Serie A · resolved market
Will Cagliari Calcio win on 2026-01-17?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2481bc5f44e39d6700a718d940a294c340026a25a67312c00dc1f6e9e78656ad
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $204,745
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $227,785
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $204,745 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 125 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd5b4…9785backed No | 50c | 30,000$14,990 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,990.28 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.6wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -26%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Yes | 12c | 15,816$1,898 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,917.8 | 404 | 47.3%191 W · 213 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Yes | 14c | 8,493$1,187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,306.11 | 527 | 48%253 W · 274 L | -35.4wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xec9a…ad34backed Yes | 14c | 7,243$1,023 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,219.75 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.15per pick | 25cpaid | +127.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 63c | 7,080$4,477 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,476.5 | 969 | 42.3%410 W · 559 L | -13.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Yes | 40c | 6,370$2,525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,845.06 | 346 | 43.4%150 W · 196 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 49c | 5,405$2,674 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,731.2 | 1,981 | 39.8%788 W · 1,193 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xed2c…9597backed Yes | 13c | 5,000$650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,349.99 | 47 | 27.7%13 W · 34 L | -2.9wins | -0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -20%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Yes | 14c | 3,050$427 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,623 | 135 | 17%23 W · 112 L | -5.0wins | -0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb5b9…948abacked Yes | 11c | 3,000$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,670 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +44.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8790…010bbacked Yes | 13c | 3,000$381 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,619.35 | 73 | 45.2%33 W · 40 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf747…7d29backed No | 50c | 2,829$1,421 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,420.68 | 45 | 46.7%21 W · 24 L | +3.1wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +31.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe671…a682backed No | 42c | 2,500$1,055 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,054.99 | 118 | 37.3%44 W · 74 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4534…f867backed Yes | 11c | 2,000$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,780 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.43per pick | 23cpaid | +267.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2759…2b38backed Yes | 10c | 1,553$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,397.35 | 42 | 28.6%12 W · 30 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 24cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Yes | 13c | 1,500$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,304.99 | 366 | 30.9%113 W · 253 L | +10.7wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe533…ab29backed No | 24c | 1,500$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$359.99 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -3.0wins | -0.30per pick | 40cpaid | -77.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x09d3…3128backed Yes | 14c | 1,439$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,237.48 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +22%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dea…3792backed Yes | 79c | 1,300$1,027 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$273 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 61cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 14c | 1,225$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,053.6 | 447 | 53.5%239 W · 208 L | +17.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8887…c607backed No | 49c | 1,168$572 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$572.28 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.28per pick | 61cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb227…7553backed Yes | 13c | 1,154$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,003.85 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed Yes | 12c | 1,152$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,015.33 | 96 | 27.1%26 W · 70 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb763…247dbacked Yes | 12c | 1,000$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$880 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 25cpaid | +178.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Yes | 14c | 981.61$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$847.13 | 195 | 49.7%97 W · 98 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e69…200ebacked No | 50c | 724$362 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$362.37 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -3.2wins | -0.35per pick | 46cpaid | -82.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4818…bf0bbacked Yes | 15c | 627.25$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$534.77 | 47 | 38.3%18 W · 29 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9120…102cbacked No | 48c | 625.55$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa62d…92e0backed Yes | 14c | 607.14$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$522.14 | 68 | 29.4%20 W · 48 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | 0%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c0b…43cbbacked Yes | 13c | 604.67$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$524.08 | 98 | 26.5%26 W · 72 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46b3…8e69backed Yes | 12c | 597.61$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$525.9 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.18per pick | 15cpaid | +177.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb70d…5925backed Yes | 12c | 576.07$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$506.95 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60a5…2da4backed Yes | 13c | 571.44$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$497.15 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.87per pick | 13cpaid | +669.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8544…3d33backed Yes | 57c | 526.32$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.32 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 67cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x649a…02afbacked No | 72c | 500.03$359 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$358.59 | 19 | 78.9%15 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 72cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c1…2dbcbacked No | 24c | 480.52$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.32 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe49…9c28backed Yes | 13c | 480.14$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$417.72 | 16 | 81.3%13 W · 3 L | +3.6wins | +0.22per pick | 59cpaid | +117.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed Yes | 11c | 453.84$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$403.92 | 201 | 43.8%88 W · 113 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 65c | 415.53$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270.48 | 227 | 43.2%98 W · 129 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee54…5665backed No | 18c | 405.86$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.1 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Yes | 14c | 400$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$344 | 67 | 31.3%21 W · 46 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcf3…f535backed No | 51c | 395.57$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.17 | 40 | 60%24 W · 16 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a4f…2a61backed Yes | 13c | 395$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$343.65 | 22 | 13.6%3 W · 19 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 9cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1243…2a64backed No | 47c | 358.33$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169 | 43 | 48.8%21 W · 22 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc581…ade5backed Yes | 57c | 351.49$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.49 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +45.