NBA · resolved market

Spread: Pistons (-3.5)

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfaac8c6bab61a8eeda6beb57198a855ec5fffe1cf4832b609d65a69d1c8fe139

Rebuilt 2 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Nuggetsof Pistons, Nuggets
Resolved: Feb 4, 2026, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $133,656
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $134,530

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $133,656 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 138 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in NBA
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xdc87…7ab6backed Pistons	52c	53,876$28,016 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28,015.55	2,666	48%1,279 W · 1,387 L	-8.2wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc4c9…617dbacked Nuggets	48c	23,922$11,544 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12,378.39	113	51.3%58 W · 55 L	+2.5wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+4.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x08c5…43edbacked Nuggets	48c	20,000$9,600 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10,400	443	52.4%232 W · 211 L	+10.3wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	+4.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf059…6dd9backed Nuggets	48c	18,750$9,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9,750	492	46.3%228 W · 264 L	-15.2wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-6.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb6ae…4df8backed Pistons	52c	16,616$8,640 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$8,640.31	1,044	47.5%496 W · 548 L	-12.8wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-3.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3ef2…efe6backed Nuggets	48c	16,286$7,817 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8,468.5	4	75%3 W · 1 L	+1.0wins	+0.24per pick	51cpaid	+45.9%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Pistons	54c	9,828$5,272 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,272.04	9,722	49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L	-2.8wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x57cd…a0fbbacked Nuggets	44c	9,350$4,114 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,235.98	56	55.4%31 W · 25 L	-2.5wins	-0.04per pick	60cpaid	-4.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc49f…9e05backed Pistons	52c	6,300$3,276 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,275.99	584	49.7%290 W · 294 L	+10.4wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+3.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0d13…92f3backed Nuggets	48c	5,421$2,602 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,818.79	702	46.4%326 W · 376 L	-20.4wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-6.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf154…27e3backed Nuggets	48c	5,208$2,500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,708.33	90	51.1%46 W · 44 L	+1.9wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+4.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x21ce…6f34backed Nuggets	48c	4,167$2,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,166.67	137	48.9%67 W · 70 L	-1.8wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x44fd…b634backed Pistons	52c	4,166$2,166 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,166.32	16	43.8%7 W · 9 L	-1.3wins	-0.08per pick	52cpaid	-15.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe0db…f44ebacked Pistons	52c	3,000$1,560 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,560	795	49.7%395 W · 400 L	-0.8wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x617b…a499backed Pistons	52c	3,000$1,560 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,559.99	877	50.2%440 W · 437 L	-19.7wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	-5.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3973…ebd2backed Nuggets	48c	2,356$1,131 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,225.12	5	60%3 W · 2 L	+0.5wins	+0.10per pick	50cpaid	+22.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0447…2201backed Nuggets	48c	2,355$1,130 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,224.6	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.5wins	-0.16per pick	50cpaid	-30.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Pistons	52c	2,155$1,118 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,117.67	3,285	49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L	+5.3wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8bce…17e7backed Nuggets	48c	1,888$906 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$981.76	4	100%4 W · 0 L	+2.0wins	+0.50per pick	50cpaid	+99.3%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x357b…0b65backed Pistons	56c	1,786$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,000	271	58.3%158 W · 113 L	-3.0wins	-0.01per pick	59cpaid	-2.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1a34…6995backed Nuggets	48c	1,756$843 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$913.12	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	+0.5wins	+0.17per pick	50cpaid	+34.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0735…4d2cbacked Pistons	3c	1,600$44 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$44	7	0%0 W · 7 L	-0.6wins	-0.08per pick	8cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe071…2d1abacked Pistons	54c	1,500$805 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$805	489	57.5%281 W · 208 L	+2.4wins	0.00per pick	57cpaid	+2.2%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0xc7e5…2d3abacked Pistons	53c	1,415$750 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$750	653	39.5%258 W · 395 L	-24.6wins	-0.04per pick	43cpaid	-10.1%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc571…bcb1backed Pistons	52c	1,212$630 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$630.24	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	+0.5wins	+0.17per pick	50cpaid	+36.