TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Will Sheffield United FC win on 2026-01-04?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$76,156
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$101,239

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $76,156 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 134 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x80cf…427dbacked Yes67c18,000$12,060 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,94017042.9%73 W · 97 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid+3.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe90b…5da2backed No33c18,000$5,940 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,939.9827750.9%141 W · 136 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked No30c4,921$1,486 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,485.6796645.4%439 W · 527 L+12.4wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9dea…3792backed Yes70c4,500$3,150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,35016753.3%89 W · 78 L-13.3wins-0.08per pick61cpaid-14.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed No15c3,046$465 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$465.477336.4%281 W · 492 L-10.3wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Yes68c2,583$1,769 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$813.671,21241.7%505 W · 707 L-1.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Yes69c2,580$1,769 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$810.9785048.4%411 W · 439 L+12.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xad89…f6e1backed Yes51c1,375$708 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$667.225957.6%34 W · 25 L+8.6wins+0.15per pick43cpaid+45%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed No48c1,041$497 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$497.3467042.2%283 W · 387 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-3.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xc5bb…a429backed Yes55c1,000$550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4501060%6 W · 4 L+1.1wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+8.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5050…9a6fbacked No29c999.99$290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$290450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-30.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xba8d…009dbacked No30c925.92$275 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$274.9111430.7%35 W · 79 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick32cpaid+1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4160…e42dbacked No40c859.97$344 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$343.994930.6%15 W · 34 L+4.8wins+0.10per pick21cpaid+37.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No32c842.36$273 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$272.846,11745.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L-28.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x16b2…aa5abacked Yes60c823.3$494 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$329.3215470.8%109 W · 45 L+22.5wins+0.15per pick56cpaid+29.2%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0xa1b0…1846backed Yes65c769.23$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$269.234271.4%30 W · 12 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick72cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Yes61c750$455 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2951,22442.3%518 W · 706 L-27.6wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-7.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe542…0a37backed Yes42c708.26$297 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$411.4813832.6%45 W · 93 L+5.5wins+0.04per pick29cpaid+3.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0c5f…5c67backed Yes58c694.33$403 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$291.622100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+54.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcaa0…833bbacked Yes67c500.18$337 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.44450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-30.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x12c6…0691backed No32c499.96$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159.994643.5%20 W · 26 L-3.6wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-20.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9030…4a23backed Yes70c457.14$320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$137.144553.3%24 W · 21 L-1.6wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-0.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed No32c393.73$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125.992,66145.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L-11.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-9.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x26cf…c612backed No36c349.24$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125.813844.9%62 W · 76 L+9.9wins+0.07per pick38cpaid+15.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3f4d…77aabacked Yes71c321.9$229 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.351330.8%4 W · 9 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick27cpaid-14.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x397e…3d84backed No32c276.95$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.5482763%521 W · 306 L+113.2wins+0.14per pick49cpaid+41.9%equal weight65+0.13 edge/pick
0x4ebb…061abacked Yes68c235.29$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.2913552.6%71 W · 64 L-5.8wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-6.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3422…cd99backed No11c229.83$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.9830%0 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdecf…caf2backed Yes53c228$121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.164946.9%23 W · 26 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-7.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x85a1…a640backed Yes71c210$149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.92454.2%13 W · 11 L-1.6wins-0.07per pick61cpaid-14.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe015…621fbacked Yes58c200$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$844141.5%17 W · 24 L+2.1wins+0.05per pick36cpaid+24.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x52d8…99aebacked No32c199.99$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$649859.2%58 W · 40 L+0.2wins0.00per pick59cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2fa0…aa66backed Yes68c182.63$124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.444961.2%30 W · 19 L-3.3wins-0.07per pick68cpaid-12%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe1c3…7d73backed Yes68c176.47$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.4715257.2%87 W · 65 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5e52…9078backed Yes59c169.49$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.495837.9%22 W · 36 L-3.0wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-20.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5c20…f4fbbacked Yes71c153.15$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.41366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick60cpaid-6.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6179…6f80backed No32c150$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$487958.2%46 W · 33 L+6.3wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+24.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6835…1976backed No32c149.96$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.9951847.3%245 W · 273 L+11.6wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+11.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xea9e…d3fbbacked No34c149.56$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.3633124.2%80 W · 251 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick24cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5bab…50aabacked No75c148.08$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.068365.1%54 W · 29 L-3.1wins-0.04per pick69cpaid-6.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3e2d…4323backed Yes68c147.06$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.0613944.6%62 W · 77 L-8.8wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-15.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked No31c146.05$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.281,20450.7%610 W · 594 L+1.5wins0.00per pick51cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x802f…e008backed Yes71c140.85$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.8515560%93 W · 62 L-10.7wins-0.07per pick67cpaid-10.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe3fa…1d28backed Yes59c133.07$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.681100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+69.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4db3…6b64backed Yes71c120$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.84100%4 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.28per pick73cpaid+38.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe6f0…5701backed Yes51c117.87$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.916741.8%28 W · 39 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+5.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x04b4…8d0bbacked No34c117.65$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$406258.1%36 W · 26 L+4.7wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+20.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x94d8…8835backed Yes68c113.06$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.185752.6%30 W · 27 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-5.