TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Will Birmingham City FC win on 2026-01-04?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$70,684
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$75,552

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $70,684 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 110 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x3505…f7a3backed No58c6,991$4,031 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,031.13063.3%19 W · 11 L-2.7wins-0.09per pick72cpaid-10.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Yes56c6,113$3,448 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,665.251,00446.3%465 W · 539 L+25.8wins+0.03per pick44cpaid-2.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2a09…db1cbacked No53c4,766$2,550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,549.612166.7%14 W · 7 L+1.5wins+0.07per pick60cpaid+73.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x081e…f76ebacked No46c4,197$1,931 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,930.926240.3%25 W · 37 L-5.1wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-17.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No23c4,141$955 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$955.154,69641.7%1,957 W · 2,739 L+21.8wins0.00per pick41cpaid-14.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes47c3,084$1,450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,633.986,04745.9%2,776 W · 3,271 L-21.5wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Yes36c2,695$970 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,725.061,00646.6%469 W · 537 L-20.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed No64c2,486$1,591 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,591.321,28348%616 W · 667 L-5.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked No64c2,332$1,482 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,481.751,27250.4%641 W · 631 L-53.9wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-12.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0a26…1851backed Yes56c1,964$1,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$864.2919652%102 W · 94 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Yes36c1,781$641 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,140.1150644.3%224 W · 282 L-14.0wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-5.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked No66c1,672$1,101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,101.221,14642.8%490 W · 656 L-8.5wins-0.01per pick44cpaid+0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7be6…0530backed No65c1,623$1,055 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,054.95540%2 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.12per pick52cpaid-29.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6540…d055backed Yes35c1,621$567 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,053.65666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.15per pick51cpaid+34%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf142…57e7backed Yes34c1,503$511 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$991.9646551.8%241 W · 224 L+6.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x50ec…c1f5backed No66c1,500$990 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$989.997759.7%46 W · 31 L-4.7wins-0.06per pick66cpaid-3.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3158…d469backed Yes36c1,445$520 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$924.882751.9%14 W · 13 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+15.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x24da…9561backed Yes35c1,422$498 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$924.064953.1%26 W · 23 L+5.9wins+0.12per pick41cpaid+23.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xe76f…39fcbacked Yes57c1,051$599 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$452.45050%25 W · 25 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid+1.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9cb9…32f2backed Yes64c1,000$640 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36020140.8%82 W · 119 L+7.0wins+0.03per pick37cpaid+0.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe671…a682backed No23c1,000$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23025836%93 W · 165 L-7.0wins-0.03per pick39cpaid+1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Yes35c724.52$255 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$469.051,20450.7%610 W · 594 L+1.5wins0.00per pick51cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1e33…afb3backed Yes79c632.25$499 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.7712345.5%56 W · 67 L-10.3wins-0.08per pick54cpaid-17.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xc7f7…2abfbacked Yes35c368.95$129 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$239.8226229.8%78 W · 184 L+10.2wins+0.04per pick26cpaid+1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x397e…3d84backed No51c360.8$184 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$184.0182763%521 W · 306 L+113.2wins+0.14per pick49cpaid+41.9%equal weight65+0.13 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Yes36c359$129 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$229.7672249.9%360 W · 362 L+5.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1f19…f012backed Yes57c350.88$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150.882867.9%19 W · 9 L+3.0wins+0.11per pick57cpaid+19%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x8c22…70a0backed Yes35c346.62$123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$223.594843.8%21 W · 27 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe243…785abacked Yes58c344.83$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144.83850%4 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-27.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Yes70c342$239 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.9343241.9%181 W · 251 L-5.6wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-16.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7705…a442backed No38c321.74$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.7419632.7%64 W · 132 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick31cpaid+10.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8ff8…aa3abacked Yes36c320.99$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$205.442050%10 W · 10 L+1.7wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+18.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Yes35c309$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$200.8545751.2%234 W · 223 L+21.3wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+10.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x64a8…7bc3backed Yes58c306.09$178 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.56785.7%6 W · 1 L+1.9wins+0.28per pick58cpaid+31.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0ec0…497bbacked Yes68c300$204 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$961258.3%7 W · 5 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick55cpaid-3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x14fa…73f0backed No44c293.18$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1294141.5%17 W · 24 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-9.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed No36c274.39$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.951,22440%490 W · 734 L-24.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-15.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xeddf…a953backed Yes37c270.27$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$170.2712748.8%62 W · 65 L+10.3wins+0.08per pick41cpaid+22.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xbc44…3b40backed No33c255$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.153141.9%13 W · 18 L-2.2wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-10.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Yes51c247.43$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$120.962,66145.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L-11.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-9.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xca38…e215backed Yes70c245.76$173 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.541100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+41.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x24d8…e8a8backed Yes43c223.65$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.438853.4%47 W · 41 L-0.2wins0.00per pick54cpaid-9.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5913…3bbebacked Yes76c184.21$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.2111540.9%47 W · 68 L-16.0wins-0.14per pick55cpaid-27.7%equal weight37-0.11 edge/pick
