Australian A League · resolved market
Will Melbourne City FC win on 2025-12-20?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcb9bb14d31a605928781d89b4cb0648d8d9743bf05ee2b5ea0f3c3412f0a4eb3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Australian A Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $74,843
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $73,409
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $74,843 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 116 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Australian A League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Australian A League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Yes | 45c | 35,000$15,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,749.98 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked No | 55c | 28,671$15,769 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,902.07 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.25per pick | 55cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 45c | 8,689$3,939 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,938.83 | 139 | 33.8%47 W · 92 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked No | 55c | 7,000$3,850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,149.99 | 120 | 55%66 W · 54 L | +12.6wins | +0.11per pick | 44cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 54c | 6,841$3,697 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,144.39 | 286 | 59.4%170 W · 116 L | +12.9wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaab8…a331backed Yes | 47c | 6,707$3,122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,122.41 | 37 | 29.7%11 W · 26 L | -5.4wins | -0.15per pick | 44cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 54c | 4,876$2,622 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,254.03 | 478 | 50.8%243 W · 235 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 57c | 4,592$2,603 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,989.19 | 988 | 44.4%439 W · 549 L | -11.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 58c | 2,670$1,539 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,131.62 | 466 | 44.8%209 W · 257 L | -23.0wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x08be…5b1fbacked Yes | 48c | 2,087$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 62c | 1,433$883 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$550.15 | 334 | 44%147 W · 187 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6de…95e8backed Yes | 43c | 1,200$516 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$516 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d56…d1b1backed Yes | 45c | 1,111$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.95 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +40.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa68f…4663backed Yes | 39c | 1,003$391 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$391.09 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3414…067abacked No | 53c | 999.96$530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$469.98 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed No | 55c | 900$495 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$405 | 193 | 45.1%87 W · 106 L | -7.0wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c6a…9717backed Yes | 43c | 873.72$376 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$375.7 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2da0…2f48backed Yes | 46c | 815.24$375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$375.01 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked No | 53c | 704.15$375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$329.06 | 300 | 55.3%166 W · 134 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb893…bf4bbacked Yes | 43c | 697.67$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +1.6wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +30.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a4e…3309backed Yes | 29c | 684.04$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.19per pick | 48cpaid | -45.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed No | 57c | 674.55$388 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$286.99 | 228 | 52.2%119 W · 109 L | +11.5wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xea61…cc32backed Yes | 45c | 666$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked No | 53c | 499.99$267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…eca0backed Yes | 46c | 486.96$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224 | 18 | 16.7%3 W · 15 L | -3.2wins | -0.18per pick | 34cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0caf…abfebacked Yes | 45c | 439.63$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd397…5052backed Yes | 46c | 435.1$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -1.9wins | -0.11per pick | 58cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x13f9…3ab4backed Yes | 47c | 405.38$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.7 | 27 | 29.6%8 W · 19 L | -3.3wins | -0.12per pick | 42cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3a02…9eacbacked Yes | 40c | 400$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9776…fc56backed Yes | 27c | 370.37$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +52.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e66…53dfbacked Yes | 45c | 333.33$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x13f0…ef95backed No | 56c | 283.93$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.93 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94ea…f2dabacked Yes | 40c | 250$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f3f…959bbacked Yes | 40c | 250$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 59 | 33.9%20 W · 39 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd036…a17cbacked Yes | 45c | 222$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.9 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.17per pick | 42cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…3c7dbacked Yes | 31c | 217.31$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67 | 35 | 31.4%11 W · 24 L | -2.5wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb891…969bbacked No | 55c | 211$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.95 | 47 | 44.7%21 W · 26 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 55c | 203$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.35 | 168 | 58.3%98 W · 70 L | +7.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1376…8289backed Yes | 40c | 200$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +19%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc71f…bd62backed No | 55c | 196$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.18 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked No | 55c | 190.2$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.59 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d8c…48c1backed No | 56c | 185.71$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.71 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x49ec…c4e5backed No | 58c | 185$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.16 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9d9…1b2cbacked No | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.57 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8bd…df80backed Yes | 47c | 170.21$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a56…387cbacked No | 67c | 161.82$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.99 | 42 | 42.9%18 W · 24 L | -3.0wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe7f6…5ac8backed Yes | 31c | 154.84$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 36 | 41.7%15 W · 21 L | +2.7wins | +0.07per pick | 34cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Yes | 25c | 152.76$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.19 | 226 | 52.7%119 W · 107 L | +13.1wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Yes | 44c | 