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x46d9…974fbacked Pistons	52c	1,158$602 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$602.16	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-1.0wins	-0.51per pick	51cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Nuggets	46c	1,147$524 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$623.11	4,325	47%2,031 W · 2,294 L	-69.5wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked Nuggets	24c	1,109$263 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$845.56	1,096	40.9%448 W · 648 L	+34.3wins	+0.03per pick	38cpaid	-17%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x38dc…d5eabacked Pistons	52c	1,056$549 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$549.12	4	25%1 W · 3 L	-1.0wins	-0.26per pick	51cpaid	-51%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3a91…1769backed Nuggets	48c	1,042$500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$541.67	321	50.8%163 W · 158 L	+5.3wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+3.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcac3…95abbacked Pistons	52c	1,022$531 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$531.44	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-1.0wins	-0.51per pick	51cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Nuggets	46c	1,011$465 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$545.91	5,053	50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L	+110.9wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+2.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc527…395cbacked Pistons	52c	1,010$525 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$525.2	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.5wins	-0.17per pick	51cpaid	-34.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf1cc…d242backed Pistons	52c	1,000$520 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$520	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.5wins	-0.17per pick	51cpaid	-34.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x91dc…9cc3backed Pistons	52c	999$519 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$519.48	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-1.5wins	-0.50per pick	50cpaid	-100%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe8a8…a48ebacked Pistons	54c	898.22$485 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$485.04	143	58.7%84 W · 59 L	+12.9wins	+0.09per pick	50cpaid	+20.4%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x95b3…7aaebacked Pistons	52c	898$467 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$466.96	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.6wins	-0.18per pick	52cpaid	-34.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0100…f6dcbacked Nuggets	48c	833.33$400 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$433.33	86	47.7%41 W · 45 L	-1.4wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x19ee…a073backed Pistons	72c	756.42$547 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$546.9	36	61.1%22 W · 14 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	61cpaid	-6.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Pistons	52c	641.51$334 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$334.01	2,512	49.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L	+6.9wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	+1.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb568…14d4backed Nuggets	47c	582.89$274 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$308.93	277	47.7%132 W · 145 L	-20.4wins	-0.07per pick	55cpaid	-17.5%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x8415…dfe1backed Nuggets	46c	570.98$262 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$309.09	196	47.4%93 W · 103 L	-2.2wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-3.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa632…4c96backed Pistons	56c	535.71$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	49	34.7%17 W · 32 L	-5.6wins	-0.11per pick	46cpaid	-3.8%equal weight	42-0.08 edge/pick
0xdf43…ae9abacked Nuggets	47c	526.47$247 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$279.03	296	52.7%156 W · 140 L	-8.7wins	-0.03per pick	56cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa0c5…e717backed Pistons	66c	506.65$335 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$334.81	55	32.7%18 W · 37 L	-3.5wins	-0.06per pick	39cpaid	-11.3%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd6a8…58fdbacked Pistons	56c	443.68$248 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$248.46	214	43.9%94 W · 120 L	+7.8wins	+0.04per pick	40cpaid	+12.1%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xfe82…7056backed Nuggets	48c	436.62$210 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$227.04	43	51.2%22 W · 21 L	+1.2wins	+0.03per pick	48cpaid	+12.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x77fe…551dbacked Nuggets	46c	434.78$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$234.78	244	50%122 W · 122 L	+1.7wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+1.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Pistons	56c	389.73$218 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$218.25	4,781	50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L	+20.7wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xbb0b…3790backed Nuggets	15c	379$57 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$322.15	279	37.3%104 W · 175 L	+57.6wins	+0.21per pick	17cpaid	+187%equal weight	71+0.19 edge/pick
