NBA · resolved market

Nuggets vs. Pistons: O/U 228.5

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4807624f4095220621f5c72b385cc85920b2c61474de1d3ce81e419972d2a754

Rebuilt 6 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Overof Over, Under
Resolved: Feb 4, 2026, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $62,471
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $65,067

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $62,471 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 101 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in NBA
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x6ade…f5b0backed Under	49c	10,200$5,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,000	1,556	52.8%822 W · 734 L	+40.9wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+10.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb26b…3266backed Over	52c	7,692$4,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,692.31	6	50%3 W · 3 L	-0.3wins	-0.05per pick	55cpaid	-10.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x08c5…43edbacked Over	49c	7,435$3,643 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,791.6	443	52.4%232 W · 211 L	+10.3wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	+4.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xda80…4a2ebacked Under	53c	4,717$2,500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,500	2	50%1 W · 1 L	0.0wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+11.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe7ca…a175backed Over	52c	4,191$2,167 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,023.43	824	42.2%348 W · 476 L	-3.7wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	-1.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xcb42…48ccbacked Under	50c	3,961$2,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,000	27	48.1%13 W · 14 L	-1.0wins	-0.04per pick	52cpaid	-6.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2579…9d48backed Under	54c	2,120$1,144 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,144	193	59.6%115 W · 78 L	+14.1wins	+0.07per pick	52cpaid	+14%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6fb6…fa2cbacked Under	50c	2,072$1,036 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,036	218	52.8%115 W · 103 L	+1.9wins	+0.01per pick	52cpaid	+4.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9f89…8ed0backed Under	53c	2,059$1,100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,100	50	42%21 W · 29 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	42cpaid	-14.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x21ce…6f34backed Under	50c	2,000$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,000	137	48.9%67 W · 70 L	-1.8wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x44a1…bd21backed Over	51c	1,961$1,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$960.77	266	37.2%99 W · 167 L	-10.5wins	-0.04per pick	41cpaid	-25.3%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0824…6d95backed Over	47c	1,717$807 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$910	2	100%2 W · 0 L	+1.1wins	+0.53per pick	48cpaid	+110.5%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x942a…8270backed Over	47c	1,600$752 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$848	2	100%2 W · 0 L	+1.1wins	+0.54per pick	47cpaid	+115.1%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Under	49c	1,487$730 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$730.14	9,722	49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L	-2.8wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3aa1…8a66backed Over	47c	1,400$658 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$742	2	50%1 W · 1 L	0.0wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+6.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x35ac…92a7backed Over	49c	1,356$665 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$691.67	121	44.6%54 W · 67 L	-1.5wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-5.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ca5…73bcbacked Over	52c	1,250$650 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$600	404	51.5%208 W · 196 L	-7.4wins	-0.02per pick	53cpaid	-3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Over	51c	1,200$612 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$588	4,325	47%2,031 W · 2,294 L	-69.5wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Over	52c	1,130$588 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$542.4	6,213	50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L	+53.8wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3242…0e0bbacked Over	52c	1,081$562 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$518.77	212	47.2%100 W · 112 L	-5.5wins	-0.03per pick	50cpaid	-5.9%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under	51c	990.85$502 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$502.39	8,988	47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L	+96.4wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Over	57c	740.59$423 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$317.4	3,551	46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L	+1.9wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-6.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd04d…bfc2backed Over	52c	580$302 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$278.4	2,435	49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L	+30.3wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+2.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Over	49c	573.56$283 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$290.71	3,285	49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L	+5.3wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd6a8…58fdbacked Over	49c	489$239 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$250.47	214	43.9%94 W · 120 L	+7.8wins	+0.04per pick	40cpaid	+12.1%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Over	47c	343.3$161 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$182.33	3,342	43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L	+81.2wins	+0.02per pick	41cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdc6c…fe22backed Under	54c	285.19$154 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$154	74	54.1%40 W · 34 L	-1.8wins	-0.02per pick	56cpaid	-6.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x849f…0665backed Under	51c	249.99$127 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$127.5	950	47.2%448 W · 502 L	-28.5wins	-0.03per pick	50cpaid	-6.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6fee…5a90backed Under	49c	244.2$119 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$118.95	62	64.5%40 W · 22 L	+5.6wins	+0.09per pick	55cpaid	+16.3%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Over	52c	216.66$114 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$102.93	3,995	48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L	+101.9wins	+0.03per pick	46cpaid	-1.