TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Serie A · resolved market

Will Juventus FC win on 2026-01-17?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$452,569
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$447,168

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $452,569 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 482 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Serie A
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed No50c46,341$22,981 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23,359.872,53845.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L+13.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-12.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xad94…85b1backed No36c38,333$13,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24,533.416940.6%28 W · 41 L-0.1wins0.00per pick41cpaid+1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe90b…5da2backed Yes64c31,770$20,333 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20,332.87938%30 W · 49 L-6.9wins-0.09per pick47cpaid-23.7%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xc3c3…eec8backed No36c30,000$10,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19,20010952.3%57 W · 52 L+8.0wins+0.07per pick45cpaid+13.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x57cd…a0fbbacked No36c26,900$9,684 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17,215.925738.6%22 W · 35 L-2.1wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x48fe…b2b6backed Yes65c20,000$12,900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,9006360.3%38 W · 25 L+7.2wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+20%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xd5b4…9785backed Yes64c20,000$12,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,8001540%6 W · 9 L-1.6wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-26%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfd67…ef90backed No36c16,649$6,050 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,598.71250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+37.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8b32…5950backed No36c15,800$5,688 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,111.986033.3%20 W · 40 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick32cpaid+8.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd8fe…8591backed Yes64c14,327$9,170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,169.54944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-12.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfbf3…b218backed No36c11,897$4,283 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,614.44247.6%20 W · 22 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+20.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x14ac…cb21backed Yes64c11,532$7,380 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,380.362475%18 W · 6 L+3.1wins+0.13per pick62cpaid+20%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Yes64c9,179$5,875 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,874.6927737.2%103 W · 174 L+0.8wins0.00per pick37cpaid-4.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2759…2b38backed No44c8,932$3,930 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,001.744228.6%12 W · 30 L+2.0wins+0.05per pick24cpaid+14.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x12ec…41aebacked No36c8,878$3,196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,681.882653.8%14 W · 12 L+2.4wins+0.09per pick45cpaid+27.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed No41c7,952$3,238 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,714.7434643.4%150 W · 196 L+0.4wins0.00per pick43cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d11…c449backed Yes5c7,514$376 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$375.72725.9%7 W · 20 L-2.0wins-0.07per pick33cpaid-13.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x23c8…f293backed No36c6,452$2,323 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,129.283548.6%17 W · 18 L+1.6wins+0.05per pick44cpaid+13.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed No48c6,186$2,955 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,231.2596942.3%410 W · 559 L-13.0wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-14.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes64c6,113$3,912 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,912.3148144.1%212 W · 269 L+6.6wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x44c5…8d45backed Yes64c6,053$3,902 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,901.788139.5%32 W · 49 L-0.3wins0.00per pick40cpaid+1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x413f…47f3backed Yes60c6,000$3,615 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,614.97633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.5wins-0.25per pick58cpaid-48%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Yes64c5,703$3,633 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,632.7868750.8%349 W · 338 L+3.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed No35c5,372$1,880 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,491.9440447.3%191 W · 213 L+0.6wins0.00per pick47cpaid-8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xef50…e3bdbacked Yes56c5,354$2,998 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,998.52050%10 W · 10 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3257…2f3bbacked Yes64c5,000$3,218 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,217.575158.8%30 W · 21 L+2.3wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe3d4…2bacbacked Yes63c4,982$3,121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,121.317656.6%43 W · 33 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No59c4,964$2,908 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,055.311,98139.8%788 W · 1,193 L-7.5wins0.00per pick40cpaid-23.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcb57…452ebacked Yes64c4,325$2,768 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,767.8810%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.64per pick64cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xaa6c…4b49backed Yes64c3,906$2,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,5007337%27 W · 46 L-2.9wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-9.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbf7e…339abacked Yes65c3,846$2,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,500540%2 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.27per pick67cpaid-44.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2c06…db24backed Yes27c3,576$951 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$951.443330.3%10 W · 23 L-1.4wins-0.04per pick34cpaid-35.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7087…c61fbacked Yes63c3,484$2,195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,195.124658.7%27 W · 19 L+3.1wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+21.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa196…5b78backed No35c3,402$1,187 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,2159631.3%30 W · 66 L-7.4wins-0.08per pick39cpaid-25.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No42c3,392$1,412 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,979.5598544.9%442 W · 543 L-17.3wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x73c5…2f80backed No29c3,298$962 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,336.282536%9 W · 16 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-16.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc44d…8dbbbacked Yes50c3,220$1,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,60020%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x330b…69f1backed Yes64c3,128$2,008 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,007.9612950.4%65 W · 64 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0b87…d438backed Yes64c3,104$1,995 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,995.381643.8%7 W · 9 L-2.2wins-0.14per pick57cpaid-27.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x21c2…6749backed Yes40c3,004$1,216 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,215.5218858.5%110 W · 78 L+16.6wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+12.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x5543…e1f5backed No35c3,000$1,050 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,9503727%10 W · 27 L-4.6wins-0.12per pick39cpaid-37.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xe2bb…ea55backed Yes64c2,997$1,918 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,918.214445.5%20 W · 24 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-13.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5ba6…0f07backed Yes64c2,850$1,824 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,8243351.5%17 W · 16 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed No36c2,800$997 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,802.4622947.6%109 W · 120 L-7.7wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-6.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0111…631dbacked Yes63c2,792$1,771 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,770.65560%3 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.08per pick68cpaid-12.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Yes64c2,721$1,741 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,741.4422348.4%108 W · 115 L-10.4wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-7.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf73d…80e7backed Yes64c2,515$1,606 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,605.6410%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.64per pick64cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3f5e…e7dbbacked No36c2,375$855 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,5206346%29 W · 34 L-4.4wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-15.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xcd94…6b1ebacked Yes4c2,312$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002218.2%4 W · 18 L-2.0wins-0.09per pick27cpaid-1.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0180…b8cdbacked Yes65c2,299$1,494 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,494.458744.8%39 W · 48 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfaa5…7cc9backed No45c2,111$950 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,161.0511153.2%59 W · 52 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-6.