0x71a8…627ebacked Pistons	53c	376$199 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$199.28	8	37.5%3 W · 5 L	-1.0wins	-0.13per pick	50cpaid	-28.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdf99…639dbacked Nuggets	48c	376$180 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$195.52	9	66.7%6 W · 3 L	+1.3wins	+0.14per pick	52cpaid	+27.9%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbe05…b5a5backed Pistons	54c	370.37$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	332	46.1%153 W · 179 L	-12.1wins	-0.04per pick	50cpaid	-4.8%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x682f…3265backed Pistons	57c	350.88$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	1,389	54.9%762 W · 627 L	+16.7wins	+0.01per pick	54cpaid	+3.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x410a…2643backed Pistons	52c	311$162 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$161.72	27	59.3%16 W · 11 L	+3.8wins	+0.14per pick	45cpaid	+25.1%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x9bd4…35b5backed Pistons	6c	300$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18	27	0%0 W · 27 L	-1.7wins	-0.06per pick	6cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x97f6…66e2backed Pistons	53c	299.99$158 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$158	201	49.8%100 W · 101 L	-0.6wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-0.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5e5b…a569backed Pistons	54c	296.3$160 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$160	238	47.1%112 W · 126 L	-4.4wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-7.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x97e9…a504backed Nuggets	48c	279$134 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$145.08	5	60%3 W · 2 L	+0.6wins	+0.12per pick	48cpaid	+25%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3dc1…e318backed Pistons	52c	258.31$134 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$134.32	530	43.8%232 W · 298 L	-25.4wins	-0.05per pick	49cpaid	-12%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Nuggets	46c	251.44$116 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$135.78	2,902	38.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L	-51.9wins	-0.02per pick	40cpaid	-5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x378d…35ddbacked Pistons	57c	249.37$142 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$142.14	2	50%1 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.03per pick	53cpaid	+2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9d55…7bc7backed Pistons	53c	245.59$129 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$129.16	911	48.1%438 W · 473 L	-11.6wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-2.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x785f…e3d9backed Nuggets	46c	224.86$104 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$120.7	1,029	47.7%491 W · 538 L	-13.8wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-4.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Nuggets	30c	213.42$64 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$149.24	2,630	36.7%966 W · 1,664 L	-119.1wins	-0.05per pick	41cpaid	-25.5%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Nuggets	47c	200.22$93 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$107.03	3,902	47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L	-17.9wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x34fa…f491backed Nuggets	48c	200$96 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$104	955	48.5%463 W · 492 L	-3.6wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8cbb…acb2backed Nuggets	47c	200$94 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$106	890	50.4%449 W · 441 L	+4.4wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+1.3%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x83a3…6292backed Pistons	53c	188.68$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	818	45.7%374 W · 444 L	+9.2wins	+0.01per pick	45cpaid	-3.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x066f…b576backed Nuggets	48c	173.54$83 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$90.24	1,634	48.1%786 W · 848 L	+5.9wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Nuggets	33c	172.82$57 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$115.57	3,551	46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L	+1.9wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-6.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf20f…3b33backed Pistons	57c	154.39$88 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$88	183	43.7%80 W · 103 L	-11.0wins	-0.06per pick	50cpaid	-12%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0c94…a43bbacked Nuggets	48c	152.99$73 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$79.55	511	46.6%238 W · 273 L	-13.7wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-5.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4d84…21b1backed Nuggets	48c	131.33$63 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$68.29	666	46.8%312 W · 354 L	-29.6wins	-0.04per pick	51cpaid	-11%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2942…a018backed Pistons	54c	129.63$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$70	231	43.3%100 W · 131 L	-13.5wins	-0.06per pick	49cpaid	-16.4%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0d21…08d3backed Pistons	54c	124.79$67 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$67.15	251	43%108 W · 143 L	-13.6wins	-0.05per pick	48cpaid	-12.9%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe6f0…5701backed Nuggets	32c	123$39 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$83.64	311	44.4%138 W · 173 L	+6.2wins	+0.02per pick	42cpaid	-7.