Premier League · resolved market
Will Bristol City FC win on 2025-12-26?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3735be8775a7456a8cc1eeabe8f359602d2efa43dbfded6f1c07a54ce415741f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $88,113
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $100,992
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $88,113 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 48 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed No | 12c | 30,000$3,450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,450 | 319 | 47.6%152 W · 167 L | +10.6wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 13c | 5,820$739 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$738.65 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked No | 1c | 5,358$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.58 | 39 | 28.2%11 W · 28 L | -2.5wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -54.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed No | 20c | 5,230$1,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,049.75 | 1,004 | 46.3%465 W · 539 L | +25.8wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe16d…2cd5backed Yes | 75c | 4,999$3,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,249.86 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 31cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80cf…427dbacked No | 52c | 4,000$2,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,080 | 170 | 42.9%73 W · 97 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d43…bc5ebacked Yes | 26c | 2,978$774 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,203.94 | 100 | 50%50 W · 50 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked Yes | 48c | 2,068$993 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,075.23 | 308 | 51.3%158 W · 150 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed No | 74c | 1,250$925 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$925 | 1,224 | 40%490 W · 734 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13a1…d9bcbacked Yes | 76c | 1,159$881 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$278.4 | 224 | 58.9%132 W · 92 L | +12.6wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x54fe…5850backed No | 24c | 1,000$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 32 | 34.4%11 W · 21 L | -4.8wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 28c | 759$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$546.71 | 1,212 | 41.7%505 W · 707 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x499a…7d67backed Yes | 51c | 576.39$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282.43 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4138…6a24backed Yes | 28c | 571.43$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$411.43 | 49 | 38.8%19 W · 30 L | -9.7wins | -0.20per pick | 59cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 28c | 472$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340.09 | 1,146 | 42.8%490 W · 656 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd903…bf9dbacked No | 21c | 467.68$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.35 | 219 | 65.3%143 W · 76 L | +20.8wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +19%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked No | 72c | 451$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324.72 | 1,204 | 50.7%610 W · 594 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked No | 72c | 300$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216 | 92 | 54.3%50 W · 42 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c78…1af0backed No | 43c | 288.46$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 80c | 260.15$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.18 | 2,661 | 45.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L | -11.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5eeb…01b2backed No | 23c | 229.54$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.16 | 423 | 24.3%103 W · 320 L | -36.4wins | -0.09per pick | 33cpaid | -47%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed No | 73c | 221.48$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.74 | 1,283 | 48%616 W · 667 L | -5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8aae…419dbacked Yes | 51c | 200$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed No | 62c | 144.73$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.36 | 584 | 45.9%268 W · 316 L | -8.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb40…fd19backed Yes | 79c | 133.66$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.66 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -2.4wins | -0.22per pick | 68cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x00d3…45c3backed No | 19c | 132.4$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.15 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x587b…2622backed Yes | 54c | 119.93$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.07 | 364 | 62.9%229 W · 135 L | +32.1wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +33.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf292…1cc7backed Yes | 77c | 113.62$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.13 | 100 | 46%46 W · 54 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x426a…128bbacked No | 15c | 113.61$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.17 | 139 | 41%57 W · 82 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x776a…fe4dbacked Yes | 79c | 82.99$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.43 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 42c | 79.17$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.22 | 966 | 45.4%439 W · 527 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c0…07d8backed Yes | 27c | 66$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.18 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6dbc…18a0backed Yes | 76c | 65.79$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.79 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | -2.8wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3e0e…12bdbacked No | 23c | 62.25$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.24 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Yes | 58c | 51.5$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.54 | 732 | 58.5%428 W · 304 L | +46.7wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xabb2…3db8backed Yes | 49c | 40.86$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.84 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked No | 75c | 39.75$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.81 | 741 | 56.8%421 W · 320 L | +46.0wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +11%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8217…4936backed Yes | 65c | 32.06$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.11 | 96 | 50%48 W · 48 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed Yes | 75c | 27.1$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.7 | 182 | 51.6%94 W · 88 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x87a4…953ebacked Yes | 76c | 26.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.32 | 119 | 46.2%55 W · 64 L | -9.0wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xeb16…9757backed Yes | 76c | 26.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.32 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -2.9wins | -0.13per pick | 56cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa870…2cd1backed No | 73c | 23.61$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.24 | 271 | 73.8%200 W · 71 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 76cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x17f3…c87fbacked Yes | 46c | 22.88$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.25 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26ae…97b8backed No | 72c | 21$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.12 | 520 | 60.4%314 W · 206 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d49…c438backed No | 73c | 16$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.68 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7690…92cbbacked No | 73c | 15$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.95 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -3.5wins | -0.30per pick | 63cpaid | -48.9%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca5…eb3cbacked Yes | 80c | 13.75$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.75 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3753…8a21backed Yes | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +45.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Bristol City FC win on 2025-12-26?this page
- Will West Bromwich Albion FC vs. Bristol City FC end in a draw?No won
- Will West Bromwich Albion FC win on 2025-12-26?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.