TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Will Coventry City FC win on 2026-01-04?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$76,425
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$77,102

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $76,425 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 124 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed No67c20,470$13,659 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,810.556,11745.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L-28.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes38c8,446$3,208 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,2081,14642.8%490 W · 656 L-8.5wins-0.01per pick44cpaid+0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf142…57e7backed No62c7,316$4,536 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,779.9346651.9%242 W · 224 L+7.4wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Yes38c6,671$2,510 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,509.651,21241.7%505 W · 707 L-1.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x067f…e041backed No62c6,500$4,030 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,469.9618433.7%62 W · 122 L+9.0wins+0.05per pick29cpaid+17.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3257…2f3bbacked Yes37c5,000$1,825 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,82520646.1%95 W · 111 L-12.6wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-12.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Yes37c5,000$1,850 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,85050644.3%224 W · 282 L-14.0wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-5.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed No63c3,503$2,207 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,296.251,28348%616 W · 667 L-5.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x07fc…7ac6backed Yes37c3,498$1,294 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,294.25633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-21%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x90e0…ff4cbacked Yes1c2,240$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.71305.4%7 W · 123 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick5cpaid-38.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed No70c2,235$1,567 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$667.672,66145.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L-11.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-9.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked No63c2,022$1,275 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$746.331,27250.4%641 W · 631 L-53.9wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-12.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Yes37c1,558$576 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$576.461,00646.6%469 W · 537 L-20.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3a53…cc07backed No63c1,500$945 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5551163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.4wins+0.12per pick51cpaid+26.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd3bb…c8acbacked Yes37c1,500$555 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5551154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-6.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaab8…a331backed Yes38c1,371$521 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5219446.8%44 W · 50 L-3.4wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-1.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe1c3…7d73backed Yes39c1,297$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50015257.2%87 W · 65 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4da3…68cdbacked Yes30c1,226$374 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$373.7633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.10per pick44cpaid-19.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x81f5…7616backed Yes38c1,061$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$400850%4 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+19.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb7fd…6c23backed Yes32c1,000$317 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3172128.6%6 W · 15 L-2.4wins-0.11per pick40cpaid-38.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed No64c893.51$576 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$317.781,16357.4%667 W · 496 L+40.4wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+1.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf957…d5a6backed Yes18c857.89$158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$158.111010%1 W · 9 L-0.6wins-0.06per pick16cpaid-69.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5944…bd5bbacked Yes37c829.42$306 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$305.5920144.3%89 W · 112 L-9.5wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-9.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x61fa…7f62backed Yes19c618.06$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1201136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.3wins-0.11per pick48cpaid-35.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5d1e…d5dfbacked No78c588$460 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.841145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.7wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-35%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked No63c569.48$356 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$213.341,20450.7%610 W · 594 L+1.5wins0.00per pick51cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7f24…9141backed Yes28c540.91$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.99333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-34.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0bab…6832backed Yes37c540.54$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20012441.1%51 W · 73 L-4.3wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2b1a…6258backed Yes15c538.01$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$805717.5%10 W · 47 L-5.2wins-0.09per pick27cpaid-44.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x347c…525abacked Yes37c536.58$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20011446.5%53 W · 61 L+5.5wins+0.05per pick42cpaid+12.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1f3f…959bbacked Yes38c526.32$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20011534.8%40 W · 75 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick36cpaid+2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe889…d0c3backed Yes38c517.68$197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$196.726838.2%26 W · 42 L+4.7wins+0.07per pick31cpaid+30.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed Yes37c500$185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18530149.5%149 W · 152 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid0%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x72ab…edaabacked Yes7c377.86$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.451811.1%2 W · 16 L+0.8wins+0.04per pick7cpaid-20.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8c46…be29backed Yes38c368.74$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140.1232736.4%119 W · 208 L-21.2wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-19.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x587b…2622backed Yes17c304.52$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.9536462.9%229 W · 135 L+32.1wins+0.09per pick54cpaid+33.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xb897…fc48backed Yes18c300$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5411533.9%39 W · 76 L-5.1wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-15.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xaffb…9801backed Yes18c300$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$541643.8%7 W · 9 L-4.0wins-0.25per pick69cpaid-41%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed No62c289$179 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.8272249.9%360 W · 362 L+5.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x71c1…e358backed Yes28c270.47$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7532737.6%123 W · 204 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb994…bf12backed Yes8c250$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20560%3 W · 2 L+1.3wins+0.25per pick35cpaid+29.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1294…9dbabacked Yes20c250$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.57753.2%41 W · 36 L-4.6wins-0.06per pick59cpaid-18.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3138…b523backed Yes30c236.84$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$706538.5%25 W · 40 L-7.2wins-0.11per pick49cpaid-22.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No61c223.17$136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.452,21249.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L-9.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0157…d8dcbacked Yes25c206.99$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.3916346.6%76 W · 87 L+3.6wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+7.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x24d8…e8a8backed Yes33c204.29$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.998853.4%47 W · 41 L-0.2wins0.00per pick54cpaid-9.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3fe8…1fd3backed Yes22c201.5$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.1632822.3%73 W · 255 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick24cpaid-17%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x882e…54cebacked Yes20c200$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401154.5%6 W · 5 L+1.5wins+0.13per pick41cpaid+21.