TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xabb2…3db8

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
81
Categories scored
13
Categories below 50
7

Best Category: Europa Conference League, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category Europa Conference League at 57 out of 100; worst Fifa International at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 19, 2026, EDT1442.9%6 W · 8 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-14.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-05-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.69
Will Sunderland AFC win on 2026-01-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$12.63
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-01-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-01-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$12.68
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-01-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Will Coventry City FC win on 2026-01-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Chelsea FC vs. AFC Bournemouth: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST+108.3%+$24.95
Will Bristol City FC win on 2025-12-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST+104.1%+$20.84
Will Birmingham City FC win on 2025-12-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2025-12-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST+40.8%+$23.15
Will Brentford FC win on 2025-12-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+127.3%+$25.45
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2025-12-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+185.7%+$24.14
Will Manchester City FC win on 2025-12-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+35.1%+$7.19
All 14 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Mar 15, 2026, EDT1338.5%5 W · 8 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-30.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Serie A — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will AC Milan win on 2026-03-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will Atalanta BC win on 2026-03-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Juventus FC vs. SSC Napoli end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Will Cagliari Calcio vs. Juventus FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$16
Will AC Milan win on 2026-01-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST+56.3%+$5.63
Will Bologna FC 1909 win on 2026-01-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Will ACF Fiorentina win on 2026-01-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Will Como 1907 win on 2026-01-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST+96.1%+$14.41
Will AC Milan win on 2026-01-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST+117.4%+$23.48
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2025-12-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+100%+$20
Will Bologna FC 1909 win on 2025-12-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$20.5
Will Atalanta BC win on 2025-12-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST+35.1%+$17.47
Will Juventus FC vs. AS Roma end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$10.73
All 13 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2026, EST922.2%2 W · 7 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick27cpaid-38.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will AZ win on 2026-03-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$13.57
Will Fatih Karagümrük SK win on 2026-02-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Will Fortuna Sittard win on 2026-02-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$11.22
Will NAC Breda win on 2026-02-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+212.5%+$21.25
Will FC Arouca win on 2026-02-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Will AZ win on 2026-01-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+144.8%+$19.58
Will Gil Vicente FC win on 2025-12-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will Dundee United FC win on 2025-12-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST-100%-$13
Will NAC Breda win on 2025-12-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$20
All 9 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Feb 14, 2026, EST742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.10per pick53cpaid-11.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions Leaguelast resolved Aug 19, 2026, EDT666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick61cpaid+23.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Asian League Inactivelast resolved May 12, 2026, EDT650%3 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Asian League — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Mar 19, 2026, EDT580%4 W · 1 L+1.8wins+0.35per pick45cpaid+98.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST475%3 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.30per pick45cpaid+45%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved May 8, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.20per pick55cpaid+20.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Mar 5, 2026, EST450%2 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+6.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Australian A League Inactivelast resolved Jan 30, 2026, EST425%1 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.13per pick38cpaid-47.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Australian A League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Australian A League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jan 5, 2026, EST425%1 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.31per pick56cpaid-60.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved Mar 5, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.80per pick20cpaid+400%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Lol — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Anyone's Legend (BO5) - LPL Playoffsbacked Weibo Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST+400%+$40
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.