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xad89…f6e1backed No37c2,041$758 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,283.321844.4%8 W · 10 L+1.9wins+0.10per pick34cpaid-0.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed No42c2,022$851 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,171.3422743.2%98 W · 129 L-4.9wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-20.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x33a7…960dbacked Yes50c2,000$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0007220.8%15 W · 57 L-7.1wins-0.10per pick31cpaid-32.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x97e0…8194backed Yes63c2,000$1,260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,26014249.3%70 W · 72 L+5.0wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+1.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb763…247dbacked No36c2,000$710 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,289.99450%2 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.25per pick25cpaid+178.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3eee…e8b6backed No37c1,911$707 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,203.7714142.6%60 W · 81 L-3.8wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-11.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb39a…2963backed No35c1,851$648 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,203.44333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.18per pick51cpaid-4.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Yes72c1,801$1,289 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,288.9132843.6%143 W · 185 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-9.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9bc8…a613backed Yes50c1,670$835 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8351553.3%8 W · 7 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-13.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1e33…afb3backed Yes60c1,667$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0007145.1%32 W · 39 L-5.2wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-17.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Yes63c1,587$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00033357.4%191 W · 142 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd1ab…e3a9backed No37c1,548$575 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$973.26560%3 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.14per pick46cpaid+12.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9266…8f3cbacked Yes65c1,535$998 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$997.511050%5 W · 5 L-1.8wins-0.18per pick68cpaid-26%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0685…2b0cbacked No37c1,442$539 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$902.494131.7%13 W · 28 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-40.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xebb4…1374backed No35c1,394$488 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$906.11729.4%5 W · 12 L-1.1wins-0.06per pick36cpaid-13.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x09d3…3128backed Yes65c1,315$859 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8593941%16 W · 23 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick39cpaid+22%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc443…359bbacked Yes47c1,277$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6009046.7%42 W · 48 L+4.7wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+5.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xfb85…8464backed Yes55c1,268$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70017744.1%78 W · 99 L-0.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5e59…1520backed Yes64c1,172$750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$750540%2 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.19per pick59cpaid-27.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1956…5348backed Yes64c1,155$739 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$739.21070%7 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.08per pick62cpaid+9.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x488c…a2dabacked Yes64c1,116$715 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$714.58858%51 W · 37 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc049…48abbacked Yes56c1,073$601 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$600.910736.4%39 W · 68 L+5.4wins+0.05per pick31cpaid+11.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8887…c607backed Yes64c1,060$678 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$678.27333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.28per pick61cpaid-53.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb227…7553backed Yes49c1,020$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5003548.6%17 W · 18 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+10.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4818…fde0backed Yes65c1,000$650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$650728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.6wins-0.22per pick51cpaid-36%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xaeb5…58e2backed Yes56c1,000$560 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5603938.5%15 W · 24 L-1.5wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-4.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe18a…fd87backed Yes64c1,000$640 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64022237.4%83 W · 139 L-7.2wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-7.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4c2a…65dcbacked Yes13c1,000$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1302638.5%10 W · 16 L+3.2wins+0.12per pick26cpaid+15%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe671…a682backed Yes50c1,000$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50011837.3%44 W · 74 L-3.6wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-11.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9602…4d02backed No45c999.99$450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5509149.5%45 W · 46 L+2.5wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+110.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa5c9…41b5backed Yes55c999.99$550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$549.99666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.11per pick56cpaid+23.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4b62…2e59backed No36c999.96$360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$639.984860.4%29 W · 19 L+5.9wins+0.12per pick48cpaid+20.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x9a6e…35b4backed Yes64c946.82$602 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$602.2913040%52 W · 78 L-5.0wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-9.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1e7d…4a9bbacked Yes28c934.9$266 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26615141.7%63 W · 88 L-0.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid-5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7ab3…6adfbacked Yes55c903.66$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500540%2 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.14per pick54cpaid-39.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x26dc…95c4backed Yes48c900$432 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4321010%1 W · 9 L-1.8wins-0.18per pick28cpaid-69.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4534…f867backed Yes7c900$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.43per pick23cpaid+267.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf0e2…8e9ebacked Yes64c900$576 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57610%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.64per pick64cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1241…c496backed Yes56c892.86$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500450%2 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+15.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked No37c887.13$326 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$560.9744753.5%239 W · 208 L+17.0wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+8.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xcd0b…c5ffbacked Yes58c850$493 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4931127.3%3 W · 8 L-2.0wins-0.18per pick46cpaid-27.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked Yes60c837.53$505 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$504.7924238.4%93 W · 149 L-4.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-29.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8479…37f8backed Yes48c802$385 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$384.962536%9 W · 16 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick34cpaid+9.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x52a6…5f1cbacked Yes47c800$376 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$376520%1 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.06per pick26cpaid-31%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc88b…af8bbacked No36c785$283 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$502.4475%3 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.28per pick47cpaid+53.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x644b…ec38backed Yes64c782.36$501 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500.711040%4 W · 6 L-1.0wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-28.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1243…2a64backed Yes51c781.92$398 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$397.64348.8%21 W · 22 L-2.3wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-11.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9a24…328abacked Yes64c781.25$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5002263.6%14 W · 8 L+2.1wins+0.10per pick54cpaid+22.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2aa1…dba8backed Yes61c776.53$477 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$477.295947.5%28 W · 31 L-3.6wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-12.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.