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Pistons	52c	119$62 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$61.88	2,091	47.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L	-56.6wins	-0.03per pick	51cpaid	-4.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Nuggets	59c	90$53 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$36.9	1,384	39.4%545 W · 839 L	+4.8wins	0.00per pick	39cpaid	-21.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xccf1…25a0backed Pistons	41c	90$37 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36.9	1,522	49.6%755 W · 767 L	+27.6wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed Pistons	53c	88$47 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$46.63	1,163	52.8%614 W · 549 L	+22.4wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x11de…4e67backed Nuggets	48c	85.11$41 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$44.26	31	51.6%16 W · 15 L	+1.6wins	+0.05per pick	46cpaid	+14.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf592…9872backed Nuggets	49c	81.63$40 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$41.63	116	51.7%60 W · 56 L	+1.8wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	+5.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x75cd…61a6backed Pistons	54c	74.07$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	56	42.9%24 W · 32 L	-4.4wins	-0.08per pick	51cpaid	-17.5%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x65ea…223fbacked Nuggets	47c	67$31 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$35.51	84	50%42 W · 42 L	+0.8wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+1.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3c04…2e2dbacked Pistons	54c	62.96$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34	506	48%243 W · 263 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6238…0523backed Pistons	54c	62.28$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33.63	158	49.4%78 W · 80 L	-4.3wins	-0.03per pick	52cpaid	-7.6%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf2d9…0092backed Pistons	53c	61.79$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32.75	762	50.4%384 W · 378 L	+3.7wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-1.8%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x6d58…8accbacked Pistons	56c	60$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33.6	358	51.7%185 W · 173 L	-6.8wins	-0.02per pick	54cpaid	-2.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4f1a…26c0backed Pistons	53c	57.69$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30.58	219	48.9%107 W · 112 L	-6.2wins	-0.03per pick	52cpaid	-5.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb007…7f04backed Nuggets	42c	56.24$24 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$32.59	92	47.8%44 W · 48 L	+0.6wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-6.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x137e…20d7backed Pistons	52c	54.5$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.34	150	40%60 W · 90 L	-14.1wins	-0.09per pick	49cpaid	-21.2%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Pistons	59c	54.25$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31.88	3,120	44.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L	-7.6wins	0.00per pick	45cpaid	-3.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xdc86…7e77backed Pistons	57c	53.87$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30.91	927	50.6%469 W · 458 L	-1.8wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	-3.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3d57…2b4ebacked Pistons	53c	53$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.91	539	45.3%244 W · 295 L	-9.6wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	-4.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9683…cce8backed Pistons	55c	52.35$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.79	13	61.5%8 W · 5 L	+0.2wins	+0.02per pick	60cpaid	+3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbbe2…6158backed Pistons	58c	51.72$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	332	49.7%165 W · 167 L	-2.9wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-4.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5e6e…be00backed Pistons	52c	50$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26	458	50.4%231 W · 227 L	+11.4wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+4.4%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x635b…195dbacked Nuggets	48c	50$24 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$26	382	52.4%200 W · 182 L	+4.7wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+2.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf78d…ea1dbacked Nuggets	45c	47.72$21 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$26.44	7	57.1%4 W · 3 L	+0.7wins	+0.10per pick	47cpaid	+4.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 18 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Spread: Pistons (-3.5)this page
Cade Cunningham: Assists O/U 9.5Yes won
Nikola Jokić: Assists O/U 8.5No won
Nuggets vs. PistonsPistons won
Nuggets vs. Pistons: 1H MoneylinePistons won
Nuggets vs. Pistons: 1H O/U 109.5Over won
Nuggets vs. Pistons: O/U 224.5Over won
Nuggets vs. Pistons: O/U 225.5Over won
Nuggets vs. Pistons: O/U 226.5Over won
Nuggets vs. Pistons: O/U 227.5Over won
Nuggets vs. Pistons: O/U 228.5Over won
Nuggets vs. Pistons: O/U 229.5Over won
Peyton Watson: Points O/U 15.5Yes won
Peyton Watson: Rebounds O/U 4.5No won
Ron Holland II: Rebounds O/U 3.5Yes won
Spread: Pistons (-4.5)Nuggets won
Spread: Pistons (-5.5)Nuggets won
Spread: Pistons (-6.5)Nuggets won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Spread: Pistons (-3.5)

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event