Premier League · resolved market
Will Sheffield United FC vs. Oxford United FC end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb4ce61d7d8582721c40b45e8c93175819a46234928f155bbfec60ef3401d751b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,742
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,800
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,742 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x80cf…427dbacked Yes | 15c | 11,000$1,628 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,628 | 170 | 42.9%73 W · 97 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes | 19c | 656$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.26 | 966 | 45.4%439 W · 527 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe542…0a37backed Yes | 21c | 612.76$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.68 | 138 | 32.6%45 W · 93 L | +5.5wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Yes | 19c | 547.2$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.97 | 850 | 48.4%411 W · 439 L | +12.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a2…9874backed Yes | 21c | 431$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.51 | 197 | 32.5%64 W · 133 L | +8.7wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x63c5…6f61backed Yes | 10c | 200$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.49 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26cf…c612backed Yes | 21c | 165$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.8 | 138 | 44.9%62 W · 76 L | +9.9wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe292…a29dbacked Yes | 28c | 103.29$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.4wins | -0.24per pick | 54cpaid | -56.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1a71…4f0fbacked No | 72c | 99.99$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.9 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe824…65b4backed Yes | 16c | 81.8$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.25 | 99 | 49.5%49 W · 50 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7349…8a6dbacked No | 80c | 81.25$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.25 | 19 | 73.7%14 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 73cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked No | 79c | 72.98$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.55 | 1,204 | 50.7%610 W · 594 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8549…41f8backed Yes | 29c | 64$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.43 | 272 | 27.9%76 W · 196 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | +3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7866…8645backed Yes | 22c | 60$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -61.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9773…67e8backed Yes | 21c | 55$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.55 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed No | 79c | 54.33$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.41 | 584 | 45.9%268 W · 316 L | -8.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6cea…5013backed Yes | 21c | 47.62$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed No | 77c | 42.87$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.76 | 161 | 50.9%82 W · 79 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaab6…607ebacked No | 79c | 40$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 396 | 51.5%204 W · 192 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad89…f6e1backed No | 49c | 35.3$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.02 | 59 | 57.6%34 W · 25 L | +8.6wins | +0.15per pick | 43cpaid | +45%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf7bd…d82dbacked No | 79c | 29$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.09 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf71c…488bbacked No | 79c | 26$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.46 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa912…297fbacked No | 80c | 24.84$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.07 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa870…2cd1backed No | 79c | 17.82$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.74 | 271 | 73.8%200 W · 71 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 76cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked No | 80c | 17$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.4 | 1,146 | 42.8%490 W · 656 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x187b…f545backed No | 80c | 13.16$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.63 | 121 | 59.5%72 W · 49 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Sheffield United FC vs. Oxford United FC end in a draw?this page
- Will Oxford United FC win on 2026-01-04?No won
- Will Sheffield United FC win on 2026-01-04?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.