TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x7349…8a6d

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
43
Categories scored
6
Categories below 50
2

Best Category: Movies, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category Movies at 53 out of 100; worst NHL at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Apr 15, 2026, EDT1973.7%14 W · 5 L+0.1wins0.00per pick73cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Premier League — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Portsmouth FC vs. Ipswich Town FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+30.2%+$13.61
Will Sheffield United FC vs. Oxford United FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST+25%+$16.25
Will Sheffield United FC win on 2026-01-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST+47.4%+$30.81
Will Hull City AFC win on 2026-01-04?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+47.1%+$21.18
Will Hull City AFC vs. Watford FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Will Stoke City FC win on 2026-01-04?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$45
Will Norwich City FC vs. Stoke City FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+35.1%+$15.81
Will Southampton FC win on 2026-01-04?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+39.8%+$19.89
Will Bristol City FC vs. Preston North End FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+33.3%+$21.67
Will Middlesbrough FC vs. Southampton FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+33.3%+$16.67
Will Wrexham AFC win on 2026-01-04?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$65
Will Millwall FC vs. Swansea City AFC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+40.5%+$20.23
Will Preston North End FC win on 2026-01-04?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$65
Will Derby County FC vs. Wrexham AFC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+40.8%+$26.55
Will Swansea City AFC win on 2026-01-04?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+29.9%+$14.94
Will Charlton Athletic FC win on 2026-01-04?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+29.9%+$19.42
Will Blackburn Rovers FC vs. Charlton Athletic FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$65
Will Queens Park Rangers FC win on 2026-01-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+43.3%+$28.17
Will Birmingham City FC vs. Coventry City FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+36.7%+$23.86
All 19 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Jan 6, 2026, EST944.4%4 W · 5 L+0.9wins+0.10per pick34cpaid-42.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Movies — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Jurassic World: Rebirth be the top grossing movie of 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST-100%-$11.34
Will The Fantastic Four: First Steps be the top grossing movie of 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST-100%-$11.34
Will Jessie Buckley win Best Actress at the 2026 Critics Choice Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST+27.9%+$4.18
Will Timothée Chalamet win Best Actor at the 2026 Critics Choice Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST+34.4%+$8.6
Will Amy Madigan win Best Supporting Actress at the 2026 Critics Choice Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST+28.4%+$5.68
Will Stellan Skarsgård win Best Supporting Actor in the 2026 Critics Choice Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST+25.9%+$6.49
Will Superman be the top grossing movie of 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$13.69
Will Avatar 3 be the top grossing movie of 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$13.67
Will Wicked: For Good be the top grossing movie of 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$13.67
All 9 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Jan 5, 2026, EST666.7%4 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.11per pick77cpaid-15.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NFL — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Jan 4, 2026, EST475%3 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick73cpaid+3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Jan 5, 2026, EST425%1 W · 3 L-1.8wins-0.44per pick69cpaid-62.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
NHL — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Canadiens vs. Starsbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$35
Golden Knights vs. Blackhawksbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Blackhawks vs. Capitalsbacked Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Lightning vs. Sharksbacked Lightning · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+50.8%+$7.61
All 4 picks, newest first.
Australian A League Inactivelast resolved Jan 4, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+26.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Australian A League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Australian A League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Adelaide United FC vs. Central Coast Mariners FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+26.6%+$13.29
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.