TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Serie A · resolved market

Will Cagliari Calcio vs. Juventus FC end in a draw?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$83,210
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$86,291

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $83,210 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 121 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Serie A
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x57cd…a0fbbacked No77c10,103$7,780 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,323.795738.6%22 W · 35 L-2.1wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6dae…4688backed No77c9,091$7,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,090.911050%5 W · 5 L+1.0wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+31.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6d11…c449backed Yes32c7,514$2,404 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,404.482725.9%7 W · 20 L-2.0wins-0.07per pick33cpaid-13.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4bb2…a656backed Yes23c4,348$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,000.043423.5%8 W · 26 L-2.8wins-0.08per pick32cpaid-23.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No68c3,534$2,420 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,114.362,53845.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L+13.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-12.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes24c3,534$838 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$837.6898544.9%442 W · 543 L-17.3wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Yes24c3,290$781 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$781.427737.2%103 W · 174 L+0.8wins0.00per pick37cpaid-4.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No73c3,272$2,389 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$882.811,98139.8%788 W · 1,193 L-7.5wins0.00per pick40cpaid-23.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0b01…6977backed Yes19c2,645$513 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$512.99250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.06per pick44cpaid-27.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Yes26c2,485$642 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$641.5996942.3%410 W · 559 L-13.0wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-14.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcddb…0d22backed No77c2,376$1,831 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$545.241776.5%13 W · 4 L+3.1wins+0.18per pick58cpaid+17.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x7d2f…ef1abacked No77c2,010$1,548 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$462.34245.2%19 W · 23 L-3.7wins-0.09per pick54cpaid-20%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x14f3…0c3dbacked No69c1,700$1,173 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$527.31947.4%9 W · 10 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd81f…6b75backed No77c1,631$1,256 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$375.0824953.8%134 W · 115 L+20.7wins+0.08per pick46cpaid+12%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xec9a…ad34backed Yes25c1,400$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$350540%2 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.15per pick25cpaid+127.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No76c1,203$918 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$284.5168750.8%349 W · 338 L+3.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x61a1…6657backed No77c1,199$923 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$275.841361.5%8 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick61cpaid-15.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc192…086cbacked Yes32c1,173$379 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$379.46366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.21per pick46cpaid+28.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9602…4d02backed No65c1,107$719 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$387.329149.5%45 W · 46 L+2.5wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+110.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Yes25c1,008$254 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$253.5634643.4%150 W · 196 L+0.4wins0.00per pick43cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3eee…e8b6backed Yes24c962$229 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$228.5314142.6%60 W · 81 L-3.8wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-11.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc443…359bbacked Yes32c939.51$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3009046.7%42 W · 48 L+4.7wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+5.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0180…b8cdbacked Yes33c869.44$287 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$286.98744.8%39 W · 48 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed No73c814.57$592 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$222.1522743.2%98 W · 129 L-4.9wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-20.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd04d…d0e5backed No77c806.39$621 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$185.479556.8%54 W · 41 L+3.6wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+11.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9086…4d46backed Yes26c769.23$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2004639.1%18 W · 28 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-11.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1e7d…4a9bbacked Yes31c650$202 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201.515141.7%63 W · 88 L-0.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid-5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked No77c643.52$496 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$148.0144753.5%239 W · 208 L+17.0wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+8.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8fe7…4f20backed Yes23c536.65$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123.4324939.4%98 W · 151 L-12.9wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-13.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Yes23c532$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.3640447.3%191 W · 213 L+0.6wins0.00per pick47cpaid-8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8868…ec09backed No78c498.95$389 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.773100%3 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x21c2…6749backed Yes31c447$139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139.3718858.5%110 W · 78 L+16.6wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+12.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed No76c436.51$330 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.3717529.1%51 W · 124 L-14.6wins-0.08per pick37cpaid-52.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x7ab3…6adfbacked Yes25c401.99$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100540%2 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.14per pick54cpaid-39.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0f21…3d6ebacked Yes25c400$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004623.9%11 W · 35 L-3.2wins-0.07per pick31cpaid-23.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe6a2…9874backed Yes25c400$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1007830.8%24 W · 54 L+0.2wins0.00per pick31cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaa10…3fc9backed Yes28c368.75$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.231338.5%5 W · 8 L-0.9wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-12.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x865f…e88ebacked Yes23c364$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.1541943.9%184 W · 235 L+5.1wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x49ed…a2fbbacked Yes22c304.5$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.995424.1%13 W · 41 L-4.2wins-0.08per pick32cpaid-27.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9055…12cebacked Yes33c303.03$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002832.1%9 W · 19 L-1.3wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-36%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x814c…7ffabacked No77c300$231 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6926046.9%122 W · 138 L-0.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcd0b…c5ffbacked Yes33c300$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$991127.3%3 W · 8 L-2.0wins-0.18per pick46cpaid-27.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xd0e7…3335backed Yes35c300$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10510361.2%63 W · 40 L-7.3wins-0.07per pick68cpaid-12.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xe20a…e469backed No77c271.01$209 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.3319549.7%97 W · 98 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x177c…bcd1backed Yes33c270.09$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.132218.2%4 W · 18 L-1.7wins-0.08per pick26cpaid+1.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3a56…387cbacked No72c252.38$181 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.3115045.3%68 W · 82 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-15.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6c0b…43cbbacked Yes23c240$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.29826.5%26 W · 72 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick28cpaid-1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbe89…d978backed Yes24c227.29$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.554257.1%24 W · 18 L+4.1wins+0.10per pick47cpaid+33.