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0685…2b0cbacked Yes | 25c | 342.42$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$256.17 | 41 | 31.7%13 W · 28 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…3335backed Yes | 55c | 302.29$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.03 | 103 | 61.2%63 W · 40 L | -7.3wins | -0.07per pick | 68cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x814c…7ffabacked Yes | 13c | 300$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$261 | 260 | 46.9%122 W · 138 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb8…753bbacked Yes | 11c | 277.91$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.91 | 53 | 34%18 W · 35 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3ffa…f2cfbacked No | 52c | 264.84$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.42 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x055a…0280backed No | 44c | 227$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.88 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c5c…718dbacked Yes | 14c | 215.93$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.83 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.86per pick | 14cpaid | +617.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f56…f1bbbacked No | 48c | 208.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +27.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb15…5fefbacked No | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | -1.9wins | -0.07per pick | 61cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed No | 48c | 200$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 142 | 54.2%77 W · 65 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c34…1d5bbacked Yes | 56c | 200$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.06 | 40 | 35%14 W · 26 L | +3.5wins | +0.09per pick | 26cpaid | +102.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7f83…a491backed No | 47c | 199.98$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.99 | 98 | 46.9%46 W · 52 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x035f…b2ccbacked Yes | 77c | 199.83$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.96 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x920c…25b6backed Yes | 76c | 197.37$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.37 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d3f…c7f3backed No | 60c | 187.17$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.3 | 37 | 54.1%20 W · 17 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb32e…a46abacked No | 27c | 170$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.5 | 35 | 31.4%11 W · 24 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20ca…e25abacked Yes | 53c | 163$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.61 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 69cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b01…6977backed Yes | 69c | 156.13$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbab6…f845backed Yes | 55c | 154.77$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.45 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +1.7wins | +0.13per pick | 56cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf575…e0ebbacked No | 46c | 152.15$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.99 | 43 | 30.2%13 W · 30 L | -2.8wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b94…315bbacked Yes | 12c | 149.75$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.2 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 18c | 147.52$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.95 | 289 | 31.8%92 W · 197 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b7f…e826backed No | 34c | 147.06$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.5wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +19%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4706…286ebacked Yes | 13c | 141.44$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.05 | 214 | 45.8%98 W · 116 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed No | 54c | 138.48$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.17 | 175 | 29.1%51 W · 124 L | -14.6wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x79df…1661backed Yes | 21c | 135$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.75 | 120 | 33.3%40 W · 80 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed No | 44c | 133$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.97 | 188 | 58.5%110 W · 78 L | +16.6wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9058…a2c2backed No | 46c | 130.43$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e7d…4a9bbacked Yes | 9c | 130$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.3 | 151 | 41.7%63 W · 88 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf299…50c8backed Yes | 12c | 121.08$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.08 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.88per pick | 12cpaid | +764.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9a58…149dbacked No | 24c | 108.13$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.92 | 35 | 31.4%11 W · 24 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x177c…bcd1backed Yes | 10c | 105.09$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.09 | 22 | 18.2%4 W · 18 L | -1.7wins | -0.08per pick | 26cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9acc…92c0backed Yes | 74c | 104.23$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.63 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1412…b6debacked Yes | 55c | 101.92$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.86 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.17per pick | 58cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3fb9…1591backed No | 17c | 101.34$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.48 | 52 | 55.8%29 W · 23 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x423c…25d5backed No | 19c | 100$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | +3.2wins | +0.11per pick | 23cpaid | +28.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xac98…7281backed No | 23c | 100$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 84 | 44%37 W · 47 L | +8.1wins | +0.10per pick | 34cpaid | +38.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4c2a…65dcbacked Yes | 11c | 100$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | +3.2wins | +0.12per pick | 26cpaid | +15%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9bbb…92efbacked Yes | 14c | 100$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb723…7ae0backed Yes | 12c | 100$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.42per pick | 25cpaid | +263.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd8a…01f5backed Yes | 76c | 100$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 8 | 100%8 W · 0 L | +2.9wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +77%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5623…fd2ebacked No | 40c | 100$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x727d…1589backed Yes | 46c | 96.21$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.25 | 115 | 29.6%34 W · 81 L | -7.4wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3a8e…b505backed No | 48c | 95.17$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.41 | 64 | 39.1%25 W · 39 L | -4.7wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2eae…a25fbacked Yes | 14c | 85.71$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.71 | 127 | 44.1%56 W · 71 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x64fd…f7aebacked Yes | 66c | 77$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.18 | 40 | 70%28 W · 12 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 70cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8e4…3384backed Yes | 53c | 75.47$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.47 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6882…6f08backed Yes | 65c | 72.31$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.31 | 52 | 67.3%35 W · 17 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Yes | 54c | 65.3$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.24 | 223 | 73.1%163 W · 60 L | +20.4wins | +0.09per pick | 64cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xed51…962cbacked No | 46c | 65.28$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc688…5987backed No | 46c | 63.21$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.34 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x936b…c603backed No | 37c | 62.43$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.22per pick | 53cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ed0…9c4fbacked No | 37c | 59.98$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.99 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8104…3128backed Yes | 56c | 58.18$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.79 | 35 | 28.6%10 W · 25 L | -5.8wins | -0.17per pick | 45cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d4…6297backed No | 53c | 55.2$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.29 | 87 | 48.3%42 W · 45 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -18%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Cagliari Calcio win on 2026-01-17?this page
- Will Cagliari Calcio vs. Juventus FC end in a draw?No won
- Will Juventus FC win on 2026-01-17?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.