Premier League · resolved market
Will Birmingham City FC vs. Coventry City FC end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5033074bf227bcf80238a43fb06301d57f30ecc98c46a69b8bea7fff8d24500e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $17,230
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $17,891
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,230 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 60 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 29c | 3,163$912 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$911.69 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 72c | 2,460$1,770 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$690.1 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5677…2ce9backed No | 63c | 2,250$1,422 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$827.5 | 34 | 64.7%22 W · 12 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…57e7backed No | 71c | 1,876$1,332 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$544.18 | 466 | 51.9%242 W · 224 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 73c | 1,285$940 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$344.47 | 2,661 | 45.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L | -11.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0ba4…c08bbacked Yes | 28c | 1,080$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302.4 | 149 | 43%64 W · 85 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x28dc…a1f2backed No | 73c | 939$684 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.13 | 80 | 65%52 W · 28 L | +10.3wins | +0.13per pick | 52cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2575…bf1ebacked Yes | 29c | 777.14$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.37 | 73 | 32.9%24 W · 49 L | +4.3wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Yes | 43c | 645$277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$277.35 | 1,004 | 46.3%465 W · 539 L | +25.8wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked No | 72c | 507$365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.96 | 1,204 | 50.7%610 W · 594 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b3…9573backed Yes | 29c | 500$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145 | 98 | 43.9%43 W · 55 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed No | 71c | 475.17$338 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.48 | 827 | 63%521 W · 306 L | +113.2wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +41.9%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xe76f…39fcbacked Yes | 27c | 366.67$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 50 | 50%25 W · 25 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed No | 77c | 363.38$281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.71 | 1,224 | 40%490 W · 734 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a2…9874backed Yes | 29c | 344.83$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 197 | 32.5%64 W · 133 L | +8.7wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ae…74c0backed Yes | 31c | 322.58$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 196 | 54.6%107 W · 89 L | -10.3wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -10%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcfd1…928abacked Yes | 26c | 230.77$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.23per pick | 37cpaid | -72%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xad2f…f350backed Yes | 30c | 213.33$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe4e2…f97fbacked Yes | 29c | 207.93$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaf07…5129backed Yes | 28c | 196.43$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 50 | 22%11 W · 39 L | -3.8wins | -0.08per pick | 30cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed Yes | 28c | 160$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.8 | 233 | 53.6%125 W · 108 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a63…b752backed Yes | 29c | 131.03$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 51 | 43.1%22 W · 29 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e4f…243cbacked Yes | 28c | 122$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.16 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4781…336dbacked No | 73c | 116.44$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.44 | 185 | 62.2%115 W · 70 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 23c | 116$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.68 | 1,264 | 33.7%426 W · 838 L | +13.1wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24d8…e8a8backed No | 70c | 111.5$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.22 | 88 | 53.4%47 W · 41 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf4dc…d394backed Yes | 28c | 101$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.28 | 43 | 55.8%24 W · 19 L | +3.5wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +26%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x878c…529ebacked Yes | 27c | 93.19$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.74 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c83…6f40backed Yes | 19c | 92.74$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.16 | 122 | 41.8%51 W · 71 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe61b…915fbacked Yes | 28c | 89.29$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7349…8a6dbacked No | 73c | 88.86$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.86 | 19 | 73.7%14 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 73cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d66…0e16backed Yes | 29c | 86.21$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 139 | 51.1%71 W · 68 L | +6.0wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcd3d…e7ebbacked Yes | 24c | 80$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.2 | 351 | 34.8%122 W · 229 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b41…5cc3backed Yes | 26c | 76.92$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x79df…1661backed Yes | 26c | 76.92$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 297 | 35.4%105 W · 192 L | +7.1wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe096…9779backed Yes | 27c | 76.7$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.96 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | +3.3wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x51ce…43fabacked Yes | 29c | 70.25$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.29 | 232 | 20.7%48 W · 184 L | -12.5wins | -0.05per pick | 26cpaid | -28%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5675…f99cbacked Yes | 29c | 69$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.01 | 57 | 43.9%25 W · 32 L | -2.7wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x312d…6814backed No | 70c | 57.14$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.14 | 58 | 60.3%35 W · 23 L | +5.5wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1294…9dbabacked Yes | 27c | 50$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 77 | 53.2%41 W · 36 L | -4.6wins | -0.06per pick | 59cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9eee…5ac4backed Yes | 28c | 40$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0c94…a43bbacked No | 72c | 38.13$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.68 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.11per pick | 58cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7f89…b87ebacked No | 76c | 35.72$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.57 | 49 | 49%24 W · 25 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 75c | 35.14$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.67 | 1,272 | 50.4%641 W · 631 L | -53.9wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked No | 71c | 35$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.09 | 202 | 39.6%80 W · 122 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed No | 73c | 31.13$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.41 | 432 | 41.9%181 W · 251 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed No | 71c | 30.06$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.64 | 584 | 45.9%268 W · 316 L | -8.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43dc…88cfbacked No | 72c | 30$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd568…655ebacked No | 72c | 29$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.12 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.16per pick | 64cpaid | +29.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf683…f2dfbacked No | 72c | 28$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.84 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +10%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17f3…c87fbacked No | 76c | 27.6$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.62 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9651…0891backed Yes | 40c | 27.44$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.01 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.8wins | +0.30per pick | 53cpaid | +76.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed No | 73c | 23.02$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.27 | 891 | 52.9%471 W · 420 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca65…6746backed No | 72c | 23$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.44 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | +2.1wins | +0.13per pick | 62cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd67a…304cbacked No | 72c | 22$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.16 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33b7…c747backed No | 72c | 21$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.88 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +1.7wins | +0.11per pick | 62cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e85…d253backed No | 72c | 18$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.04 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc789…3907backed No | 72c | 17$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.76 | 19 | 78.9%15 W · 4 L | +3.1wins | +0.16per pick | 63cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1e1a…60e5backed No | 72c | 16$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.48 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x38ab…75ffbacked No | 73c | 14.71$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.92 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Birmingham City FC vs. Coventry City FC end in a draw?this page
- Will Birmingham City FC win on 2026-01-04?Yes won
- Will Coventry City FC win on 2026-01-04?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.