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4c9b…e74abacked No63c190.48$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.4824349%119 W · 124 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5675…f99cbacked Yes38c181.58$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$695743.9%25 W · 32 L-2.7wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-19.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7705…a442backed Yes38c171.05$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6519632.7%64 W · 132 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick31cpaid+10.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdd41…2337backed Yes38c171.05$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$653357.6%19 W · 14 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick59cpaid0%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1889…0714backed No63c170.9$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.7516863.1%106 W · 62 L+13.3wins+0.08per pick55cpaid+21.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x4300…5c69backed Yes38c150$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$577653.9%41 W · 35 L+8.3wins+0.11per pick43cpaid+21.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x6835…1976backed No62c150$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5751847.3%245 W · 273 L+11.6wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+11.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5913…3bbebacked Yes37c147.58$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5511540.9%47 W · 68 L-16.0wins-0.14per pick55cpaid-27.7%equal weight37-0.11 edge/pick
0xd98b…58debacked Yes37c136.24$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.411926.3%5 W · 14 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick30cpaid-8.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x79df…1661backed Yes37c135.14$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5029735.4%105 W · 192 L+7.1wins+0.02per pick33cpaid+5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x06a9…1a49backed Yes40c131.95$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.7837840.5%153 W · 225 L-15.8wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-10.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No72c131.77$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$374,74441.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L+28.2wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-14.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xceda…e67bbacked Yes38c131.58$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$507642.1%32 W · 44 L-5.0wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-13.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9318…a645backed Yes38c131.58$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$508845.5%40 W · 48 L-3.1wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-2.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc71d…3f27backed Yes41c121.95$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$506547.7%31 W · 34 L-6.3wins-0.10per pick57cpaid-17.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xd0c5…8c8abacked Yes29c121.35$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3512935.7%46 W · 83 L+3.5wins+0.03per pick33cpaid-6.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x945a…a48cbacked Yes14c120.26$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.2811712%14 W · 103 L-8.1wins-0.07per pick19cpaid-58.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x00c5…0622backed Yes17c117.65$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.10per pick55cpaid-35.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd094…271bbacked Yes19c111.89$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.2620027%54 W · 146 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick28cpaid-8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x1e6f…c966backed Yes18c111.11$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$207030%21 W · 49 L+3.1wins+0.04per pick26cpaid+32.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xbed0…3c7dbacked Yes28c110.82$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3128531.2%89 W · 196 L-20.3wins-0.07per pick38cpaid-23.7%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x3486…49eebacked Yes37c108.11$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4042240.3%170 W · 252 L-8.4wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa710…f1ccbacked Yes38c105.26$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4035328.6%101 W · 252 L-6.1wins-0.02per pick30cpaid+0.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa4d4…ef77backed Yes38c105.26$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$407948.1%38 W · 41 L-2.1wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-7.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8c22…70a0backed No64c104.24$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.174843.8%21 W · 27 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0599…3490backed Yes38c100$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$383844.7%17 W · 21 L-3.6wins-0.10per pick54cpaid-25%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x51ce…43fabacked Yes18c100$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1823220.7%48 W · 184 L-12.5wins-0.05per pick26cpaid-28%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x12fe…38cfbacked No64c100$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3644036.8%162 W · 278 L+5.4wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4977…8fd6backed Yes37c100$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$377042.9%30 W · 40 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick42cpaid+6.7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xc9f2…d776backed Yes15c100$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157731.2%24 W · 53 L+2.3wins+0.03per pick28cpaid+3.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x878c…529ebacked Yes37c100$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37650%3 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed No77c98.39$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.481,22440%490 W · 734 L-24.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-15.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1c83…6f40backed Yes36c92.77$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.2612241.8%51 W · 71 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-8.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0109…5e2fbacked Yes38c92.11$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3510%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf3d8…c8c0backed Yes37c89$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.933850%19 W · 19 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-5.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfb36…10a3backed Yes38c86.68$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.731118.2%2 W · 9 L-3.0wins-0.27per pick45cpaid-66.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xabb2…3db8backed Yes18c83.33$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151442.9%6 W · 8 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-14.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xedd1…1ff8backed Yes26c81.58$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2110%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4f1f…f5eabacked Yes13c80$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.47245.8%33 W · 39 L+3.6wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+15.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x581b…0290backed Yes37c77$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.493450%17 W · 17 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x61ec…357dbacked No80c74.39$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.89988.9%8 W · 1 L+1.8wins+0.20per pick69cpaid+30%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5fa6…03ebbacked Yes38c70$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.611955.5%66 W · 53 L+13.0wins+0.11per pick45cpaid+23.7%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x9651…0891backed No69c68.35$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.16683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.8wins+0.30per pick53cpaid+76.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2c46…dac9backed Yes21c67.9$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.2673258.5%428 W · 304 L+46.7wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+8.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x858d…9d9fbacked Yes18c60.17$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.834626.1%12 W · 34 L-3.1wins-0.07per pick33cpaid-25.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd843…a597backed Yes31c59.39$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.41785.7%6 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.22per pick64cpaid+27.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd743…59bdbacked Yes30c56.05$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$175945.8%27 W · 32 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8594…7eedbacked Yes36c55.56$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2013346.6%62 W · 71 L-15.5wins-0.12per pick58cpaid-20.5%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x44b8…a2d7backed Yes38c52.63$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2021043.8%92 W · 118 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0eb8…753bbacked Yes38c52.63$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$209134.1%31 W · 60 L+4.5wins+0.05per pick29cpaid+23.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3481…6b3cbacked Yes38c52.63$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206749.3%33 W · 34 L-2.8wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-1.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x002e…f201backed Yes38c52.63$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20812.5%1 W · 7 L-2.6wins-0.33per pick45cpaid-78.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.