TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Nuggets vs. Pistons: O/U 227.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$487,779
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$489,096

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $487,779 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 353 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x43a4…7170backed Over52c32,300$16,782 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,517.732070%14 W · 6 L+3.8wins+0.19per pick51cpaid+39%equal weight59+0.09 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Under46c16,053$7,444 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,443.79,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Over55c12,767$7,022 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,745.152,04548.4%990 W · 1,055 L-30.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbca…b7b7backed Under48c12,490$5,995 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,995.225049.2%123 W · 127 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed Over56c9,715$5,420 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,295.471,16352.8%614 W · 549 L+22.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5b9f…5fbabacked Under48c5,861$2,813 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,813.2820%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Under47c5,815$2,755 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,754.994,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4c50…fed8backed Over50c5,700$2,850 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,850250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfdcf…d8a1backed Under50c4,744$2,372 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,37220%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xcd01…01cdbacked Under50c4,632$2,316 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,31620%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4c36…95afbacked Over50c4,610$2,305 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,305250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeda5…aaa1backed Under50c4,574$2,287 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,28710%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x818b…ac03backed Over50c4,535$2,268 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,267.5580%4 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.30per pick50cpaid+59.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8158…c84cbacked Over50c4,533$2,267 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,266.5250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc67c…564abacked Under50c4,532$2,266 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,26620%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6ded…c75cbacked Under50c4,525$2,263 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,262.510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7154…3cb2backed Over50c4,522$2,261 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,261250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x70e9…a209backed Over50c4,521$2,261 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,260.5250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc4ed…6393backed Under49c4,466$2,188 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,188.34560%3 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+18.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfc43…96fcbacked Over50c4,422$2,211 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,211250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc367…a0cabacked Under50c4,411$2,206 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,205.5250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0ab7…6ac4backed Over50c4,352$2,176 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,176366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+30.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7faf…d91fbacked Over50c4,322$2,161 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,161250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6a2b…3604backed Under50c4,311$2,156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,155.5450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb8ba…0404backed Under50c4,255$2,128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,127.5250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2207…65d1backed Over51c4,242$2,163 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,078.58250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd6bf…b5d1backed Under50c4,211$2,106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,105.520%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0d13…92f3backed Under48c4,194$2,013 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,01370246.4%326 W · 376 L-20.4wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-6.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1bfa…f742backed Over50c4,188$2,094 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,094333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-33.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x46ae…f325backed Over51c4,166$2,125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,041.34250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb04a…dd69backed Over50c4,125$2,063 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,062.5250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9a76…3525backed Under50c4,125$2,063 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,062.5450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7b7b…c145backed Under50c4,122$2,061 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,06130%0 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2c8c…35e3backed Over50c4,122$2,061 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,061366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick49cpaid+34.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1300…be56backed Under50c4,111$2,056 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,055.5333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick50cpaid-32%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1f92…4b1abacked Under49c4,080$1,999 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,999.2333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.18per pick52cpaid-35.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8809…24fbbacked Over50c4,024$2,012 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,012.07580%4 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.29per pick51cpaid+54.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x60f3…f1e5backed Over50c4,022$2,011 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,011250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x23e9…b583backed Under50c4,022$2,011 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,01120%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb30d…19fdbacked Over50c4,022$2,011 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,011250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4ab3…39a8backed Over50c4,015$2,008 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,007.5250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4cd4…cf9dbacked Over50c3,999$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,999.54100%4 W · 0 L+2.0wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x5670…4b03backed Over50c3,877$1,939 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,938.53100%3 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+98.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xfdbc…872cbacked Over50c3,877$1,939 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,938.5366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+30.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4dad…0304backed Under50c3,855$1,928 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,927.520%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7a96…c677backed Over50c3,852$1,926 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,926250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xab73…103dbacked Over50c3,820$1,910 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,910366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+30.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5461…c356backed Over50c3,815$1,908 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,907.5250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4b0d…2a09backed Under50c3,814$1,907 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,907333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-34.