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x16cf…f719backed Under	37c	200$74 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$74	16	37.5%6 W · 10 L	-0.3wins	-0.02per pick	39cpaid	+18%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8f3e…e4a3backed Under	53c	200$106 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$106	410	52%213 W · 197 L	-1.4wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	-1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5e4b…1ff9backed Over	52c	199.12$104 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$95.58	163	47.2%77 W · 86 L	-2.8wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	+0.4%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf332…3c89backed Under	51c	196.08$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	656	49.2%323 W · 333 L	+9.5wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+3.2%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Over	47c	175.35$82 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$93.36	5,844	46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L	+32.7wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-3.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x785f…e3d9backed Under	50c	158.5$80 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$79.6	1,029	47.7%491 W · 538 L	-13.8wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-4.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbec4…637fbacked Under	49c	136.66$67 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$66.96	531	49.3%262 W · 269 L	+5.2wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	-1.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4dd8…0b62backed Under	50c	134$67 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$67	102	53.9%55 W · 47 L	-1.4wins	-0.01per pick	55cpaid	-6.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3fa2…6f8cbacked Over	47c	127$60 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$67.31	69	53.6%37 W · 32 L	+2.4wins	+0.04per pick	50cpaid	+7.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd18b…876dbacked Under	66c	121.21$80 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$80	113	56.6%64 W · 49 L	+1.2wins	+0.01per pick	56cpaid	+3.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1af4…2e86backed Under	51c	117.65$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60	6	66.7%4 W · 2 L	+0.9wins	+0.16per pick	51cpaid	+27.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0f8c…686fbacked Under	15c	105.61$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.75	244	9.4%23 W · 221 L	-27.5wins	-0.11per pick	21cpaid	-72.3%equal weight	39-0.10 edge/pick
0x48cf…c7dfbacked Under	54c	100$54 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$54	364	53%193 W · 171 L	-17.0wins	-0.05per pick	58cpaid	-8.2%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x47e5…9b73backed Under	53c	100$53 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$53	425	51.3%218 W · 207 L	-7.2wins	-0.02per pick	53cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8031…67e0backed Over	52c	100$52 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$48	258	46.9%121 W · 137 L	-4.5wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-3.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd637…be9abacked Under	50c	100$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	160	52.5%84 W · 76 L	-3.7wins	-0.02per pick	55cpaid	-7.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9696…2bc3backed Over	50c	100$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$50	339	49.9%169 W · 170 L	-1.4wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd44d…389dbacked Under	53c	100$53 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$53	413	54%223 W · 190 L	+3.7wins	+0.01per pick	53cpaid	+1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe47b…1b4bbacked Over	51c	100$51 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$49	357	39.8%142 W · 215 L	-25.0wins	-0.07per pick	47cpaid	-18.3%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0xa5ab…c3acbacked Under	51c	98.04$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	159	53.5%85 W · 74 L	+4.3wins	+0.03per pick	51cpaid	+5.3%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa9b1…242fbacked Over	52c	96.15$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$46.15	335	54.6%183 W · 152 L	+7.9wins	+0.02per pick	52cpaid	+6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe236…cfcdbacked Under	54c	92.59$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	8	62.5%5 W · 3 L	+0.6wins	+0.07per pick	55cpaid	+12.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf592…9872backed Over	50c	80$40 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$40	116	51.7%60 W · 56 L	+1.8wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	+5.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x470e…07c0backed Over	50c	78$39 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$39	73	53.4%39 W · 34 L	+2.6wins	+0.04per pick	50cpaid	+6.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfece…7931backed Under	51c	68.63$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35	8	25%2 W · 6 L	-1.9wins	-0.23per pick	48cpaid	-51.5%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x911a…dbd3backed Under	51c	68.63$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35	14	50%7 W · 7 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Over	46c	65.3$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$35.1	2,902	38.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L	-51.9wins	-0.02per pick	40cpaid	-5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x891f…88bfbacked Under	64c	60$38 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$38.4	232	49.6%115 W · 117 L	-4.1wins	-0.02per pick	51cpaid	-5.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4d2b…fe49backed Under	51c	58.82$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	8	25%2 W · 6 L	-2.3wins	-0.29per pick	54cpaid	-53.9%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xc34a…8da4backed Under	51c	58.82$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	5	80%4 W · 1 L	+1.6wins	+0.32per pick	48cpaid	+71.3%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8d67…cf38backed Over	47c	56$26 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$29.68	38	55.3%21 W · 17 L	+1.5wins	+0.04per pick	51cpaid	+7.6%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x243c…9ae0backed Under	50c	53.58$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.79	383	47%180 W · 203 L	-8.6wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-2.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Over	50c	53.58$27 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$26.79	2,753	50.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L	+47.0wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+3.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcb38…ededbacked Under	50c	50$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	10	70%7 W · 3 L	+2.3wins	+0.23per pick	47cpaid	+44%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0x0b0a…a4b8backed Under	50c	50$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	13	53.8%7 W · 6 L	+0.6wins	+0.04per pick	49cpaid	+3.2%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6405…bb94backed Under	50c	50$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	4	25%1 W · 3 L	-1.1wins	-0.28per pick	53cpaid	-50%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe50b…c2a8backed Over	47c	49.99$23 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$26.5	658	55.6%366 W · 292 L	+27.0wins	+0.04per pick	52cpaid	+11.2%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x834d…5500backed Under	51c	49.02$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	6	33.3%2 W · 4 L	-1.1wins	-0.18per pick	52cpaid	-36%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf7b2…2452backed Under	51c	49.02$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	10	50%5 W · 5 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-5.