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc44d…8dbbbacked Yes24c208.33$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5020%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4706…286ebacked No77c200$154 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4621445.8%98 W · 116 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9a4d…4eeebacked Yes26c192.31$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50520%1 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.25per pick45cpaid-67.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0685…2b0cbacked Yes16c185.72$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.154131.7%13 W · 28 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-40.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x21e6…cbd8backed Yes23c180.45$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.51741.2%7 W · 10 L-0.9wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-21.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbed7…50f6backed Yes28c177.14$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50580%4 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.20per pick60cpaid+18.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb1a9…d58bbacked Yes23c173.91$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$402934.5%10 W · 19 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+0.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed No75c162.29$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.9322947.6%109 W · 120 L-7.7wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-6.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5151…4e57backed Yes23c152.17$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$352245.5%10 W · 12 L+0.8wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+32.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4597…272bbacked Yes23c152.17$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$352948.3%14 W · 15 L+1.2wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+35.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Yes19c152$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.432843.6%143 W · 185 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-9.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed No76c144$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.5637250.5%188 W · 184 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed No78c143.73$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.624849.2%122 W · 126 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-11.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3a72…c2a0backed Yes27c143.18$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.59124.2%22 W · 69 L-3.4wins-0.04per pick28cpaid-11.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0e73…e5c1backed Yes35c142.86$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502157.1%12 W · 9 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick58cpaid+17.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb023…f142backed No76c140.58$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.744557.8%26 W · 19 L+3.8wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+12.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc291…0220backed Yes44c136.36$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60560%3 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.12per pick48cpaid+31.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc49e…3b3dbacked Yes23c130.95$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301442.9%6 W · 8 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick38cpaid+16.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9a58…149dbacked Yes11c130.27$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.163531.4%11 W · 24 L-2.0wins-0.06per pick37cpaid-45.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1036…fb48backed Yes33c121.21$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$402860.7%17 W · 11 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+7.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3397…9ec1backed Yes26c116.08$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301020%2 W · 8 L-1.0wins-0.10per pick30cpaid-36.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x09d3…3128backed Yes23c115.57$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.583941%16 W · 23 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick39cpaid+22%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8405…2163backed Yes23c113.65$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.1420741.5%86 W · 121 L+0.9wins0.00per pick41cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x417e…15e5backed Yes24c112.5$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$274647.8%22 W · 24 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1412…b6debacked Yes32c109.38$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35475%3 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.17per pick58cpaid+13.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf021…df56backed No75c104.05$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.552763%17 W · 10 L+1.2wins+0.04per pick59cpaid+6.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa3d4…6297backed No71c103.09$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.438748.3%42 W · 45 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-18%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9014…b6abbacked Yes25c102.08$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.522832.1%9 W · 19 L-2.6wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-22.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf2ae…74c0backed Yes29c100$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2913658.8%80 W · 56 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick60cpaid+2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7157…7ba4backed Yes23c100$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$234129.3%12 W · 29 L-2.2wins-0.05per pick35cpaid-21.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x479c…bcbcbacked No76c100$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$248100%8 W · 0 L+2.5wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+52.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x0d55…1e94backed Yes23c100$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$233920.5%8 W · 31 L-3.4wins-0.09per pick29cpaid-24.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe5ea…52dbbacked Yes24c98.92$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.743745.9%17 W · 20 L+2.2wins+0.06per pick40cpaid+12.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x919d…d88cbacked Yes21c97.43$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.4610%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5eeb…01b2backed Yes33c91.51$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.1612929.5%38 W · 91 L-6.8wins-0.05per pick35cpaid-27.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xacb2…fb9dbacked Yes33c90.07$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301330.8%4 W · 9 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-19.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2298…ac49backed Yes23c88.41$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203225%8 W · 24 L+1.8wins+0.06per pick19cpaid+3.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x83d0…c927backed Yes34c88.24$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30137.7%1 W · 12 L-4.0wins-0.31per pick38cpaid-76.7%equal weight38-0.10 edge/pick
0x7d2a…3daebacked Yes23c86.96$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203145.2%14 W · 17 L+1.2wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd12f…e80dbacked Yes34c85.88$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.23056.7%17 W · 13 L+2.1wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+1.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0375…dd78backed Yes47c85.11$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4020%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x93b5…42e7backed No77c82.99$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.095942.4%25 W · 34 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-15.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7b94…315bbacked Yes37c81.08$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301546.7%7 W · 8 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick50cpaid+40.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xabb2…3db8backed Yes20c80$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$161338.5%5 W · 8 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-30.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc3ef…b7fdbacked Yes29c80$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.210%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1fc8…f45bbacked Yes15c80$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125532.7%18 W · 37 L+3.3wins+0.06per pick27cpaid+35.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2eae…a25fbacked Yes23c78.26$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1812744.1%56 W · 71 L-0.4wins0.00per pick44cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf402…d761backed Yes26c69.23$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1830%0 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6a76…51b7backed Yes17c61$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.3717948%86 W · 93 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1758…5d73backed Yes33c60.61$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.3wins+0.16per pick46cpaid+27.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xddd7…1596backed No77c54.35$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.532150.2%161 W · 160 L-5.8wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-6.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x46e7…c9e4backed Yes29c52.04$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151717.6%3 W · 14 L-1.6wins-0.10per pick27cpaid-34.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.