151$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.44 | 101 | 60.4%61 W · 40 L | +7.1wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ae…74c0backed Yes | 45c | 144.44$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 59 | 45.8%27 W · 32 L | -6.2wins | -0.11per pick | 56cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x51ce…43fabacked Yes | 36c | 129.81$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.09 | 61 | 26.2%16 W · 45 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed No | 53c | 127.1$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.74 | 117 | 50.4%59 W · 58 L | +7.2wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed No | 68c | 125.38$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.22 | 49 | 46.9%23 W · 26 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3fa2…6f8cbacked Yes | 46c | 122$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.12 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +2.6wins | +0.21per pick | 54cpaid | +63%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x581b…0290backed Yes | 46c | 114$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.44 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9a51…bde9backed Yes | 46c | 108.68$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -2.7wins | -0.34per pick | 46cpaid | -78.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xef41…2473backed Yes | 33c | 106.91$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.01 | 58 | 32.8%19 W · 39 L | -5.9wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc44a…bcd8backed Yes | 47c | 106.38$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa69d…228ebacked Yes | 45c | 100$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +2.0wins | +0.11per pick | 44cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8052…cd55backed Yes | 41c | 97.22$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.25 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d98…5efbbacked Yes | 46c | 93.31$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.74 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3bec…6997backed Yes | 45c | 91$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.95 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +45.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe48c…163abacked Yes | 46c | 86.96$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 75 | 48%36 W · 39 L | -3.6wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf3d8…c8c0backed Yes | 46c | 84$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.64 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ede…4134backed Yes | 45c | 82.22$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd53…a861backed Yes | 46c | 81$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.26 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.26per pick | 57cpaid | +57.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe3d4…2bacbacked Yes | 46c | 80$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.45 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -3.1wins | -0.19per pick | 44cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1d30…f8a6backed Yes | 24c | 80$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.2 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26cf…c612backed No | 54c | 74.64$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.33 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +3.6wins | +0.13per pick | 39cpaid | +47.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3d5f…7e6fbacked Yes | 46c | 65.22$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 113 | 51.3%58 W · 55 L | +11.6wins | +0.10per pick | 41cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6d1e…327abacked Yes | 46c | 65$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.9 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9474…d73cbacked No | 56c | 59$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.96 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x23fe…9788backed No | 55c | 58.72$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.39 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -27%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d61…3113backed Yes | 46c | 54.35$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x823d…3d44backed Yes | 46c | 54.35$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e20…ac93backed Yes | 46c | 54.35$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8ae0…a5a9backed Yes | 45c | 53.44$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe406…4cc1backed Yes | 47c | 53.19$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.1wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd960…1adebacked Yes | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.19per pick | 31cpaid | -70%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x486e…62c7backed Yes | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.24per pick | 39cpaid | -60.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x69fb…47c0backed Yes | 45c | 46.67$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6fb3…c801backed Yes | 42c | 45.24$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Yes | 35c | 44.99$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.85 | 131 | 49.6%65 W · 66 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Yes | 45c | 44.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.95 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x12fe…38cfbacked Yes | 37c | 43.13$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97c3…b479backed No | 55c | 43$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.35 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb7f…0a55backed Yes | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.24per pick | 57cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4234…6b87backed Yes | 46c | 42$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.32 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x44b8…a2d7backed Yes | 46c | 40$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.4 | 82 | 47.6%39 W · 43 L | +4.5wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc1be…6974backed Yes | 46c | 40$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.4 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked No | 48c | 38$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.76 | 309 | 54.7%169 W · 140 L | +8.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Yes | 52c | 38$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.76 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfaac…1045backed No | 54c | 30$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.8 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x09b2…c426backed Yes | 45c | 28$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.56 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa48…9062backed No | 54c | 28$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.88 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc9d9…6febbacked No | 54c | 28$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.88 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xecd6…d4dfbacked No | 54c | 28$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.88 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.24per pick | 59cpaid | +43.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4b5c…dba2backed Yes | 44c | 27.27$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.9wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2949…76bcbacked No | 54c | 27$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.42 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.12per pick | 63cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabb2…3db8backed Yes | 41c | 26.83$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Australian A League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Melbourne City FC win on 2025-12-20?this page
- Will Melbourne City FC vs. Melbourne Victory FC end in a draw?No won
- Will Melbourne Victory FC win on 2025-12-20?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.