
- Spread: Pistons (-6.5)Nuggets won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.