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1e7d…4a9bbacked Yes61c105.27$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.2721143.1%91 W · 120 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc938…af43backed No33c104$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.324240.5%17 W · 25 L-3.8wins-0.09per pick50cpaid-25.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xa4b2…1c67backed No41c100$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41728.6%2 W · 5 L-2.0wins-0.28per pick57cpaid-53.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x12fe…38cfbacked Yes71c100$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2944036.8%162 W · 278 L+5.4wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5a3e…ef94backed No31c100$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$311464.3%9 W · 5 L+3.5wins+0.25per pick39cpaid+69.7%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x87a1…2418backed Yes71c100$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$291100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb891…969bbacked No31c100$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3129343.7%128 W · 165 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes68c97$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.041,14642.8%490 W · 656 L-8.5wins-0.01per pick44cpaid+0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdcdf…3198backed Yes52c96.15$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.151100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x28a2…91a4backed No33c96$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.685650%28 W · 28 L+2.7wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+4.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7349…8a6dbacked Yes68c95.81$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.811973.7%14 W · 5 L+0.1wins0.00per pick73cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcc91…a81dbacked Yes71c94.64$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.45366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.09per pick58cpaid-3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7a64…ce4abacked Yes70c91.14$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.343100%3 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfd14…5ab9backed No33c87$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.714949%24 W · 25 L+2.4wins+0.05per pick44cpaid+12.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc629…5e51backed Yes71c84.51$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.519541.1%39 W · 56 L-9.3wins-0.10per pick51cpaid-16.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xe6fe…c8c2backed Yes71c84.51$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.516149.2%30 W · 31 L-5.8wins-0.10per pick59cpaid-17.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x25a6…f072backed Yes70c80$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$242100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+41.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb1aa…16cfbacked Yes67c74.63$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.639067.8%61 W · 29 L+0.4wins0.00per pick67cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa00f…8e56backed Yes48c72.24$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.8718251.6%94 W · 88 L+0.5wins0.00per pick51cpaid-9.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3036…15c2backed Yes58c70$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.49840.8%40 W · 58 L-5.3wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-18.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9be7…fb81backed Yes71c70$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.32100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.29per pick72cpaid+39.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4f2b…5d2fbacked Yes70c65.25$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.582100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+45%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1393…8392backed No32c64$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.485058%29 W · 21 L+3.9wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+10.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9061…9510backed No32c63$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.163145.2%14 W · 17 L+0.1wins0.00per pick45cpaid-9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa3bc…4c8cbacked Yes46c61.07$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.98666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.5wins+0.24per pick42cpaid+32.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5fa6…03ebbacked No30c60$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1811955.5%66 W · 53 L+13.0wins+0.11per pick45cpaid+23.7%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x3b7f…7aecbacked Yes50c60$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$306137.7%23 W · 38 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xadde…e21dbacked Yes59c59.52$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.521100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+70.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb8df…61aabacked Yes69c57.44$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.814100%4 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.37per pick64cpaid+84.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xddc4…413dbacked Yes71c55.87$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.22657.7%15 W · 11 L+0.1wins0.00per pick57cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1e9b…829ebacked Yes47c51.44$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.0516236.4%59 W · 103 L-13.2wins-0.08per pick45cpaid-19.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xd610…4c9abacked No31c50$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.522448.7%109 W · 115 L+6.4wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+2.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x76a9…06e3backed Yes70c48.55$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.55250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.18per pick68cpaid-28.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6982…3909backed Yes71c46.1$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.372100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+52.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x682f…3265backed No34c44.59$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1528950.9%147 W · 142 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-2.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf142…57e7backed No31c43.94$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.6246651.9%242 W · 224 L+7.4wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2eae…a25fbacked Yes69c43.48$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.4836036.1%130 W · 230 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick35cpaid-2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb089…a271backed Yes53c41.35$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.645339.6%21 W · 32 L-3.2wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-11.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd862…db15backed Yes71c40.91$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.862100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1b5f…b453backed Yes69c40.43$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.481266.7%8 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.05per pick62cpaid-1.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd3ba…33b9backed Yes62c40$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.21233.3%4 W · 8 L-2.5wins-0.21per pick54cpaid-49%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x16fe…9496backed Yes60c40$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1629644.6%132 W · 164 L-8.3wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-5.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x83c5…e193backed Yes54c39$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.1315726.8%42 W · 115 L-4.1wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-22.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed No34c39$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.2645142.6%192 W · 259 L-4.4wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-14.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4e4c…b571backed Yes70c38.94$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.682100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.30per pick71cpaid+41.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcd3d…e7ebbacked Yes52c38.46$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.4635134.8%122 W · 229 L+8.0wins+0.02per pick32cpaid+8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Yes38c36.99$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.8789152.9%471 W · 420 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-9.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x033f…b8cabacked Yes68c36.76$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.763256.3%18 W · 14 L0.0wins0.00per pick56cpaid+4.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc368…0b4ebacked No33c33$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.891464.3%9 W · 5 L+0.7wins+0.05per pick59cpaid+11.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x187b…f545backed Yes65c32.4$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.3412159.5%72 W · 49 L+5.0wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+3.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf1ff…252ebacked Yes70c32.11$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.63366.7%2 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick65cpaid-5.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5acf…0df2backed No47c31.91$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151546.7%7 W · 8 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-17%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.