0x8208…1742backed Yes58c172.41$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.413246.9%15 W · 17 L-2.2wins-0.07per pick54cpaid-12.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3a56…387cbacked Yes59c157.5$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.129041.7%121 W · 169 L-9.4wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-23.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9569…27fdbacked No37c150.4$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.651266.7%8 W · 4 L+1.6wins+0.13per pick53cpaid+35.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1294…9dbabacked Yes67c150$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.57753.2%41 W · 36 L-4.6wins-0.06per pick59cpaid-18.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6835…1976backed Yes35c150$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.551847.3%245 W · 273 L+11.6wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+11.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x23d4…5607backed Yes36c138.89$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.896043.3%26 W · 34 L+3.3wins+0.05per pick38cpaid-0.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed No35c136.84$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.2289152.9%471 W · 420 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-9.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x55ac…0871backed Yes75c134.54$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.14540%2 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.12per pick52cpaid-42.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe096…9779backed Yes67c134.23$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.234052.5%21 W · 19 L+3.3wins+0.08per pick44cpaid+15.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6310…0d90backed Yes77c129.87$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.877170.4%50 W · 21 L+2.6wins+0.04per pick67cpaid+8.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6562…4e48backed No32c117.65$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.225256%141 W · 111 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-6.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0d20…2391backed Yes65c110.55$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.695244.2%23 W · 29 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-8.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8e6d…a980backed No70c109.29$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76837.5%3 W · 5 L-2.6wins-0.33per pick70cpaid-49.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xe6a5…e95dbacked No46c108.7$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$509654.2%52 W · 44 L-0.1wins0.00per pick54cpaid+6.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x12fe…38cfbacked No63c100$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6344036.8%162 W · 278 L+5.4wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5853…dc28backed Yes68c100$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32650%3 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-10.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0caf…abfebacked Yes35c100$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$653250%16 W · 16 L+0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid+7.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd843…a597backed Yes59c98.84$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.09785.7%6 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.22per pick64cpaid+27.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Yes37c96$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.481,21241.7%505 W · 707 L-1.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf9ac…64e1backed No44c90.91$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401968.4%13 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick68cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7602…2775backed No47c89.01$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.1312048.3%58 W · 62 L+5.7wins+0.05per pick44cpaid+8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9d29…5111backed Yes76c88$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.126355.6%35 W · 28 L-3.4wins-0.05per pick61cpaid-11.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1ea1…6072backed No66c76.14$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501266.7%8 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick69cpaid-6.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x26cf…c612backed No62c75$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.513844.9%62 W · 76 L+9.9wins+0.07per pick38cpaid+15.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x98d0…01a4backed No40c74.63$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3021747.9%104 W · 113 L-8.8wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-10%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe239…14eabacked No54c74.06$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.782556%14 W · 11 L+1.5wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+57.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa64b…1e4bbacked No74c73.26$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.212653.8%14 W · 12 L-1.2wins-0.04per pick58cpaid+0.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa354…b85fbacked No31c68.78$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.3224158.1%140 W · 101 L+34.1wins+0.14per pick44cpaid+36.3%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0xe0f1…df16backed No32c63$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.16450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed No25c58.24$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.657744.4%256 W · 321 L-6.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-17.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3880…ab7dbacked No43c58.14$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2528654.2%155 W · 131 L-11.3wins-0.04per pick58cpaid-8.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2969…6d76backed Yes69c57.97$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.97862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.11per pick51cpaid+6.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9d30…2645backed Yes35c53$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.454949%24 W · 25 L+2.2wins+0.05per pick44cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe1fb…90c7backed Yes49c51.25$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.251450%7 W · 7 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick54cpaid+3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe06c…62aebacked No37c50$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.59355.9%52 W · 41 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x49d7…1635backed No44c45.45$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20650%3 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-11.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9651…0891backed Yes24c44.22$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.56683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.8wins+0.30per pick53cpaid+76.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5404…5e58backed Yes76c39.47$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.4712639.7%50 W · 76 L+7.9wins+0.06per pick33cpaid+11.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xce4d…c57bbacked Yes76c39.47$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.475100%5 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1e7d…4a9bbacked Yes69c36.23$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.2321143.1%91 W · 120 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee35…11ecbacked Yes57c35.09$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.092050%10 W · 10 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-7.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3839…a64dbacked Yes57c35.09$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.091346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick51cpaid+0.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2a88…2bffbacked Yes35c35$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.7516445.7%75 W · 89 L+5.0wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+2.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3a09…f9f7backed Yes41c33.53$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.6758445.9%268 W · 316 L-8.8wins-0.02per pick47cpaid+8.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc840…0650backed Yes36c32.51$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.82250%11 W · 11 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x32d6…844bbacked Yes35c31$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.154944.9%22 W · 27 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-21.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x33c9…6f9abacked Yes35c30$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.5875%6 W · 2 L+2.0wins+0.25per pick50cpaid+60.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x587b…2622backed No40c30$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1236462.9%229 W · 135 L+32.1wins+0.09per pick54cpaid+33.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xa3b2…a07ebacked Yes66c30$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.151100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+51.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd743…59bdbacked No42c30$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.65945.8%27 W · 32 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8512…e70ebacked No66c30$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.81764.7%11 W · 6 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick69cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x42a3…56d0backed Yes68c29.41$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.41560%3 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.08per pick68cpaid-16.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed Yes56c26.55$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.741,16157.4%666 W · 495 L+40.5wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+1.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe08e…907bbacked Yes59c25.44$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.441100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+69.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x881a…8d6dbacked No50c24.08$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$126246.8%29 W · 33 L-7.2wins-0.12per pick58cpaid-25%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x6393…dde9backed No65c22$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.31758.8%10 W · 7 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick61cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf617…7ff1backed Yes55c20$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94548.9%22 W · 23 L-5.2wins-0.12per pick60cpaid-20.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.