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8f93…678bbacked Over50c3,811$1,906 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,905.5250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa201…e17cbacked Over50c3,811$1,906 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,905.5580%4 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.29per pick51cpaid+57.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7fc4…86c6backed Over51c3,811$1,944 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,867.39475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.24per pick51cpaid+46.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0332…30dfbacked Over50c3,801$1,901 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,900.5250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x774c…f438backed Under50c3,789$1,895 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,894.520%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0cd8…be60backed Over50c3,789$1,895 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,894.5333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-33.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd4e2…9ab9backed Over51c3,788$1,932 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,856.12475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.25per pick50cpaid+50%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7d55…3f6ebacked Under50c3,787$1,894 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,893.520%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x467c…06ffbacked Under50c3,785$1,893 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,892.5333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.18per pick51cpaid-37.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc965…7e5cbacked Over50c3,777$1,889 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,888.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4f8a…92c9backed Over50c3,756$1,878 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,878250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb92c…b8a1backed Under50c3,755$1,878 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,877.5333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.15per pick48cpaid-27.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xde05…7bb9backed Over50c3,752$1,876 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,876250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6051…33debacked Over50c3,741$1,871 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,870.5250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0305…7243backed Under50c3,711$1,856 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,855.520%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc169…c6a3backed Under50c3,636$1,818 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,81820%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6b25…1762backed Under50c3,622$1,811 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,81110%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x412f…30fabacked Under45c3,620$1,629 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,62935744.3%158 W · 199 L+1.5wins0.00per pick44cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4e4f…7883backed Under50c3,614$1,807 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,80720%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf849…37b9backed Under50c3,614$1,807 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,80720%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xef05…22febacked Under50c3,611$1,806 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,805.5333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick51cpaid-35.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2998…f03cbacked Over50c3,611$1,806 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,805.5250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf2c6…76c2backed Over50c3,606$1,803 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,8031100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf46b…a08cbacked Over50c3,606$1,803 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,803250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7df1…32fcbacked Under50c3,606$1,803 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,803450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6e64…5cbdbacked Under50c3,605$1,803 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,802.520%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xeccd…d73abacked Under50c3,599$1,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,799.5333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.18per pick51cpaid-35.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7e87…adddbacked Under49c3,566$1,747 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,747.34250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xea1c…70febacked Over50c3,555$1,778 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,777.5250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf270…77edbacked Under50c3,544$1,772 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,77220%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6c5a…29adbacked Under50c3,505$1,753 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,752.520%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xce78…61bebacked Under49c3,500$1,715 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,71520%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd757…3d68backed Under50c3,456$1,728 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,728250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2dd9…ecbbbacked Under49c3,456$1,693 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,693.4420%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x744d…d87abacked Under50c3,455$1,728 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,727.520%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf95a…e25abacked Under50c3,425$1,713 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,712.520%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x44e6…aeb3backed Under50c3,415$1,708 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,707.520%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf733…77eebacked Over50c3,415$1,708 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,707.5250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4373…9e0cbacked Under50c3,415$1,708 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,707.520%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0844…fbf6backed Over50c3,411$1,706 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,705.5366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+30.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3db4…98d2backed Under50c3,404$1,702 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,702425%1 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.32per pick57cpaid-64.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8e39…175abacked Under50c3,354$1,677 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,67720%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x95b3…7aaebacked Over51c3,333$1,700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,633.17333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.18per pick52cpaid-34.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x701e…12c9backed Over50c3,313$1,657 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,656.5580%4 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.29per pick51cpaid+57.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf2ea…21c2backed Over50c3,263$1,632 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,631.5250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x91dc…9cc3backed Under49c3,258$1,596 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,596.4230%0 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf1cc…d242backed Over51c3,255$1,660 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,594.95333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick51cpaid-34.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5642…45a7backed Under50c3,252$1,626 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,62620%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6fea…505abacked Under50c3,233$1,617 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,616.530%0 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2929…468bbacked Under50c3,232$1,616 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,616333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-35.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4b7e…ab84backed Over51c3,232$1,648 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,583.68250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 18 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.