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7fc1…1fd6backed Under	51c	49.02$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	11	36.4%4 W · 7 L	-1.6wins	-0.15per pick	51cpaid	-26.8%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb78c…1961backed Under	51c	49.02$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	8	37.5%3 W · 5 L	-0.9wins	-0.12per pick	49cpaid	-25.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf5cd…f2c7backed Under	51c	49.02$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	10	40%4 W · 6 L	-0.8wins	-0.08per pick	48cpaid	-20.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Under	49c	48.94$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.16	4,781	50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L	+20.7wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x42e2…3d27backed Under	51c	47.96$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.46	15	40%6 W · 9 L	-1.8wins	-0.12per pick	52cpaid	-26.8%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9735…b03bbacked Over	47c	47$22 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$24.91	9	55.6%5 W · 4 L	+1.5wins	+0.16per pick	39cpaid	+43.1%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9013…e7e0backed Under	44c	45.45$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	403	44.4%179 W · 224 L	-23.9wins	-0.06per pick	50cpaid	-13.6%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under	50c	44.18$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.09	5,053	50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L	+110.9wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+2.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5e8d…e22dbacked Over	50c	42.22$21 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$21.11	209	49.3%103 W · 106 L	-0.5wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-3.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xbed1…1094backed Under	49c	40$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.6	58	65.5%38 W · 20 L	+4.8wins	+0.08per pick	57cpaid	+15%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x01b1…0436backed Under	50c	40$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	25	36%9 W · 16 L	-3.5wins	-0.14per pick	50cpaid	-26.3%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xcc7b…5b9ebacked Under	51c	39.22$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	9	55.6%5 W · 4 L	+0.4wins	+0.05per pick	51cpaid	+6.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa34b…2816backed Under	51c	39.22$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	5	20%1 W · 4 L	-1.3wins	-0.27per pick	47cpaid	-58.3%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Over	47c	35.72$17 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18.93	4,878	48%2,341 W · 2,537 L	+61.9wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5253…b898backed Under	53c	32$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.96	34	41.2%14 W · 20 L	-4.4wins	-0.13per pick	54cpaid	-24.6%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xe315…3911backed Over	51c	31.74$16 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15.49	576	57.8%333 W · 243 L	+13.0wins	+0.02per pick	56cpaid	+2.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xafb8…505cbacked Over	48c	30$14 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15.6	34	35.3%12 W · 22 L	-3.7wins	-0.11per pick	46cpaid	-27.7%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x86b6…3038backed Under	50c	30$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	5	40%2 W · 3 L	-0.5wins	-0.11per pick	51cpaid	-25.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6c18…0806backed Under	50c	30$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	73	50.7%37 W · 36 L	-5.8wins	-0.08per pick	59cpaid	-18.9%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x80b6…051ebacked Under	51c	29.41$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	7	57.1%4 W · 3 L	+0.8wins	+0.11per pick	46cpaid	+34.6%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd055…79efbacked Under	51c	29.41$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	7	42.9%3 W · 4 L	-0.5wins	-0.07per pick	50cpaid	-6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1855…f911backed Under	51c	29.41$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	10	50%5 W · 5 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-4.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc711…d8e6backed Under	51c	29.41$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	20	55%11 W · 9 L	+0.7wins	+0.03per pick	52cpaid	+4%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa032…9b15backed Under	53c	28$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.84	61	57.4%35 W · 26 L	+3.5wins	+0.06per pick	52cpaid	+10.6%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb107…a3f8backed Over	50c	25.31$13 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12.66	1,018	51.6%525 W · 493 L	+10.1wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1313…866abacked Under	50c	25$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.5	46	52.2%24 W · 22 L	+0.5wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+0.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Under	49c	24.83$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.1	3,902	47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L	-17.9wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x8b5b…6e14backed Over	51c	24.51$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12.01	58	53.4%31 W · 27 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	53cpaid	-0.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xce9b…0bc0backed Under	53c	22$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.66	29	48.3%14 W · 15 L	-0.8wins	-0.03per pick	51cpaid	-5.7%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9cf9…142bbacked Under	50c	22$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11	32	46.9%15 W · 17 L	-1.4wins	-0.04per pick	51cpaid	-7.3%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0684…d593backed Under	54c	20$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.8	879	50.6%445 W · 434 L	-16.0wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	-3.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 18 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Nuggets vs. Pistons: O/U 228.5this page
Cade Cunningham: Assists O/U 9.5Yes won
Nikola Jokić: Assists O/U 8.5No won
Nuggets vs. PistonsPistons won
Nuggets vs. Pistons: 1H MoneylinePistons won
Nuggets vs. Pistons: 1H O/U 109.5Over won
Nuggets vs. Pistons: O/U 224.5Over won
Nuggets vs. Pistons: O/U 225.5Over won
Nuggets vs. Pistons: O/U 226.5Over won
Nuggets vs. Pistons: O/U 227.5Over won
Nuggets vs. Pistons: O/U 229.5Over won
Peyton Watson: Points O/U 15.5Yes won
Peyton Watson: Rebounds O/U 4.5No won
Ron Holland II: Rebounds O/U 3.5Yes won
Spread: Pistons (-3.5)Nuggets won
Spread: Pistons (-4.5)Nuggets won
Spread: Pistons (-5.5)Nuggets won
Spread: Pistons (-6.5)Nuggets won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Nuggets vs. Pistons: O/U 228.5

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event